Nebraska at Iowa - 2024 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 29th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Iowa -3.5 (41.5) (-150) Open: -5.5 | 39.5
Iowa 13 - Nebraska: 10 (Big Ten)

Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Matt Rhule (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (16 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 15.8°
Our Line: Iowa -8.5 (SP+ IOWA -10)
Projected Score: NEB: 18 - IOWA: 26 (44)
IOWA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NEB Travel: 274 miles

Hawkeyes (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (196 - 119)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (33 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEB Players
IOWA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Nebraska vs UTEP	-27.5	49.0	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Nebraska vs Colorado	-6.5	55.0	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Nebraska vs Northern Iowa	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Nebraska vs Illinois	-9.5	41.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Nebraska at Purdue	-10.0	47.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Nebraska vs Rutgers	-7.0	39.5	W 14 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Nebraska at Indiana	+6.5	48.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/26	Nebraska at Ohio State	+25.0	48.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Nebraska vs UCLA	-7.5	38.5	L 20 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Nebraska at USC	+6.5	51.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/23	Nebraska vs Wisconsin	-1.5	40.5	W 44 - 25	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Nebraska at Iowa	+3.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Nebraska vs Boston College	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Iowa's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Iowa vs Illinois State	-31.5
Sat 9/7	Iowa vs Iowa State	-3.0	35.0	L 19 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/14	Iowa vs Troy	-23.5	39.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/21	Iowa at Minnesota	-3.0	34.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Iowa at Ohio State	+17.0	46.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/12	Iowa vs Washington	-2.5	41.5	W 40 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Iowa at Michigan State	-7.0	39.5	L 20 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/26	Iowa vs Northwestern	-16.5	38.5	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Iowa vs Wisconsin	-2.5	40.0	W 42 - 10	O	Y
Fri 11/8	Iowa at UCLA	-6.5	44.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Iowa at Maryland	-4.0	40.5	W 29 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Iowa vs Nebraska	-3.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Mon 12/30	Iowa vs Missouri	+1.0	41.0	L 24 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	#74 (.18)	45% (37)	23.5	48% (22)	3.21 (40)	121	43% (55)	210	3.38 (114)	#44 (.13)	40% (50)	19.5	39% (24)	42% (82)	3.06 (11)	48.9	1.3	1.2
IOWA	#100 (.14)	42% (72)	27.7	44% (63)	2.92 (89)	185	40% (94)	121	3.77 (84)	#30 (.11)	42% (72)	17.8	46% (97)	39% (51)	3.37 (27)	26.3	0.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	#74 (.18)	45% (37)		48% (22)	3.21 (40)	121	43% (55)	210	3.38 (114)	#44 (.13)	40% (50)		39% (24)	42% (82)	3.06 (11)	48.9	1.3	1.2
IOWA	#100 (.14)	42% (72)		44% (63)	2.92 (89)	185	40% (94)	121	3.77 (84)	#30 (.11)	42% (72)		46% (97)	39% (51)	3.37 (27)	26.3	0.8	1.8

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Offense	13	23.5	16.4	45%	3.38	1.3	20	331	121	210	3.8	48%	51%	48%	43%	16%	.18
IOWA Defense	13	17.8	13	42%	3.37	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	46%	39%	17%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Defense	13	19.5	25.6	40.3%	3.06	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	39%	42%	18%	.13
IOWA Offense	13	27.7	33.1	42.3%	3.77	0.8	15	306	185	121	5.2	62%	37%	44%	40%	13%	.14

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nebraska	13	29:43	20.1	43%	32%	5.7	48.9	1.3	1.2	5.7	2	3	27.2
Iowa	13	27:05	15.4	41%	50%	2.8	26.3	0.8	1.8	4.5	2.1	2	33.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Offense	13	48% (80)	48% (22)	31.7	121.1	3.8	20 (67)	.18 (38)	3.21 (40)	83% (8)	10% (71)	0.89 (105)
IOWA Defense	13	46% (17)	46% (97)	-	-	-	-	.07 (38)	3.07 (84)	84% (126)	10% (68)	0.68 (1)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Defense	13	47% (29)	39% (24)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (9)	2.72 (26)	69% (40)	12% (33)	0.9 (32)
IOWA Offense	13	62% (7)	44% (63)	35.5	185	5.2	29 (18)	.13 (71)	2.92 (89)	62% (120)	10% (76)	1.02 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Offense	13	51% (57)	43% (55)	20.3	31	209.5	6.8	10.3	12 (118)	11 (72)	.21 (91)	1.4 (132)	28% (18)	34% (45)	.31 (79)	6% (67)	1.8 (125)
IOWA Defense	13	54% (118)	39% (51)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.18 (39)	1.5 (36)	32% (76)	28% (36)	.24 (39)	7% (27)	1.8 (7)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Defense	13	52% (101)	42% (82)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.28 (88)	1.6 (89)	33% (52)	31% (80)	.37 (96)	6% (55)	2.2 (98)
IOWA Offense	13	37% (129)	40% (94)	11.5	18.6	121.5	6.5	10.6	9 (128)	7 (26)	.21 (93)	1.5 (93)	26% (4)	28% (99)	.2 (108)	3% (7)	2 (72)

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 8.73 #34
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Nebraska's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 8.73 Iowa: 15.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 5.5 Iowa: 15.8

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 15.465 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Iowa's Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Iowa's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Iowa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.6

Nebraska's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 26
Nebraska 18

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa 31
Nebraska 18

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Iowa 27
Nebraska 18

Total Points: 45

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Iowa's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	Nebraska	16	Iowa	40	Iowa -5.5	Iowa	38.5	Over
2024	11/29	Iowa	13	Nebraska	10	Iowa -3.5	Nebraska	41.5	Under
2023	11/24	Nebraska	10	Iowa	13	Nebraska -3	Iowa	25.5	Under
2022	11/25	Iowa	17	Nebraska	24	Iowa -10.5	Nebraska	38.0	Over
2021	11/26	Nebraska	21	Iowa	28	Nebraska -1.5	Iowa	41.0	Over
2020	11/27	Iowa	26	Nebraska	20	Iowa -12.5	Nebraska	53.5	Under
2019	11/29	Nebraska	24	Iowa	27	Iowa -4	Nebraska	46.0	Over
2018	11/23	Iowa	31	Nebraska	28	Iowa -7.5	Nebraska	52.0	Over
2017	11/24	Nebraska	14	Iowa	56	Iowa -5	Iowa	50.5	Over
2016	11/25	Iowa	40	Nebraska	10	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	45.5	Over
2015	11/27	Nebraska	20	Iowa	28	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	57.5	Under
2014	11/28	Iowa	34	Nebraska	37	Iowa -1	Nebraska	53.0	Over
2013	11/29	Nebraska	17	Iowa	38	Nebraska -3	Iowa	0
2012	11/23	Iowa	7	Nebraska	13
2011	11/25	Nebraska	20	Iowa	7
2000	09/22	Nebraska	42	Iowa	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa	11	7	8 Overs
Nebraska	5	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 10	2 - 11	1 - 8	1 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 6	11 - 2	3 - 1	8 - 1

(#34) NEB at (#31) IOWA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEB	IOWA
Power RatePwr	#34	#31
SP+SP+	#45	#16
Perf GradeGrade	#75	#9
OffenseOff	#65	#34
DefenseDef	#78	#8
Spec TeamsST	#99	#9
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#29	#44

Nebraska Notes(12/11) Elevated DB's coach Butler to DC? (NFL 14-23)
(12/2) DC White left for FSU? Strange move
(12/2) OC Holgorsen signed to a two year deal
(11/30) Held Iowa to 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still lost
(11/30) 1-5 in 1 score games in '24, 4-22 since '21
(11/29) Raiola is not good. Do not let hype fool in 25
(11/23) Great W vs Wisky. Raiola 293 yds, Rgame 180
(11/18) Raiola bad vs USC, Rgame meh, Def poor in L
(11/11) Recent hire Dana Holgorsen now OC, call plays
(11/2) Abysmal L to UCLA. Rgame bad, bowl in ?
(10/19) Kicker hurt, backup is 1-5 TY. Kick returner dumb
(10/19) Unserious team. Def sucked/Rgame sucked
Nebraska Injury Report

Iowa Notes(11/30) 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still beat Nebraska
(11/23) Rgame mauled bad Terps. 3rd QB Stratton meh
(11/18) QB Sullivan out for season (ankle), Cade time?
(11/13) QB's awful, Rgame worse, Def bad vs UCLA
(11/2) Off humming, 2 straight W's. Killed Wisky
(10/30) QB McMamara out vs Wisky, Sullivan to start
(10/19) Def torched by Sparty. QB is a joke. Bad, bad loss
(10/12) Off Expl vs Wash, Rgame 220 (5.9 ypc), Def good
(10/6) Can't compete w/ elites, Pass game awful
(10/6) Def v good, Off awful outside of Kaleb Johnson
(9/8) McNamara awful vs ISU, RB/OL v good. Pass D bad
(9/1) QB: McNamara over Sullivan (NW, mobile)
Iowa Injury Report

Nebraska on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	IOWA Def
Perf GradePerf	#65	#8
SuccessSuc	#37	#72
ExplosiveExp	#129	#4
PPAPPA	#74	#30
PowerPwr	#53	#9
SP+SP+	#99	#5
Pts POPPO	#114	#27
HavocHav	#62	#51

Nebraska Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#63	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	#22	#97
Run ExplRExp	#105	#1
PPAExp	#38	#38
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	#40	#84
Stuff RateStuff	#7	#115
TackleTak	-	#30

Nebraska Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	#55	#51
Pass ExplPExl	#132	#36
PPAExp	#91	#39
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#12
F7 HavocF7	#71	#68
DB HavocDB	#67	#27

Iowa on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	IOWA Off	NEB Def
Perf GradePerf	#34	#78
SuccessSuc	#72	#50
ExplosiveExp	#110	#89
PPAPPA	#100	#44
PowerPwr	#88	#26
SP+SP+	#69	#12
Pts POPPO	#84	#11
HavocHav	#31	#40

Iowa Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	IOWA Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#82	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	#63	#24
Run ExplRExp	#47	#32
PPAExp	#71	#9
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	#89	#26
Stuff RateStuff	#110	#24
TackleTak	-	#49

Iowa Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	IOWA Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#98	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	#94	#82
Pass ExplPExl	#93	#89
PPAExp	#93	#88
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#15	#31
F7 HavocF7	#76	#33
DB HavocDB	#7	#55

Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 16° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 14
Iowa -3.5 (41.5)
Iowa won vs Nebraska this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Nebraska last year (13-10)
Iowa beat Nebraska in 2023 (13-10)
Nebraska beat Iowa in 2022 (24-17)

NEB's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dylan Raiola	274	409	67%	2806	13	11	6.9
Heinrich Haarberg	10	18	56%	101	0	1	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dante Dowdell (Tr)	143	614	12	4.3	38
Emmett Johnson	117	598	1	5.1	42
Rahmir Johnson	54	260	1	4.8	22
Jacory Barney Jr.	10	130	3	13.0	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahmal Banks (Tr)	44	587	3	13.3	31
Isaiah Neyor (Tr)	34	455	5	13.4	59
Jacory Barney Jr.	55	447	0	8.1	40
Thomas Fidone Jr.	36	373	0	10.4	33

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Tony White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Gifford	73	4	0	1	1
DeShon Singleton	71	1	0	0	3
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Mikai Gbayor	49	6	1	3	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Robinson	37	13	6	7	4
James Williams	14	6	5	4	0
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
MJ Sherman	29	5	4	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ceyair Wright (Tr)	39	1	1	1	6
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Marques Buford	35	1	0	0	5

IOWA's OC Tim Lester (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade McNamara	104	172	61%	1017	6	5	5.9
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)	38	53	72%	474	3	3	8.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaleb Johnson	240	1537	21	6.4	75
Kamari Moulton	84	473	3	5.6	68
Jaziun Patterson	63	309	2	4.9	39
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)	47	151	4	3.2	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Gill (Tr)	35	411	2	11.7	59
Luke Lachey	28	231	0	8.3	28
Kaleb Johnson	22	188	2	8.5	72
Reece Vander Zee	14	176	3	12.6	19

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Higgins	124	3	1	6	5
Nick Jackson	91	5	3	5	7
Quinn Schulte	62	0	0	0	3
Sebastian Castro	57	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Hurkett	56	12	7	2	0
Aaron Graves	33	8	6	2	3
Max Llewellyn	22	8	6	7	3
Deontae Craig	43	7	3	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nick Jackson	91	5	3	5	7
Jermari Harris	27	1	0	0	7
Jay Higgins	124	3	1	6	5