Iowa at Ohio State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Iowa logo Iowa Hawkeyes at Ohio State Buckeyes(#1)Ohio State logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -17 (46.0) (-1200)  Open: -24.0
Ohio State 35 - Iowa: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Hawkeyes (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (196 - 119)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (21 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
IOWA coming off BYE
Our Line: Ohio State -21   (SP+ OSU -15)

Projected Score: IOWA: 13 - OSU: 34 (47)
OSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
IOWA Travel: 460 miles, 1 hrs behind
Buckeyes (14 - 2) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (56 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 13 (39 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Iowa's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Iowa vs Illinois State-31.5
Sat 9/7 Iowa vs Iowa State-3.035.0L 19 - 20ON
Sat 9/14 Iowa vs Troy-23.539.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Iowa at Minnesota-3.034.5W 31 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Iowa at Ohio State+17.046.0L 7 - 35UN
Sat 10/12 Iowa vs Washington-2.541.5W 40 - 16OY
Sat 10/19 Iowa at Michigan State-7.039.5L 20 - 32ON
Sat 10/26 Iowa vs Northwestern-16.538.5W 40 - 14OY
Sat 11/2 Iowa vs Wisconsin-2.540.0W 42 - 10OY
Fri 11/8 Iowa at UCLA-6.544.5L 17 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Iowa at Maryland-4.040.5W 29 - 13OY
Fri 11/29 Iowa vs Nebraska-3.541.5W 13 - 10UN
Mon 12/30 Iowa vs Missouri+1.041.0L 24 - 27ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Ohio State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ohio State vs Akron-50.558.5W 52 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Ohio State vs Western Michigan-37.554.5W 56 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Ohio State vs Marshall-40.057.0W 49 - 14ON
Sat 9/28 Ohio State at Michigan State-23.548.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/5 Ohio State vs Iowa-17.046.0W 35 - 7UY
Sat 10/12 Ohio State at Oregon-3.554.5L 31 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Ohio State vs Nebraska-25.048.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 Ohio State at Penn State-3.047.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/9 Ohio State vs Purdue-37.555.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 11/16 Ohio State vs Northwestern-28.043.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 11/23 Ohio State vs Indiana-10.552.5W 38 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Ohio State vs Michigan-20.541.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 12/21 Ohio State vs Tennessee-7.547.0W 42 - 17OY
Wed 1/1 Ohio State vs Oregon-2.555.5W 41 - 21OY
Fri 1/10 Ohio State vs Texas-6.551.5W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/20 Ohio State vs Notre Dame-8.545.5W 34 - 23OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)27.744% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)17.846% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)35.748% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)12.939% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)44% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)46% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)48% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)39% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Offense1327.720.842.3%3.770.8153061851215.262%37%44%40%13%.14
OSU Defense1612.99.936.3%2.051.1 - - - - - 53%46%39%34%19%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Defense1317.822.842%3.371.8 - - - - - 46%54%46%39%17%.11
OSU Offense1635.738.751.8%4.60.817347137211549%50%48%56%12%.43

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa1327:0515.441%50%2.826.30.81.84.52.1233.6
Ohio State1624:2716.942%70%3.431.60.81.15.12.4228.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense1362% (7)44% (63)35.51855.229 (18).13 (71)2.92 (89)62% (120)10% (76)1.02 (47)
OSU Defense1653% (90)39% (26) - - - - .01 (15)2.9 (48)67% (33)13% (16)0.87 (20)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense1346% (17)46% (97) - - - - .07 (38)3.07 (84)84% (126)10% (68)0.68 (1)
OSU Offense1649% (77)48% (19)27.3136.8528 (25).31 (8)3.37 (15)76% (48)7% (7)1.11 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense1337% (129)40% (94)11.518.6121.56.510.69 (128)7 (26).21 (93)1.5 (93)26% (4)28% (99).2 (108)3% (7)2 (72)
OSU Defense1646% (35)34% (8) - - - - - - 9 (76).02 (2)1.5 (28)32% (74)30% (66).16 (13)6% (61)1.7 (6)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense1354% (118)39% (51) - - - - - - 16 (10).18 (39)1.5 (36)32% (76)28% (36).24 (39)7% (27)1.8 (7)
OSU Offense1650% (60)56% (1)16.723.4210.6912.631 (6)9 (48).58 (1)1.6 (70)27% (7)37% (12).55 (6)5% (42)2.1 (41)

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 10.13 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Iowa's Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Iowa's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Iowa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 10.13   Ohio State: 34.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 15.8   Ohio State: 31.2




Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 34.17 #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #2
Ohio State's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Iowa's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 34
Iowa 13


Total Points: 47

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 12.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Ohio State's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Ohio State35Iowa7Ohio StateOhio State -17Ohio State46.0Under
202210/22Ohio State54Iowa10Ohio StateOhio State -29.5Ohio State50.0Over
201711/04Iowa55Ohio State24IowaOhio State -21Iowa55.0Over
201310/19Ohio State34Iowa24Ohio StateOhio State -17Iowa0
201011/20Iowa17Ohio State20Ohio State
200911/14Ohio State27Iowa24Ohio State
200609/30Iowa17Ohio State38Ohio State
200509/24Ohio State31Iowa6Ohio State
200410/16Iowa33Ohio State7Iowa
200310/18Ohio State19Iowa10Ohio State
200010/20Iowa10Ohio State38Ohio State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio State922 Overs
Iowa221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 33 - 12 - 11 - 0
Road Teams3 - 81 - 30 - 11 - 2

(#31) Iowa Info
Power Rating: 10.13 #31
Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.37 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Iowa has won 2 straight
Iowa has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Iowa Notes
(11/23) Rgame mauled bad Terps. 3rd QB Stratton meh
(11/18) QB Sullivan out for season (ankle), Cade time?
(11/13) QB's awful, Rgame worse, Def bad vs UCLA
(11/2) Off humming, 2 straight W's. Killed Wisky
(10/30) QB McMamara out vs Wisky, Sullivan to start
(10/19) Def torched by Sparty. QB is a joke. Bad, bad loss
(10/12) Off Expl vs Wash, Rgame 220 (5.9 ypc), Def good
(10/6) Can't compete w/ elites, Pass game awful
(10/6) Def v good, Off awful outside of Kaleb Johnson
(9/8) McNamara awful vs ISU, RB/OL v good. Pass D bad

Iowa Highlights
Iowa has Really Good Running Game (#24)
Iowa defense does not give up big plays (#5)
Iowa defense is really good in red zone (#76)
Iowa Secondary is very good (#99)
Iowa has a great TO Margin (#28)
Iowa commits very few Penalties (#1)
Iowa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Iowa Deficiencies
Iowa offense is not Explosive (#130)
Iowa Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#1)
Iowa Does Not Stuff Runs (#53)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOSUIOWA
OverallOver#2#7
OffenseOff#5#30
DefenseDef#2#6
Special TeamsST#10#9
PassingPass#16#78
RushingRush#14#60
Run BlockRBLK#24#4
Pass BlockPBLK#82#15
Route RunningWR Rt#4#98
TacklingTkl#11#27
Run DefenseR Def#3#34
Pass Rush DefPRush#17#12
Coverage DefCov#7#6

Rematch from Week 6
Ohio State -17.0 (46.0)
Ohio State won vs Iowa this year (35-7)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Iowa last year (35-7)
Ohio State beat Iowa in 2022 (54-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IOWA | OSU
Depth Chart: IOWA | OSU
Rosters: IOWA | OSU
(#1) Ohio State Info
Power Rating: 34.17 #1
Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #2
Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Great Pass Success 56%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Ohio State has won 4 straight
Ohio State has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 8 - 1 (5 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Ohio State Notes
(12/1) Off awful, Rgame abysmal, Howard 2 Int in UM L
(12/1) 20 mil roster, still can't beat U. Coaching fail
(11/24) Mauled IU, D held to 153 yds. Off was OK
(11/19) Starting C McLaughlin out for season (ACL)
(11/18) Flat start vs NW, Howard OK, Rgame just OK
(11/3) OL was great considering injuries. Rgame beat PSU
(11/2) Def owned Penn St. Howard tough, Rgame alive
(10/26) Backup LT went down in Nebraska game
(10/22) Starting LT Simmons out for season
(10/12) Def torched by Oregon. Judkins/Downs vanished

Ohio State Highlights
Ohio State offense is efficent (#19)
Ohio State offense is explosive (#91)
Ohio State has a top Offensive Line (#69)
Ohio State offense is good in red zone (#18)
Ohio State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ohio State has a really good defense (#24)
Ohio State defense does not give up big plays (#9)
Ohio State defense is really good in red zone (#8)
Ohio State has a good run defense (#41)
Ohio State has a good pass defense (#25)
Ohio State Front 7 is disruptive (#48)
Ohio State has a great TO Margin (#54)
Ohio State commits very few Penalties (#16)

Ohio State Deficiencies


  
Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade McNamara10417261%1017655.9
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)385372%474338.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaleb Johnson2401537216.475
Kamari Moulton8447335.668
Jaziun Patterson6330924.939
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)4715143.230
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Gill (Tr)35411211.759
Luke Lachey2823108.328
Kaleb Johnson2218828.572
Reece Vander Zee14176312.619

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Higgins1243165
Nick Jackson915357
Quinn Schulte620003
Sebastian Castro573011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673
Deontae Craig437361
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Jackson915357
Jermari Harris271007
Jay Higgins1243165

Ohio State's OC Chip Kelly
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Howard (Tr)30942373%401035109.5
Devin Brown112055%114105.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinshon Judkins (Tr)1941060145.586
TreVeyon Henderson1441016107.166
Will Howard (Tr)10522672.219
James Peoples4919724.018
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith7613151517.370
Emeka Egbuka8110111012.568
Carnell Tate52733414.140
TreVeyon Henderson27284110.575

View Ohio State's Full Roster
Ohio State's DC Jim Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Simon11213707
Sonny Styles10011605
Caleb Downs (Tr)818116
Lathan Ransom759112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.T. Tuimoloau61221353
Jack Sawyer599986
Cody Simon11213707
Sonny Styles10011605
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davison Igbinosun452009
Jordan Hancock482118
Cody Simon11213707