Wisconsin at Iowa - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Iowa -2.5 (40.0) (-135) Open: -3.0
Iowa 42 - Wisconsin: 10 (Big Ten)

Badgers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (9 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IOWA 2nd straight Home Game
IOWA is playing their 5th straight game
WIS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Iowa -12 (SP+ IOWA -13)
Projected Score: WIS: 14 - IOWA: 26 (40)
IOWA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WIS Travel: 146 miles

Hawkeyes (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (196 - 119)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
IOWA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Wisconsin vs Western Michigan	-24.0	57.0	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/7	Wisconsin vs South Dakota	-17.5	44.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/14	Wisconsin vs Alabama	+15.5	51.0	L 10 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Wisconsin at USC	+14.0	50.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/5	Wisconsin vs Purdue	-12.0	44.5	W 52 - 6	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Wisconsin at Rutgers	+1.0	43.5	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	42.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Wisconsin vs Penn State	+6.5	47.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/2	Wisconsin at Iowa	+2.5	40.0	L 10 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Wisconsin vs Oregon	+13.5	49.5	L 13 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Wisconsin at Nebraska	+1.5	40.5	L 25 - 44	O	N
Fri 11/29	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	+1.5	40.5	L 7 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Iowa's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Iowa vs Illinois State	-31.5
Sat 9/7	Iowa vs Iowa State	-3.0	35.0	L 19 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/14	Iowa vs Troy	-23.5	39.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/21	Iowa at Minnesota	-3.0	34.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Iowa at Ohio State	+17.0	46.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/12	Iowa vs Washington	-2.5	41.5	W 40 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Iowa at Michigan State	-7.0	39.5	L 20 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/26	Iowa vs Northwestern	-16.5	38.5	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Iowa vs Wisconsin	-2.5	40.0	W 42 - 10	O	Y
Fri 11/8	Iowa at UCLA	-6.5	44.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Iowa at Maryland	-4.0	40.5	W 29 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Iowa vs Nebraska	-3.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Mon 12/30	Iowa vs Missouri	+1.0	41.0	L 24 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	#84 (.16)	44% (50)	12.8	50% (15)	3.52 (7)	151	38% (100)	191	4.02 (55)	#17 (.1)	40% (47)	21.6	40% (41)	42% (72)	2.98 (13)	44.2	1.2	1.2
IOWA	#133 (-.04)	33% (133)	29.3	33% (131)	2.47 (132)	109	34% (124)	114	2.86 (126)	#2 (-.01)	34% (5)	16.1	35% (11)	34% (6)	2.65 (4)	28	1.4	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	13	12.8	9	43.6%	4.02	1.2	18	342	151	191	4.7	47%	52%	50%	38%	15%	.16
IOWA Defense	14	16.1	13.7	34.2%	2.65	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	35%	34%	16%	-.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	13	21.6	26.2	40.4%	2.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	17%	.1
IOWA Offense	14	29.3	28.3	32.9%	2.86	1.4	12	223	109	114	3.4	56%	43%	33%	34%	19%	-.04

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	13	26:53	18.3	45%	28%	5.1	44.2	1.2	1.2	5.8	2.2	1	29.2
Iowa	14	26:29	12.1	31%	50%	3.3	28	1.4	1.1	4.9	1.9	2	31.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	13	47% (92)	50% (15)	32.3	151.3	4.7	21 (54)	.22 (31)	3.52 (7)	74% (67)	8% (26)	0.89 (116)
IOWA Defense	14	45% (17)	35% (11)	-	-	-	-	-.05 (5)	2.8 (21)	71% (53)	9% (88)	0.72 (1)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	13	51% (78)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	.09 (38)	3.06 (57)	64% (20)	11% (42)	0.96 (44)
IOWA Offense	14	56% (23)	33% (131)	32.1	108.7	3.4	11 (123)	-.08 (133)	2.47 (132)	66% (113)	12% (105)	0.82 (129)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	13	52% (41)	38% (100)	19.5	33	191.1	5.8	9.8	11 (117)	5 (6)	.13 (116)	1.4 (132)	30% (34)	34% (42)	.28 (85)	7% (106)	1.7 (132)
IOWA Defense	14	53% (113)	34% (6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.08 (5)	1.4 (8)	37% (8)	25% (13)	.12 (3)	7% (36)	1.7 (4)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	13	48% (51)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.19 (21)	1.4 (15)	32% (63)	28% (36)	.27 (43)	6% (61)	2 (51)
IOWA Offense	14	43% (113)	34% (124)	11.5	23.1	114.4	5	9.9	9 (126)	9 (40)	.08 (125)	1.4 (124)	34% (99)	21% (131)	.05 (133)	7% (112)	1.7 (128)

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 4.16 #45
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 19.90 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 9.97 #73
2024 Talent Rating: 440.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Wisconsin's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Wisconsin's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #60
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #22

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 4.16 Iowa: 15.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 3.0 Iowa: 15.8

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 15.465 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Iowa's Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
2024 Talent Rating: 438.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Iowa's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Iowa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Wisconsin's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 26
Wisconsin 14

Projected Total Points: 40

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Iowa's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Wisconsin	0	Iowa	37	Iowa -5.5	Iowa	37.5	Under
2024	11/02	Iowa	42	Wisconsin	10	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	40.0	Over
2023	10/14	Wisconsin	6	Iowa	15	Wisconsin -8.0	Iowa	33.5	Under
2022	11/12	Iowa	24	Wisconsin	10	Iowa -1.0	Iowa	35.5	Under
2021	10/30	Wisconsin	27	Iowa	7	Wisconsin -3	Wisconsin	35.5	Under
2020	12/12	Iowa	28	Wisconsin	7	Wisconsin -1	Iowa	39.0	Under
2019	11/09	Wisconsin	24	Iowa	22	Wisconsin -7.5	Iowa	36.5	Over
2018	09/22	Iowa	17	Wisconsin	28	Wisconsin -3	Wisconsin	43.5	Over
2017	11/11	Wisconsin	38	Iowa	14	Wisconsin -11.5	Wisconsin	45.0	Over
2016	10/22	Iowa	9	Wisconsin	17	Wisconsin -2.5	Wisconsin	43.0	Under
2015	10/03	Wisconsin	6	Iowa	10	Wisconsin -8	Iowa	46.0	Under
2014	11/22	Iowa	24	Wisconsin	26	Wisconsin -8.5	Iowa	0
2013	11/02	Iowa	9	Wisconsin	28	Wisconsin -7	Wisconsin	0
2010	10/23	Iowa	30	Wisconsin	31
2009	10/17	Wisconsin	10	Iowa	20
2008	10/18	Iowa	38	Wisconsin	16
2007	09/22	Wisconsin	17	Iowa	13
2006	11/11	Iowa	21	Wisconsin	24
2005	11/12	Wisconsin	10	Iowa	20
2004	11/20	Iowa	30	Wisconsin	7
2003	11/22	Wisconsin	21	Iowa	27
2002	11/02	Iowa	20	Wisconsin	3
2001	11/03	Wisconsin	34	Iowa	28
2000	10/27	Iowa	7	Wisconsin	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa	12	8	4 Overs
Wisconsin	12	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 13	6 - 7	4 - 3	2 - 4
Road Teams	13 - 11	7 - 6	4 - 2	3 - 4

(#45) WIS at (#31) IOWA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	IOWA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#45	#31
SP+SP+	#60	#16
Perf GradeGrade	#78	#9
OffenseOff	#72	#34
DefenseDef	#86	#8
Spec TeamsST	#15	#9
TalentTal	#23	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	#29	#44

Wisconsin Notes(12/16) Signed QB Billy Edwards (MD)
(12/6) Hired OC Jeff Grimes (Bay/KU)
(11/29) How does Fickell address the offense for '25
(11/29) 5 str L's to finish. Offense is untenable. Bad vibes
(11/29) 22 year bowl streak over, was CFB longest
(11/23) 4 str L's, Locke good, Def torched by Nebraska
(11/18) Fight w/ Oreg, Locke awful, Rgame bad, OC fired
(11/17) OC Longo fired after Oregon loss
(11/2) Locke is awful. Rgame avg at best. Longo Off bad
(10/27) Rgame awful vs PSU, Lock bad INT. < 300 yds
(10/22) Def stop rate is 75% (#10) into PSU/Iowa games
(10/19) Off enough, Def great vs NW. Locke meh
Wisconsin Injury Report

Iowa Notes(11/30) 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still beat Nebraska
(11/23) Rgame mauled bad Terps. 3rd QB Stratton meh
(11/18) QB Sullivan out for season (ankle), Cade time?
(11/13) QB's awful, Rgame worse, Def bad vs UCLA
(11/2) Off humming, 2 straight W's. Killed Wisky
(10/30) QB McMamara out vs Wisky, Sullivan to start
(10/19) Def torched by Sparty. QB is a joke. Bad, bad loss
(10/12) Off Expl vs Wash, Rgame 220 (5.9 ypc), Def good
(10/6) Can't compete w/ elites, Pass game awful
(10/6) Def v good, Off awful outside of Kaleb Johnson
(9/8) McNamara awful vs ISU, RB/OL v good. Pass D bad
(9/1) QB: McNamara over Sullivan (NW, mobile)
Iowa Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	IOWA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#8
SuccessSuc	#50	#5
ExplosiveExp	#131	#2
PPAPPA	#84	#2
PowerPwr	#67	#9
SP+SP+	#100	#5
Pts POPPO	#55	#4
HavocHav	#54	#64

Wisconsin Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#71	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	#15	#11
Run ExplRExp	#116	#1
PPAExp	#31	#5
Run BlockR Blk	#41	-
OL YdsOLY	#7	#21
Stuff RateStuff	#5	#89
TackleTak	-	#30

Wisconsin Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#6
Pass ExplPExl	#132	#8
PPAExp	#116	#5
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#6	#12
F7 HavocF7	#26	#88
DB HavocDB	#106	#36

Iowa on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	IOWA Off	WIS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#34	#86
SuccessSuc	#133	#47
ExplosiveExp	#133	#19
PPAPPA	#133	#17
PowerPwr	#88	#73
SP+SP+	#69	#22
Pts POPPO	#126	#13
HavocHav	#113	#44

Iowa Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	IOWA Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#82	#123
Run SuccessRSuc	#131	#41
Run ExplRExp	#129	#44
PPAExp	#133	#38
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	#132	#57
Stuff RateStuff	#119	#54
TackleTak	-	#13

Iowa Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	IOWA Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#98	#41
Pass SuccessPSuc	#124	#72
Pass ExplPExl	#124	#15
PPAExp	#125	#21
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#15	#66
F7 HavocF7	#105	#42
DB HavocDB	#112	#61

Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Iowa -2.5 (40.0)
Iowa won vs Wisconsin this year (42-10)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Wisconsin last year (37-0)
Iowa beat Wisconsin in 2024 (42-10)
Iowa beat Wisconsin in 2023 (15-6)

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braedyn Locke	164	296	55%	1936	13	10	6.5
Tyler Van Dyke (Tr)	43	68	63%	422	1	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)	190	864	10	4.5	55
Darrion Dupree	79	317	1	4.0	32
Cade Yacamelli	33	274	2	8.3	45
Chez Mellusi	56	232	3	4.1	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Vinny Anthony	39	672	4	17.2	63
Will Pauling	42	407	3	9.7	28
Trech Kekahuna	25	339	2	13.6	69
CJ Williams	16	248	2	15.5	50

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	71	1	0	0	6
Christian Alliegro	66	5	3	0	1
Preston Zachman	58	3	0	0	4
Jake Chaney	55	4	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Hills (Tr)	26	6	3	2	1
Christian Alliegro	66	5	3	0	1
John Pius (Tr)	21	4	3	3	0
Sebastian Cheeks (Tr)	12	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	71	1	0	6
Ben Barten	22	0	1	5
Nyzier Fourqurean	51	2	1	5

IOWA's OC Tim Lester (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade McNamara	104	172	61%	1017	6	5	5.9
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)	38	53	72%	474	3	3	8.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaleb Johnson	240	1537	21	6.4	75
Kamari Moulton	84	473	3	5.6	68
Jaziun Patterson	63	309	2	4.9	39
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)	47	151	4	3.2	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Gill (Tr)	35	411	2	11.7	59
Luke Lachey	28	231	0	8.3	28
Kaleb Johnson	22	188	2	8.5	72
Reece Vander Zee	14	176	3	12.6	19

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Higgins	124	3	1	6	5
Nick Jackson	91	5	3	5	7
Quinn Schulte	62	0	0	0	3
Sebastian Castro	57	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Hurkett	56	12	7	2	0
Aaron Graves	33	8	6	2	3
Max Llewellyn	22	8	6	7	3
Deontae Craig	43	7	3	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nick Jackson	91	5	3	5	7
Jermari Harris	27	1	0	0	7
Jay Higgins	124	3	1	6	5