Wisconsin at Iowa - 2024 Matchup Preview
Wisconsin logo Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa HawkeyesIowa logo
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Iowa -2.5 (40.0) (-135)  Open: -3.0
Iowa 42 - Wisconsin: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (25 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
IOWA 2nd straight Home Game
IOWA is playing their 5th straight game
WIS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Iowa -12   (SP+ IOWA -13)

Projected Score: WIS: 16 - IOWA: 28 (45)
IOWA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WIS Travel: 146 miles
Hawkeyes (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (196 - 119)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (33 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Wisconsin's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Wisconsin vs Western Michigan-24.057.0W 28 - 14UN
Sat 9/7 Wisconsin vs South Dakota-17.544.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/14 Wisconsin vs Alabama+15.551.0L 10 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Wisconsin at USC+14.050.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/5 Wisconsin vs Purdue-12.044.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 10/12 Wisconsin at Rutgers+1.043.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/19 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.542.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/26 Wisconsin vs Penn State+6.547.0L 13 - 28UN
Sat 11/2 Wisconsin at Iowa+2.540.0L 10 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Wisconsin vs Oregon+13.549.5L 13 - 16UY
Sat 11/23 Wisconsin at Nebraska+1.540.5L 25 - 44ON
Fri 11/29 Wisconsin vs Minnesota+1.540.5L 7 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Iowa's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Iowa vs Illinois State-31.5
Sat 9/7 Iowa vs Iowa State-3.035.0L 19 - 20ON
Sat 9/14 Iowa vs Troy-23.539.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Iowa at Minnesota-3.034.5W 31 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Iowa at Ohio State+17.046.0L 7 - 35UN
Sat 10/12 Iowa vs Washington-2.541.5W 40 - 16OY
Sat 10/19 Iowa at Michigan State-7.039.5L 20 - 32ON
Sat 10/26 Iowa vs Northwestern-16.538.5W 40 - 14OY
Sat 11/2 Iowa vs Wisconsin-2.540.0W 42 - 10OY
Fri 11/8 Iowa at UCLA-6.544.5L 17 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Iowa at Maryland-4.040.5W 29 - 13OY
Fri 11/29 Iowa vs Nebraska-3.541.5W 13 - 10UN
Mon 12/30 Iowa vs Missouri+1.041.0L 24 - 27ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS#84 (.16)44% (50)22.650% (15)3.52 (7)15138% (100)1914.02 (55)#17 (.1)40% (47)23.140% (41)42% (72)2.98 (13)44.21.21.2
IOWA#133 (-.04)33% (133)27.733% (131)2.47 (132)10934% (124)1142.86 (126)#2 (-.01)34% (5)17.835% (11)34% (6)2.65 (4)281.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense1322.624.543.6%4.021.2183421511914.747%52%50%38%15%.16
IOWA Defense1417.81334.2%2.651.1 - - - - - 45%53%35%34%16%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense1323.132.840.4%2.981.2 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%17%.1
IOWA Offense1427.733.132.9%2.861.4122231091143.456%43%33%34%19%-.04

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin1326:5318.345%28%5.144.21.21.25.82.2129.2
Iowa1426:2912.131%50%3.3281.41.14.91.9231.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense1347% (92)50% (15)32.3151.34.721 (54).22 (31)3.52 (7)74% (67)8% (26)0.89 (116)
IOWA Defense1445% (17)35% (11) - - - - -.05 (5)2.8 (21)71% (53)9% (88)0.72 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense1351% (78)40% (41) - - - - .09 (38)3.06 (57)64% (20)11% (42)0.96 (44)
IOWA Offense1456% (23)33% (131)32.1108.73.411 (123)-.08 (133)2.47 (132)66% (113)12% (105)0.82 (129)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense1352% (41)38% (100)19.533191.15.89.811 (117)5 (6).13 (116)1.4 (132)30% (34)34% (42).28 (85)7% (106)1.7 (132)
IOWA Defense1453% (113)34% (6) - - - - - - 10 (67).08 (5)1.4 (8)37% (8)25% (13).12 (3)7% (36)1.7 (4)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense1348% (51)42% (72) - - - - - - 12 (37).19 (21)1.4 (15)32% (63)28% (36).27 (43)6% (61)2 (51)
IOWA Offense1443% (113)34% (124)11.523.1114.459.99 (126)9 (40).08 (125)1.4 (124)34% (99)21% (131).05 (133)7% (112)1.7 (128)

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 4.16 #45
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 19.90 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 9.97 #73
2024 Talent Rating: 842.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Wisconsin's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Wisconsin's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #60
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #22

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 4.16   Iowa: 15.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 3.0   Iowa: 15.8




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 15.465 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Iowa's Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
2024 Talent Rating: 852.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Iowa's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Iowa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Wisconsin's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 28
Wisconsin 16


Projected Total Points: 45
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Iowa's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Iowa42Wisconsin10IowaIowa -2.5Iowa40.0Over
202310/14Wisconsin6Iowa15IowaWisconsin -8.0Iowa33.5Under
202211/12Iowa24Wisconsin10IowaIowa -1.0Iowa35.5Under
202110/30Wisconsin27Iowa7WisconsinWisconsin -3Wisconsin35.5Under
202012/12Iowa28Wisconsin7IowaWisconsin -1Iowa39.0Under
201911/09Wisconsin24Iowa22WisconsinWisconsin -7.5Iowa36.5Over
201809/22Iowa17Wisconsin28WisconsinWisconsin -3Wisconsin43.5Over
201711/11Wisconsin38Iowa14WisconsinWisconsin -11.5Wisconsin45.0Over
201610/22Iowa9Wisconsin17WisconsinWisconsin -2.5Wisconsin43.0Under
201510/03Wisconsin6Iowa10IowaWisconsin -8Iowa46.0Under
201411/22Iowa24Wisconsin26WisconsinWisconsin -8.5Iowa0
201311/02Iowa9Wisconsin28WisconsinWisconsin -7Wisconsin0
201010/23Iowa30Wisconsin31Wisconsin
200910/17Wisconsin10Iowa20Iowa
200810/18Iowa38Wisconsin16Iowa
200709/22Wisconsin17Iowa13Wisconsin
200611/11Iowa21Wisconsin24Wisconsin
200511/12Wisconsin10Iowa20Iowa
200411/20Iowa30Wisconsin7Iowa
200311/22Wisconsin21Iowa27Iowa
200211/02Iowa20Wisconsin3Iowa
200111/03Wisconsin34Iowa28Wisconsin
200010/27Iowa7Wisconsin13Wisconsin
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa1174 Overs
Wisconsin1256 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 126 - 64 - 32 - 3
Road Teams12 - 116 - 63 - 23 - 4

(#45) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.16 #45
Offense Rating: 19.90 #67
Defense Rating: 9.97 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #22
Talent Rating: 842.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wisconsin Notes
(12/6) Hired OC Jeff Grimes (Bay/KU)
(11/29) How does Fickell address the offense for '25
(11/29) 5 str L's to finish. Offense is untenable. Bad vibes
(11/29) 22 year bowl streak over, was CFB longest
(11/23) 4 str L's, Locke good, Def torched by Nebraska
(11/18) Fight w/ Oreg, Locke awful, Rgame bad, OC fired
(11/17) OC Longo fired after Oregon loss
(11/2) Locke is awful. Rgame avg at best. Longo Off bad
(10/27) Rgame awful vs PSU, Lock bad INT. < 300 yds
(10/22) Def stop rate is 75% (#10) into PSU/Iowa games
Wisconsin     Ratings Matchup     Iowa
Power #45
#31
Off #67
#88
Def #73
#9
Talent #24
#20
SP+ #60
#16
SP+ Off #100
#69
SP+ Def #22
#5

Rematch from Week 10
Iowa -2.5 (40.0)
Iowa won vs Wisconsin this year (42-10)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Wisconsin last year (42-10)
Iowa beat Wisconsin in 2023 (15-6)
Iowa beat Wisconsin in 2022 (24-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 56° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WIS | IOWA
Depth Chart: WIS | IOWA
Rosters: WIS | IOWA
(#31) Iowa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.465 #31
Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5
Talent Rating: 852.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.37 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Iowa Notes
(11/23) Rgame mauled bad Terps. 3rd QB Stratton meh
(11/18) QB Sullivan out for season (ankle), Cade time?
(11/13) QB's awful, Rgame worse, Def bad vs UCLA
(11/2) Off humming, 2 straight W's. Killed Wisky
(10/30) QB McMamara out vs Wisky, Sullivan to start
(10/19) Def torched by Sparty. QB is a joke. Bad, bad loss
(10/12) Off Expl vs Wash, Rgame 220 (5.9 ypc), Def good
(10/6) Can't compete w/ elites, Pass game awful
(10/6) Def v good, Off awful outside of Kaleb Johnson
(9/8) McNamara awful vs ISU, RB/OL v good. Pass D bad


  
Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braedyn Locke16429655%193613106.5
Tyler Van Dyke (Tr)436863%422106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)190864104.555
Darrion Dupree7931714.032
Cade Yacamelli3327428.345
Dilin Jones168805.547
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mark Hamper43869520.274
Vinny Anthony39672417.263
Will Pauling4240739.728
Trech Kekahuna25339213.669

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Mike Tressel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro665301
Preston Zachman583004
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)532100
Austin Brown512103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro665301
Elijah Hills (Tr)266321
John Pius (Tr)214330
Sebastian Cheeks (Tr)122200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Barten220015
Preston Zachman583004
Ricardo Hallman160004

Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade McNamara10417261%1017655.9
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)385372%474338.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton8447335.668
Jaziun Patterson6330924.939
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)4715143.230
Max White63505.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Gill (Tr)35411211.759
Reece Vander Zee14176312.619
Zach Ortwerth11133012.152
Addison Ostrenga1511417.629

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Deshaun Lee421004
Xavier Nwankpa410001
Aaron Graves338623
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673
Brian Allen175321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Lee421004
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673