Hawai'i at Wyoming - 2023 Matchup Preview

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Wyoming Cowboys

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Wyoming -13.5 (45.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Wyoming 42 - Hawai'i: 9 (Mountain West)

Rainbow Warriors (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (4 - 13)
Avg Score : 21 - 32 (19 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 8.6 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 14.9 MPH
WYO is playing their 4th straight game
HAW is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Wyoming -15 (SP+ WYO -13)
Projected Score: HAW: 16 - WYO: 31 (47)
WYO Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
HAW Travel: 3322 miles, 3 hrs behind

Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (30 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HAW Players
WYO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Hawai'i's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Hawai'i at Vanderbilt	+17.0	54.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Fri 9/1	Hawai'i vs Stanford	+2.0	54.0	L 24 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/9	Hawai'i vs UAlbany	-10.5	58.5	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Hawai'i at Oregon	+38.5	67.5	L 10 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/23	Hawai'i vs New Mexico State	-4.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/30	Hawai'i at UNLV	+10.5	58.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Hawai'i vs San Diego State	+6.0	51.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	Hawai'i at New Mexico	-1.5	60.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/28	Hawai'i vs San José State	+10.5	57.0	L 0 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Hawai'i at Nevada	+3.5	50.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Hawai'i vs Air Force	+22.5	47.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Hawai'i at Wyoming	+13.5	45.5	L 9 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Hawai'i vs Colorado State	+6.0	54.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule

Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wyoming vs Texas Tech	+13.0	50.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Wyoming vs Portland State	-28.0	51.0	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wyoming at Texas	+31.0	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Wyoming vs App State	-3.0	45.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/30	Wyoming vs New Mexico	-14.5	40.5	W 35 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/7	Wyoming vs Fresno State	+5.5	43.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wyoming at Air Force	+12.5	42.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Wyoming at Boise State	+4.5	48.5	L 7 - 32	U	N
Fri 11/3	Wyoming vs Colorado State	-6.0	41.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/10	Wyoming at UNLV	+2.5	48.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wyoming vs Hawai'i	-13.5	45.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Wyoming at Nevada	-11.0	42.0	W 42 - 6	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Wyoming vs Toledo	-4.5	43.5	W 16 - 15	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW	#94 (.14)	41% (82)	21.4	40% (98)	2.79 (119)	76	42% (64)	276	3.22 (111)	#102 (.24)	43% (84)	32.2	44% (77)	43% (88)	4.14 (101)	56.4	1.8	1.1
WYO	#71 (.19)	43% (56)	25.3	44% (60)	3.25 (41)	158	43% (59)	169	3.97 (60)	#76 (.19)	43% (77)	22.3	42% (58)	44% (104)	3.44 (40)	33.4	0.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW	#82 (.17)	44% (52)		46% (45)	3.29 (26)	99	44% (50)	268	3.81 (81)	#81 (.19)	42% (71)		45% (85)	40% (58)	4.15 (103)	70.3	1.6	0.9
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)		39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)		43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Offense	13	21.4	19.2	41%	3.22	1.8	19	352	76	276	3.1	34%	65%	40%	42%	18%	.14
WYO Defense	13	22.3	19.7	42.6%	3.44	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	42%	44%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Defense	13	32.2	38.7	43.2%	4.14	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	44%	43%	16%	.24
WYO Offense	13	25.3	30.4	43.1%	3.97	0.8	19	327	158	169	4.4	56%	44%	44%	43%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Hawai'i	13	29:39	19.3	37%	52%	6.2	56.4	1.8	1.1	5.2	1.7	0	29.1
Wyoming	13	30:15	18.6	37%	67%	3.9	33.4	0.8	1.7	3.8	1.5	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Offense	13	34% (133)	40% (98)	24.9	76.1	3.1	6 (133)	.09 (103)	2.79 (119)	62% (126)	11% (90)	1 (67)
WYO Defense	13	48% (47)	42% (58)	-	-	-	-	.13 (64)	3.17 (86)	71% (55)	7% (130)	0.94 (38)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Defense	13	57% (127)	44% (77)	-	-	-	-	.17 (87)	3.16 (83)	75% (82)	10% (66)	1.06 (94)
WYO Offense	13	56% (28)	44% (60)	36	158.5	4.4	19 (69)	.17 (53)	3.25 (41)	82% (11)	9% (53)	1 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Offense	13	65% (2)	42% (64)	25.9	41.3	276.4	6.7	10.7	27 (25)	15 (116)	.2 (94)	1.5 (104)	34% (96)	32% (62)	.33 (69)	7% (100)	2 (84)
WYO Defense	13	51% (87)	44% (104)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (79)	1.5 (25)	32% (74)	31% (81)	.33 (77)	6% (59)	2 (64)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Defense	13	43% (7)	43% (88)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.38 (114)	1.7 (110)	31% (89)	31% (80)	.4 (107)	6% (58)	2.1 (84)
WYO Offense	13	44% (106)	43% (59)	14.5	23.4	168.5	7.2	11.6	20 (70)	6 (14)	.23 (86)	1.5 (101)	29% (23)	32% (61)	.3 (80)	5% (20)	2 (85)

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -12.94 #127
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Hawai'i's 2023 Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60
Hawai'i's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -12.94 Wyoming: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -16.7 Wyoming: -3.8

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: 0.215 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.7

Hawai'i's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Wyoming 31
Hawai'i 16

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Wyoming 24
Hawai'i 22

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Wyoming 32
Hawai'i 21

Total Points: 53

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Hawai'i	27	Wyoming	7	Hawai'i -8.5	Hawai'i	45.0	Under
2023	11/18	Wyoming	42	Hawai'i	9	Wyoming -13.5	Wyoming	45.5	Over
2022	10/29	Hawai'i	20	Wyoming	27	Wyoming -11.5	Hawai'i	50.5	Under
2021	11/27	Wyoming	14	Hawai'i	38	Wyoming -13	Hawai'i	48.5	Over
2020	10/30	Wyoming	31	Hawai'i	7	Hawai'i -2.5	Wyoming	60.0	Under
2018	10/06	Hawai'i	17	Wyoming	13	Hawai'i -1	Hawai'i	55.0	Under
2017	09/23	Wyoming	28	Hawai'i	21	Wyoming -5.5	Wyoming	54.5	Under
2014	10/12	Hawai'i	38	Wyoming	28	Hawai'i -5	Hawai'i	47.0	Over
2013	11/23	Wyoming	59	Hawai'i	56	Wyoming -6.5	Hawai'i	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wyoming	5	3	3 Overs
Hawai'i	4	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 2	7 - 2	5 - 2	2 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 7	2 - 7	0 - 2	2 - 5

(#127) HAW at (#68) WYO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HAW	WYO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#127	#68
SP+SP+	#123	#78
Perf GradeGrade	#110	#29
OffenseOff	#76	#40
DefenseDef	#121	#24
Spec TeamsST	#118	#38
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#69

Hawai'i Injury Report

Wyoming Injury Report

Hawai'i on Offense


CategoryCat	HAW Off	WYO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#24
SuccessSuc	#82	#77
ExplosiveExp	#45	#29
PPAPPA	#94	#76
PowerPwr	#103	#63
SP+SP+	#111	#65
Pts POPPO	#111	#40
HavocHav	#99	#118

Hawai'i Run Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#108	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	#98	#58
Run ExplRExp	#67	#38
PPAExp	#103	#64
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	#119	#86
Stuff RateStuff	#121	#100
TackleTak	-	#62

Hawai'i Pass Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#37	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	#64	#104
Pass ExplPExl	#104	#25
PPAExp	#94	#79
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#30	#64
F7 HavocF7	#90	#130
DB HavocDB	#100	#59

Wyoming on Offense


CategoryCat	WYO Off	HAW Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#40	#121
SuccessSuc	#56	#84
ExplosiveExp	#103	#97
PPAPPA	#71	#102
PowerPwr	#57	#118
SP+SP+	#81	#121
Pts POPPO	#60	#101
HavocHav	#30	#63

Wyoming Run Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	HAW Def
Run GameRun	#80	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	#60	#77
Run ExplRExp	#66	#94
PPAExp	#53	#87
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#83
Stuff RateStuff	#42	#60
TackleTak	-	#127

Wyoming Pass Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	HAW Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	#59	#88
Pass ExplPExl	#101	#110
PPAExp	#86	#114
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#99	#109
F7 HavocF7	#53	#66
DB HavocDB	#20	#58

Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 54° - Wind: 15 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Wyoming -13.5 (45.5)
Wyoming won vs Hawai'i this year (42-9)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Hawai'i in 2023 (42-9)
Wyoming beat Hawai'i in 2022 (27-20)

HAW's OC Roman Sapolu (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Schager	332	525	63%	3542	26	14	6.7
Jake Farrell	3	8	38%	14	0	1	1.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Landon Sims	63	255	1	4.0	22
Jordan Johnson	34	198	0	5.8	28
David Cordero	32	138	0	4.3	36
Tylan Hines	27	93	0	3.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Steven McBride (Tr)	63	1024	9	16.3	65
Pofele Ashlock	83	832	9	10.0	53
Koali Nishigaya	39	322	1	8.3	29
Alex Perry	24	277	3	11.5	38

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Jacob Yoro (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Peter Manuma	88	6	0	0	1
Isaiah Tufaga	79	6	3	1	0
Jalen Smith	65	9	2	1	1
Meki Pei	43	3	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ezra Evaimalo	23	6	4	1	1
Elijah Robinson (Tr)	24	3	3	0	1
Andrew Choi	36	8	3	0	0
Isaiah Tufaga	79	6	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Virdel Edwards	37	1	9
Jojo Forest	12	1	8
Caleb Brown	17	1	7

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Andrew Peasley	166	266	62%	1991	20	5	7.5
Evan Svoboda	23	38	61%	200	0	1	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harrison Waylee (Tr)	164	947	5	5.8	75
Andrew Peasley	110	419	7	3.8	43
Sam Scott	51	241	2	4.7	19
Jamari Ferrell	50	184	1	3.7	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Wyatt Wieland	44	480	5	10.9	40
Ayir Asante (Tr)	21	372	6	17.7	66
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	23	360	3	15.7	89
Treyton Welch	31	308	2	9.9	32

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Easton Gibbs	101	4	2	3	5
Shae Suiaunoa	89	5	2	2	2
Wyett Ekeler	70	4	2	0	6
Isaac White	54	2	1	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DeVonne Harris	31	4	4	8	4
Braden Siders	24	5	4	3	2
Sabastian Harsh	47	9	3	1	1
Easton Gibbs	101	4	2	3	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jakorey Hawkins	39	1	0	8
Wyett Ekeler	70	4	2	6
Isaac White	54	2	1	6