Hawai'i at Wyoming - 2023 Matchup Preview
Hawai

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Wyoming Cowboys

Wyoming logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Wyoming -13.5 (45.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Wyoming 42 - Hawai'i: 9  (Mountain West)

 
Rainbow Warriors (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (4 - 13)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (26 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 8.6 (#112)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WYO is playing their 4th straight game
HAW is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Wyoming -15  (SP+ WYO -13)

Projected Score: HAW: 16 - WYO: 31 (47)
WYO Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
HAW Travel: 3322 miles, 4 hrs behind
Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Hawai'i's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Hawai'i at Vanderbilt+17.054.5L 28 - 35OY
Fri 9/1 Hawai'i vs Stanford+2.054.0L 24 - 37ON
Sat 9/9 Hawai'i vs UAlbany-10.558.5W 31 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Hawai'i at Oregon+38.567.5L 10 - 55UN
Sat 9/23 Hawai'i vs New Mexico State-4.054.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 9/30 Hawai'i at UNLV+10.558.5L 20 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Hawai'i vs San Diego State+6.051.5L 34 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 Hawai'i at New Mexico-1.560.0L 21 - 42ON
Sat 10/28 Hawai'i vs San José State+10.557.0L 0 - 35UN
Sat 11/4 Hawai'i at Nevada+3.550.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 11/11 Hawai'i vs Air Force+22.547.5W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/18 Hawai'i at Wyoming+13.545.5L 9 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Hawai'i vs Colorado State+6.054.0W 27 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wyoming vs Texas Tech+13.050.5W 35 - 33OY
Sat 9/9 Wyoming vs Portland State-28.051.0W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Wyoming at Texas+31.048.5L 10 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Wyoming vs App State-3.045.0W 22 - 19UN
Sat 9/30 Wyoming vs New Mexico-14.540.5W 35 - 26ON
Sat 10/7 Wyoming vs Fresno State+5.543.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 10/14 Wyoming at Air Force+12.542.0L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Wyoming at Boise State+4.548.5L 7 - 32UN
Fri 11/3 Wyoming vs Colorado State-6.041.0W 24 - 15UY
Fri 11/10 Wyoming at UNLV+2.548.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/18 Wyoming vs Hawai'i-13.545.5W 42 - 9OY
Sat 11/25 Wyoming at Nevada-11.042.0W 42 - 6OY
Sat 12/30 Wyoming vs Toledo-4.543.5W 16 - 15UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW.0840%2949%3.413734%2063.03.2846%24.148%45%4.2450.21.50.9
WYO.1241%1646%3.2618135%1323.65.1741%20.546%37%3.937.51.21.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WYO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Offense132925.839.8%3.031.5193431372064.443%56%49%34%16%.08
WYO Defense1320.518.341.1%3.91.4 - - - - - 47%52%46%37%14%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Defense1324.135.446%4.240.9 - - - - - 53%46%48%45%12%.28
WYO Offense131620.740.7%3.651.2163141811324.959%40%46%35%15%.12

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Hawai'i1328:1618.835%53%5.650.21.50.94.21.4128.1
Wyoming1329:061635%29%4.337.51.21.45.12.8228.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Offense1343%49%31.2137.24.416.143.478%9%0.91
WYO Defense1347%46% - - - - .173.3881%9%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Defense1353%48% - - - - .233.5173%7%0.96
WYO Offense1359%46%36.8181.44.916.223.2665%8%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Offense1356%34%20.137.7205.55.510.21312.061.532%22%.047%2.1
WYO Defense1352%37% - - - - - - 6.191.635%30%.335%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Defense1346%45% - - - - - - 10.41.630%39%.445%1.7
WYO Offense1340%35%1223.4132.25.7111112.051.429%25%.167%1.7

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -12.94  #127
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 12.57  #103
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 14.83  #118
2023 Talent Rating: 407.77  #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Hawai'i's 2023 Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60
Hawai'i's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7  #123
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1  #111
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7  #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -12.94   Wyoming: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -16.7   Wyoming: -3.8




Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: 0.215  #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46  #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21  #63
2023 Talent Rating: 338.50  #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8  #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Hawai'i's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Wyoming 31
Hawai'i 16


Projected Total Points: 47
Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Hawai'i27Wyoming7Hawai'i -8.5Hawai'i45.0Under
202311/18Wyoming42Hawai'i9Wyoming -13.5Wyoming45.5Over
202210/29Hawai'i20Wyoming27Wyoming -11.5Hawai'i50.5Under
202111/27Wyoming14Hawai'i38Wyoming -13Hawai'i48.5Over
202010/30Wyoming31Hawai'i7Hawai'i -2.5Wyoming60.0Under
201810/06Hawai'i17Wyoming13Hawai'i -1Hawai'i55.0Under
201709/23Wyoming28Hawai'i21Wyoming -5.5Wyoming54.5Under
201410/12Hawai'i38Wyoming28Hawai'i -5Hawai'i47.0Over
201311/23Wyoming59Hawai'i56Wyoming -6.5Hawai'i0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wyoming533 Overs
Hawai'i465 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 27 - 25 - 22 - 0
Road Teams2 - 72 - 70 - 22 - 5

(#127) HAW at (#68) WYO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHAWWYO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #127 #68
SP+SP+ #123 #78
Perf GradeGrade #110 #29
OffenseOff #76 #40
DefenseDef #121 #24
Spec TeamsST #118 #38
TalentTal #110 #124
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #69
Hawai'i on Offense
CategoryCat
HAW OffWYO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #76 #24
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #103 #63
SP+SP+ #111 #65
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Hawai'i Run Game
CategoryCat
HAW OffWYO Def
Run GameRun #108 #26
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #62
Hawai'i Pass Game
CategoryCat
HAW OffWYO Def
Pass GamePass #37 #57
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #30 #64
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Wyoming on Offense
CategoryCatWYO OffHAW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #40 #121
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #57 #118
SP+SP+ #81 #121
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wyoming Run Game
CategoryCat
WYO OffHAW Def
Run GameRun #80 #83
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #127
Wyoming Pass Game
CategoryCatWYO OffHAW Def
Pass GamePass #50 #122
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #99 #109
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Wyoming -13.5 (45.5)
Wyoming won vs Hawai'i this year (42-9)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat Wyoming last year (27-7)
Wyoming beat Hawai'i in 2023 (42-9)

  
HAW's OC Roman Sapolu (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Schager33252563%354226146.7
Jake Farrell3838%14011.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims6325514.022
Jordan Johnson3419805.828
David Cordero3213804.336
Tylan Hines279303.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Steven McBride (Tr)631024916.365
Pofele Ashlock83832910.053
Koali Nishigaya3932218.329
Alex Perry24277311.538

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Jacob Yoro (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peter Manuma886001
Isaiah Tufaga796310
Jalen Smith659211
Meki Pei433111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezra Evaimalo236411
Elijah Robinson (Tr)243301
Andrew Choi368300
Isaiah Tufaga796310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Virdel Edwards371009
Jojo Forest121008
Caleb Brown171007

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Andrew Peasley16626662%19912057.5
Evan Svoboda233861%200015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Waylee (Tr)16494755.875
Andrew Peasley11041973.843
Sam Scott5124124.719
Jamari Ferrell5018413.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Wieland44480510.940
Ayir Asante (Tr)21372617.766
Johnmichael Gyllenborg23360315.789
Treyton Welch3130829.932

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Gibbs1014235
Shae Suiaunoa895222
Wyett Ekeler704206
Isaac White542106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeVonne Harris314484
Braden Siders245432
Sabastian Harsh479311
Easton Gibbs1014235
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakorey Hawkins391008
Wyett Ekeler704206
Isaac White542106