Colorado State at Wyoming - 2023 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 3rd 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Wyoming -6 (41.0) (-225) Open: -7.5 | 43.5
Wyoming 24 - Colorado State: 15 (Mountain West)

Rams (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (3 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (25 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 15 MPH
CSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Wyoming -6.5 (SP+ WYO -5)
Projected Score: CSU: 20 - WYO: 27 (47)
WYO Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
CSU Travel: 57 miles

Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (30 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CSU Players
WYO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado State vs Washington State	+9.5	54.0	L 24 - 50	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16	Colorado State at Colorado	+23.0	63.0	L 35 - 43	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Colorado State at Middle Tennessee	+3.5	50.0	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Colorado State vs Utah Tech	-19
Sat 10/7	Colorado State at Utah State	-3.0	62.0	L 24 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/14	Colorado State vs Boise State	+7.5	60.0	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Colorado State at UNLV	+6.5	60.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Colorado State vs Air Force	+14.5	47.0	L 13 - 30	U	N
Fri 11/3	Colorado State at Wyoming	+6.0	41.0	L 15 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	Colorado State vs San Diego State	-3.5	46.5	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/18	Colorado State vs Nevada	-12.5	45.5	W 30 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado State at Hawai'i	-6.0	54.0	L 24 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wyoming vs Texas Tech	+13.0	50.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Wyoming vs Portland State	-28.0	51.0	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wyoming at Texas	+31.0	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Wyoming vs App State	-3.0	45.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/30	Wyoming vs New Mexico	-14.5	40.5	W 35 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/7	Wyoming vs Fresno State	+5.5	43.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wyoming at Air Force	+12.5	42.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Wyoming at Boise State	+4.5	48.5	L 7 - 32	U	N
Fri 11/3	Wyoming vs Colorado State	-6.0	41.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/10	Wyoming at UNLV	+2.5	48.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wyoming vs Hawai'i	-13.5	45.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Wyoming at Nevada	-11.0	42.0	W 42 - 6	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Wyoming vs Toledo	-4.5	43.5	W 16 - 15	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	#81 (.17)	42% (74)	26.1	39% (118)	2.7 (124)	93	45% (38)	307	3.66 (86)	#65 (.18)	43% (80)	29.6	42% (61)	44% (107)	3.4 (31)	69.8	2.1	1.6
WYO	#71 (.19)	43% (56)	25.3	44% (60)	3.25 (41)	158	43% (59)	169	3.97 (60)	#76 (.19)	43% (77)	22.3	42% (58)	44% (104)	3.44 (40)	33.4	0.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)		43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)		42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)		39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)		43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Offense	12	26.1	25.3	41.6%	3.66	2.1	21	399	93	307	3.4	39%	59%	39%	45%	16%	.17
WYO Defense	13	22.3	19.7	42.6%	3.44	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	42%	44%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Defense	12	29.6	31	42.9%	3.4	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	42%	44%	16%	.18
WYO Offense	13	25.3	30.4	43.1%	3.97	0.8	19	327	158	169	4.4	56%	44%	44%	43%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado State	12	26:34	20.6	41%	42%	7.6	69.8	2.1	1.6	7.2	2.8	2	26.1
Wyoming	13	30:15	18.6	37%	67%	3.9	33.4	0.8	1.7	3.8	1.5	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Offense	12	39% (126)	39% (118)	27.7	92.8	3.4	10 (124)	-.02 (130)	2.7 (124)	69% (102)	7% (15)	0.72 (133)
WYO Defense	13	48% (47)	42% (58)	-	-	-	-	.13 (64)	3.17 (86)	71% (55)	7% (130)	0.94 (38)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Defense	12	52% (102)	42% (61)	-	-	-	-	.11 (47)	3.05 (55)	75% (82)	12% (24)	1.04 (90)
WYO Offense	13	56% (28)	44% (60)	36	158.5	4.4	19 (69)	.17 (53)	3.25 (41)	82% (11)	9% (53)	1 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Offense	12	59% (9)	45% (38)	25.9	41.8	306.5	7.3	11.8	24 (41)	18 (128)	.35 (43)	1.5 (100)	33% (86)	29% (81)	.31 (74)	8% (124)	2 (105)
WYO Defense	13	51% (87)	44% (104)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (79)	1.5 (25)	32% (74)	31% (81)	.33 (77)	6% (59)	2 (64)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Defense	12	47% (31)	44% (107)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.29 (87)	1.4 (10)	32% (69)	30% (69)	.3 (60)	4% (126)	2.1 (79)
WYO Offense	13	44% (106)	43% (59)	14.5	23.4	168.5	7.2	11.6	20 (70)	6 (14)	.23 (86)	1.5 (101)	29% (23)	32% (61)	.3 (80)	5% (20)	2 (85)

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -3.44 #83
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 15.50 #78
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.05 #62
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Colorado State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 5.30
Colorado State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #99
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #93
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #101

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -3.44 Wyoming: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -9.1 Wyoming: -3.8

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: 0.215 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Colorado State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Wyoming 27
Colorado State 20

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Wyoming 30
Colorado State 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Wyoming 29
Colorado State 23

Total Points: 52

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Wyoming	28	Colorado State	0	Wyoming -5.5	Wyoming	46.5	Under
2024	11/15	Colorado State	24	Wyoming	10	Colorado State -8.5	Colorado State	47.5	Under
2023	11/03	Wyoming	24	Colorado State	15	Wyoming -6	Wyoming	41.0	Under
2022	11/12	Colorado State	13	Wyoming	14	Wyoming -8.5	Colorado State	42.5	Under
2021	11/06	Wyoming	31	Colorado State	17	Colorado State -3	Wyoming	41.5	Over
2020	11/05	Colorado State	34	Wyoming	24	Wyoming -3.5	Colorado State	53.5	Over
2019	11/22	Wyoming	17	Colorado State	7	Wyoming -5.5	Wyoming	50.5	Under
2018	10/26	Colorado State	21	Wyoming	34	Wyoming -3	Wyoming	47.5	Over
2017	11/04	Wyoming	16	Colorado State	13	Colorado State -4	Wyoming	48.5	Under
2016	10/01	Colorado State	17	Wyoming	38	Colorado State -5.5	Wyoming	53.5	Over
2015	11/07	Wyoming	7	Colorado State	26	Colorado State -11.5	Colorado State	55.5	Under
2014	10/25	Colorado State	45	Wyoming	31	Colorado State -21.5	Wyoming	0
2013	10/19	Wyoming	22	Colorado State	52	Wyoming -6.5	Colorado State	0
2012	11/03	Wyoming	45	Colorado State	31
2011	12/03	Colorado State	19	Wyoming	22
2010	11/20	Wyoming	44	Colorado State	0
2009	11/27	Colorado State	16	Wyoming	17
2008	11/22	Wyoming	20	Colorado State	31
2007	11/23	Colorado State	36	Wyoming	28
2006	10/21	Wyoming	24	Colorado State	0
2005	10/22	Colorado State	39	Wyoming	31
2004	10/22	Colorado State	30	Wyoming	7
2003	11/01	Wyoming	35	Colorado State	28
2002	10/12	Colorado State	44	Wyoming	36
2001	09/29	Wyoming	14	Colorado State	42
2000	11/15	Colorado State	37	Wyoming	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wyoming	14	8	4 Overs
Colorado State	12	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	17 - 9	8 - 5	4 - 3	4 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 17	5 - 8	2 - 4	3 - 4

(#83) CSU at (#68) WYO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CSU	WYO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#83	#68
SP+SP+	#99	#78
Perf GradeGrade	#84	#29
OffenseOff	#84	#40
DefenseDef	#78	#24
Spec TeamsST	#114	#38
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#69

Colorado State Injury Report

Wyoming Injury Report

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	WYO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#84	#24
SuccessSuc	#74	#77
ExplosiveExp	#99	#29
PPAPPA	#81	#76
PowerPwr	#78	#63
SP+SP+	#93	#65
Pts POPPO	#86	#40
HavocHav	#65	#118

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#129	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	#118	#58
Run ExplRExp	#133	#38
PPAExp	#130	#64
Run BlockR Blk	#41	-
OL YdsOLY	#124	#86
Stuff RateStuff	#114	#100
TackleTak	-	#62

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#101	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	#38	#104
Pass ExplPExl	#100	#25
PPAExp	#43	#79
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#59	#64
F7 HavocF7	#15	#130
DB HavocDB	#124	#59

Wyoming on Offense


CategoryCat	WYO Off	CSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#40	#78
SuccessSuc	#56	#80
ExplosiveExp	#103	#31
PPAPPA	#71	#65
PowerPwr	#57	#62
SP+SP+	#81	#101
Pts POPPO	#60	#31
HavocHav	#30	#70

Wyoming Run Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	#80	#99
Run SuccessRSuc	#60	#61
Run ExplRExp	#66	#90
PPAExp	#53	#47
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#55
Stuff RateStuff	#42	#47
TackleTak	-	#58

Wyoming Pass Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#72
Pass SuccessPSuc	#59	#107
Pass ExplPExl	#101	#10
PPAExp	#86	#87
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#99	#23
F7 HavocF7	#53	#24
DB HavocDB	#20	#126

Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 48° - Wind: 15 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Wyoming -6.0 (41.0)
Wyoming won vs Colorado State this year (24-15)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Wyoming last year (24-10)
Wyoming beat Colorado State in 2023 (24-15)
Wyoming beat Colorado State in 2022 (14-13)

CSU's OC Matt Mumme (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi	292	470	62%	3460	22	16	7.4
Clay Millen	15	24	63%	110	0	1	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Vann Schield	90	389	3	4.3	52
Justin Marshall	57	311	2	5.5	21
Avery Morrow	81	262	2	3.2	13
Kobe Johnson	44	128	1	2.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tory Horton	96	1136	8	11.8	76
Dallin Holker (Tr)	64	767	6	12.0	42
Justus Ross-Simmons	45	724	3	16.1	75
Louis Brown	47	481	5	10.2	46

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Freddie Banks (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Howell	114	1	0	3	3
Chase Wilson	107	9	4	1	3
Justin Sanchez	87	4	1	2	3
Henry Blackburn	75	7	3	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mohamed Kamara	55	16	12	10	1
Marshon Oxley	26	6	4	1	0
Chase Wilson	107	9	4	1	3
Tony Pierce Jr.	31	5	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Howell	114	1	0	3	3
Dom Jones	32	0	0	0	3
Justin Sanchez	87	4	1	2	3

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Andrew Peasley	166	266	62%	1991	20	5	7.5
Evan Svoboda	23	38	61%	200	0	1	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harrison Waylee (Tr)	164	947	5	5.8	75
Andrew Peasley	110	419	7	3.8	43
Sam Scott	51	241	2	4.7	19
Jamari Ferrell	50	184	1	3.7	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Wyatt Wieland	44	480	5	10.9	40
Ayir Asante (Tr)	21	372	6	17.7	66
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	23	360	3	15.7	89
Treyton Welch	31	308	2	9.9	32

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Easton Gibbs	101	4	2	3	5
Shae Suiaunoa	89	5	2	2	2
Wyett Ekeler	70	4	2	0	6
Isaac White	54	2	1	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DeVonne Harris	31	4	4	8	4
Braden Siders	24	5	4	3	2
Sabastian Harsh	47	9	3	1	1
Easton Gibbs	101	4	2	3	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jakorey Hawkins	39	1	0	8
Wyett Ekeler	70	4	2	6
Isaac White	54	2	1	6