Wyoming at Nevada - 2023 Matchup Preview
Wyoming logo Wyoming Cowboys at Nevada Wolf PackNevada logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (9:00 PM EST)
Wyoming -11 (42.0) (-410)  Open: -11.0 | 41.5
Wyoming 42 - Nevada: 6  (Mountain West)

 
Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (20 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEV is playing their 7th straight game
WYO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Wyoming -14   (SP+ WYO -18.5)

Projected Score: WYO: 30 - NEV: 16 (46)
WYO Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
WYO Travel: 758 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (2 - 13)
Avg Score : 17 - 33 (19 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#129)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wyoming vs Texas Tech+13.050.5W 35 - 33OY
Sat 9/9 Wyoming vs Portland State-28.051.0W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Wyoming at Texas+31.048.5L 10 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Wyoming vs App State-3.045.0W 22 - 19UN
Sat 9/30 Wyoming vs New Mexico-14.540.5W 35 - 26ON
Sat 10/7 Wyoming vs Fresno State+5.543.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 10/14 Wyoming at Air Force+12.542.0L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Wyoming at Boise State+4.548.5L 7 - 32UN
Fri 11/3 Wyoming vs Colorado State-6.041.0W 24 - 15UY
Fri 11/10 Wyoming at UNLV+2.548.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/18 Wyoming vs Hawai'i-13.545.5W 42 - 9OY
Sat 11/25 Wyoming at Nevada-11.042.0W 42 - 6OY
Sat 12/30 Wyoming vs Toledo-4.543.5W 16 - 15UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Nevada's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Nevada at USC+37.563.5L 14 - 66ON
Sat 9/9 Nevada vs Idaho+5.551.0L 6 - 33UN
Sat 9/16 Nevada vs Kansas+28.558.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Nevada at Texas State+17.060.0L 24 - 35UY
Sat 9/30 Nevada at Fresno State+25.550.5L 9 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Nevada vs UNLV+7.551.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/21 Nevada at San Diego State+11.048.5W 6 - 0UY
Sat 10/28 Nevada vs New Mexico+1.050.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 11/4 Nevada vs Hawai'i-3.550.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 11/11 Nevada at Utah State+14.554.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 11/18 Nevada at Colorado State+12.545.5L 20 - 30OY
Sat 11/25 Nevada vs Wyoming+11.042.0L 6 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#71 (.19)43% (56)25.344% (60)3.25 (41)15843% (59)1693.97 (60)#76 (.19)43% (77)22.342% (58)44% (104)3.44 (40)33.40.81.7
NEV#128 (.04)35% (129)17.339% (116)2.67 (127)12532% (132)1752.54 (132)#101 (.24)46% (122)33.447% (110)47% (126)3.83 (71)58.51.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
NEV#55 (.21)45% (46)47% (33)3.06 (59)16442% (65)2133.88 (73)#110 (.24)46% (117)49% (121)43% (92)4.33 (114)73.11.21



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense1325.32043.1%3.970.8193271581694.456%44%44%43%14%.19
NEV Defense1233.433.746.5%3.831.3 - - - - - 51%48%47%47%14%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense1322.327.442.6%3.441.7 - - - - - 48%51%42%44%14%.19
NEV Offense1217.318.535.4%2.541.7173001251753.455%45%39%32%22%.04

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming1330:1518.637%67%3.933.40.81.73.81.5128.9
Nevada1230:1916.730%43%6.858.51.71.341.3326.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense1356% (28)44% (60)36158.54.419 (69).17 (53)3.25 (41)82% (11)9% (53)1 (66)
NEV Defense1251% (81)47% (110) - - - - .19 (97)3.28 (107)67% (30)9% (99)1.07 (104)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense1348% (47)42% (58) - - - - .13 (64)3.17 (86)71% (55)7% (130)0.94 (38)
NEV Offense1255% (33)39% (116)36.9124.83.414 (106).08 (107)2.67 (127)55% (132)16% (133)0.98 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense1344% (106)43% (59)14.523.4168.57.211.620 (70)6 (14).23 (86)1.5 (101)29% (23)32% (61).3 (80)5% (20)2 (85)
NEV Defense1248% (52)47% (126) - - - - - - 9 (87).32 (99)1.6 (83)30% (102)30% (68).28 (50)5% (99)2 (37)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense1351% (87)44% (104) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (79)1.5 (25)32% (74)31% (81).33 (77)6% (59)2 (64)
NEV Offense1245% (102)32% (132)15.928.8175.26.1116 (133)12 (85).02 (132)1.5 (88)34% (107)26% (109).06 (132)6% (89)1.7 (130)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -0.77 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -0.77   Nevada: -16.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -3.8   Nevada: -22.4




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -16.405 #131
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Nevada's Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Wyoming 30
Nevada 16


Total Points: 46

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.7

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25Nevada6Wyoming42WyomingWyoming -11Wyoming42.0Over
202010/24Nevada37Wyoming34NevadaWyoming -3Nevada54.0Over
201910/26Wyoming31Nevada3WyomingWyoming -12Wyoming44.5Under
201610/22Nevada34Wyoming42WyomingWyoming -3Wyoming53.0Over
201510/17Wyoming28Nevada21WyomingNevada -7Wyoming55.5Under
201210/06Nevada35Wyoming28Nevada
200009/22Wyoming28Nevada35Nevada
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada313 Overs
Wyoming442 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 33 - 21 - 02 - 2
Road Teams3 - 42 - 32 - 20 - 1

(#68) Wyoming Info
Power Rating: -0.77 #68
Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90


Wyoming has won 1 straight
Wyoming has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Wyoming Highlights
Wyoming defense does not give up big plays (#3)
Wyoming has a great TO Margin (#54)
Wyoming commits very few Penalties (#95)

Wyoming Deficiencies
Wyoming offense is not Explosive (#122)
Wyoming does not Sack the QB (#64)
Wyoming Does Not Stuff Runs (#109)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNEVWYO
OverallOver#115#24
OffenseOff#114#37
DefenseDef#105#20
Special TeamsST#67#33
PassingPass#109#39
RushingRush#82#56
Run BlockRBLK#71#4
Pass BlockPBLK#106#84
Route RunningWR Rt#112#67
TacklingTkl#111#54
Run DefenseR Def#108#23
Pass Rush DefPRush#102#51
Coverage DefCov#102#46

Rematch from Week 13
Wyoming 11.0 (42.0)
Wyoming won at Nevada this year (42-6)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Nevada in 2023 (42-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WYO | NEV
Depth Chart: WYO | NEV
Rosters: WYO | NEV
(#131) Nevada Info
Power Rating: -16.405 #131
Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10


Nevada has lost 3 straight
Nevada has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Nevada Highlights

Nevada Deficiencies
Nevada has a really bad Offense
Nevada has a really bad Offense at Home
Nevada Can Not Run the Ball (#43)
Nevada offense is really bad (#79)
Nevada offense is not Explosive (#126)
Nevada Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#121)
Nevada offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#127)
Nevada run game is really bad (#75)
Nevada pass game is really bad (#92)
Nevada offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Nevada Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Nevada Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Nevada does not Sack the QB (#31)
Nevada has a bad defense (#124)
Nevada gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#32)
Nevada has a bad defensive line (#118)


  
Wyoming's OC Tim Polasek
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Andrew Peasley16626662%19912057.5
Evan Svoboda233861%200015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Waylee (Tr)16494755.875
Andrew Peasley11041973.843
Sam Scott5124124.719
Jamari Ferrell5018413.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Wieland44480510.940
Ayir Asante (Tr)21372617.766
Johnmichael Gyllenborg23360315.789
Treyton Welch3130829.932

View Wyoming's Full Roster
Wyoming's DC Jay Sawvel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Gibbs1014235
Shae Suiaunoa895222
Wyett Ekeler704206
Isaac White542106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeVonne Harris314484
Braden Siders245432
Sabastian Harsh479311
Easton Gibbs1014235
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakorey Hawkins391008
Wyett Ekeler704206
Isaac White542106

Nevada's OC Derek Sage
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)13123656%1313265.6
AJ Bianco458255%614457.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Dollars15152763.533
Brendon Lewis (Tr)12049544.131
AJ Bianco4218314.428
Jamaal Bell3211413.631
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dalevon Campbell31594219.253
Spencer Curtis30373112.473
John Jackson III (Tr)3526707.633
Jamaal Bell3226218.277

View Nevada's Full Roster
Nevada's DC Kwame Agyeman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emany Johnson903003
Richard Toney624101
Drue Watts566113
Tongiaki Mateialona482120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcel Walker437411
Ike Nnakenyi32200
Dion Washington125120
Mackavelli Malotumau (Tr)111120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KK Meier251005
Emany Johnson903003
Drue Watts566113