Wyoming at Nevada - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (9:00 PM EST)
Wyoming -11 (42.0) (-410) Open: -11.0 | 41.5
Wyoming 42 - Nevada: 6 (Mountain West)

Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (11 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEV is playing their 7th straight game
WYO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Wyoming -14 (SP+ WYO -18.5)
Projected Score: WYO: 28 - NEV: 14 (41)
WYO Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
WYO Travel: 758 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (2 - 13)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#129)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WYO Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wyoming vs Texas Tech	+13.0	50.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Wyoming vs Portland State	-28.0	51.0	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wyoming at Texas	+31.0	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Wyoming vs App State	-3.0	45.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/30	Wyoming vs New Mexico	-14.5	40.5	W 35 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/7	Wyoming vs Fresno State	+5.5	43.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wyoming at Air Force	+12.5	42.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Wyoming at Boise State	+4.5	48.5	L 7 - 32	U	N
Fri 11/3	Wyoming vs Colorado State	-6.0	41.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/10	Wyoming at UNLV	+2.5	48.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wyoming vs Hawai'i	-13.5	45.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Wyoming at Nevada	-11.0	42.0	W 42 - 6	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Wyoming vs Toledo	-4.5	43.5	W 16 - 15	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Nevada's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Nevada at USC	+37.5	63.5	L 14 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/9	Nevada vs Idaho	+5.5	51.0	L 6 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/16	Nevada vs Kansas	+28.5	58.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Nevada at Texas State	+17.0	60.0	L 24 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Nevada at Fresno State	+25.5	50.5	L 9 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Nevada vs UNLV	+7.5	51.5	L 27 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/21	Nevada at San Diego State	+11.0	48.5	W 6 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Nevada vs New Mexico	+1.0	50.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Nevada vs Hawai'i	-3.5	50.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	Nevada at Utah State	+14.5	54.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/18	Nevada at Colorado State	+12.5	45.5	L 20 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Nevada vs Wyoming	+11.0	42.0	L 6 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	.12	41%	16	46%	3.26	181	35%	132	3.65	.17	41%	20.5	46%	37%	3.9	37.5	1.2	1.4
NEV	.04	35%	17.6	37%	2.89	119	33%	186	2.85	.26	43%	27.5	44%	42%	3.97	55.1	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Offense	13	16	11.3	40.7%	3.65	1.2	16	314	181	132	4.9	59%	40%	46%	35%	15%	.12
NEV Defense	12	27.5	25.2	42.9%	3.97	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	44%	42%	19%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Defense	13	20.5	22.7	41.1%	3.9	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	46%	37%	14%	.17
NEV Offense	12	17.6	19.7	34.8%	2.85	1.4	17	305	119	186	3.3	47%	52%	37%	33%	23%	.04

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wyoming	13	29:06	16	35%	29%	4.3	37.5	1.2	1.4	5.1	2.8	2	28.5
Nevada	12	28:29	16.9	35%	50%	6	55.1	1.4	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	27.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Offense	13	59%	46%	36.8	181.4	4.9	16	.22	3.26	65%	8%	1.02
NEV Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.46	90%	13%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.38	81%	9%	0.94
NEV Offense	12	47%	37%	35.6	118.9	3.3	19	.01	2.89	73%	15%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Offense	13	40%	35%	12	23.4	132.2	5.7	11	11	12	.05	1.4	29%	25%	.16	7%	1.7
NEV Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.35	1.8	33%	30%	.44	6%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Defense	13	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.19	1.6	35%	30%	.33	5%	2.1
NEV Offense	12	52%	33%	18.1	33.2	185.6	5.6	10.3	7	8	.1	1.6	38%	27%	.19	8%	2.2

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -0.77 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 338.50 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -0.77 Nevada: -16.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -3.8 Nevada: -22.4

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -16.405 #131
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Nevada's Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
2023 Talent Rating: 470.32 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Wyoming 28
Nevada 14

Projected Total Points: 41

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Wyoming	7	Nevada	13	Wyoming -6	Nevada	39.5	Under
2023	11/25	Nevada	6	Wyoming	42	Wyoming -11	Wyoming	42.0	Over
2020	10/24	Nevada	37	Wyoming	34	Wyoming -3	Nevada	54.0	Over
2019	10/26	Wyoming	31	Nevada	3	Wyoming -12	Wyoming	44.5	Under
2016	10/22	Nevada	34	Wyoming	42	Wyoming -3	Wyoming	53.0	Over
2015	10/17	Wyoming	28	Nevada	21	Nevada -7	Wyoming	55.5	Under
2012	10/06	Nevada	35	Wyoming	28
2000	09/22	Wyoming	28	Nevada	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	4	2	3 Overs
Wyoming	4	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 4	3 - 3	1 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 4	3 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 1

(#68) WYO at (#131) NEV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WYO	NEV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#68	#131
SP+SP+	#78	#131
Perf GradeGrade	#29	#136
OffenseOff	#40	#133
DefenseDef	#24	#132
Spec TeamsST	#38	#84
TalentTal	#124	#99
Blue ChipsBC%	#69	#75

Wyoming Injury Report

Nevada Injury Report

Wyoming on Offense


CategoryCat	WYO Off	NEV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#40	#132
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#57	#110
SP+SP+	#81	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wyoming Run Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	#80	#127
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#129

Wyoming Pass Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#136
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	WYO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#133	#24
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#128	#63
SP+SP+	#129	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#115	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#94	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#62

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#129	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#122	#64
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Wyoming 11.0 (42.0)
Wyoming won at Nevada this year (42-6)

Previous Matchups
Nevada beat Wyoming last year (13-7)
Wyoming beat Nevada in 2023 (42-6)

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Andrew Peasley	166	266	62%	1991	20	5	7.5
Evan Svoboda	23	38	61%	200	0	1	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harrison Waylee (Tr)	164	947	5	5.8	75
Andrew Peasley	110	419	7	3.8	43
Sam Scott	51	241	2	4.7	19
Jamari Ferrell	50	184	1	3.7	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Wyatt Wieland	44	480	5	10.9	40
Ayir Asante (Tr)	21	372	6	17.7	66
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	23	360	3	15.7	89
Treyton Welch	31	308	2	9.9	32

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Easton Gibbs	101	4	2	3	5
Shae Suiaunoa	89	5	2	2	2
Wyett Ekeler	70	4	2	0	6
Isaac White	54	2	1	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DeVonne Harris	31	4	4	8	4
Braden Siders	24	5	4	3	2
Sabastian Harsh	47	9	3	1	1
Easton Gibbs	101	4	2	3	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jakorey Hawkins	39	1	0	8
Wyett Ekeler	70	4	2	6
Isaac White	54	2	1	6

NEV's OC Derek Sage (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)	131	236	56%	1313	2	6	5.6
AJ Bianco	45	82	55%	614	4	5	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sean Dollars	151	527	6	3.5	33
Brendon Lewis (Tr)	120	495	4	4.1	31
AJ Bianco	42	183	1	4.4	28
Jamaal Bell	32	114	1	3.6	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dalevon Campbell	31	594	2	19.2	53
Spencer Curtis	30	373	1	12.4	73
John Jackson III (Tr)	35	267	0	7.6	33
Jamaal Bell	32	262	1	8.2	77

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Emany Johnson	90	3	0	0	3
Richard Toney	62	4	1	0	1
Drue Watts	56	6	1	1	3
Tongiaki Mateialona	48	2	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Walker	43	7	4	1	1
Ike Nnakenyi	3	2	2	0	0
Dion Washington	12	5	1	2	0
Mackavelli Malotumau (Tr)	11	1	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KK Meier	25	1	0	0	5
Emany Johnson	90	3	0	0	3
Drue Watts	56	6	1	1	3