Wyoming at Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Texas -31 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Texas 31 - Wyoming: 10

Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (20 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Texas -25 (SP+ TEX -28)
Projected Score: WYO: 12 - TEX: 37 (48)
TEX Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
WYO Travel: 879 miles, 1 hrs behind

Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 19 (39 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WYO Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wyoming vs Texas Tech	+13.0	50.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Wyoming vs Portland State	-28.0	51.0	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wyoming at Texas	+31.0	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Wyoming vs App State	-3.0	45.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/30	Wyoming vs New Mexico	-14.5	40.5	W 35 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/7	Wyoming vs Fresno State	+5.5	43.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wyoming at Air Force	+12.5	42.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Wyoming at Boise State	+4.5	48.5	L 7 - 32	U	N
Fri 11/3	Wyoming vs Colorado State	-6.0	41.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/10	Wyoming at UNLV	+2.5	48.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wyoming vs Hawai'i	-13.5	45.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Wyoming at Nevada	-11.0	42.0	W 42 - 6	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Wyoming vs Toledo	-4.5	43.5	W 16 - 15	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas vs Rice	-35.5	59.0	W 37 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Texas at Alabama	+7.0	53.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas vs Wyoming	-31.0	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Texas at Baylor	-17.5	49.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Texas vs Kansas	-15.5	61.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas vs Oklahoma	-4.0	62.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Texas at Houston	-24.0	60.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Texas vs BYU	-20.5	48.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Texas vs Kansas State	-4.0	49.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/11	Texas at TCU	-13.0	56.0	W 29 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Texas at Iowa State	-7.5	43.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Texas vs Texas Tech	-16.5	53.5	W 57 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-14.0	55.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	61.5	L 31 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	#71 (.19)	43% (56)	25.3	44% (60)	3.25 (41)	158	43% (59)	169	3.97 (60)	#76 (.19)	43% (77)	22.3	42% (58)	44% (104)	3.44 (40)	33.4	0.8	1.7
TEX	#33 (.28)	45% (43)	35.8	42% (81)	3.19 (54)	176	48% (16)	266	3.84 (75)	#15 (.1)	36% (14)	18.9	33% (5)	38% (26)	3.43 (38)	47.5	1.1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)		39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)		43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9
TEX	#39 (.24)	46% (27)		49% (16)	2.95 (84)	152	44% (43)	241	4.03 (54)	#3 (-.01)	38% (22)		42% (61)	34% (7)	2.57 (3)	44.3	1.4	1.8

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Offense	13	25.3	20	43.1%	3.97	0.8	19	327	158	169	4.4	56%	44%	44%	43%	14%	.19
TEX Defense	14	18.9	12.8	35.9%	3.43	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	33%	38%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Defense	13	22.3	27.4	42.6%	3.44	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	42%	44%	14%	.19
TEX Offense	14	35.8	38.8	44.7%	3.84	1.1	21	442	176	266	4.9	49%	51%	42%	48%	14%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wyoming	13	30:15	18.6	37%	67%	3.9	33.4	0.8	1.7	3.8	1.5	1	28.9
Texas	14	29:31	21.4	39%	63%	5.9	47.5	1.1	1.6	5.4	2.1	5	31

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Offense	13	56% (28)	44% (60)	36	158.5	4.4	19 (69)	.17 (53)	3.25 (41)	82% (11)	9% (53)	1 (66)
TEX Defense	14	41% (4)	33% (5)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (4)	2.45 (5)	54% (2)	11% (37)	0.79 (5)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Defense	13	48% (47)	42% (58)	-	-	-	-	.13 (64)	3.17 (86)	71% (55)	7% (130)	0.94 (38)
TEX Offense	14	49% (80)	42% (81)	35.6	175.6	4.9	26 (30)	.21 (35)	3.19 (54)	64% (121)	8% (33)	1.13 (14)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Offense	13	44% (106)	43% (59)	14.5	23.4	168.5	7.2	11.6	20 (70)	6 (14)	.23 (86)	1.5 (101)	29% (23)	32% (61)	.3 (80)	5% (20)	2 (85)
TEX Defense	14	58% (131)	38% (26)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.24 (52)	1.7 (92)	36% (20)	28% (31)	.27 (42)	8% (15)	2.1 (87)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Defense	13	51% (87)	44% (104)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (79)	1.5 (25)	32% (74)	31% (81)	.33 (77)	6% (59)	2 (64)
TEX Offense	14	51% (50)	48% (16)	20.9	30.9	266.4	8.6	12.7	24 (41)	9 (40)	.35 (38)	1.5 (102)	30% (32)	34% (32)	.45 (32)	5% (46)	2.1 (52)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -0.77 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -0.77 Texas: 22.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -3.8 Texas: 24.6

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 22.735 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 37
Wyoming 12

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas 32
Wyoming 16

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Texas 31
Wyoming 19

Total Points: 50

Texas Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.8

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Texas	31	Wyoming	10	Texas -31	Wyoming	48.5	Under
2012	09/01	Texas	37	Wyoming	17
2010	09/11	Texas	34	Wyoming	7
2009	09/12	Wyoming	10	Texas	41

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	4	0	0 Overs
Wyoming	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#68) WYO at (#11) TEX

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WYO	TEX
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#68	#11
SP+SP+	#78	#6
Perf GradeGrade	#29	#10
OffenseOff	#40	#17
DefenseDef	#24	#17
Spec TeamsST	#38	#4
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#69	#7

Wyoming Injury Report

Texas Injury Report

Wyoming on Offense


CategoryCat	WYO Off	TEX Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#40	#17
SuccessSuc	#56	#14
ExplosiveExp	#103	#94
PPAPPA	#71	#15
PowerPwr	#57	#15
SP+SP+	#81	#10
Pts POPPO	#60	#38
HavocHav	#30	#21

Wyoming Run Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	#80	#7
Run SuccessRSuc	#60	#5
Run ExplRExp	#66	#5
PPAExp	#53	#4
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#5
Stuff RateStuff	#42	#11
TackleTak	-	#78

Wyoming Pass Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	#59	#26
Pass ExplPExl	#101	#92
PPAExp	#86	#52
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#16
F7 HavocF7	#53	#37
DB HavocDB	#20	#15

Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	TEX Off	WYO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#17	#24
SuccessSuc	#43	#77
ExplosiveExp	#40	#29
PPAPPA	#33	#76
PowerPwr	#40	#63
SP+SP+	#6	#65
Pts POPPO	#75	#40
HavocHav	#27	#118

Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#25	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	#81	#58
Run ExplRExp	#14	#38
PPAExp	#35	#64
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	#54	#86
Stuff RateStuff	#79	#100
TackleTak	-	#62

Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	#16	#104
Pass ExplPExl	#102	#25
PPAExp	#38	#79
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#3	#64
F7 HavocF7	#33	#130
DB HavocDB	#46	#59

Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 78°

Rematch from Week 3
Texas -31.0 (48.5)
Texas won vs Wyoming this year (31-10)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Wyoming in 2023 (31-10)

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Andrew Peasley	166	266	62%	1991	20	5	7.5
Evan Svoboda	23	38	61%	200	0	1	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harrison Waylee (Tr)	164	947	5	5.8	75
Andrew Peasley	110	419	7	3.8	43
Sam Scott	51	241	2	4.7	19
Jamari Ferrell	50	184	1	3.7	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Wyatt Wieland	44	480	5	10.9	40
Ayir Asante (Tr)	21	372	6	17.7	66
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	23	360	3	15.7	89
Treyton Welch	31	308	2	9.9	32

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Easton Gibbs	101	4	2	3	5
Shae Suiaunoa	89	5	2	2	2
Wyett Ekeler	70	4	2	0	6
Isaac White	54	2	1	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DeVonne Harris	31	4	4	8	4
Braden Siders	24	5	4	3	2
Sabastian Harsh	47	9	3	1	1
Easton Gibbs	101	4	2	3	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jakorey Hawkins	39	1	0	8
Wyett Ekeler	70	4	2	6
Isaac White	54	2	1	6

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Quinn Ewers	272	394	69%	3479	22	6	8.8
Maalik Murphy	40	71	56%	477	3	3	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonathon Brooks	187	1139	10	6.1	67
CJ Baxter Jr.	138	659	5	4.8	54
Jaydon Blue	65	398	3	6.1	69
Keilan Robinson	12	134	3	11.2	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Worthy	75	1014	5	13.5	54
Adonai Mitchell (Tr)	55	845	11	15.4	62
Ja'Tavion Sanders	45	682	2	15.2	50
Jordan Whittington	42	505	1	12.0	41

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Jeff Choate (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylan Ford	96	11	1	6	2
Anthony Hill Jr.	66	8	5	3	2
Jahdae Barron	55	4	0	0	5
Michael Taaffe	45	3	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Hill Jr.	66	8	5	3	2
Ethan Burke	39	9	5	2	0
Byron Murphy II	26	8	5	6	0
Barryn Sorrell	34	4	3	11	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jerrin Thompson	37	1	7
Terrance Brooks	20	0	5
Jahdae Barron	55	4	5