New Mexico at Wyoming - 2023 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo   New Mexico Lobos at Wyoming Cowboys  Wyoming logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Wyoming -14.5 (40.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Wyoming 35 - New Mexico: 26  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNM 2nd straight Road Game
WYO 2nd straight Home Game
WYO is playing their 5th straight game
UNM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Wyoming -11.5  (SP+ WYO -13)
Projected Score: UNM: 15 - WYO: 27 (42)
WYO Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
UNM Travel: 435 miles
Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 New Mexico at Texas A&M+37.548.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/9 New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech-16.051.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 9/16 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-2.552.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 9/23 New Mexico at Massachusetts+3.548.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/30 New Mexico at Wyoming+14.540.5L 26 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 New Mexico vs San José State+6.555.0L 24 - 52ON
Sat 10/21 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+1.560.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 New Mexico at Nevada-1.050.0L 24 - 34ON
Sat 11/4 New Mexico vs UNLV+10.061.0L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 New Mexico at Boise State+27.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/18 New Mexico at Fresno State+22.558.5W 25 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 New Mexico vs Utah State+4.558.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wyoming vs Texas Tech+13.050.5W 35 - 33OY
Sat 9/9 Wyoming vs Portland State-28.051.0W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Wyoming at Texas+31.048.5L 10 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Wyoming vs App State-3.045.0W 22 - 19UN
Sat 9/30 Wyoming vs New Mexico-14.540.5W 35 - 26ON
Sat 10/7 Wyoming vs Fresno State+5.543.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 10/14 Wyoming at Air Force+12.542.0L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Wyoming at Boise State+4.548.5L 7 - 32UN
Fri 11/3 Wyoming vs Colorado State-6.041.0W 24 - 15UY
Fri 11/10 Wyoming at UNLV+2.548.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/18 Wyoming vs Hawai'i-13.545.5W 42 - 9OY
Sat 11/25 Wyoming at Nevada-11.042.0W 42 - 6OY
Sat 12/30 Wyoming vs Toledo-4.543.5W 16 - 15UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM-.0633%27.139%2.9712125%1063.04.1743%22.347%40%3.5551.21.21.9
WYO.1241%1646%3.2618135%1323.65.1741%20.546%37%3.937.51.21.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WYO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1227.127.533%3.041.2132271211063.357%41%39%25%24%-.06
WYO Defense1320.518.341.1%3.91.4 - - - - - 47%52%46%37%14%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense1222.326.343.2%3.551.9 - - - - - 55%44%47%40%17%.17
WYO Offense131620.740.7%3.651.2163141811324.959%40%46%35%15%.12

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1228:5713.122%29%6.151.21.21.95.22.1228.8
Wyoming1329:061635%29%4.337.51.21.45.12.8228.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1257%39%36.5121.33.312.062.9756%17%0.92
WYO Defense1347%46% - - - - .173.3881%9%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1255%47% - - - - .173.1777%10%0.92
WYO Offense1359%46%36.8181.44.916.223.2665%8%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1241%25%11.521.3105.559.239-.151.235%18%.016%1.9
WYO Defense1352%37% - - - - - - 6.191.635%30%.335%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 9.241.627%23%.17%1.9
WYO Offense1340%35%1223.4132.25.7111112.051.429%25%.167%1.7

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -5.50  #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20  #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08  #130
2023 Talent Rating: 375.35  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8  #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -5.50   Wyoming: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -16.8   Wyoming: -3.8




Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: 0.215  #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46  #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21  #63
2023 Talent Rating: 338.50  #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8  #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Wyoming 27
New Mexico 15

Projected Total Points: 42
Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02New Mexico45Wyoming49New Mexico -7.5Wyoming60.5Over
202309/30Wyoming35New Mexico26Wyoming -14.5New Mexico40.5Over
202210/08New Mexico14Wyoming27Wyoming -3Wyoming37.0Over
202110/23Wyoming3New Mexico14Wyoming -20.0New Mexico41.0Under
202012/05New Mexico17Wyoming16Wyoming -18New Mexico52.0Under
201910/19Wyoming23New Mexico10Wyoming -17.5New Mexico49.0Under
201811/24New Mexico3Wyoming31Wyoming -7Wyoming43.0Under
201710/28Wyoming42New Mexico3Wyoming -2.5Wyoming47.0Under
201611/26New Mexico56Wyoming35Wyoming -2New Mexico65.0Over
201509/26Wyoming28New Mexico38New Mexico -2.5New Mexico58.5Over
201411/29New Mexico36Wyoming30New Mexico -6Push0
201310/12Wyoming38New Mexico31Wyoming -14.5New Mexico0
201211/10New Mexico23Wyoming28
201111/19Wyoming31New Mexico10
201011/06New Mexico34Wyoming31
200910/10Wyoming37New Mexico13
200810/04New Mexico24Wyoming0
200710/13Wyoming3New Mexico20
200610/07New Mexico10Wyoming14
200510/15Wyoming24New Mexico27
200411/20New Mexico16Wyoming9
200311/22Wyoming3New Mexico26
200110/06Wyoming29New Mexico30
200009/29New Mexico45Wyoming10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wyoming1145 Overs
New Mexico1375 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 113 - 81 - 52 - 3
Road Teams11 - 138 - 33 - 25 - 1

(#94) UNM at (#68) WYO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNMWYO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #94 #68
SP+SP+ #124 #78
Perf GradeGrade #121 #29
OffenseOff #30 #40
DefenseDef #136 #24
Spec TeamsST #133 #38
TalentTal #117 #124
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #69
New Mexico on Offense
CategoryCat
UNM OffWYO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #30 #24
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #12 #63
SP+SP+ #88 #65
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico Run Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffWYO Def
Run GameRun #24 #26
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #62
New Mexico Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNM OffWYO Def
Pass GamePass #79 #57
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #28 #64
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Wyoming on Offense
CategoryCatWYO OffUNM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #40 #136
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #57 #130
SP+SP+ #81 #128
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wyoming Run Game
CategoryCat
WYO OffUNM Def
Run GameRun #80 #136
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #135
Wyoming Pass Game
CategoryCatWYO OffUNM Def
Pass GamePass #50 #129
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #99 #135
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Wyoming -14.5 (40.5)
Wyoming won vs New Mexico this year (35-26)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat New Mexico in 2024 (49-45)
Wyoming beat New Mexico in 2023 (35-26)

  
UNM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Hopkins (Tr)15728256%20741197.4
Devon Dampier406463%525608.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacory Merritt1891185176.355
Andrew Henry (Tr)5235036.764
Devon Dampier5933345.637
Sherod White3715514.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Medford (Tr)30551218.459
Jeremiah Hixon39482512.459
D.J. Washington29336311.635
Andrew Erickson20263113.252

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Troy Reffett (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alec Marenco644123
Christian Ellis580004
Dereck Moore510000
Syaire Riley484120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyler Drake256410
Gabriel Lopez (Tr)274210
Hunter Rapolla194211
Mihalis Santorineos203200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Morris332007
Donte Martin232006
Christian Ellis580004

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Andrew Peasley16626662%19912057.5
Evan Svoboda233861%200015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Waylee (Tr)16494755.875
Andrew Peasley11041973.843
Sam Scott5124124.719
Jamari Ferrell5018413.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Wieland44480510.940
Ayir Asante (Tr)21372617.766
Johnmichael Gyllenborg23360315.789
Treyton Welch3130829.932

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Gibbs1014235
Shae Suiaunoa895222
Wyett Ekeler704206
Isaac White542106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeVonne Harris314484
Braden Siders245432
Sabastian Harsh479311
Easton Gibbs1014235
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakorey Hawkins391008
Wyett Ekeler704206
Isaac White542106