New Mexico at Wyoming - 2023 Matchup Preview
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at Wyoming CowboysWyoming logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Wyoming -14.5 (40.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Wyoming 35 - New Mexico: 26  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 27 - 35 (22 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNM 2nd straight Road Game
WYO 2nd straight Home Game
WYO is playing their 5th straight game
UNM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Wyoming -11.5   (SP+ WYO -13)

Projected Score: UNM: 18 - WYO: 29 (47)
WYO Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
UNM Travel: 435 miles
Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (30 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 New Mexico at Texas A&M+37.548.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/9 New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech-16.051.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 9/16 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-2.552.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 9/23 New Mexico at Massachusetts+3.548.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/30 New Mexico at Wyoming+14.540.5L 26 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 New Mexico vs San José State+6.555.0L 24 - 52ON
Sat 10/21 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+1.560.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 New Mexico at Nevada-1.050.0L 24 - 34ON
Sat 11/4 New Mexico vs UNLV+10.061.0L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 New Mexico at Boise State+27.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/18 New Mexico at Fresno State+22.558.5W 25 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 New Mexico vs Utah State+4.558.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wyoming vs Texas Tech+13.050.5W 35 - 33OY
Sat 9/9 Wyoming vs Portland State-28.051.0W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Wyoming at Texas+31.048.5L 10 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Wyoming vs App State-3.045.0W 22 - 19UN
Sat 9/30 Wyoming vs New Mexico-14.540.5W 35 - 26ON
Sat 10/7 Wyoming vs Fresno State+5.543.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 10/14 Wyoming at Air Force+12.542.0L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Wyoming at Boise State+4.548.5L 7 - 32UN
Fri 11/3 Wyoming vs Colorado State-6.041.0W 24 - 15UY
Fri 11/10 Wyoming at UNLV+2.548.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/18 Wyoming vs Hawai'i-13.545.5W 42 - 9OY
Sat 11/25 Wyoming at Nevada-11.042.0W 42 - 6OY
Sat 12/30 Wyoming vs Toledo-4.543.5W 16 - 15UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#15 (.31)48% (12)27.350% (13)3.31 (31)19347% (23)2184.11 (49)#127 (.32)48% (130)35.150% (126)47% (127)4.23 (109)89.41.30.7
WYO#71 (.19)43% (56)25.344% (60)3.25 (41)15843% (59)1693.97 (60)#76 (.19)43% (77)22.342% (58)44% (104)3.44 (40)33.40.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1227.322.248.3%4.111.3234111932185.352%47%50%47%21%.31
WYO Defense1322.319.742.6%3.441.7 - - - - - 48%51%42%44%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense1235.135.248.4%4.230.7 - - - - - 52%48%50%47%17%.32
WYO Offense1325.330.443.1%3.970.8193271581694.456%44%44%43%14%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1232:2623.241%64%9.889.41.30.73.91.3024.5
Wyoming1330:1518.637%67%3.933.40.81.73.81.5128.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1252% (53)50% (13)36.7192.75.326 (30).26 (16)3.31 (31)79% (23)12% (110)1.02 (54)
WYO Defense1348% (47)42% (58) - - - - .13 (64)3.17 (86)71% (55)7% (130)0.94 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1252% (101)50% (126) - - - - .21 (106)3.35 (115)63% (18)10% (80)0.88 (20)
WYO Offense1356% (28)44% (60)36158.54.419 (69).17 (53)3.25 (41)82% (11)9% (53)1 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1247% (83)47% (23)16.529.4217.97.413.217 (85)10 (56).42 (23)1.6 (57)32% (75)33% (44).39 (47)9% (129)2 (72)
WYO Defense1351% (87)44% (104) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (79)1.5 (25)32% (74)31% (81).33 (77)6% (59)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1248% (41)47% (127) - - - - - - 4 (131).45 (128)1.8 (118)24% (133)40% (132).46 (122)7% (28)1.8 (14)
WYO Offense1344% (106)43% (59)14.523.4168.57.211.620 (70)6 (14).23 (86)1.5 (101)29% (23)32% (61).3 (80)5% (20)2 (85)

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -5.50 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -5.50   Wyoming: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -16.8   Wyoming: -3.8




Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: 0.215 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Wyoming 29
New Mexico 18


Total Points: 47

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02New Mexico45Wyoming49WyomingNew Mexico -7.5Wyoming60.5Over
202309/30Wyoming35New Mexico26WyomingWyoming -14.5New Mexico40.5Over
202210/08New Mexico14Wyoming27WyomingWyoming -3Wyoming37.0Over
202110/23Wyoming3New Mexico14New MexicoWyoming -20.0New Mexico41.0Under
202012/05New Mexico17Wyoming16New MexicoWyoming -18New Mexico52.0Under
201910/19Wyoming23New Mexico10WyomingWyoming -17.5New Mexico49.0Under
201811/24New Mexico3Wyoming31WyomingWyoming -7Wyoming43.0Under
201710/28Wyoming42New Mexico3WyomingWyoming -2.5Wyoming47.0Under
201611/26New Mexico56Wyoming35New MexicoWyoming -2New Mexico65.0Over
201509/26Wyoming28New Mexico38New MexicoNew Mexico -2.5New Mexico58.5Over
201411/29New Mexico36Wyoming30New MexicoNew Mexico -6Push0
201310/12Wyoming38New Mexico31WyomingWyoming -14.5New Mexico0
201211/10New Mexico23Wyoming28Wyoming
201111/19Wyoming31New Mexico10Wyoming
201011/06New Mexico34Wyoming31New Mexico
200910/10Wyoming37New Mexico13Wyoming
200810/04New Mexico24Wyoming0New Mexico
200710/13Wyoming3New Mexico20New Mexico
200610/07New Mexico10Wyoming14Wyoming
200510/15Wyoming24New Mexico27New Mexico
200411/20New Mexico16Wyoming9New Mexico
200311/22Wyoming3New Mexico26New Mexico
200110/06Wyoming29New Mexico30New Mexico
200009/29New Mexico45Wyoming10New Mexico
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wyoming1145 Overs
New Mexico1375 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 113 - 81 - 52 - 3
Road Teams11 - 138 - 33 - 25 - 1

(#94) New Mexico Info
Power Rating: -5.50 #94
Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


New Mexico has won 1 straight
New Mexico has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico offense is efficent (#108)
New Mexico Secondary is very good (#131)

New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico does not Sack the QB (#122)
New Mexico has a bad defense (#98)
New Mexico has a bad defensive line (#82)
New Mexico has a bad red zone defense (#43)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWYOUNM
OverallOver#24#100
OffenseOff#37#27
DefenseDef#20#109
Special TeamsST#33#109
PassingPass#39#65
RushingRush#56#16
Run BlockRBLK#4#10
Pass BlockPBLK#84#26
Route RunningWR Rt#67#39
TacklingTkl#54#117
Run DefenseR Def#23#117
Pass Rush DefPRush#51#101
Coverage DefCov#46#108

Rematch from Week 5
Wyoming -14.5 (40.5)
Wyoming won vs New Mexico this year (35-26)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat New Mexico last year (49-45)
Wyoming beat New Mexico in 2023 (35-26)
Wyoming beat New Mexico in 2022 (27-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNM | WYO
Depth Chart: UNM | WYO
Rosters: UNM | WYO
(#68) Wyoming Info
Power Rating: 0.215 #68
Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90


Wyoming has won 1 straight
Wyoming has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (4 - 2 - 1 vs Spread)

Wyoming Highlights
Wyoming is Undefeated at Home

Wyoming defense does not give up big plays (#3)
Wyoming has a great TO Margin (#54)
Wyoming commits very few Penalties (#95)

Wyoming Deficiencies
Wyoming offense is not Explosive (#122)
Wyoming does not Sack the QB (#64)
Wyoming Does Not Stuff Runs (#109)


  
New Mexico's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Hopkins (Tr)15728256%20741197.4
Devon Dampier406463%525608.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacory Merritt1891185176.355
Andrew Henry (Tr)5235036.764
Devon Dampier5933345.637
Sherod White3715514.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Medford (Tr)30551218.459
Jeremiah Hixon39482512.459
D.J. Washington29336311.635
Andrew Erickson20263113.252

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Troy Reffett
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alec Marenco644123
Christian Ellis580004
Dereck Moore510000
Syaire Riley484120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyler Drake256410
Gabriel Lopez (Tr)274210
Hunter Rapolla194211
Mihalis Santorineos203200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Morris332007
Donte Martin232006
Christian Ellis580004

Wyoming's OC Tim Polasek
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Andrew Peasley16626662%19912057.5
Evan Svoboda233861%200015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Waylee (Tr)16494755.875
Andrew Peasley11041973.843
Sam Scott5124124.719
Jamari Ferrell5018413.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Wieland44480510.940
Ayir Asante (Tr)21372617.766
Johnmichael Gyllenborg23360315.789
Treyton Welch3130829.932

View Wyoming's Full Roster
Wyoming's DC Jay Sawvel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Gibbs1014235
Shae Suiaunoa895222
Wyett Ekeler704206
Isaac White542106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeVonne Harris314484
Braden Siders245432
Sabastian Harsh479311
Easton Gibbs1014235
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakorey Hawkins391008
Wyett Ekeler704206
Isaac White542106