Georgia at Florida - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -14 (50.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia 43 - Florida: 20 (SEC)

Bulldogs (13 - 1) (5 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kirby Smart (84 - 15)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (33 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.8 - 2.2 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UGA coming off BYE
FLA coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia -19 (SP+ UGA -23.5)
Projected Score: UGA: 35 - FLA: 16 (51)
UGA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
UGA Travel: 270 miles

Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UGA Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia vs UT Martin	-50.0	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia vs Ball State	-42.0	52.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia vs South Carolina	-27.0	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia vs UAB	-40.0	56.0	W 49 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/30	Georgia at Auburn	-14.0	44.5	W 27 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia vs Kentucky	-14.5	47.0	W 51 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Georgia at Vanderbilt	-32.5	55.0	W 37 - 20	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Georgia vs Florida	-14.0	50.0	W 43 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia vs Missouri	-15.0	56.5	W 30 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia vs Ole Miss	-11.0	59.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Georgia at Tennessee	-9.0	59.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia at Georgia Tech	-23.0	59.5	W 31 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/2	Georgia vs Alabama	-5.0	56.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/30	Georgia vs Florida State	-23.5	47.0	W 63 - 3	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Florida at Utah	+5.5	44.5	L 11 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida vs McNeese	-48.5	55.5	W 49 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/16	Florida vs Tennessee	+5.0	57.0	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Florida vs Charlotte	-28.0	48.5	W 22 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Florida at Kentucky	+1.0	44.0	L 14 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Florida vs Vanderbilt	-18.0	51.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Florida at South Carolina	-1.0	50.0	W 41 - 39	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Florida vs Georgia	+14.0	50.0	L 20 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/4	Florida vs Arkansas	-4.5	50.0	L 36 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida at LSU	+14.0	68.5	L 35 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Florida at Missouri	+12.5	56.5	L 31 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida vs Florida State	+6.0	51.0	L 15 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#4 (.4)	53% (5)	40.1	51% (8)	3.34 (25)	191	54% (4)	305	5.02 (3)	#25 (.11)	38% (28)	15.6	45% (86)	34% (5)	3.45 (41)	42.9	1	1.2
FLA	#39 (.27)	44% (47)	28.4	43% (63)	3.11 (69)	152	45% (36)	257	4.7 (14)	#106 (.24)	38% (26)	27.6	36% (15)	40% (45)	4.08 (93)	49.6	1	0.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)		46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)		39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4
FLA	#72 (.18)	43% (64)		45% (54)	3.04 (66)	164	41% (82)	226	4.17 (46)	#53 (.14)	44% (95)		49% (118)	39% (44)	3.12 (14)	54	1.4	1.9

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Offense	14	40.1	33.3	52.5%	5.02	1	26	496	191	305	5.3	49%	51%	51%	54%	12%	.4
FLA Defense	12	27.6	17.8	37.9%	4.08	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	36%	40%	16%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Defense	14	15.6	18.3	38.2%	3.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	45%	34%	16%	.11
FLA Offense	12	28.4	31.5	43.9%	4.7	1	22	409	152	257	4.3	48%	52%	43%	45%	16%	.27

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia	14	33:27	26	55%	73%	4.4	42.9	1	1.2	4.9	2	2	29.2
Florida	12	33:06	21.6	37%	41%	6.6	49.6	1	0.6	4.9	1.8	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Offense	14	49% (74)	51% (8)	35.8	191.1	5.3	40 (1)	.31 (5)	3.34 (25)	75% (58)	7% (19)	1.04 (46)
FLA Defense	12	50% (71)	36% (15)	-	-	-	-	.16 (84)	2.97 (44)	59% (8)	10% (62)	1.28 (132)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Defense	14	45% (12)	45% (86)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.02 (51)	66% (26)	9% (94)	1.03 (86)
FLA Offense	12	48% (88)	43% (63)	35.2	151.6	4.3	21 (54)	.17 (59)	3.11 (69)	72% (85)	12% (114)	1 (64)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Offense	14	51% (52)	54% (4)	23.4	32.6	305.3	9.4	13	29 (18)	7 (21)	.52 (7)	1.4 (120)	25% (5)	45% (2)	.7 (3)	5% (17)	2 (93)
FLA Defense	12	49% (71)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (132)	.35 (107)	1.9 (129)	34% (39)	28% (37)	.34 (82)	6% (82)	2.3 (120)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Defense	14	54% (119)	34% (5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.08 (6)	1.5 (37)	35% (35)	24% (7)	.14 (5)	7% (35)	2 (49)
FLA Offense	12	52% (40)	45% (36)	23.4	32.4	257.2	7.9	11	20 (70)	5 (6)	.37 (33)	1.6 (76)	32% (79)	30% (74)	.43 (38)	4% (13)	2.1 (48)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 22.16 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 78% #3
Georgia's 2023 Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20
Georgia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 22.16 Florida: 7.075

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 29.5 Florida: 5.9

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 7.075 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 40.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.3
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

Georgia's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 35
Florida 16

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 27
Florida 24

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 30
Florida 23

Total Points: 53

Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Florida	20	Georgia	24	Georgia -7	Florida	50.5	Under
2024	11/02	Georgia	34	Florida	20	Georgia -14.5	Florida	52.5	Over
2023	10/28	Florida	20	Georgia	43	Georgia -14	Georgia	50.0	Over
2022	10/29	Georgia	42	Florida	20	Georgia -23	Florida	56.5	Over
2021	10/30	Florida	7	Georgia	34	Georgia -14	Georgia	50.0	Under
2020	11/07	Georgia	28	Florida	44	Georgia -3.5	Florida	54.0	Over
2019	11/02	Florida	17	Georgia	24	Georgia -6.5	Georgia	47.5	Under
2018	10/27	Georgia	36	Florida	17	Georgia -7	Georgia	53.0	Push
2017	10/28	Florida	7	Georgia	42	Georgia -13.5	Georgia	43.5	Over
2016	10/29	Georgia	10	Florida	24	Florida -7.5	Florida	43.0	Under
2015	10/31	Florida	27	Georgia	3	Florida -2.5	Florida	49.0	Under
2014	11/01	Georgia	20	Florida	38	Georgia -10	Florida	0
2013	11/02	Florida	20	Georgia	23	Georgia -2.5	Georgia	0
2012	10/27	Georgia	17	Florida	9
2011	10/29	Florida	20	Georgia	24
2010	10/30	Georgia	31	Florida	34
2009	10/31	Florida	41	Georgia	17
2008	11/01	Georgia	10	Florida	49
2007	10/27	Florida	30	Georgia	42
2006	10/28	Georgia	14	Florida	21
2005	10/29	Florida	14	Georgia	10
2004	10/30	Georgia	31	Florida	24
2003	11/01	Florida	16	Georgia	13
2002	11/02	Georgia	13	Florida	20
2001	10/27	Florida	24	Georgia	10
2000	10/27	Florida	34	Georgia	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	13	7	5 Overs
Georgia	13	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 15	3 - 10	2 - 4	1 - 6
Road Teams	15 - 11	10 - 3	6 - 1	4 - 2

(#4) UGA at (#26) FLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UGA	FLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#4	#26
SP+SP+	#2	#42
Perf GradeGrade	#3	#47
OffenseOff	#3	#37
DefenseDef	#14	#83
Spec TeamsST	#6	#105
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#3	#10

Georgia Injury Report

Florida Injury Report

Georgia on Offense


CategoryCat	UGA Off	FLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#3	#83
SuccessSuc	#5	#26
ExplosiveExp	#91	#133
PPAPPA	#4	#106
PowerPwr	#4	#90
SP+SP+	#5	#64
Pts POPPO	#3	#93
HavocHav	#12	#74

Georgia Run Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	#13	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	#8	#15
Run ExplRExp	#46	#132
PPAExp	#5	#84
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#25	#44
Stuff RateStuff	#53	#56
TackleTak	-	#115

Georgia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	#4	#115
Pass SuccessPSuc	#4	#45
Pass ExplPExl	#120	#129
PPAExp	#7	#107
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#10	#64
F7 HavocF7	#19	#62
DB HavocDB	#17	#82

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	UGA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#37	#14
SuccessSuc	#47	#28
ExplosiveExp	#61	#49
PPAPPA	#39	#25
PowerPwr	#19	#27
SP+SP+	#42	#5
Pts POPPO	#14	#41
HavocHav	#78	#67

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#64	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#63	#86
Run ExplRExp	#64	#86
PPAExp	#59	#85
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	#69	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#92	#29
TackleTak	-	#1

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	#36	#5
Pass ExplPExl	#76	#37
PPAExp	#33	#6
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#63	#44
F7 HavocF7	#114	#94
DB HavocDB	#13	#35

Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'23 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in EverBank Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 81° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Georgia 14.0 (50.0)
Georgia won at Florida this year (43-20)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Florida last year (34-20)
Georgia beat Florida in 2023 (43-20)
Georgia beat Florida in 2022 (42-20)

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	302	417	72%	3941	24	6	9.5
Gunner Stockton	12	19	63%	148	2	1	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daijun Edwards	164	881	13	5.4	62
Kendall Milton	121	790	14	6.5	51
Roderick Robinson II	24	196	2	8.2	36
Cash Jones	22	161	1	7.3	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brock Bowers	56	714	6	12.8	49
Dominic Lovett (Tr)	54	613	4	11.4	55
Marcus Rosemy	34	535	4	15.7	50
Ladd McConkey	30	478	2	15.9	54

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Will Muschamp (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tykee Smith	70	9	2	2	2
Smael Mondon Jr.	68	5	2	2	1
Javon Bullard	56	1	0	0	5
Malaki Starks	52	0	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalon Walker	20	6	5	1	0
Mykel Williams	16	7	5	0	2
Jamon Dumas-Johnson	34	6	4	1	2
Tykee Smith	70	9	2	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kamari Lassiter	37	4	1	8
Malaki Starks	52	0	0	7
Javon Bullard	56	1	0	5

FLA's OC Rob Sale (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)	260	357	73%	2878	20	3	8.1
Max Brown	19	28	68%	192	0	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Montrell Johnson	152	817	5	5.4	52
Trevor Etienne	131	753	8	5.7	62
Treyaun Webb	26	163	2	6.3	43
Ricky Pearsall	3	62	2	20.7	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky Pearsall	64	970	4	15.2	61
Eugene Wilson	61	538	6	8.8	30
Arlis Boardingham	26	289	4	11.1	25
Kahleil Jackson	21	251	1	12.0	45

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Austin Armstrong (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Castell	59	2	0	0	3
Shemar James	55	6	1	0	0
Scooby Williams	52	4	1	4	0
Jaydon Hill	39	4	2	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princely Umanmielen	39	11	7	16	0
Derek Wingo	18	4	3	2	1
Jaydon Hill	39	4	2	2	3
Kelby Collins	24	2	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Marshall Jr.	26	3	1	0	11
Jalen Kimber	23	0	0	1	5
Jordan Castell	59	2	0	0	3