Georgia at Florida - 2023 Matchup Preview
Georgia logo (#5)Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -14 (50.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Georgia 43 - Florida: 20  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (13 - 1) (5 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kirby Smart (84 - 15)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (33 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.8 - 2.2 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UGA coming off BYE
FLA coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia -19   (SP+ UGA -23.5)

Projected Score: UGA: 35 - FLA: 16 (52)
UGA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
UGA Travel: 303 miles
Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Georgia vs UT Martin-50.056.5W 48 - 7UN
Sat 9/9 Georgia vs Ball State-42.052.5W 45 - 3UN
Sat 9/16 Georgia vs South Carolina-27.054.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 9/23 Georgia vs UAB-40.056.0W 49 - 21ON
Sat 9/30 Georgia at Auburn-14.044.5W 27 - 20ON
Sat 10/7 Georgia vs Kentucky-14.547.0W 51 - 13OY
Sat 10/14 Georgia at Vanderbilt-32.555.0W 37 - 20ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Georgia vs Florida-14.050.0W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/4 Georgia vs Missouri-15.056.5W 30 - 21UN
Sat 11/11 Georgia vs Ole Miss-11.059.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/18 Georgia at Tennessee-9.059.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Georgia at Georgia Tech-23.059.5W 31 - 23UN
Sat 12/2 Georgia vs Alabama-5.056.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 12/30 Georgia vs Florida State-23.547.0W 63 - 3OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Florida's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Florida at Utah+5.544.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/9 Florida vs McNeese-48.555.5W 49 - 7ON
Sat 9/16 Florida vs Tennessee+5.057.0W 29 - 16UY
Sat 9/23 Florida vs Charlotte-28.048.5W 22 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Florida at Kentucky+1.044.0L 14 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Florida vs Vanderbilt-18.051.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 10/14 Florida at South Carolina-1.050.0W 41 - 39OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Florida vs Georgia+14.050.0L 20 - 43ON
Sat 11/4 Florida vs Arkansas-4.550.0L 36 - 39ON
Sat 11/11 Florida at LSU+14.068.5L 35 - 52ON
Sat 11/18 Florida at Missouri+12.556.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 11/25 Florida vs Florida State+6.051.0L 15 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA#4 (.4)53% (5)40.151% (8)3.34 (25)19154% (4)3055.02 (3)#25 (.11)38% (28)15.645% (86)34% (5)3.45 (41)42.911.2
FLA#39 (.27)44% (47)28.443% (63)3.11 (69)15245% (36)2574.7 (14)#106 (.24)38% (26)27.636% (15)40% (45)4.08 (93)49.610.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)45% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)49% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Offense1440.133.352.5%5.021264961913055.349%51%51%54%12%.4
FLA Defense1227.617.837.9%4.080.6 - - - - - 50%49%36%40%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Defense1415.618.338.2%3.451.2 - - - - - 45%54%45%34%16%.11
FLA Offense1228.431.543.9%4.71224091522574.348%52%43%45%16%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia1433:272655%73%4.442.911.24.92229.2
Florida1233:0621.637%41%6.649.610.64.91.8026.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Offense1449% (74)51% (8)35.8191.15.340 (1).31 (5)3.34 (25)75% (58)7% (19)1.04 (46)
FLA Defense1250% (71)36% (15) - - - - .16 (84)2.97 (44)59% (8)10% (62)1.28 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Defense1445% (12)45% (86) - - - - .16 (85)3.02 (51)66% (26)9% (94)1.03 (86)
FLA Offense1248% (88)43% (63)35.2151.64.321 (54).17 (59)3.11 (69)72% (85)12% (114)1 (64)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Offense1451% (52)54% (4)23.432.6305.39.41329 (18)7 (21).52 (7)1.4 (120)25% (5)45% (2).7 (3)5% (17)2 (93)
FLA Defense1249% (71)40% (45) - - - - - - 3 (132).35 (107)1.9 (129)34% (39)28% (37).34 (82)6% (82)2.3 (120)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Defense1454% (119)34% (5) - - - - - - 14 (21).08 (6)1.5 (37)35% (35)24% (7).14 (5)7% (35)2 (49)
FLA Offense1252% (40)45% (36)23.432.4257.27.91120 (70)5 (6).37 (33)1.6 (76)32% (79)30% (74).43 (38)4% (13)2.1 (48)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 22.16 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 78% #3
Georgia's 2023 Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20
Georgia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 22.16   Florida: 7.075

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 29.5   Florida: 5.9




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 7.075 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Georgia Scoring
Offense: 40.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.3
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

Georgia's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 35
Florida 16


Total Points: 52

Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Georgia34Florida20GeorgiaGeorgia -14.5Florida52.5Over
202310/28Florida20Georgia43GeorgiaGeorgia -14Georgia50.0Over
202210/29Georgia42Florida20GeorgiaGeorgia -23Florida56.5Over
202110/30Florida7Georgia34GeorgiaGeorgia -14Georgia50.0Under
202011/07Georgia28Florida44FloridaGeorgia -3.5Florida54.0Over
201911/02Florida17Georgia24GeorgiaGeorgia -6.5Georgia47.5Under
201810/27Georgia36Florida17GeorgiaGeorgia -7Georgia53.0Push
201710/28Florida7Georgia42GeorgiaGeorgia -13.5Georgia43.5Over
201610/29Georgia10Florida24FloridaFlorida -7.5Florida43.0Under
201510/31Florida27Georgia3FloridaFlorida -2.5Florida49.0Under
201411/01Georgia20Florida38FloridaGeorgia -10Florida0
201311/02Florida20Georgia23GeorgiaGeorgia -2.5Georgia0
201210/27Georgia17Florida9Georgia
201110/29Florida20Georgia24Georgia
201010/30Georgia31Florida34Florida
200910/31Florida41Georgia17Florida
200811/01Georgia10Florida49Florida
200710/27Florida30Georgia42Georgia
200610/28Georgia14Florida21Florida
200510/29Florida14Georgia10Florida
200410/30Georgia31Florida24Georgia
200311/01Florida16Georgia13Florida
200211/02Georgia13Florida20Florida
200110/27Florida24Georgia10Florida
200010/27Florida34Georgia23Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida1365 Overs
Georgia1264 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 142 - 102 - 40 - 6
Road Teams14 - 1110 - 26 - 04 - 2

(#4) Georgia Info
Power Rating: 22.16 #4
Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 78% #3
Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20


Georgia has won 7 straight
Georgia has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 0 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Georgia Highlights
Georgia is Undefeated away from Home

Georgia has Really Good Running Game (#27)
Georgia offense is efficent (#20)
Georgia has a top Offensive Line (#34)
Georgia offense is good in red zone (#15)
Georgia offense is good on 3rd downs
Georgia has a really good defense (#58)
Georgia has a good pass defense (#110)
Georgia Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#43)
Georgia has a great TO Margin (#82)
Georgia commits very few Penalties (#13)
Georgia defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Georgia Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatFLAUGA
OverallOver#39#3
OffenseOff#34#3
DefenseDef#64#11
Special TeamsST#83#6
PassingPass#43#4
RushingRush#46#10
Run BlockRBLK#22#9
Pass BlockPBLK#55#9
Route RunningWR Rt#26#7
TacklingTkl#97#1
Run DefenseR Def#48#19
Pass Rush DefPRush#51#38
Coverage DefCov#94#8

Rematch from Week 9
Georgia 14.0 (50.0)
Georgia won at Florida this year (43-20)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Florida last year (34-20)
Georgia beat Florida in 2023 (43-20)
Georgia beat Florida in 2022 (42-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in EverBank Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UGA | FLA
Depth Chart: UGA | FLA
Rosters: UGA | FLA
(#26) Florida Info
Power Rating: 7.075 #26
Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50


Florida has won 2 straight
Florida has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Florida Highlights
Florida offense is good in red zone (#72)
Florida has a really good defense (#18)
Florida has a good run defense (#7)
Florida has a great TO Margin (#116)

Florida Deficiencies
Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#75)


  
Georgia's OC Mike Bobo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck30241772%39412469.5
Gunner Stockton121963%148217.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daijun Edwards164881135.462
Kendall Milton121790146.551
Roderick Robinson II2419628.236
Cash Jones2216117.357
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brock Bowers56714612.849
Dominic Lovett (Tr)54613411.455
Marcus Rosemy34535415.750
Ladd McConkey30478215.954

View Georgia's Full Roster
Georgia's DC Will Muschamp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tykee Smith709222
Smael Mondon Jr.685221
Javon Bullard561005
Malaki Starks520007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalon Walker206510
Mykel Williams167502
Jamon Dumas-Johnson346412
Tykee Smith709222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamari Lassiter374108
Malaki Starks520007
Javon Bullard561005

Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)26035773%28782038.1
Max Brown192868%192016.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Montrell Johnson15281755.452
Trevor Etienne13175385.762
Treyaun Webb2616326.343
Ricky Pearsall362220.739
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ricky Pearsall64970415.261
Eugene Wilson6153868.830
Arlis Boardingham26289411.125
Kahleil Jackson21251112.045

View Florida's Full Roster
Florida's DC Austin Armstrong
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell592003
Shemar James556100
Scooby Williams524140
Jaydon Hill394223
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Princely Umanmielen39117160
Derek Wingo184321
Jaydon Hill394223
Kelby Collins242231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jason Marshall Jr.2631011
Jalen Kimber230015
Jordan Castell592003