Georgia at Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview
Georgia logo   Georgia Bulldogs at Tennessee Volunteers  Tennessee logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Georgia -9.0 (59.0) (-400)  Open: -7.5 | 59.5
Georgia 38 - Tennessee: 10  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (13 - 1) (5 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kirby Smart (84 - 15)
Avg Score : 32 - 18 (35 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.8 - 2.2 (#3)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN is playing their 6th straight game
UGA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Georgia -12  (SP+ UGA -16.5)

Projected Score: UGA: 37 - TENN: 25 (61)
UGA Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
UGA Travel: 142 miles
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Georgia vs UT Martin-50.056.5W 48 - 7UN
Sat 9/9 Georgia vs Ball State-42.052.5W 45 - 3UN
Sat 9/16 Georgia vs South Carolina-27.054.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 9/23 Georgia vs UAB-40.056.0W 49 - 21ON
Sat 9/30 Georgia at Auburn-14.044.5W 27 - 20ON
Sat 10/7 Georgia vs Kentucky-14.547.0W 51 - 13OY
Sat 10/14 Georgia at Vanderbilt-32.555.0W 37 - 20ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Georgia vs Florida-14.050.0W 43 - 20OY
Sat 11/4 Georgia vs Missouri-15.056.5W 30 - 21UN
Sat 11/11 Georgia vs Ole Miss-11.059.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/18 Georgia at Tennessee-9.059.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Georgia at Georgia Tech-23.059.5W 31 - 23UN
Sat 12/2 Georgia vs Alabama-5.056.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 12/30 Georgia vs Florida State-23.547.0W 63 - 3OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA.3753%32.151%3.2220555%2964.72.0636%17.635%37%3.1244.91.11.5
TENN.3751%39.851%3.319951%3264.81.1841%28.839%43%3.1669.50.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Offense1532.13552.7%4.721.1255012052965.551%49%51%55%10%.37
TENN Defense1328.82941.2%3.161.8 - - - - - 44%56%39%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Defense1517.62435.9%3.121.5 - - - - - 39%61%35%37%16%.06
TENN Offense1339.842.351.1%4.810.825526199326550%50%51%51%10%.37

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia1533:3424.751%87%4.444.91.11.55.42.3031.7
Tennessee1325:1425.441%68%8.169.50.81.872.4130.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Offense1551%51%37.1205.35.544.263.2269%6%1.01
TENN Defense1344%39% - - - - .042.6570%11%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Defense1539%35% - - - - -.012.5468%11%0.83
TENN Offense1350%51%40.2199.5540.293.380%7%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Offense1549%55%22.432.8295.8913.2317.491.424%45%.664%2
TENN Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 11.291.632%32%.335%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Defense1561%37% - - - - - - 12.111.534%24%.116%2
TENN Offense1350%51%22.332.5326.110.114.6383.451.625%32%.43%2.2

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 22.16  #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.78  #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: 5.15  #27
2023 Talent Rating: 977.87  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 78%  #3
Georgia's 2023 Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20
Georgia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5  #2
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #5
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0  #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 22.16   Tennessee: 13.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 29.5   Tennessee: 13.0




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 13.855  #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15  #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94  #31
2023 Talent Rating: 821.07  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 48  #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0  #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Georgia Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Georgia's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 37
Tennessee 25


Projected Total Points: 61
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Tennessee41Georgia44Georgia -3.5Tennessee50.5Over
202411/16Georgia31Tennessee17Georgia -8.5Georgia47.0Over
202311/18Tennessee10Georgia38Georgia -9.0Georgia59.0Under
202211/05Georgia27Tennessee13Georgia -9.5Georgia65.5Under
202111/13Tennessee17Georgia41Georgia -19Georgia56.0Over
202010/10Georgia44Tennessee21Georgia -12.0Georgia43.0Over
201910/05Tennessee14Georgia43Georgia -24Georgia51.0Over
201809/29Georgia38Tennessee12Georgia -30.5Tennessee55.0Under
201709/30Tennessee0Georgia41Georgia -10Georgia47.0Under
201610/01Georgia31Tennessee34Tennessee -2.5Tennessee51.5Over
201510/10Tennessee38Georgia31Georgia -2.5Tennessee59.5Over
201409/27Georgia35Tennessee32Georgia -18Tennessee0
201310/05Tennessee31Georgia34Georgia -10.5Tennessee0
201209/29Georgia51Tennessee44
201110/08Tennessee12Georgia20
201010/09Georgia41Tennessee14
200910/10Tennessee45Georgia19
200810/11Georgia26Tennessee14
200710/06Tennessee35Georgia14
200610/07Georgia33Tennessee51
200510/08Tennessee14Georgia27
200410/09Georgia14Tennessee19
200310/11Tennessee14Georgia41
200210/12Georgia18Tennessee13
200110/06Tennessee24Georgia26
200010/06Georgia21Tennessee10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee667 Overs
Georgia2074 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 136 - 73 - 23 - 5
Road Teams13 - 137 - 65 - 32 - 3

(#4) UGA at (#24) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUGATENN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #4 #24
SP+SP+ #2 #19
Perf GradeGrade #3 #37
OffenseOff #3 #59
DefenseDef #14 #33
Spec TeamsST #6 #13
TalentTal #2 #16
Blue ChipsBC% #3 #17
Georgia on Offense
CategoryCat
UGA OffTENN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #3 #33
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #4 #31
SP+SP+ #5 #31
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Georgia Run Game
CategoryCat
UGA OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #13 #68
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #9 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #44
Georgia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UGA OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #4 #25
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #10 #11
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatTENN OffUGA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #14
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #36 #27
SP+SP+ #28 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffUGA Def
Run GameRun #22 #22
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #1
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatTENN OffUGA Def
Pass GamePass #53 #9
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #73 #44
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'23 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Georgia 9.0 (59.0)
Georgia won at Tennessee this year (38-10)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Tennessee last year (44-41)
Georgia beat Tennessee in 2024 (31-17)
Georgia beat Tennessee in 2023 (38-10)

  
UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck30241772%39412469.5
Gunner Stockton121963%148217.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daijun Edwards164881135.462
Kendall Milton121790146.551
Roderick Robinson II2419628.236
Cash Jones2216117.357
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brock Bowers56714612.849
Dominic Lovett (Tr)54613411.455
Marcus Rosemy34535415.750
Ladd McConkey30478215.954

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Will Muschamp (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tykee Smith709222
Smael Mondon Jr.685221
Javon Bullard561005
Malaki Starks520007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalon Walker206510
Mykel Williams167502
Jamon Dumas-Johnson346412
Tykee Smith709222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamari Lassiter374108
Malaki Starks520007
Javon Bullard561005

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Milton23035565%28142057.9
Nico Iamaleava284562%314207.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Wright137101347.482
Dylan Sampson10660375.744
Jabari Small9547525.040
Joe Milton7829973.881
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Squirrel White68804211.883
Ramel Keyton35642618.360
McCallan Castles (Tr)22283512.943
Dont'E Thornton13224117.247

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Herring795111
Aaron Beasley6912313
Jaylen McCollough583014
Wesley Walker534112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.271410150
Tyler Baron2811652
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)266610
Aaron Beasley6912313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamal Hadden190017
Tamarion McDonald404114
Jaylen McCollough583014