Ball State at Georgia - 2023 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Georgia Bulldogs(#4)

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Georgia -42 (52.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia 45 - Ball State: 3

Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Neu (34 - 50)
Avg Score : 18 - 24 (15 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Shower Predicted
BALL 2nd straight Road Game
UGA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Georgia -40 (SP+ UGA -44)
Projected Score: BALL: 6 - UGA: 46 (52)
UGA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
BALL Travel: 447 miles

Bulldogs (13 - 1) (5 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kirby Smart (84 - 15)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (43 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.8 - 2.2 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
UGA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ball State at Kentucky	+25.0	49.0	L 14 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/9	Ball State at Georgia	+42.0	52.5	L 3 - 45	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ball State vs Indiana State	-26.0	45.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ball State vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	60.0	L 3 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ball State at Western Michigan	+1.5	50.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/7	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	+2.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/14	Ball State vs Toledo	+17.5	48.5	L 6 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+5.0	42.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Ball State at Bowling Green	+4.5	39.5	L 21 - 24	O	Y
Tue 11/7	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+9.5	43.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Ball State vs Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	+3.5	34.5	L 15 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Georgia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia vs UT Martin	-50.0	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia vs Ball State	-42.0	52.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia vs South Carolina	-27.0	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia vs UAB	-40.0	56.0	W 49 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/30	Georgia at Auburn	-14.0	44.5	W 27 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia vs Kentucky	-14.5	47.0	W 51 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Georgia at Vanderbilt	-32.5	55.0	W 37 - 20	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Georgia vs Florida	-14.0	50.0	W 43 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia vs Missouri	-15.0	56.5	W 30 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia vs Ole Miss	-11.0	59.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Georgia at Tennessee	-9.0	59.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia at Georgia Tech	-23.0	59.5	W 31 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/2	Georgia vs Alabama	-5.0	56.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/30	Georgia vs Florida State	-23.5	47.0	W 63 - 3	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	#97 (.14)	40% (95)	18.3	45% (50)	3.35 (22)	171	33% (127)	137	3.31 (105)	#70 (.18)	42% (66)	24.4	43% (65)	42% (70)	3.81 (70)	45.2	1.3	0.9
UGA	#4 (.4)	53% (5)	40.1	51% (8)	3.34 (25)	191	54% (4)	305	5.02 (3)	#25 (.11)	38% (28)	15.6	45% (86)	34% (5)	3.45 (41)	42.9	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	#98 (.14)	42% (78)		44% (70)	3.06 (61)	103	41% (72)	245	3.94 (65)	#128 (.32)	46% (118)		46% (103)	47% (121)	4.81 (133)	45.3	1.2	1.3
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)		46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)		39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	18.3	15.3	39.8%	3.31	1.3	18	308	171	137	4.4	58%	41%	45%	33%	17%	.14
UGA Defense	14	15.6	13.7	38.2%	3.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	45%	34%	16%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	24.4	32.7	41.8%	3.81	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	43%	42%	17%	.18
UGA Offense	14	40.1	42.7	52.5%	5.02	1	26	496	191	305	5.3	49%	51%	51%	54%	12%	.4

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	32:44	18.1	38%	56%	5.2	45.2	1.3	0.9	5.7	2.1	0	28.8
Georgia	14	33:27	26	55%	73%	4.4	42.9	1	1.2	4.9	2	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	58% (14)	45% (50)	39.3	171.4	4.4	15 (100)	.21 (38)	3.35 (22)	83% (8)	12% (112)	0.99 (70)
UGA Defense	14	45% (12)	45% (86)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.02 (51)	66% (26)	9% (94)	1.03 (86)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	48% (44)	43% (65)	-	-	-	-	.11 (45)	3.08 (62)	79% (102)	11% (35)	0.89 (23)
UGA Offense	14	49% (74)	51% (8)	35.8	191.1	5.3	40 (1)	.31 (5)	3.34 (25)	75% (58)	7% (19)	1.04 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	41% (119)	33% (127)	15.1	25.3	136.7	5.4	9.1	9 (126)	8 (30)	.05 (128)	1.4 (130)	33% (92)	24% (123)	.18 (110)	5% (25)	2 (104)
UGA Defense	14	54% (119)	34% (5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.08 (6)	1.5 (37)	35% (35)	24% (7)	.14 (5)	7% (35)	2 (49)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	51% (93)	42% (70)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.27 (70)	1.5 (29)	32% (61)	28% (30)	.21 (20)	5% (97)	2 (39)
UGA Offense	14	51% (52)	54% (4)	23.4	32.6	305.3	9.4	13	29 (18)	7 (21)	.52 (7)	1.4 (120)	25% (5)	45% (2)	.7 (3)	5% (17)	2 (93)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -8.44 #112
Ball State's Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Ball State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ball State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -8.44 Georgia: 28.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -14.9 Georgia: 29.5

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 28.33 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 78 #3
Georgia's 2023 Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20
Georgia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 18.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.3
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.7

Ball State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 46
Ball State 6

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 38
Ball State 15

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 35
Ball State 16

Total Points: 51

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 40.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.7
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Georgia's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Georgia	45	Ball State	3	Georgia -42	Push	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia	1	0	0 Overs
Ball State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#112) BALL at (#4) UGA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	UGA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#112	#4
SP+SP+	#116	#2
Perf GradeGrade	#117	#3
OffenseOff	#101	#3
DefenseDef	#119	#14
Spec TeamsST	#132	#6
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#3

Ball State Injury Report

Georgia Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	UGA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#14
SuccessSuc	#95	#28
ExplosiveExp	#126	#49
PPAPPA	#97	#25
PowerPwr	#98	#27
SP+SP+	#131	#5
Pts POPPO	#105	#41
HavocHav	#85	#67

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#52	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#50	#86
Run ExplRExp	#70	#86
PPAExp	#38	#85
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	#22	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#3	#29
TackleTak	-	#1

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#119	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	#127	#5
Pass ExplPExl	#130	#37
PPAExp	#128	#6
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#23	#44
F7 HavocF7	#112	#94
DB HavocDB	#25	#35

Georgia on Offense


CategoryCat	UGA Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#3	#119
SuccessSuc	#5	#66
ExplosiveExp	#91	#16
PPAPPA	#4	#70
PowerPwr	#4	#87
SP+SP+	#5	#61
Pts POPPO	#3	#70
HavocHav	#12	#60

Georgia Run Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	#13	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	#8	#65
Run ExplRExp	#46	#23
PPAExp	#5	#45
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#25	#62
Stuff RateStuff	#53	#99
TackleTak	-	#106

Georgia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	#4	#117
Pass SuccessPSuc	#4	#70
Pass ExplPExl	#120	#29
PPAExp	#7	#70
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#10	#103
F7 HavocF7	#19	#35
DB HavocDB	#17	#97

Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'23 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 80° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Georgia -42.0 (52.5)
Georgia won vs Ball State this year (45-3)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Ball State in 2023 (45-3)

BALL's OC Jared Elliott (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kiael Kelly	66	124	53%	577	2	3	4.7
Layne Hatcher (Tr)	65	98	66%	583	4	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)	227	1043	4	4.6	39
Kiael Kelly	134	723	7	5.4	55
Vaughn Pemberton	23	139	1	6.0	45
Rico Barfield	25	96	1	3.8	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Qian Magwood	41	358	1	8.7	32
Ahmad Edwards	31	354	1	11.4	57
Tanner Koziol	34	295	3	8.7	26
Marquez Cooper (Tr)	19	164	0	8.6	26

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keionte Newson	80	7	3	3	2
Cole Pearce	78	10	3	6	2
Jordan Riley-Scott	61	3	0	0	8
Sidney Houston Jr.	59	17	8	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sidney Houston Jr.	59	17	8	4	1
Mikhari Sibblis (Tr)	37	6	4	1	0
Cole Pearce	78	10	3	6	2
Keionte Newson	80	7	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Riley-Scott	61	3	0	0	8
Tyler Potts	27	3	1	0	6
Thailand Baldwin	30	0	0	1	5

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	302	417	72%	3941	24	6	9.5
Gunner Stockton	12	19	63%	148	2	1	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daijun Edwards	164	881	13	5.4	62
Kendall Milton	121	790	14	6.5	51
Roderick Robinson II	24	196	2	8.2	36
Cash Jones	22	161	1	7.3	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brock Bowers	56	714	6	12.8	49
Dominic Lovett (Tr)	54	613	4	11.4	55
Marcus Rosemy	34	535	4	15.7	50
Ladd McConkey	30	478	2	15.9	54

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Will Muschamp (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tykee Smith	70	9	2	2	2
Smael Mondon Jr.	68	5	2	2	1
Javon Bullard	56	1	0	0	5
Malaki Starks	52	0	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalon Walker	20	6	5	1	0
Mykel Williams	16	7	5	0	2
Jamon Dumas-Johnson	34	6	4	1	2
Tykee Smith	70	9	2	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kamari Lassiter	37	4	1	8
Malaki Starks	52	0	0	7
Javon Bullard	56	1	0	5