Oklahoma at Cincinnati - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#11)Oklahoma Sooners at Cincinnati Bearcats

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -13 (58.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Oklahoma 20 - Cincinnati: 6 (Big 12)

Sooners (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 42 - 24 (35 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OKLA 2nd straight Road Game
CIN 2nd straight Home Game
CIN is playing their 4th straight game
OKLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma -20 (SP+ OKLA -23.5)
Projected Score: OKLA: 39 - CIN: 19 (58)
OKLA Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
OKLA Travel: 761 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OKLA Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oklahoma's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma vs Arkansas State	-36.0	57.5	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma vs SMU	-16.5	68.5	W 28 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma at Tulsa	-28.0	58.5	W 66 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma at Cincinnati	-13.0	58.0	W 20 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Oklahoma vs Iowa State	-19.5	48.5	W 50 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Oklahoma vs Texas	+4.0	62.0	W 34 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma vs UCF	-17.0	67.5	W 31 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma at Kansas	-7.0	66.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma at Oklahoma State	-6.0	61.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma vs West Virginia	-13.5	59.5	W 59 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma at BYU	-24.5	58.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Oklahoma vs TCU	-12.5	66.5	W 69 - 45	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Oklahoma vs Arizona	+2.5	59.5	L 24 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky	-21.5	57.5	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Cincinnati at Pittsburgh	+6.5	44.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-14.5	44.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/23	Cincinnati vs Oklahoma	+13.0	58.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/29	Cincinnati at BYU	+1.0	47.5	L 27 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Cincinnati vs Iowa State	-4.0	42.5	L 10 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Cincinnati vs Baylor	-2.5	51.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/28	Cincinnati at Oklahoma State	+7.0	53.0	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/4	Cincinnati vs UCF	+3.5	59.5	L 26 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Cincinnati at Houston	+3.5	53.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Cincinnati at West Virginia	+4.5	52.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Cincinnati vs Kansas	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKLA	#9 (.34)	50% (8)	41.7	48% (22)	3.11 (67)	182	52% (6)	325	4.56 (18)	#27 (.12)	39% (32)	23.5	39% (31)	39% (36)	3.36 (28)	58.2	1.5	2
CIN	#63 (.2)	43% (51)	24.1	46% (40)	3.36 (18)	217	41% (73)	209	3.91 (68)	#129 (.32)	41% (56)	30	42% (56)	41% (66)	4.03 (89)	52.6	1.4	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)		43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)		33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)		44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)		46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKLA Offense	13	41.7	34.8	50.1%	4.56	1.5	25	507	182	325	4.6	49%	51%	48%	52%	13%	.34
CIN Defense	12	30	29	41.2%	4.03	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	41%	19%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKLA Defense	13	23.5	22.4	38.5%	3.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	39%	39%	17%	.12
CIN Offense	12	24.1	25.3	43.4%	3.91	1.4	22	426	217	209	5	56%	43%	46%	41%	15%	.2

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oklahoma	13	29:03	25.5	49%	68%	6.8	58.2	1.5	2	6.4	1.4	5	29.4
Cincinnati	12	31:58	22.3	42%	45%	5.7	52.6	1.4	1.1	5.7	1.5	0	25.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense	13	49% (73)	48% (22)	40.1	182.2	4.6	32 (10)	.16 (62)	3.11 (67)	85% (3)	8% (27)	0.95 (95)
CIN Defense	12	50% (68)	42% (56)	-	-	-	-	.26 (125)	2.99 (47)	75% (82)	12% (25)	1.38 (133)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense	13	45% (15)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	.05 (22)	2.65 (11)	47% (1)	10% (59)	1.06 (98)
CIN Offense	12	56% (26)	46% (40)	43.1	217.1	5	14 (106)	.24 (24)	3.36 (18)	63% (124)	10% (60)	1.08 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense	13	51% (54)	52% (6)	23.8	34.8	324.8	9.3	13.6	34 (9)	9 (40)	.55 (6)	1.6 (47)	29% (27)	38% (12)	.46 (27)	5% (34)	2.1 (39)
CIN Defense	12	49% (66)	41% (66)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.41 (121)	1.8 (120)	35% (26)	34% (118)	.42 (115)	7% (34)	2 (42)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense	13	54% (120)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	-	-	20 (2)	.2 (26)	1.7 (114)	36% (13)	31% (86)	.33 (75)	7% (41)	2.3 (124)
CIN Offense	12	43% (108)	41% (73)	18.2	30	209	7	11.5	21 (65)	11 (68)	.2 (93)	1.5 (94)	30% (35)	34% (41)	.46 (30)	5% (45)	2.1 (61)

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 18.63 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71% #5
Oklahoma's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10
Oklahoma's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 18.63 Cincinnati: -2.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 16.4 Cincinnati: -7.2

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.32 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 41.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.4

Oklahoma's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma 39
Cincinnati 19

Total Points: 58

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Cincinnati	6	Oklahoma	20	Oklahoma	Oklahoma -13	Oklahoma	58.0	Under
2010	09/25	Cincinnati	29	Oklahoma	31	Oklahoma
2008	09/06	Oklahoma	52	Cincinnati	26	Oklahoma

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	0	0	0 Overs
Oklahoma	3	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#7) Oklahoma Info
Power Rating: 18.63 #7
Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71% #5
Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10

Oklahoma has won 3 straight
Oklahoma has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Oklahoma Highlights
Oklahoma offense is efficent (#36)
Oklahoma offense is good in red zone (#19)
Oklahoma offense is good on 3rd downs
Oklahoma defense is really good in red zone (#7)
Oklahoma Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#85)
Oklahoma Defensive Line is very good (#55)
Oklahoma defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Oklahoma Deficiencies
Oklahoma Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Oklahoma Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Oklahoma does not Sack the QB (#47)
Oklahoma gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#111)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	CIN	OKLA
OverallOver	#73	#20
OffenseOff	#40	#18
DefenseDef	#100	#33
Special TeamsST	#99	#21
PassingPass	#77	#6
RushingRush	#23	#30
Run BlockRBLK	#28	#75
Pass BlockPBLK	#50	#38
Route RunningWR Rt	#54	#9
TacklingTkl	#70	#58
Run DefenseR Def	#101	#26
Pass Rush DefPRush	#51	#47
Coverage DefCov	#106	#55

Rematch from Week 4
Oklahoma 13.0 (58.0)
Oklahoma won at Cincinnati this year (20-6)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Cincinnati in 2023 (20-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OKLA | CIN
Depth Chart: OKLA | CIN
Rosters: OKLA | CIN

(#80) Cincinnati Info
Power Rating: -2.32 #80
Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Cincinnati has lost 1 straight
Cincinnati has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 6 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Cincinnati Highlights
Cincinnati has Really Good Running Game (#43)
Cincinnati has a top Offensive Line (#11)
Cincinnati Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#36)
Cincinnati Front 7 is disruptive (#41)

Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati does not Sack the QB (#13)
Cincinnati gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#14)

Oklahoma's OC Jeff Lebby

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dillon Gabriel	266	384	69%	3660	30	6	9.5
Jackson Arnold	44	69	64%	563	4	3	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Sawchuk	120	744	9	6.2	64
Tawee Walker	102	513	7	5.0	30
Dillon Gabriel	93	373	12	4.0	44
Marcus Major	78	308	1	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Drake Stoops	84	962	10	11.5	60
Nic Anderson	38	798	10	21.0	63
Jalil Farooq	45	694	2	15.4	49
Andrel Anthony Jr.	27	429	1	15.9	55

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

Oklahoma's DC Todd Bates

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Danny Stutsman	87	14	2	1	3
Billy Bowman	60	3	0	0	3
Jaren Kanak	58	6	2	4	0
Kip Lewis	57	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Downs	26	7	5	6	0
Marcus Stripling	6	3	3	1	0
Kendel Dolby	49	5	2	4	4
Danny Stutsman	87	14	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Woodi Washington	42	3	0	1	7
Kendel Dolby	49	5	2	4	4
Peyton Bowen	32	1	1	1	4

Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Emory Jones (Tr)	197	322	61%	2219	18	10	6.9
Brady Lichtenberg	19	34	56%	252	2	1	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Corey Kiner	192	1047	5	5.5	68
Emory Jones (Tr)	155	560	4	3.6	25
Myles Montgomery	66	428	3	6.5	63
Ryan Montgomery	54	329	1	6.1	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)	58	782	3	13.5	55
Braden Smith (Tr)	43	557	4	13.0	48
Chamon Metayer	23	258	5	11.2	35
Dee Wiggins (Tr)	20	246	2	12.3	39

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

Cincinnati's DC Bryan Brown

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deshawn Pace	80	11	2	6	5
Byron Threats	57	3	1	1	6
Dorian Jones (Tr)	56	3	1	1	2
Taj Ward	55	4	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daniel Grzesiak (Tr)	46	7	4	3	3
Dontay Corleone	39	7	3	2	1
Eric Phillips	14	6	2	5	1
Jowon Briggs	27	6	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Byron Threats	57	3	1	1	6
Jordan Young (Tr)	34	1	0	0	6
Justin Harris	31	3	0	1	6