Cincinnati at West Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview

Cincinnati Bearcats at West Virginia Mountaineers

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:30 PM EST)
West Virginia -4.5 (52.5) (0) Open: 0.0
West Virginia 42 - Cincinnati: 21 (Big 12)

Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CIN 2nd straight Road Game
WVU is playing their 6th straight game
CIN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: West Virginia -12 (SP+ WVU -13)
Projected Score: CIN: 21 - WVU: 33 (55)
WVU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 246 miles

Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
WVU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky	-21.5	57.5	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Cincinnati at Pittsburgh	+6.5	44.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-14.5	44.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/23	Cincinnati vs Oklahoma	+13.0	58.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/29	Cincinnati at BYU	+1.0	47.5	L 27 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Cincinnati vs Iowa State	-4.0	42.5	L 10 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Cincinnati vs Baylor	-2.5	51.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/28	Cincinnati at Oklahoma State	+7.0	53.0	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/4	Cincinnati vs UCF	+3.5	59.5	L 26 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Cincinnati at Houston	+3.5	53.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Cincinnati at West Virginia	+4.5	52.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Cincinnati vs Kansas	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	West Virginia at Penn State	+21.0	48.0	L 15 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/9	West Virginia vs Duquesne	-38.5	55.5	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/16	West Virginia vs Pittsburgh	-2.5	48.0	W 17 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/23	West Virginia vs Texas Tech	+6.0	53.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/30	West Virginia at TCU	+14.0	52.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	West Virginia at Houston	-3.0	49.5	L 39 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	West Virginia vs Oklahoma State	-3.0	48.0	L 34 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/28	West Virginia at UCF	+6.5	59.5	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/4	West Virginia vs BYU	-13.0	48.5	W 37 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	West Virginia at Oklahoma	+13.5	59.5	L 20 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/18	West Virginia vs Cincinnati	-4.5	52.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/25	West Virginia at Baylor	-6.5	53.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Wed 12/27	West Virginia vs North Carolina	-4.5	62.0	W 30 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	.18	40%	30.3	39%	3.01	130	41%	243	3.8	.09	37%	25.6	40%	35%	3.52	64.4	1.1	1.8
WVU	.21	43%	21.8	45%	3.08	172	42%	227	4.2	.21	44%	30.8	45%	43%	3.8	53	1.5	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WVU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	13	30.3	30.8	39.5%	3.8	1.1	19	372	130	243	4	46%	53%	39%	41%	17%	.18
WVU Defense	12	30.8	28.2	44.3%	3.8	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	43%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	13	25.6	35.3	37.2%	3.52	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	40%	35%	20%	.09
WVU Offense	12	21.8	22.7	43.3%	4.2	1.5	23	398	172	227	4.6	48%	51%	45%	42%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	13	28:14	18.5	36%	65%	7.5	64.4	1.1	1.8	6.7	2.7	3	29.2
West Virginia	12	31:19	23	41%	69%	6.4	53	1.5	1.3	5.7	2.2	2	26.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	13	46%	39%	32.8	129.7	4	19	.1	3.01	68%	10%	0.96
WVU Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.07	76%	10%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	13	54%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.01	82%	13%	1.01
WVU Offense	12	48%	45%	37.2	171.5	4.6	24	.2	3.08	70%	8%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	13	53%	41%	19.2	32.1	242.7	7.6	12.7	22	8	.28	1.6	35%	32%	.37	6%	1.9
WVU Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.3	1.6	30%	32%	.36	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	13	45%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.12	1.6	34%	28%	.3	7%	2.1
WVU Offense	12	51%	42%	21.3	35.5	226.7	6.4	10.7	20	12	.24	1.5	30%	34%	.32	7%	1.8

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 663.68 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -2.44 West Virginia: 6.935

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -7.2 West Virginia: 5.4

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 6.935 #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
2023 Talent Rating: 666.23 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
West Virginia 33
Cincinnati 21

Projected Total Points: 55

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Cincinnati	24	West Virginia	31	Cincinnati -5.5	West Virginia	54.5	Over
2023	11/18	West Virginia	42	Cincinnati	21	West Virginia -4.5	West Virginia	52.5	Over
2011	11/12	Cincinnati	21	West Virginia	24
2010	11/13	West Virginia	37	Cincinnati	10
2009	11/13	Cincinnati	24	West Virginia	21
2008	11/08	West Virginia	23	Cincinnati	26
2007	11/17	Cincinnati	23	West Virginia	28
2006	11/11	West Virginia	42	Cincinnati	24
2005	11/09	Cincinnati	0	West Virginia	38
2003	09/13	West Virginia	13	Cincinnati	15
2002	09/14	Cincinnati	32	West Virginia	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
West Virginia	8	2	2 Overs
Cincinnati	3	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 7	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 4	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#80) CIN at (#45) WVU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	WVU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#80	#45
SP+SP+	#88	#44
Perf GradeGrade	#89	#46
OffenseOff	#43	#31
DefenseDef	#127	#85
Spec TeamsST	#123	#127
TalentTal	#51	#50
Blue ChipsBC%	#51	#43

Cincinnati Injury Report

West Virginia Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	WVU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#85
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#45	#88
SP+SP+	#95	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	#33	#61
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#34	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#70

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#99
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#58	#85
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

West Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	WVU Off	CIN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#31	#127
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#32	#117
SP+SP+	#38	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

West Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	#6	#120
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#61	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#80

West Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	#28	#127
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#8	#64
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

CIN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
West Virginia -4.5 (52.5)
West Virginia won vs Cincinnati this year (42-21)

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat Cincinnati in 2024 (31-24)
West Virginia beat Cincinnati in 2023 (42-21)

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Emory Jones (Tr)	197	322	61%	2219	18	10	6.9
Brady Lichtenberg	19	34	56%	252	2	1	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Corey Kiner	192	1047	5	5.5	68
Emory Jones (Tr)	155	560	4	3.6	25
Myles Montgomery	66	428	3	6.5	63
Ryan Montgomery	54	329	1	6.1	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)	58	782	3	13.5	55
Braden Smith (Tr)	43	557	4	13.0	48
Chamon Metayer	23	258	5	11.2	35
Dee Wiggins (Tr)	20	246	2	12.3	39

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deshawn Pace	80	11	2	6	5
Byron Threats	57	3	1	1	6
Dorian Jones (Tr)	56	3	1	1	2
Taj Ward	55	4	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daniel Grzesiak (Tr)	46	7	4	3	3
Dontay Corleone	39	7	3	2	1
Eric Phillips	14	6	2	5	1
Jowon Briggs	27	6	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Byron Threats	57	3	1	1	6
Jordan Young (Tr)	34	1	0	0	6
Justin Harris	31	3	0	1	6

WVU's OC Chad Scott (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Greene	147	278	53%	2406	16	4	8.7
Nicco Marchiol	30	53	57%	247	2	3	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahiem White	109	842	4	7.7	53
CJ Donaldson	171	798	11	4.7	32
Garrett Greene	120	772	13	6.4	48
Justin Johnson	38	150	1	3.9	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Carter (Tr)	27	501	2	18.6	49
Hudson Clement	22	480	4	21.8	70
Kole Taylor (Tr)	35	444	4	12.7	43
Preston Fox	26	368	2	14.2	34

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lee Kpogba	97	8	3	8	1
Anthony Wilson (Tr)	80	2	0	0	4
Beanie Bishop (Tr)	67	1	0	0	20
Ben Cutter	56	6	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Bartlett	49	7	5	2	1
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)	23	6	4	1	0
Lee Kpogba	97	8	3	8	1
Edward Vesterinen	28	5	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beanie Bishop (Tr)	67	1	0	0	20
Marcis Floyd	50	5	2	6	7
Malachi Ruffin	37	0	0	0	5