Cincinnati at West Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:30 PM EST)
West Virginia -4.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
West Virginia 42 - Cincinnati: 21  (Big 12)

 
Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 2nd straight Road Game
WVU is playing their 6th straight game
CIN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: West Virginia -12   (SP+ WVU -13)

Projected Score: CIN: 21 - WVU: 33 (54)
WVU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 246 miles
Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 32 - 26 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky-21.557.5W 66 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh+6.544.5W 27 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-14.544.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/23 Cincinnati vs Oklahoma+13.058.0L 6 - 20UN
Fri 9/29 Cincinnati at BYU+1.047.5L 27 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Cincinnati vs Iowa State-4.042.5L 10 - 30UN
Sat 10/21 Cincinnati vs Baylor-2.551.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 10/28 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State+7.053.0L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/4 Cincinnati vs UCF+3.559.5L 26 - 28UY
Sat 11/11 Cincinnati at Houston+3.553.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Cincinnati at West Virginia+4.552.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Cincinnati vs Kansas+7.559.5L 16 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 West Virginia at Penn State+21.048.0L 15 - 38ON
Sat 9/9 West Virginia vs Duquesne-38.555.5W 56 - 17OY
Sat 9/16 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh-2.548.0W 17 - 6UY
Sat 9/23 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+6.053.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 9/30 West Virginia at TCU+14.052.0W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 West Virginia at Houston-3.049.5L 39 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 West Virginia vs Oklahoma State-3.048.0L 34 - 48ON
Sat 10/28 West Virginia at UCF+6.559.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 11/4 West Virginia vs BYU-13.048.5W 37 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 West Virginia at Oklahoma+13.559.5L 20 - 59ON
Sat 11/18 West Virginia vs Cincinnati-4.552.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/25 West Virginia at Baylor-6.553.5W 34 - 31ON
Wed 12/27 West Virginia vs North Carolina-4.562.0W 30 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#63 (.2)43% (51)24.146% (40)3.36 (18)21741% (73)2093.91 (68)#129 (.32)41% (56)3042% (56)41% (66)4.03 (89)52.61.41.1
WVU#35 (.27)45% (37)31.547% (29)3.24 (42)22943% (60)2064.04 (54)#78 (.19)42% (61)26.244% (76)40% (47)4.16 (106)46.411.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1224.122.443.4%3.911.422426217209556%43%46%41%15%.2
WVU Defense1326.218.741.5%4.161.2 - - - - - 47%52%44%40%19%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense123031.441.2%4.031.1 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%19%.32
WVU Offense1331.534.345.1%4.041224352292065.362%38%47%43%14%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1231:5822.342%45%5.752.61.41.15.71.5025.8
West Virginia1332:3022.240%53%5.146.411.25.62131.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1256% (26)46% (40)43.1217.1514 (106).24 (24)3.36 (18)63% (124)10% (60)1.08 (26)
WVU Defense1347% (31)44% (76) - - - - .16 (86)3.08 (63)76% (91)11% (49)1.02 (83)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1250% (68)42% (56) - - - - .26 (125)2.99 (47)75% (82)12% (25)1.38 (133)
WVU Offense1362% (6)47% (29)43.5228.95.332 (10).26 (15)3.24 (42)67% (108)9% (41)1.13 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1243% (108)41% (73)18.230209711.521 (65)11 (68).2 (93)1.5 (94)30% (35)34% (41).46 (30)5% (45)2.1 (61)
WVU Defense1352% (109)40% (47) - - - - - - 11 (53).26 (56)1.6 (82)32% (57)30% (71).36 (89)8% (10)2.1 (73)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1249% (66)41% (66) - - - - - - 8 (100).41 (121)1.8 (120)35% (26)34% (118).42 (115)7% (34)2 (42)
WVU Offense1338% (127)43% (60)13.725.5205.78.11518 (81)7 (21).32 (55)1.7 (38)31% (51)36% (20).47 (25)5% (47)2 (75)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -2.44   West Virginia: 6.935

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -7.2   West Virginia: 5.4




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 6.935 #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.4

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
West Virginia 33
Cincinnati 21


Total Points: 54

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Cincinnati24West Virginia31West VirginiaCincinnati -5.5West Virginia54.5Over
202311/18West Virginia42Cincinnati21West VirginiaWest Virginia -4.5West Virginia52.5Over
201111/12Cincinnati21West Virginia24West Virginia
201011/13West Virginia37Cincinnati10West Virginia
200911/13Cincinnati24West Virginia21Cincinnati
200811/08West Virginia23Cincinnati26Cincinnati
200711/17Cincinnati23West Virginia28West Virginia
200611/11West Virginia42Cincinnati24West Virginia
200511/09Cincinnati0West Virginia38West Virginia
200309/13West Virginia13Cincinnati15Cincinnati
200209/14Cincinnati32West Virginia35West Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia822 Overs
Cincinnati300 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 71 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams7 - 41 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#80) Cincinnati Info
Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60


Cincinnati has won 1 straight
Cincinnati has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Cincinnati Highlights
Cincinnati has Really Good Running Game (#43)
Cincinnati has a top Offensive Line (#11)
Cincinnati Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#36)
Cincinnati Front 7 is disruptive (#41)

Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati does not Sack the QB (#13)
Cincinnati gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#14)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWVUCIN
OverallOver#38#73
OffenseOff#28#40
DefenseDef#65#100
Special TeamsST#103#99
PassingPass#22#77
RushingRush#6#23
Run BlockRBLK#48#28
Pass BlockPBLK#8#50
Route RunningWR Rt#77#54
TacklingTkl#60#70
Run DefenseR Def#53#101
Pass Rush DefPRush#67#51
Coverage DefCov#80#106

Rematch from Week 12
West Virginia -4.5 (52.5)
West Virginia won vs Cincinnati this year (42-21)

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat Cincinnati last year (31-24)
West Virginia beat Cincinnati in 2023 (42-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CIN | WVU
Depth Chart: CIN | WVU
Rosters: CIN | WVU
(#45) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 6.935 #45
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70


West Virginia has lost 1 straight
West Virginia has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia Secondary is very good (#45)
West Virginia has a great TO Margin (#125)

West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#36)


  
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Emory Jones (Tr)19732261%221918106.9
Brady Lichtenberg193456%252217.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Kiner192104755.568
Emory Jones (Tr)15556043.625
Myles Montgomery6642836.563
Ryan Montgomery5432916.129
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)58782313.555
Braden Smith (Tr)43557413.048
Chamon Metayer23258511.235
Dee Wiggins (Tr)20246212.339

View Cincinnati's Full Roster
Cincinnati's DC Bryan Brown
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn Pace8011265
Byron Threats573116
Dorian Jones (Tr)563112
Taj Ward554102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Grzesiak (Tr)467433
Dontay Corleone397321
Eric Phillips146251
Jowon Briggs276220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Byron Threats573116
Jordan Young (Tr)341006
Justin Harris313016

West Virginia's OC Chad Scott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Greene14727853%24061648.7
Nicco Marchiol305357%247234.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahiem White10984247.753
CJ Donaldson171798114.732
Garrett Greene120772136.448
Justin Johnson3815013.930
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Carter (Tr)27501218.649
Hudson Clement22480421.870
Kole Taylor (Tr)35444412.743
Preston Fox26368214.234

View West Virginia's Full Roster
West Virginia's DC ShaDon Brown
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lee Kpogba978381
Anthony Wilson (Tr)802004
Beanie Bishop (Tr)6710020
Ben Cutter566201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett497521
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)236410
Lee Kpogba978381
Edward Vesterinen285310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beanie Bishop (Tr)6710020
Marcis Floyd505267
Malachi Ruffin370005