Cincinnati at BYU - 2023 Matchup Preview

Friday, September 29th 2023 (10:15 PM EDT)
BYU -1 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
BYU 35 - Cincinnati: 27 (Big 12)

Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BYU is playing their 5th straight game
CIN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: BYU -3 (SP+ BYU -4)
Projected Score: CIN: 24 - BYU: 27 (50)
BYU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
CIN Travel: 1439 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Cougars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (59 - 34)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (26 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
BYU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky	-21.5	57.5	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Cincinnati at Pittsburgh	+6.5	44.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-14.5	44.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/23	Cincinnati vs Oklahoma	+13.0	58.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/29	Cincinnati at BYU	+1.0	47.5	L 27 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Cincinnati vs Iowa State	-4.0	42.5	L 10 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Cincinnati vs Baylor	-2.5	51.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/28	Cincinnati at Oklahoma State	+7.0	53.0	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/4	Cincinnati vs UCF	+3.5	59.5	L 26 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Cincinnati at Houston	+3.5	53.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Cincinnati at West Virginia	+4.5	52.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Cincinnati vs Kansas	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

BYU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	BYU vs Sam Houston	-19.0	46.5	W 14 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	BYU vs Southern Utah	-30.5	46.5	W 41 - 16	O	N
Sat 9/16	BYU at Arkansas	+9.0	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	BYU at Kansas	+9.0	55.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Fri 9/29	BYU vs Cincinnati	-1.0	47.5	W 35 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	BYU at TCU	+5.0	52.5	L 11 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/21	BYU vs Texas Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/28	BYU at Texas	+20.5	48.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	BYU at West Virginia	+13.0	48.5	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/11	BYU vs Iowa State	+7.5	40.5	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	BYU vs Oklahoma	+24.5	58.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/25	BYU at Oklahoma State	+15.5	55.5	L 34 - 40	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	#63 (.2)	43% (51)	24.1	46% (40)	3.36 (18)	217	41% (73)	209	3.91 (68)	#129 (.32)	41% (56)	30	42% (56)	41% (66)	4.03 (89)	52.6	1.4	1.1
BYU	#120 (.08)	36% (125)	23.1	37% (126)	2.97 (94)	104	36% (115)	205	3.96 (61)	#88 (.21)	44% (97)	29.8	44% (75)	45% (117)	3.59 (50)	43	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)		44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)		46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2
BYU	#51 (.22)	45% (44)		47% (30)	3.23 (37)	148	43% (59)	216	3.73 (88)	#41 (.13)	41% (65)		46% (99)	37% (28)	3.79 (68)	37	1.4	2.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	12	24.1	22.4	43.4%	3.91	1.4	22	426	217	209	5	56%	43%	46%	41%	15%	.2
BYU Defense	12	29.8	22.2	44%	3.59	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	45%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	12	30	31.4	41.2%	4.03	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	41%	19%	.32
BYU Offense	12	23.1	25.7	35.9%	3.96	1.6	17	310	104	205	3.5	45%	54%	37%	36%	21%	.08

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	12	31:58	22.3	42%	45%	5.7	52.6	1.4	1.1	5.7	1.5	0	25.8
BYU	12	28:19	16.8	29%	50%	5.3	43	1.6	1.7	4.2	0.9	2	29.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	12	56% (26)	46% (40)	43.1	217.1	5	14 (106)	.24 (24)	3.36 (18)	63% (124)	10% (60)	1.08 (26)
BYU Defense	12	49% (57)	44% (75)	-	-	-	-	.19 (96)	3.35 (114)	66% (28)	8% (124)	1 (70)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	12	50% (68)	42% (56)	-	-	-	-	.26 (125)	2.99 (47)	75% (82)	12% (25)	1.38 (133)
BYU Offense	12	45% (101)	37% (126)	30	104.3	3.5	15 (100)	.06 (115)	2.97 (94)	76% (49)	12% (120)	1.05 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	12	43% (108)	41% (73)	18.2	30	209	7	11.5	21 (65)	11 (68)	.2 (93)	1.5 (94)	30% (35)	34% (41)	.46 (30)	5% (45)	2.1 (61)
BYU Defense	12	50% (75)	45% (117)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.29 (81)	1.5 (44)	32% (56)	37% (127)	.56 (131)	7% (39)	2 (43)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	12	49% (66)	41% (66)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.41 (121)	1.8 (120)	35% (26)	34% (118)	.42 (115)	7% (34)	2 (42)
BYU Offense	12	54% (30)	36% (115)	18.3	33	205.4	6.2	11.2	17 (85)	9 (40)	.13 (118)	1.7 (45)	36% (128)	23% (126)	.13 (123)	8% (127)	2.2 (29)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -2.44 BYU: -1.665

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -7.2 BYU: -3.7

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: -1.665 #89
BYU's Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
BYU's Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
BYU's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
BYU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.4

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
BYU 27
Cincinnati 24

Total Points: 50

BYU Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.2

BYU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/29	BYU	35	Cincinnati	27	BYU	BYU -1	BYU	47.5	Over
2016	11/05	Cincinnati	3	BYU	20	BYU	BYU -10	BYU	54.0	Under
2015	10/16	BYU	38	Cincinnati	24	BYU	BYU -7	BYU	68.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
BYU	3	3	1 Overs
Cincinnati	0	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 2

(#80) Cincinnati Info
Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Cincinnati has lost 2 straight
Cincinnati has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Cincinnati Highlights
Cincinnati has Really Good Running Game (#43)
Cincinnati has a top Offensive Line (#11)
Cincinnati Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#36)
Cincinnati Front 7 is disruptive (#41)

Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati does not Sack the QB (#13)
Cincinnati gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#14)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	BYU	CIN
OverallOver	#98	#73
OffenseOff	#90	#40
DefenseDef	#98	#100
Special TeamsST	#60	#99
PassingPass	#85	#77
RushingRush	#92	#23
Run BlockRBLK	#67	#28
Pass BlockPBLK	#17	#50
Route RunningWR Rt	#87	#54
TacklingTkl	#106	#70
Run DefenseR Def	#99	#101
Pass Rush DefPRush	#77	#51
Coverage DefCov	#98	#106

Rematch from Week 5
BYU -1.0 (47.5)
BYU won vs Cincinnati this year (35-27)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Cincinnati in 2023 (35-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CIN | BYU
Depth Chart: CIN | BYU
Rosters: CIN | BYU

(#89) BYU Info
Power Rating: -1.665 #89
Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

BYU has lost 1 straight
BYU has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

BYU Highlights
BYU offense is explosive (#34)
BYU commits very few Penalties (#6)
BYU defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

BYU Deficiencies
BYU Fumbles a Lot (#42)
BYU Can Not Run the Ball (#29)
BYU offense is really bad (#45)
BYU run game is really bad (#40)
BYU pass game is really bad (#74)
BYU offense is bad on 3rd Downs
BYU does not Sack the QB (#80)
BYU Does Not Stuff Runs (#1)
BYU has a bad defensive line (#1)

Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Emory Jones (Tr)	197	322	61%	2219	18	10	6.9
Brady Lichtenberg	19	34	56%	252	2	1	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Corey Kiner	192	1047	5	5.5	68
Emory Jones (Tr)	155	560	4	3.6	25
Myles Montgomery	66	428	3	6.5	63
Ryan Montgomery	54	329	1	6.1	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)	58	782	3	13.5	55
Braden Smith (Tr)	43	557	4	13.0	48
Chamon Metayer	23	258	5	11.2	35
Dee Wiggins (Tr)	20	246	2	12.3	39

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

Cincinnati's DC Bryan Brown

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deshawn Pace	80	11	2	6	5
Byron Threats	57	3	1	1	6
Dorian Jones (Tr)	56	3	1	1	2
Taj Ward	55	4	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daniel Grzesiak (Tr)	46	7	4	3	3
Dontay Corleone	39	7	3	2	1
Eric Phillips	14	6	2	5	1
Jowon Briggs	27	6	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Byron Threats	57	3	1	1	6
Jordan Young (Tr)	34	1	0	0	6
Justin Harris	31	3	0	1	6

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kedon Slovis (Tr)	153	266	58%	1716	12	6	6.5
Jake Retzlaff	63	125	50%	648	3	3	5.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LJ Martin	109	518	4	4.8	55
Aidan Robbins (Tr)	101	485	1	4.8	36
Jake Retzlaff	51	116	3	2.3	19
Miles Davis	16	78	0	4.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chase Roberts	42	573	5	13.6	59
Isaac Rex	34	422	3	12.4	65
Darius Lassiter (Tr)	29	365	4	12.6	47
Kody Epps	21	259	0	12.3	30

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Max Tooley	92	5	1	0	2
AJ Vongphachanh (Tr)	85	6	0	5	1
Ethan Slade	60	2	0	0	3
Crew Wakley (Tr)	59	4	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Batty	54	8	6	6	0
Max Tooley	92	5	1	0	2
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)	27	2	1	1	0
Eddie Heckard (Tr)	47	5	1	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jakob Robinson	59	1	0	0	7
Crew Wakley (Tr)	59	4	0	1	6
Eddie Heckard (Tr)	47	5	1	0	6