Cincinnati at Oklahoma State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma State -7 (53.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oklahoma State 45 - Cincinnati: 13  (Big 12)

 
Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OKST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma State -10   (SP+ OKST -13)

Projected Score: CIN: 22 - OKST: 32 (55)
OKST Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 717 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (31 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky-21.557.5W 66 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh+6.544.5W 27 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-14.544.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/23 Cincinnati vs Oklahoma+13.058.0L 6 - 20UN
Fri 9/29 Cincinnati at BYU+1.047.5L 27 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Cincinnati vs Iowa State-4.042.5L 10 - 30UN
Sat 10/21 Cincinnati vs Baylor-2.551.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 10/28 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State+7.053.0L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/4 Cincinnati vs UCF+3.559.5L 26 - 28UY
Sat 11/11 Cincinnati at Houston+3.553.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Cincinnati at West Virginia+4.552.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Cincinnati vs Kansas+7.559.5L 16 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas-25.559.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 Oklahoma State at Arizona State-2.553.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 9/16 Oklahoma State vs South Alabama-7.049.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 9/23 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+3.536.0L 27 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+11.553.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 10/14 Oklahoma State vs Kansas+3.054.0W 39 - 32OY
Sat 10/21 Oklahoma State at West Virginia+3.048.0W 48 - 34OY
Sat 10/28 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati-7.053.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/4 Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma+6.061.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Oklahoma State at UCF-2.563.5L 3 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 Oklahoma State at Houston-6.556.5W 43 - 30OY
Sat 11/25 Oklahoma State vs BYU-15.555.5W 40 - 34ON
Sat 12/2 Oklahoma State vs Texas+14.055.0L 21 - 49ON
Wed 12/27 Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M-4.056.0W 31 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#63 (.2)43% (51)24.146% (40)3.36 (18)21741% (73)2093.91 (68)#129 (.32)41% (56)3042% (56)41% (66)4.03 (89)52.61.41.1
OKST#69 (.19)43% (53)29.642% (78)2.84 (115)15545% (33)2773.92 (63)#116 (.26)40% (43)28.639% (33)42% (71)4.22 (107)41.41.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1224.122.443.4%3.911.422426217209556%43%46%41%15%.2
OKST Defense1428.624.340.1%4.221.6 - - - - - 50%50%39%42%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense123031.441.2%4.031.1 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%19%.32
OKST Offense1429.630.643.3%3.921.6224321552774.842%57%42%45%14%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1231:5822.342%45%5.752.61.41.15.71.5025.8
Oklahoma State1429:5621.638%55%541.41.61.65.71.8130.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1256% (26)46% (40)43.1217.1514 (106).24 (24)3.36 (18)63% (124)10% (60)1.08 (26)
OKST Defense1450% (63)39% (33) - - - - .15 (74)3 (49)76% (87)11% (48)1.17 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1250% (68)42% (56) - - - - .26 (125)2.99 (47)75% (82)12% (25)1.38 (133)
OKST Offense1442% (118)42% (78)32.1155.24.829 (22).14 (78)2.84 (115)65% (120)7% (9)1.1 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1243% (108)41% (73)18.230209711.521 (65)11 (68).2 (93)1.5 (94)30% (35)34% (41).46 (30)5% (45)2.1 (61)
OKST Defense1450% (74)42% (71) - - - - - - 12 (37).4 (119)1.9 (131)36% (11)28% (32).29 (52)4% (127)2.3 (122)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1249% (66)41% (66) - - - - - - 8 (100).41 (121)1.8 (120)35% (26)34% (118).42 (115)7% (34)2 (42)
OKST Offense1457% (15)45% (33)24.640.7276.56.811.318 (81)16 (121).27 (71)1.5 (113)31% (55)34% (36).34 (66)7% (101)1.9 (114)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -2.44   Oklahoma State: 5.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -7.2   Oklahoma State: 5.9




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 5.115 #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.4

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma State 32
Cincinnati 22


Total Points: 55

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Oklahoma State45Cincinnati13Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -7Oklahoma State53.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State111 Overs
Cincinnati000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#80) Cincinnati Info
Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60


Cincinnati has lost 5 straight
Cincinnati has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Cincinnati Highlights
Cincinnati has Really Good Running Game (#43)
Cincinnati has a top Offensive Line (#11)
Cincinnati Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#36)
Cincinnati Front 7 is disruptive (#41)

Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati does not Sack the QB (#13)
Cincinnati gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#14)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOKSTCIN
OverallOver#48#73
OffenseOff#39#40
DefenseDef#75#100
Special TeamsST#16#99
PassingPass#40#77
RushingRush#23#23
Run BlockRBLK#78#28
Pass BlockPBLK#31#50
Route RunningWR Rt#34#54
TacklingTkl#69#70
Run DefenseR Def#73#101
Pass Rush DefPRush#49#51
Coverage DefCov#86#106

Rematch from Week 9
Oklahoma State -7.0 (53.0)
Oklahoma State won vs Cincinnati this year (45-13)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Cincinnati in 2023 (45-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CIN | OKST
Depth Chart: CIN | OKST
Rosters: CIN | OKST
(#67) Oklahoma State Info
Power Rating: 5.115 #67
Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40


Oklahoma State has won 3 straight
Oklahoma State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Oklahoma State Highlights

Oklahoma State Deficiencies
Oklahoma State has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Oklahoma State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Oklahoma State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#97)
Oklahoma State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#125)
Oklahoma State has a bad red zone defense (#112)


  
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Emory Jones (Tr)19732261%221918106.9
Brady Lichtenberg193456%252217.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Kiner192104755.568
Emory Jones (Tr)15556043.625
Myles Montgomery6642836.563
Ryan Montgomery5432916.129
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)58782313.555
Braden Smith (Tr)43557413.048
Chamon Metayer23258511.235
Dee Wiggins (Tr)20246212.339

View Cincinnati's Full Roster
Cincinnati's DC Bryan Brown
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn Pace8011265
Byron Threats573116
Dorian Jones (Tr)563112
Taj Ward554102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Grzesiak (Tr)467433
Dontay Corleone397321
Eric Phillips146251
Jowon Briggs276220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Byron Threats573116
Jordan Young (Tr)341006
Justin Harris313016

Oklahoma State's OC Kasey Dunn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)30450161%346015146.9
Gunnar Gundy213462%202105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ollie Gordon2851731216.175
Jaden Nixon5019713.934
Elijah Collins (Tr)3014224.726
Gunnar Gundy154913.321
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brennan Presley10098869.929
Rashod Owens63895514.245
Leon Johnson III (Tr)33539116.367
Jaden Bray30382212.745

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster
Oklahoma State's DC Jim Bob Clements
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Kendal Daniels1056201
Trey Rucker1004001
Collin Oliver7316695
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Collin Oliver7316695
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)427310
Nathan Latu315330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Oliver7316695
Dylahn McKinney380005
Korie Black171005