Cincinnati at Oklahoma State Game Matchup

Cincinnati Bearcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma State -7 (53.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Oklahoma State 45 - Cincinnati: 13 (Big 12)

Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.9 MPH
OKST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma State -10 (SP+ OKST -13)
Projected Score: CIN: 23 - OKST: 33 (56)
OKST Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 717 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky	-21.5	57.5	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Cincinnati at Pittsburgh	+6.5	44.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-14.5	44.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/23	Cincinnati vs Oklahoma	+13.0	58.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/29	Cincinnati at BYU	+1.0	47.5	L 27 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Cincinnati vs Iowa State	-4.0	42.5	L 10 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Cincinnati vs Baylor	-2.5	51.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/28	Cincinnati at Oklahoma State	+7.0	53.0	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/4	Cincinnati vs UCF	+3.5	59.5	L 26 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Cincinnati at Houston	+3.5	53.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Cincinnati at West Virginia	+4.5	52.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Cincinnati vs Kansas	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas	-25.5	59.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma State at Arizona State	-2.5	53.5	W 27 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma State vs South Alabama	-7.0	49.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma State at Iowa State	+3.5	36.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	+11.5	53.5	W 29 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Oklahoma State vs Kansas	+3.0	54.0	W 39 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma State at West Virginia	+3.0	48.0	W 48 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati	-7.0	53.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma	+6.0	61.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma State at UCF	-2.5	63.5	L 3 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma State at Houston	-6.5	56.5	W 43 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Oklahoma State vs BYU	-15.5	55.5	W 40 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/2	Oklahoma State vs Texas	+14.0	55.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Wed 12/27	Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	56.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	.18	40%	25.2	39%	3.01	130	41%	243	3.8	.09	37%	24.6	40%	35%	3.52	64.4	1.1	1.8
OKST	.14	40%	27.2	40%	2.86	126	40%	280	4.08	.2	40%	35.6	41%	39%	3.77	33.5	1.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	13	25.2	23.7	39.5%	3.8	1.1	19	372	130	243	4	46%	53%	39%	41%	17%	.18
OKST Defense	13	35.6	34.8	39.5%	3.77	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	41%	39%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	13	24.6	30.3	37.2%	3.52	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	40%	35%	20%	.09
OKST Offense	13	27.2	30.8	39.6%	4.08	1.8	22	405	126	280	3.4	45%	54%	40%	40%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	13	28:14	18.5	36%	65%	7.5	64.4	1.1	1.8	6.7	2.7	3	29.2
Oklahoma State	13	27:46	22.2	35%	31%	3.5	33.5	1.8	1.5	6.6	1.9	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	13	46%	39%	32.8	129.7	4	19	.1	3.01	68%	10%	0.96
OKST Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.92	57%	10%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	13	54%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.01	82%	13%	1.01
OKST Offense	13	45%	40%	36.6	125.6	3.4	20	.07	2.86	73%	9%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	13	53%	41%	19.2	32.1	242.7	7.6	12.7	22	8	.28	1.6	35%	32%	.37	6%	1.9
OKST Defense	13	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.29	1.7	35%	32%	.48	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	13	45%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.12	1.6	34%	28%	.3	7%	2.1
OKST Offense	13	54%	40%	22.5	40.3	279.5	6.9	12.5	24	18	.21	1.6	33%	31%	.32	9%	2.2

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -2.44 Oklahoma State: 5.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -7.2 Oklahoma State: 5.9

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 5.115 #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
2023 Talent Rating: 686.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma State 33
Cincinnati 23

Projected Total Points: 56

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.8
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Oklahoma State	45	Cincinnati	13	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -7	Oklahoma State	53.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	1	1	1 Overs
Cincinnati	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#80) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Team Profile

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Cincinnati Ratings Matchup Oklahoma State

Power #80

#67

Off #45

#82

Def #117

#75

Talent #52

#53

SP+ #88

#42

SP+ Off #95

#31

SP+ Def #82

#75

Rematch from Week 9
Oklahoma State -7.0 (53.0)
Oklahoma State won vs Cincinnati this year (45-13)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Cincinnati in 2023 (45-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 40° - Wind: 14 mph

Team Information
Injuries: CIN | OKST
Depth Chart: CIN | OKST
Rosters: CIN | OKST

(#67) Oklahoma State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.115 #67
Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 686.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40

Team Profile

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Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Prater	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Corey Kiner	204	1153	4	5.7	46
Myles Montgomery	51	293	3	5.7	25
Victor Dawson	7	63	0	9.0	47

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)	58	735	4	12.7	42
Chamon Metayer	32	306	5	9.6	29
Payten Singletary	17	197	2	11.6	34
Corey Kiner	15	105	0	7.0	14

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

Cincinnati's DC Bryan Brown

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
George Udo (Tr)	78	2	1	1	1
Deshawn Pace	61	4	0	0	1
Derrick Shepard	34	1	0	0	0
Cecil Doggette Jr.	32	7	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eric Phillips	19	5	3	6	0
Cecil Doggette Jr.	32	7	3	3	0
Dion Hunter	8	1	1	1	0
Todd Bumphis	8	1	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Todd Bumphis	8	1	1	0	3
Oliver Bridges	15	1	0	0	2
George Udo (Tr)	78	2	1	1	1

Oklahoma State's OC Kasey Dunn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)	204	340	60%	2442	17	12	7.2
Ollie Gordon	1	1	100%	27	0	0	27.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Nixon	132	874	12	6.6	92
Ollie Gordon	189	858	12	4.5	68
Brennan Presley	8	59	1	7.4	22
Jake Schultz	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brennan Presley	89	764	7	8.6	36
Rashod Owens	32	515	4	16.1	58
Ollie Gordon	30	201	2	6.7	22
Jaden Bray	2	88	0	44.0	44

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

Oklahoma State's DC Jim Bob Clements

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Rucker	84	1	0	0	1
Dylahn McKinney	59	3	0	0	8
Nickolas Martin	47	8	1	5	2
Lardarius Webb Jr.	40	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Ross	12	3	3	1	1
Kody Walterscheid	22	2	2	2	1
Nickolas Martin	47	8	1	5	2
Collin Oliver	4	2	1	7	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Korie Black	36	0	9
Dylahn McKinney	59	3	8
Lardarius Webb Jr.	40	2	3