Cincinnati at Pittsburgh - 2023 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -6.5 (44.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Cincinnati 27 - Pittsburgh: 21

 
Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -3   (SP+ PITT -0)
Projected Score: CIN: 24 - PITT: 27 (56)
PITT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
CIN Travel: 256 miles
Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky-21.557.5W 66 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh+6.544.5W 27 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-14.544.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/23 Cincinnati vs Oklahoma+13.058.0L 6 - 20UN
Fri 9/29 Cincinnati at BYU+1.047.5L 27 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Cincinnati vs Iowa State-4.042.5L 10 - 30UN
Sat 10/21 Cincinnati vs Baylor-2.551.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 10/28 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State+7.053.0L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/4 Cincinnati vs UCF+3.559.5L 26 - 28UY
Sat 11/11 Cincinnati at Houston+3.553.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Cincinnati at West Virginia+4.552.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Cincinnati vs Kansas+7.559.5L 16 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Pittsburgh vs Wofford-37.549.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-6.544.5L 21 - 27ON
Sat 9/16 Pittsburgh at West Virginia+2.548.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina+7.049.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-3.040.0L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+7.544.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Pittsburgh at Wake Forest-3.045.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Pittsburgh at Notre Dame+21.045.5L 7 - 58ON
Sat 11/4 Pittsburgh vs Florida State+21.550.0L 7 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-4.537.5L 13 - 28ON
Thu 11/16 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-1.047.0W 24 - 16UY
Sat 11/25 Pittsburgh at Duke+4.540.5L 19 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN.1840%25.239%3.0113041%2433.8.0937%24.640%35%3.5264.41.11.8
PITT.1843%32.946%3.2118341%2223.84.0636%28.436%37%3.6263.71.52.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1325.223.739.5%3.81.119372130243446%53%39%41%17%.18
PITT Defense1328.421.636.3%3.622.2 - - - - - 42%57%36%37%22%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1324.630.337.2%3.521.8 - - - - - 54%45%40%35%20%.09
PITT Offense1332.937.643.4%3.841.5214051832224.655%44%46%41%16%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1328:1418.536%65%7.564.41.11.86.72.7329.2
Pittsburgh1333:1421.539%50%7.463.71.52.26.43.6530.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1346%39%32.8129.7419.13.0168%10%0.96
PITT Defense1342%36% - - - - .082.6176%12%1.16
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1354%40% - - - - .13.0182%13%1.01
PITT Offense1355%46%40.2183.14.630.183.2178%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1353%41%19.232.1242.77.612.7228.281.635%32%.376%1.9
PITT Defense1357%37% - - - - - - 14.081.639%29%.2910%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1345%35% - - - - - - 11.121.634%28%.37%2.1
PITT Offense1344%41%17.230.2222.27.4131311.261.631%32%.316%1.9

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -2.44   Pittsburgh: -1.67

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -7.2   Pittsburgh: -6.9




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.67 #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
2023 Talent Rating: 672.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 27
Cincinnati 24

Projected Total Points: 56
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Cincinnati27Pittsburgh28PittsburghPittsburgh -2.5Cincinnati62.5Under
202309/09Pittsburgh21Cincinnati27CincinnatiPittsburgh -6.5Cincinnati44.5Over
201209/06Cincinnati34Pittsburgh10Cincinnati
201111/05Pittsburgh23Cincinnati26Cincinnati
201012/04Cincinnati10Pittsburgh28Pittsburgh
200912/05Pittsburgh44Cincinnati45Cincinnati
200811/22Cincinnati28Pittsburgh21Cincinnati
200710/20Pittsburgh24Cincinnati17Pittsburgh
200609/08Cincinnati15Pittsburgh33Pittsburgh
200510/08Pittsburgh38Cincinnati20Pittsburgh
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh501 Overs
Cincinnati521 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 61 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams6 - 41 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#80) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Team Profile






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Cincinnati     Ratings Matchup     Pittsburgh
Power #80
#72
Off #45
#115
Def #117
#35
Talent #52
#57
SP+ #88
#86
SP+ Off #95
#106
SP+ Def #82
#58

Rematch from Week 2
Pittsburgh -6.5 (44.5)
Cincinnati won at Pittsburgh this year (27-21)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati last year (28-27)
Cincinnati beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (27-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 73° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: CIN | PITT
Depth Chart: CIN | PITT
Rosters: CIN | PITT
(#72) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.67 #72
Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58
Talent Rating: 672.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10

Team Profile






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Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Prater010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Kiner204115345.746
Myles Montgomery5129335.725
Victor Dawson76309.047
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)58735412.742
Chamon Metayer3230659.629
Payten Singletary17197211.634
Corey Kiner1510507.014

View Cincinnati's Full Roster
Cincinnati's DC Bryan Brown
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
George Udo (Tr)782111
Deshawn Pace614001
Derrick Shepard341000
Cecil Doggette Jr.327330
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Phillips195360
Cecil Doggette Jr.327330
Dion Hunter81110
George Udo (Tr)782111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Todd Bumphis81103
Oliver Bridges151002
Dorian Jones (Tr)181011

Pittsburgh's OC Frank Cignetti Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)16629157%204713117.0
Gavin Bartholomew010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Carter2220849.543
Christian Veilleux (Tr)287412.623
Gavin Bartholomew1202.02
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Konata Mumpfield52813515.646
Gavin Bartholomew3832948.721
Israel Polk2420108.419
Cole Mitchell11124211.340

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)1151007
Brandon George806270
Rashad Battle351018
P.J. O'Brien331001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Okunlola307310
Dayon Hayes164200
Brandon George806270
Solomon Deshields232120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rashad Battle351018
Donovan McMillon (Tr)1151007
Daniel Carter00011