Cincinnati at Pittsburgh - 2023 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -6.5 (44.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Cincinnati 27 - Pittsburgh: 21

 
Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Pittsburgh -3   (SP+ PITT -0)

Projected Score: CIN: 22 - PITT: 25 (48)
PITT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
CIN Travel: 256 miles
Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (27 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky-21.557.5W 66 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh+6.544.5W 27 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-14.544.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/23 Cincinnati vs Oklahoma+13.058.0L 6 - 20UN
Fri 9/29 Cincinnati at BYU+1.047.5L 27 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Cincinnati vs Iowa State-4.042.5L 10 - 30UN
Sat 10/21 Cincinnati vs Baylor-2.551.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 10/28 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State+7.053.0L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/4 Cincinnati vs UCF+3.559.5L 26 - 28UY
Sat 11/11 Cincinnati at Houston+3.553.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Cincinnati at West Virginia+4.552.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Cincinnati vs Kansas+7.559.5L 16 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Pittsburgh vs Wofford-37.549.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-6.544.5L 21 - 27ON
Sat 9/16 Pittsburgh at West Virginia+2.548.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina+7.049.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-3.040.0L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+7.544.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Pittsburgh at Wake Forest-3.045.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Pittsburgh at Notre Dame+21.045.5L 7 - 58ON
Sat 11/4 Pittsburgh vs Florida State+21.550.0L 7 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-4.537.5L 13 - 28ON
Thu 11/16 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-1.047.0W 24 - 16UY
Sat 11/25 Pittsburgh at Duke+4.540.5L 19 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#63 (.2)43% (51)24.146% (40)3.36 (18)21741% (73)2093.91 (68)#129 (.32)41% (56)3042% (56)41% (66)4.03 (89)52.61.41.1
PITT#119 (.09)38% (113)20.241% (90)2.86 (109)10235% (117)2163.46 (98)#23 (.11)39% (39)27.339% (32)41% (67)3.41 (33)64.41.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1224.122.443.4%3.911.422426217209556%43%46%41%15%.2
PITT Defense1227.322.739.4%3.411.3 - - - - - 58%41%39%41%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense123031.441.2%4.031.1 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%19%.32
PITT Offense1220.226.537.7%3.461.8163181022163.445%54%41%35%19%.09

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1231:5822.342%45%5.752.61.41.15.71.5025.8
Pittsburgh1227:3616.331%50%7.864.41.81.36.92.5226.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1256% (26)46% (40)43.1217.1514 (106).24 (24)3.36 (18)63% (124)10% (60)1.08 (26)
PITT Defense1258% (131)39% (32) - - - - .03 (17)2.91 (37)62% (16)12% (18)0.98 (57)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1250% (68)42% (56) - - - - .26 (125)2.99 (47)75% (82)12% (25)1.38 (133)
PITT Offense1245% (100)41% (90)29.7101.93.410 (124).06 (118)2.86 (109)75% (52)11% (94)0.89 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1243% (108)41% (73)18.230209711.521 (65)11 (68).2 (93)1.5 (94)30% (35)34% (41).46 (30)5% (45)2.1 (61)
PITT Defense1241% (3)41% (67) - - - - - - 10 (67).27 (67)1.7 (103)32% (58)30% (75).29 (58)6% (85)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1249% (66)41% (66) - - - - - - 8 (100).41 (121)1.8 (120)35% (26)34% (118).42 (115)7% (34)2 (42)
PITT Offense1254% (34)35% (117)16302167.213.517 (85)12 (85).16 (109)1.7 (36)34% (103)24% (122).17 (114)8% (123)2.2 (26)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -2.44   Pittsburgh: -1.67

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -7.2   Pittsburgh: -6.9




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.67 #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.4

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 25
Cincinnati 22


Total Points: 48

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Cincinnati27Pittsburgh28PittsburghPittsburgh -2.5Cincinnati62.5Under
202309/09Pittsburgh21Cincinnati27CincinnatiPittsburgh -6.5Cincinnati44.5Over
201209/06Cincinnati34Pittsburgh10Cincinnati
201111/05Pittsburgh23Cincinnati26Cincinnati
201012/04Cincinnati10Pittsburgh28Pittsburgh
200912/05Pittsburgh44Cincinnati45Cincinnati
200811/22Cincinnati28Pittsburgh21Cincinnati
200710/20Pittsburgh24Cincinnati17Pittsburgh
200609/08Cincinnati15Pittsburgh33Pittsburgh
200510/08Pittsburgh38Cincinnati20Pittsburgh
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh501 Overs
Cincinnati521 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 61 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams6 - 41 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#80) Cincinnati Info
Power Rating: -2.44 #80
Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60


Cincinnati has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Cincinnati Highlights
Cincinnati has Really Good Running Game (#43)
Cincinnati has a top Offensive Line (#11)
Cincinnati Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#36)
Cincinnati Front 7 is disruptive (#41)

Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati does not Sack the QB (#13)
Cincinnati gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#14)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatPITTCIN
OverallOver#98#73
OffenseOff#108#40
DefenseDef#65#100
Special TeamsST#59#99
PassingPass#104#77
RushingRush#54#23
Run BlockRBLK#102#28
Pass BlockPBLK#81#50
Route RunningWR Rt#56#54
TacklingTkl#75#70
Run DefenseR Def#51#101
Pass Rush DefPRush#89#51
Coverage DefCov#67#106

Rematch from Week 2
Pittsburgh -6.5 (44.5)
Cincinnati won at Pittsburgh this year (27-21)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati last year (28-27)
Cincinnati beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (27-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CIN | PITT
Depth Chart: CIN | PITT
Rosters: CIN | PITT
(#72) Pittsburgh Info
Power Rating: -1.67 #72
Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10


Pittsburgh has won 1 straight
Pittsburgh has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)

Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh has a really bad Offense
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh offense is really bad (#48)
Pittsburgh Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#93)
Pittsburgh pass game is really bad (#51)
Pittsburgh offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Emory Jones (Tr)19732261%221918106.9
Brady Lichtenberg193456%252217.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Kiner192104755.568
Emory Jones (Tr)15556043.625
Myles Montgomery6642836.563
Ryan Montgomery5432916.129
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)58782313.555
Braden Smith (Tr)43557413.048
Chamon Metayer23258511.235
Dee Wiggins (Tr)20246212.339

View Cincinnati's Full Roster
Cincinnati's DC Bryan Brown
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn Pace8011265
Byron Threats573116
Dorian Jones (Tr)563112
Taj Ward554102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Grzesiak (Tr)467433
Dontay Corleone397321
Eric Phillips146251
Jowon Briggs276220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Byron Threats573116
Jordan Young (Tr)341006
Justin Harris313016

Pittsburgh's OC Frank Cignetti Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)9418451%1179786.4
Phil Jurkovec (Tr)5711251%818637.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Hammond Jr.11854744.666
C'Bo Flemister9836723.738
Daniel Carter2813424.822
Kenny Johnson107207.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerrod Means41721617.675
Konata Mumpfield44576513.182
Gavin Bartholomew18326118.160
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)28316011.331

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)1051001
Javon Mcintyre854007
Solomon Deshields588241
Bangally Kamara537251
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Okunlola186500
Shayne Simon488552
Dayon Hayes4511464
Bam Brima314341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
M.J. Devonshire3210010
Javon Mcintyre854007
Dayon Hayes4511464