Kansas at Cincinnati - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Kansas -7.5 (59.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Kansas 49 - Cincinnati: 16 (Big 12)

Jayhawks (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (31 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CIN is playing their 7th straight game
KU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Kansas -11 (SP+ KU -16.5)
Projected Score: KU: 34 - CIN: 23 (57)
KU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
KU Travel: 576 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KU Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Kansas vs Missouri State	-32.5	60.5	W 48 - 17	O	N
Fri 9/8	Kansas vs Illinois	-3.5	57.5	W 34 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Kansas at Nevada	-28.5	58.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	Kansas vs BYU	-9.0	55.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Kansas at Texas	+15.5	61.0	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kansas vs UCF	+2.0	65.0	W 51 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Kansas at Oklahoma State	-3.0	54.0	L 32 - 39	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kansas vs Oklahoma	+7.0	66.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Kansas at Iowa State	+2.5	53.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Kansas vs Texas Tech	-3.5	61.5	L 13 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/18	Kansas vs Kansas State	+7.0	60.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Kansas at Cincinnati	-7.5	59.5	W 49 - 16	O	Y
Tue 12/26	Kansas vs UNLV	-8.0	64.5	W 49 - 36	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky	-21.5	57.5	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Cincinnati at Pittsburgh	+6.5	44.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-14.5	44.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/23	Cincinnati vs Oklahoma	+13.0	58.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/29	Cincinnati at BYU	+1.0	47.5	L 27 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Cincinnati vs Iowa State	-4.0	42.5	L 10 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Cincinnati vs Baylor	-2.5	51.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/28	Cincinnati at Oklahoma State	+7.0	53.0	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/4	Cincinnati vs UCF	+3.5	59.5	L 26 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Cincinnati at Houston	+3.5	53.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Cincinnati at West Virginia	+4.5	52.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Cincinnati vs Kansas	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	#5 (.4)	48% (13)	34.8	47% (28)	3.42 (10)	206	51% (9)	240	4.43 (27)	#83 (.2)	45% (108)	26.5	46% (101)	44% (102)	4.15 (102)	56.9	1.3	1.5
CIN	#63 (.2)	43% (51)	24.1	46% (40)	3.36 (18)	217	41% (73)	209	3.91 (68)	#129 (.32)	41% (56)	30	42% (56)	41% (66)	4.03 (89)	52.6	1.4	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	#9 (.32)	48% (16)		49% (15)	3.6 (3)	213	48% (11)	209	4.68 (11)	#108 (.23)	45% (99)		46% (104)	43% (95)	3.83 (73)	38.4	1.4	1.4
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)		44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)		46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Offense	13	34.8	30.8	48.1%	4.43	1.3	21	446	206	240	5.4	59%	40%	47%	51%	13%	.4
CIN Defense	12	30	29	41.2%	4.03	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	41%	19%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Defense	13	26.5	28	44.9%	4.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	44%	15%	.2
CIN Offense	12	24.1	25.3	43.4%	3.91	1.4	22	426	217	209	5	56%	43%	46%	41%	15%	.2

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas	13	30:55	21.5	48%	37%	5.6	56.9	1.3	1.5	4.6	1.8	4	28.4
Cincinnati	12	31:58	22.3	42%	45%	5.7	52.6	1.4	1.1	5.7	1.5	0	25.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Offense	13	59% (13)	47% (28)	38.4	206	5.4	32 (10)	.24 (20)	3.42 (10)	75% (52)	8% (30)	1.06 (36)
CIN Defense	12	50% (68)	42% (56)	-	-	-	-	.26 (125)	2.99 (47)	75% (82)	12% (25)	1.38 (133)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Defense	13	52% (95)	46% (101)	-	-	-	-	.2 (101)	3.23 (99)	78% (98)	8% (111)	1 (73)
CIN Offense	12	56% (26)	46% (40)	43.1	217.1	5	14 (106)	.24 (24)	3.36 (18)	63% (124)	10% (60)	1.08 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Offense	13	40% (122)	51% (9)	15.4	23.9	240.1	10	15.6	24 (41)	11 (68)	.67 (1)	1.9 (4)	31% (52)	35% (24)	.5 (18)	5% (26)	2.2 (20)
CIN Defense	12	49% (66)	41% (66)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.41 (121)	1.8 (120)	35% (26)	34% (118)	.42 (115)	7% (34)	2 (42)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Defense	13	48% (43)	44% (102)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.23 (47)	1.5 (23)	31% (75)	30% (59)	.29 (51)	7% (48)	2 (50)
CIN Offense	12	43% (108)	41% (73)	18.2	30	209	7	11.5	21 (65)	11 (68)	.2 (93)	1.5 (94)	30% (35)	34% (41)	.46 (30)	5% (45)	2.1 (61)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 7.75 #27
Kansas's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.15 #98
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Kansas's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
Kansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 7.75 Cincinnati: -2.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 9.3 Cincinnati: -7.2

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.32 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 34.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Kansas's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas 34
Cincinnati 23

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas 29
Cincinnati 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Kansas 31
Cincinnati 26

Total Points: 57

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Kansas	34	Cincinnati	37	Kansas -5.5	Cincinnati	55.5	Over
2023	11/25	Cincinnati	16	Kansas	49	Kansas -7.5	Kansas	59.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	1	1	2 Overs
Kansas	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#27) KU at (#80) CIN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KU	CIN
Power RatePwr	#27	#80
SP+SP+	#31	#88
Perf GradeGrade	#16	#89
OffenseOff	#9	#43
DefenseDef	#54	#127
Spec TeamsST	#10	#123
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#69	#51

Kansas Injury Report

Cincinnati Injury Report

Kansas on Offense


CategoryCat	KU Off	CIN Def
Perf GradePerf	#9	#127
SuccessSuc	#13	#56
ExplosiveExp	#7	#132
PPAPPA	#5	#129
PowerPwr	#8	#117
SP+SP+	#22	#82
Pts POPPO	#27	#89
HavocHav	#16	#20

Kansas Run Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	#48	#120
Run SuccessRSuc	#28	#56
Run ExplRExp	#36	#133
PPAExp	#20	#125
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	#10	#47
Stuff RateStuff	#25	#5
TackleTak	-	#80

Kansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#127
Pass SuccessPSuc	#9	#66
Pass ExplPExl	#4	#120
PPAExp	#1	#121
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#21	#64
F7 HavocF7	#30	#25
DB HavocDB	#26	#34

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	KU Def
Perf GradePerf	#43	#54
SuccessSuc	#51	#108
ExplosiveExp	#85	#32
PPAPPA	#63	#83
PowerPwr	#45	#98
SP+SP+	#95	#58
Pts POPPO	#68	#102
HavocHav	#58	#95

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	KU Def
Run GameRun	#33	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	#40	#101
Run ExplRExp	#26	#73
PPAExp	#24	#101
Run BlockR Blk	#34	-
OL YdsOLY	#18	#99
Stuff RateStuff	#41	#127
TackleTak	-	#82

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	KU Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	#73	#102
Pass ExplPExl	#94	#23
PPAExp	#93	#47
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#58	#89
F7 HavocF7	#60	#111
DB HavocDB	#45	#48

Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 34°

Rematch from Week 13
Kansas 7.5 (59.5)
Kansas won at Cincinnati this year (49-16)

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat Cincinnati in 2023 (49-16)

KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jason Bean	124	199	62%	2130	18	7	10.7
Jalon Daniels	56	75	75%	705	5	1	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Neal	203	1280	16	6.3	75
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	121	626	8	5.2	29
Jason Bean	47	282	3	6.0	50
Dylan McDuffie (Tr)	45	253	4	5.6	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lawrence Arnold	44	782	6	17.8	80
Quentin Skinner	29	587	2	20.2	49
Luke Grimm	33	555	6	16.8	60
Mason Fairchild	27	451	3	16.7	59

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kenny Logan Jr.	86	5	0	0	6
Austin Booker (Tr)	55	12	8	0	1
JB Brown (Tr)	54	5	2	1	2
Rich Miller	52	3	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Austin Booker (Tr)	55	12	8	0	1
Jereme Robinson	23	6	5	5	6
JB Brown (Tr)	54	5	2	1	2
Rich Miller	52	3	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ra'Mello Dotson	34	1	1	1	8
Kenny Logan Jr.	86	5	0	0	6
Jereme Robinson	23	6	5	5	6

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Emory Jones (Tr)	197	322	61%	2219	18	10	6.9
Brady Lichtenberg	19	34	56%	252	2	1	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Corey Kiner	192	1047	5	5.5	68
Emory Jones (Tr)	155	560	4	3.6	25
Myles Montgomery	66	428	3	6.5	63
Ryan Montgomery	54	329	1	6.1	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)	58	782	3	13.5	55
Braden Smith (Tr)	43	557	4	13.0	48
Chamon Metayer	23	258	5	11.2	35
Dee Wiggins (Tr)	20	246	2	12.3	39

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deshawn Pace	80	11	2	6	5
Byron Threats	57	3	1	1	6
Dorian Jones (Tr)	56	3	1	1	2
Taj Ward	55	4	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daniel Grzesiak (Tr)	46	7	4	3	3
Dontay Corleone	39	7	3	2	1
Eric Phillips	14	6	2	5	1
Jowon Briggs	27	6	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Byron Threats	57	3	1	1	6
Jordan Young (Tr)	34	1	0	0	6
Justin Harris	31	3	0	1	6