Miami (OH) at Cincinnati Game Matchup
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -14.5 (44.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 31 - Cincinnati: 24

 
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
M-OH 3rd straight Road Game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -4   (SP+ M-OH -11)
Projected Score: M-OH: 25 - CIN: 21 (46)
CIN Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
M-OH Travel: 29 miles
Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (27 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20OY
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0UY
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0UY
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15UN
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14UY
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky-21.557.5W 66 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh+6.544.5W 27 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-14.544.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/23 Cincinnati vs Oklahoma+13.058.0L 6 - 20UN
Fri 9/29 Cincinnati at BYU+1.047.5L 27 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Cincinnati vs Iowa State-4.042.5L 10 - 30UN
Sat 10/21 Cincinnati vs Baylor-2.551.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 10/28 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State+7.053.0L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/4 Cincinnati vs UCF+3.559.5L 26 - 28UY
Sat 11/11 Cincinnati at Houston+3.553.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Cincinnati at West Virginia+4.552.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Cincinnati vs Kansas+7.559.5L 16 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH.137%24.136%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%18.839%43%3.1448.30.81.8
CIN.1840%25.239%3.0113041%2433.8.0937%24.640%35%3.5264.41.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1324.123.237.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1
CIN Defense1324.618.837.2%3.521.8 - - - - - 54%45%40%35%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1318.82140.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
CIN Offense1325.226.739.5%3.81.119372130243446%53%39%41%17%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Cincinnati1328:1418.536%65%7.564.41.11.86.72.7329.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09
CIN Defense1354%40% - - - - .13.0182%13%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
CIN Offense1346%39%32.8129.7419.13.0168%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9
CIN Defense1345%35% - - - - - - 11.121.634%28%.37%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
CIN Offense1353%41%19.232.1242.77.612.7228.281.635%32%.376%1.9

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
2023 Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -0.16   Cincinnati: -2.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 3.7   Cincinnati: -7.2




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.32 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 25
Cincinnati 21

Projected Total Points: 46
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Miami (OH)16Cincinnati27CincinnatiCincinnati -3.5Cincinnati47.5Under
202309/16Cincinnati24Miami (OH)31Miami (OH)Cincinnati -14.5Miami (OH)44.5Over
202209/17Miami (OH)17Cincinnati38CincinnatiCincinnati -24Miami (OH)51.0Over
202109/04Cincinnati49Miami (OH)14CincinnatiCincinnati -22.5Cincinnati49.0Over
201909/14Cincinnati35Miami (OH)13CincinnatiCincinnati -17Cincinnati49.5Under
201809/08Miami (OH)0Cincinnati21CincinnatiMiami (OH) -1.5Cincinnati48.0Under
201709/16Miami (OH)17Cincinnati21CincinnatiMiami (OH) -3.5Cincinnati49.0Under
201609/24Cincinnati27Miami (OH)20CincinnatiCincinnati -19.5Miami (OH)55.5Under
201509/19Miami (OH)33Cincinnati37CincinnatiCincinnati -19Miami (OH)59.5Over
201409/20Cincinnati31Miami (OH)24CincinnatiCincinnati -32Miami (OH)0
201309/21Miami (OH)0Cincinnati14CincinnatiCincinnati -24Miami (OH)0
201210/06Cincinnati52Miami (OH)14Cincinnati
201110/01Miami (OH)0Cincinnati27Cincinnati
201010/09Cincinnati45Miami (OH)3Cincinnati
200910/03Miami (OH)13Cincinnati37Cincinnati
200809/20Cincinnati45Miami (OH)20Cincinnati
200709/15Miami (OH)10Cincinnati47Cincinnati
200609/30Cincinnati24Miami (OH)10Cincinnati
200509/28Miami (OH)44Cincinnati16Miami (OH)
200409/11Cincinnati45Miami (OH)26Cincinnati
200309/27Miami (OH)42Cincinnati37Miami (OH)
200210/05Cincinnati26Miami (OH)31Miami (OH)
200109/22Miami (OH)21Cincinnati14Miami (OH)
200010/27Cincinnati45Miami (OH)15Cincinnati
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati1954 Overs
Miami (OH)565 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 115 - 62 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 136 - 51 - 35 - 2

(#62) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14
Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Team Profile






,
,







Miami (OH)     Ratings Matchup     Cincinnati
Power #62
#80
Off #100
#45
Def #20
#117
Talent #69
#52
SP+ #52
#88
SP+ Off #106
#95
SP+ Def #14
#82

Rematch from Week 3
Cincinnati -14.5 (44.5)
Miami (OH) won at Cincinnati this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Miami (OH) last year (27-16)
Miami (OH) beat Cincinnati in 2023 (31-24)
Cincinnati beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (38-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 72° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | CIN
Depth Chart: M-OH | CIN
Rosters: M-OH | CIN
(#80) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.32 #80
Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Team Profile






,
,









  
Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brett Gabbert21737957%292121117.7
Alec Bevelhimer010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Keyon Mozee178109846.274
Kevin Davis5033146.697
Rashad Amos (Tr)97508.342
Gage Larvadain21507.510
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade McDonald52631312.151
Kevin Davis2923428.135
Gage Larvadain19223111.744
Jack Coldiron13139010.722

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1228123
Ty Wise8911521
Brian Ugwu59158163
Corey Suttle3686100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Ugwu59158163
Corey Suttle3686100
Ty Wise8911521
Caiden Woullard133221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1228123
Brian Ugwu59158163
Ambe' Caldwell291012

Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Prater010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Kiner204115345.746
Myles Montgomery5129335.725
Victor Dawson76309.047
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)58735412.742
Chamon Metayer3230659.629
Payten Singletary17197211.634
Corey Kiner1510507.014

View Cincinnati's Full Roster
Cincinnati's DC Bryan Brown
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
George Udo (Tr)782111
Deshawn Pace614001
Derrick Shepard341000
Cecil Doggette Jr.327330
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Phillips195360
Cecil Doggette Jr.327330
Dion Hunter81110
Todd Bumphis81103
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Todd Bumphis81103
Oliver Bridges151002
George Udo (Tr)782111