UCF at Cincinnati Game Matchup

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
UCF -3.5 (59.5) (-185) Open: -4.5
UCF 28 - Cincinnati: 26 (Big 12)

Knights (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (21 - 9)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CIN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UCF -6.5 (SP+ UCF -11.5)
Projected Score: UCF: 31 - CIN: 25 (54)
UCF Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 752 miles

Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (27 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UCF Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCF's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UCF vs Kent State	-35.0	54.0	W 56 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/9	UCF at Boise State	-3.0	58.5	W 18 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/16	UCF vs Villanova	-26.5	54.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UCF at Kansas State	+6.0	53.5	L 31 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/30	UCF vs Baylor	-8.0	56.5	L 35 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/7	UCF at Kansas	-2.0	65.0	L 22 - 51	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	UCF at Oklahoma	+17.0	67.5	L 29 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UCF vs West Virginia	-6.5	59.5	L 28 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/4	UCF at Cincinnati	-3.5	59.5	W 28 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/11	UCF vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	63.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/18	UCF at Texas Tech	+2.0	59.0	L 23 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UCF vs Houston	-15.5	61.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Fri 12/22	UCF vs Georgia Tech	-6.0	66.5	L 17 - 30	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky	-21.5	57.5	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Cincinnati at Pittsburgh	+6.5	44.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-14.5	44.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/23	Cincinnati vs Oklahoma	+13.0	58.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/29	Cincinnati at BYU	+1.0	47.5	L 27 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Cincinnati vs Iowa State	-4.0	42.5	L 10 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Cincinnati vs Baylor	-2.5	51.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/28	Cincinnati at Oklahoma State	+7.0	53.0	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/4	Cincinnati vs UCF	+3.5	59.5	L 26 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Cincinnati at Houston	+3.5	53.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Cincinnati at West Virginia	+4.5	52.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Cincinnati vs Kansas	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCF	.24	47%	30.4	51%	3.38	228	44%	241	4.08	.21	41%	26.9	40%	43%	3.53	46.4	1.5	1.5
CIN	.18	40%	25.2	39%	3.01	130	41%	243	3.8	.09	37%	24.6	40%	35%	3.52	64.4	1.1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCF Offense	14	30.4	27	47.4%	4.08	1.5	24	469	228	241	5.2	53%	46%	51%	44%	14%	.24
CIN Defense	13	24.6	18.8	37.2%	3.52	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	40%	35%	20%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCF Defense	14	26.9	32.4	41.2%	3.53	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	43%	16%	.21
CIN Offense	13	25.2	26.7	39.5%	3.8	1.1	19	372	130	243	4	46%	53%	39%	41%	17%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCF	14	30:51	24.2	46%	63%	4.9	46.4	1.5	1.5	5	1.5	2	28
Cincinnati	13	28:14	18.5	36%	65%	7.5	64.4	1.1	1.8	6.7	2.7	3	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCF Offense	14	53%	51%	43.9	228	5.2	35	.29	3.38	73%	10%	1.05
CIN Defense	13	54%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.01	82%	13%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCF Defense	14	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.95	66%	10%	1.12
CIN Offense	13	46%	39%	32.8	129.7	4	19	.1	3.01	68%	10%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCF Offense	14	46%	44%	20.8	32.2	241.2	7.5	11.6	22	9	.21	1.4	27%	32%	.27	4%	1.9
CIN Defense	13	45%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.12	1.6	34%	28%	.3	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCF Defense	14	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.3	1.5	33%	30%	.29	6%	1.9
CIN Offense	13	53%	41%	19.2	32.1	242.7	7.6	12.7	22	8	.28	1.6	35%	32%	.37	6%	1.9

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 3.43 #46
UCF's Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
UCF's Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
UCF's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
UCF's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF: 3.43 Cincinnati: -2.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 4.5 Cincinnati: -7.2

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.32 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.4

UCF's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
UCF 31
Cincinnati 25

Projected Total Points: 54

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	UCF	13	Cincinnati	19	Cincinnati	UCF -2	Cincinnati	58.0	Under
2023	11/04	Cincinnati	26	UCF	28	UCF	UCF -3.5	Cincinnati	59.5	Under
2022	10/29	UCF	25	Cincinnati	21	UCF	UCF -1.5	UCF	55.5	Under
2021	10/16	Cincinnati	56	UCF	21	Cincinnati	Cincinnati -21.5	Cincinnati	56.0	Over
2020	11/21	UCF	33	Cincinnati	36	Cincinnati	Cincinnati -4.5	UCF	66.0	Over
2019	10/04	Cincinnati	27	UCF	24	Cincinnati	UCF -3.5	Cincinnati	64.0	Under
2018	11/17	UCF	38	Cincinnati	13	UCF	UCF -7.5	UCF	60.0	Under
2017	10/07	Cincinnati	23	UCF	51	UCF	UCF -15	UCF	52.5	Over
2016	11/12	UCF	24	Cincinnati	3	UCF	UCF -10	UCF	55.0	Under
2015	10/31	Cincinnati	52	UCF	7	Cincinnati	Cincinnati -20.5	Cincinnati	61.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	5	5	3 Overs
UCF	5	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	8 - 2	5 - 1	3 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 6	2 - 8	1 - 3	1 - 5

(#46) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.43 #46
Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

,
,

UCF Ratings Matchup Cincinnati

Power #46

#80

Off #23

#45

Def #89

#117

Talent #77

#52

SP+ #48

#88

SP+ Off #35

#95

SP+ Def #54

#82

Rematch from Week 10
UCF 3.5 (59.5)
UCF won at Cincinnati this year (28-26)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat UCF last year (19-13)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2023 (28-26)
UCF beat Cincinnati in 2022 (25-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 65° - Wind: 12 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UCF | CIN
Depth Chart: UCF | CIN
Rosters: UCF | CIN

(#80) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.32 #80
Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Team Profile

,
,

UCF's OC Darin Hinshaw

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Timmy McClain (Tr)	14	21	67%	163	3	0	7.8
RJ Harvey	1	1	100%	18	0	0	18.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
RJ Harvey	232	1577	22	6.8	80
Jordan Mcdonald	53	361	3	6.8	41
Johnny Richardson	25	119	0	4.8	12
Timmy McClain (Tr)	19	39	1	2.1	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kobe Hudson	47	770	4	16.4	53
RJ Harvey	20	267	3	13.4	75
Tyler Griffin	8	193	1	24.1	40
Trent Whittemore (Tr)	7	132	0	18.9	54

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC David Gibbs

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Williams (Tr)	75	3	0	0	3
Quadric Bullard	61	3	1	1	2
Nikai Martinez	51	3	0	1	2
K.D. McDaniel	42	3	2	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ricky Barber	34	5	3	8	0
K.D. McDaniel	42	3	2	3	1
Quadric Bullard	61	3	1	1	2
Jarvis Ware	29	1	1	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Corey Thornton	38	0	0	1	6
Jarvis Ware	29	1	1	0	4
Fred Davis II (Tr)	17	3	0	0	4

Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Prater	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Corey Kiner	204	1153	4	5.7	46
Myles Montgomery	51	293	3	5.7	25
Victor Dawson	7	63	0	9.0	47

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)	58	735	4	12.7	42
Chamon Metayer	32	306	5	9.6	29
Payten Singletary	17	197	2	11.6	34
Corey Kiner	15	105	0	7.0	14

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

Cincinnati's DC Bryan Brown

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
George Udo (Tr)	78	2	1	1	1
Deshawn Pace	61	4	0	0	1
Derrick Shepard	34	1	0	0	0
Cecil Doggette Jr.	32	7	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eric Phillips	19	5	3	6	0
Cecil Doggette Jr.	32	7	3	3	0
Dion Hunter	8	1	1	1	0
Todd Bumphis	8	1	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Todd Bumphis	8	1	1	0	3
Oliver Bridges	15	1	0	0	2
George Udo (Tr)	78	2	1	1	1