Eastern Kentucky at Cincinnati - 2023 Matchup Preview
Eastern Kentucky logo Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -21.5 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Cincinnati 66 - Eastern Kentucky: 13

 
Colonels (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 47 (15 - 47 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 90.3° (45% Hum)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ CIN -7)
CIN Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Eastern Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Eastern Kentucky at Cincinnati+21.557.5L 13 - 66ON
Sat 9/9 Eastern Kentucky at Kentucky+35.062.5L 17 - 28UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Kentucky's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky-21.557.5W 66 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh+6.544.5W 27 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-14.544.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/23 Cincinnati vs Oklahoma+13.058.0L 6 - 20UN
Fri 9/29 Cincinnati at BYU+1.047.5L 27 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Cincinnati vs Iowa State-4.042.5L 10 - 30UN
Sat 10/21 Cincinnati vs Baylor-2.551.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 10/28 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State+7.053.0L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/4 Cincinnati vs UCF+3.559.5L 26 - 28UY
Sat 11/11 Cincinnati at Houston+3.553.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 Cincinnati at West Virginia+4.552.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Cincinnati vs Kansas+7.559.5L 16 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EKY0%150%000%000%470%0%0000
CIN#63 (.2)43% (51)24.146% (40)3.36 (18)21741% (73)2093.91 (68)#129 (.32)41% (56)3042% (56)41% (66)4.03 (89)52.61.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EKY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EKY Offense215150%00000000%0%0%0%0%
CIN Defense12302941.2%4.031.1 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%19%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EKY Defense247470%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
CIN Offense1224.125.343.4%3.911.422426217209556%43%46%41%15%.2

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Eastern Kentucky20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Cincinnati1231:5822.342%45%5.752.61.41.15.71.5025.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EKY Offense20%0%000000%0%0
CIN Defense1250% (68)42% (56) - - - - .26 (125)2.99 (47)75% (82)12% (25)1.38 (133)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EKY Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
CIN Offense1256% (26)46% (40)43.1217.1514 (106).24 (24)3.36 (18)63% (124)10% (60)1.08 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EKY Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
CIN Defense1249% (66)41% (66) - - - - - - 8 (100).41 (121)1.8 (120)35% (26)34% (118).42 (115)7% (34)2 (42)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EKY Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
CIN Offense1243% (108)41% (73)18.230209711.521 (65)11 (68).2 (93)1.5 (94)30% (35)34% (41).46 (30)5% (45)2.1 (61)

Eastern Kentucky's Power Ratings
Eastern Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Eastern Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Eastern Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating:  #136
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Eastern Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: -
Eastern Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Eastern Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Eastern Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Atlantic Sun Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Kentucky:    Cincinnati: -2.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Kentucky:    Cincinnati: -7.2




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.32  #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94  #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72  #117
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9  #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3  #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Eastern Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 47 PPG
Defense on Road: 47

Eastern Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 34
Eastern Kentucky 24

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Cincinnati 32
Eastern Kentucky 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 36
Eastern Kentucky 23

Total Points: 59
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Cincinnati66Eastern Kentucky13Cincinnati -21.5Cincinnati57.5Over
200808/28Cincinnati40Eastern Kentucky7
200609/02Cincinnati31Eastern Kentucky0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati311 Overs
Eastern Kentucky000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) EKY at (#80) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatEKYCIN
Power RatePwrNR #80
SP+SP+NR #88
Perf GradeGradeNR #89
OffenseOffNR #43
DefenseDefNR #127
Spec TeamsSTNR #123
TalentTal #136 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #51
Eastern Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
EKY OffCIN Def
Perf GradePerfNR #127
SuccessSucNR #56
ExplosiveExpNR #132
PPAPPANR #129
PowerPwrNR #117
SP+SP+NR #82
Pts POPPONR #89
HavocHavNR #20
Eastern Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
EKY OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNR #120
Run SuccessRSucNR #56
Run ExplRExpNR #133
PPAExpNR #125
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #47
Stuff RateStuffNR #5
TackleTak -  #80
Eastern Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
EKY OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNR #127
Pass SuccessPSucNR #66
Pass ExplPExlNR #120
PPAExpNR #121
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #64
F7 HavocF7NR #25
DB HavocDBNR #34
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffEKY Def
Perf GradePerf #43NR
SuccessSuc #51NR
ExplosiveExp #85NR
PPAPPA #63NR
PowerPwr #45NR
SP+SP+ #95NR
Pts POPPO #68NR
HavocHav #58NR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffEKY Def
Run GameRun #33NR
Run SuccessRSuc #40NR
Run ExplRExp #26NR
PPAExp #24NR
Run BlockR Blk #34 -
OL YdsOLY #18NR
Stuff RateStuff #41NR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffEKY Def
Pass GamePass #92NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #73NR
Pass ExplPExl #94NR
PPAExp #93NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #58NR
F7 HavocF7 #60NR
DB HavocDB #45NR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

EKY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 90° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Cincinnati -21.5 (57.5)
Cincinnati won vs Eastern Kentucky this year (66-13)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Eastern Kentucky in 2023 (66-13)

  
EKY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaden Smith11100%4104.0
Braedon Sloan11100%221022.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braedon Sloan15059744.040
Jaden Smith1-10-1.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Braedon Sloan29329111.372
Jaden Smith2117708.441

View Eastern Kentucky's Full Roster

EKY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cheikh Fall174231
Jordon Thomas90001
Kyle Kelly80001
Mike Smith80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cheikh Fall174231
Gabe Fletcher11100
Jordon Thomas90001
Kyle Kelly80001
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cheikh Fall174231
Jordon Thomas90001
Kyle Kelly80001

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Emory Jones (Tr)19732261%221918106.9
Brady Lichtenberg193456%252217.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Kiner192104755.568
Emory Jones (Tr)15556043.625
Myles Montgomery6642836.563
Ryan Montgomery5432916.129
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)58782313.555
Braden Smith (Tr)43557413.048
Chamon Metayer23258511.235
Dee Wiggins (Tr)20246212.339

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn Pace8011265
Byron Threats573116
Dorian Jones (Tr)563112
Taj Ward554102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Grzesiak (Tr)467433
Dontay Corleone397321
Eric Phillips146251
Jowon Briggs276220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Byron Threats573116
Jordan Young (Tr)341006
Justin Harris313016