West Virginia at UCF - 2023 Matchup Preview
West Virginia logo West Virginia Mountaineers at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
UCF -6.5 (59.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
West Virginia 41 - UCF: 28  (Big 12)

 
Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (30 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
Our Line: UCF -2   (SP+ WVU -1)
Projected Score: WVU: 28 - UCF: 30 (59)
UCF Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
WVU Travel: 766 miles
Knights (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (21 - 9)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 West Virginia at Penn State+21.048.0L 15 - 38ON
Sat 9/9 West Virginia vs Duquesne-38.555.5W 56 - 17OY
Sat 9/16 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh-2.548.0W 17 - 6UY
Sat 9/23 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+6.053.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 9/30 West Virginia at TCU+14.052.0W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 West Virginia at Houston-3.049.5L 39 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 West Virginia vs Oklahoma State-3.048.0L 34 - 48ON
Sat 10/28 West Virginia at UCF+6.559.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 11/4 West Virginia vs BYU-13.048.5W 37 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 West Virginia at Oklahoma+13.559.5L 20 - 59ON
Sat 11/18 West Virginia vs Cincinnati-4.552.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/25 West Virginia at Baylor-6.553.5W 34 - 31ON
Wed 12/27 West Virginia vs North Carolina-4.562.0W 30 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
UCF's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UCF vs Kent State-35.054.0W 56 - 6OY
Sat 9/9 UCF at Boise State-3.058.5W 18 - 16UN
Sat 9/16 UCF vs Villanova-26.554.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 UCF at Kansas State+6.053.5L 31 - 44ON
Sat 9/30 UCF vs Baylor-8.056.5L 35 - 36ON
Sat 10/7 UCF at Kansas-2.065.0L 22 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 UCF at Oklahoma+17.067.5L 29 - 31UY
Sat 10/28 UCF vs West Virginia-6.559.5L 28 - 41ON
Sat 11/4 UCF at Cincinnati-3.559.5W 28 - 26UN
Sat 11/11 UCF vs Oklahoma State+2.563.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 11/18 UCF at Texas Tech+2.059.0L 23 - 24UY
Sat 11/25 UCF vs Houston-15.561.5W 27 - 13UN
Fri 12/22 UCF vs Georgia Tech-6.066.5L 17 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU.2143%29.245%3.0817242%2274.2.2144%31.945%43%3.8531.51.3
UCF.2447%30.451%3.3822844%2414.08.2141%26.940%43%3.5346.41.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Offense1229.229.843.3%4.21.5233981722274.648%51%45%42%15%.21
UCF Defense1426.92341.2%3.531.5 - - - - - 51%49%40%43%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Defense1231.930.844.3%3.81.3 - - - - - 48%52%45%43%15%.21
UCF Offense1430.432.947.4%4.081.5244692282415.253%46%51%44%14%.24

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
West Virginia1231:192341%69%6.4531.51.35.72.2226.9
UCF1430:5124.246%63%4.946.41.51.551.5228
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Offense1248%45%37.2171.54.624.23.0870%8%1.01
UCF Defense1451%40% - - - - .162.9566%10%1.12
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Defense1248%45% - - - - .133.0776%10%0.99
UCF Offense1453%51%43.92285.235.293.3873%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Offense1251%42%21.335.5226.76.410.72012.241.530%34%.327%1.8
UCF Defense1449%43% - - - - - - 6.31.533%30%.296%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Defense1252%43% - - - - - - 4.31.630%32%.364%2.1
UCF Offense1446%44%20.832.2241.27.511.6229.211.427%32%.274%1.9

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.47 #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
2023 Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 3.47   UCF: 6.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 5.4   UCF: 4.5




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 6.465 #46
UCF's Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
UCF's Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
UCF's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
UCF's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 30
West Virginia 28

Projected Total Points: 59
UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

UCF's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23West Virginia31UCF21West VirginiaUCF -3West Virginia60.0Under
202310/28UCF28West Virginia41West VirginiaUCF -6.5West Virginia59.5Over
200409/11UCF20West Virginia45West Virginia
200311/01West Virginia36UCF18West Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF001 Overs
West Virginia421 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#45) West Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.47 #45
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63
Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile






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West Virginia     Ratings Matchup     UCF
Power #45
#46
Off #32
#23
Def #88
#89
Talent #44
#77
SP+ #44
#48
SP+ Off #38
#35
SP+ Def #63
#54

Rematch from Week 9
UCF -6.5 (59.5)
West Virginia won at UCF this year (41-28)

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat UCF last year (31-21)
West Virginia beat UCF in 2023 (41-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 84° - Wind: 14 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WVU | UCF
Depth Chart: WVU | UCF
Rosters: WVU | UCF
(#46) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.465 #46
Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Team Profile






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West Virginia's OC Chad Scott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Greene18931660%230015127.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Garrett Greene13375165.656
Jaylen Anderson93403.87
Leighton Bechdel114114.014
Cortez Braham1101.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cortez Braham56724412.957
Ja'Shaun Poke (Tr)5045919.246
Kole Taylor (Tr)43448310.439
Preston Fox12131010.930

View West Virginia's Full Roster
West Virginia's DC ShaDon Brown
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Wilson (Tr)1020003
Jared Bartlett7012823
Tyrin Bradley (Tr)568224
Hershey McLaurin508113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett7012823
Sean Martin236451
Lance Dixon426204
Tyrin Bradley (Tr)568224
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrin Bradley (Tr)568224
Lance Dixon426204
Anthony Wilson (Tr)1020003

UCF's OC Darin Hinshaw
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Timmy McClain (Tr)142167%163307.8
RJ Harvey11100%180018.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
RJ Harvey2321577226.880
Jordan Mcdonald5336136.841
Johnny Richardson2511904.812
Timmy McClain (Tr)193912.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Hudson47770416.453
RJ Harvey20267313.475
Tyler Griffin8193124.140
Trent Whittemore (Tr)7132018.954

View UCF's Full Roster
UCF's DC David Gibbs
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Williams (Tr)753003
Quadric Bullard613112
Nikai Martinez513012
K.D. McDaniel423231
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricky Barber345380
K.D. McDaniel423231
Quadric Bullard613112
Jarvis Ware291104
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Thornton380016
Jarvis Ware291104
Fred Davis II (Tr)173004