BYU at West Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview
BYU logo   BYU Cougars at West Virginia Mountaineers  West Virginia logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
West Virginia -13 (48.5) (-500)  Open: -8.0
West Virginia 37 - BYU: 7  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (59 - 34)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BYU 2nd straight Road Game
WVU is playing their 4th straight game
BYU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: West Virginia -11  (SP+ WVU -9)
Projected Score: BYU: 19 - WVU: 30 (50)
WVU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
BYU Travel: 1671 miles, 2 hrs behind
Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 BYU vs Sam Houston-19.046.5W 14 - 0UN
Sat 9/9 BYU vs Southern Utah-30.546.5W 41 - 16ON
Sat 9/16 BYU at Arkansas+9.048.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 9/23 BYU at Kansas+9.055.5L 27 - 38ON
Fri 9/29 BYU vs Cincinnati-1.047.5W 35 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 BYU at TCU+5.052.5L 11 - 44ON
Sat 10/21 BYU vs Texas Tech+3.049.0W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/28 BYU at Texas+20.548.5L 6 - 35UN
Sat 11/4 BYU at West Virginia+13.048.5L 7 - 37UN
Sat 11/11 BYU vs Iowa State+7.540.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/18 BYU vs Oklahoma+24.558.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/25 BYU at Oklahoma State+15.555.5L 34 - 40OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 West Virginia at Penn State+21.048.0L 15 - 38ON
Sat 9/9 West Virginia vs Duquesne-38.555.5W 56 - 17OY
Sat 9/16 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh-2.548.0W 17 - 6UY
Sat 9/23 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+6.053.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 9/30 West Virginia at TCU+14.052.0W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 West Virginia at Houston-3.049.5L 39 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 West Virginia vs Oklahoma State-3.048.0L 34 - 48ON
Sat 10/28 West Virginia at UCF+6.559.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 11/4 West Virginia vs BYU-13.048.5W 37 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 West Virginia at Oklahoma+13.559.5L 20 - 59ON
Sat 11/18 West Virginia vs Cincinnati-4.552.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/25 West Virginia at Baylor-6.553.5W 34 - 31ON
Wed 12/27 West Virginia vs North Carolina-4.562.0W 30 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU.346%31.446%3.3317646%2504.33.2548%19.150%47%4.6553.20.81
WVU.2143%21.845%3.0817242%2274.2.2144%30.845%43%3.8531.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WVU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1331.427.545.6%4.330.8224261762505.252%47%46%46%13%.3
WVU Defense1230.828.244.3%3.81.3 - - - - - 48%52%45%43%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1319.121.848.3%4.651 - - - - - 53%47%50%47%13%.25
WVU Offense1221.822.743.3%4.21.5233981722274.648%51%45%42%15%.21

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1329:0921.945%33%5.753.20.813.71.2327.7
West Virginia1231:192341%69%6.4531.51.35.72.2226.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1352%46%33.7176.45.219.233.3369%8%1.11
WVU Defense1248%45% - - - - .133.0776%10%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1353%50% - - - - .213.5467%7%0.89
WVU Offense1248%45%37.2171.54.624.23.0870%8%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1347%46%19.830.2249.78.312.6327.41.730%33%.425%2
WVU Defense1252%43% - - - - - - 4.31.630%32%.364%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1347%47% - - - - - - 8.311.526%39%.576%2.1
WVU Offense1251%42%21.335.5226.76.410.72012.241.530%34%.327%1.8

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: -4.63  #89
BYU's Offense Rating: 10.78  #119
BYU's Defense Rating: 10.17  #74
2023 Talent Rating: 576.25  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 5%  #61
BYU's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
BYU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7  #77
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #74
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6  #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: -4.63   West Virginia: 6.935

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: -3.7   West Virginia: 5.4




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 6.935  #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84  #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21  #88
2023 Talent Rating: 666.23  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 11  #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4  #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

BYU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
West Virginia 30
BYU 19

Projected Total Points: 50
West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/03BYU38West Virginia24BYU -19.5West Virginia46.5Over
202311/04West Virginia37BYU7West Virginia -13West Virginia48.5Under
201609/24West Virginia35BYU32West Virginia -3.5BYU53.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia222 Overs
BYU111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 32 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#89) BYU at (#45) WVU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBYUWVU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #89 #45
SP+SP+ #77 #44
Perf GradeGrade #117 #46
OffenseOff #106 #31
DefenseDef #125 #85
Spec TeamsST #74 #127
TalentTal #73 #50
Blue ChipsBC% #61 #43
BYU on Offense
CategoryCat
BYU OffWVU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #106 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #119 #88
SP+SP+ #74 #63
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffWVU Def
Run GameRun #126 #61
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #90 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #70
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffWVU Def
Pass GamePass #100 #99
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #19 #85
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
West Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatWVU OffBYU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #31 #125
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #32 #74
SP+SP+ #38 #95
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
West Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
WVU OffBYU Def
Run GameRun #6 #117
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #124
West Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatWVU OffBYU Def
Pass GamePass #28 #119
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #100
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

BYU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
West Virginia -13.0 (48.5)
West Virginia won vs BYU this year (37-7)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat West Virginia last year (38-24)
West Virginia beat BYU in 2023 (37-7)

  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kedon Slovis (Tr)15326658%17161266.5
Jake Retzlaff6312550%648335.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin10951844.855
Aidan Robbins (Tr)10148514.836
Jake Retzlaff5111632.319
Miles Davis167804.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts42573513.659
Isaac Rex34422312.465
Darius Lassiter (Tr)29365412.647
Kody Epps21259012.330

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Tooley925102
AJ Vongphachanh (Tr)856051
Ethan Slade602003
Crew Wakley (Tr)594016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Batty548660
Max Tooley925102
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)272110
Eddie Heckard (Tr)475106
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakob Robinson591007
Crew Wakley (Tr)594016
Eddie Heckard (Tr)475106

WVU's OC Chad Scott (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Greene14727853%24061648.7
Nicco Marchiol305357%247234.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahiem White10984247.753
CJ Donaldson171798114.732
Garrett Greene120772136.448
Justin Johnson3815013.930
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Carter (Tr)27501218.649
Hudson Clement22480421.870
Kole Taylor (Tr)35444412.743
Preston Fox26368214.234

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lee Kpogba978381
Anthony Wilson (Tr)802004
Beanie Bishop (Tr)6710020
Ben Cutter566201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett497521
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)236410
Lee Kpogba978381
Edward Vesterinen285310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beanie Bishop (Tr)6710020
Marcis Floyd505267
Malachi Ruffin370005