Pittsburgh at West Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo   Pittsburgh Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers  West Virginia logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
West Virginia -2.5 (48.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
West Virginia 17 - Pittsburgh: 6

 
Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WVU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: West Virginia -11  (SP+ WVU -12)
Projected Score: PITT: 20 - WVU: 31 (51)
WVU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 55 miles
Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Pittsburgh vs Wofford-37.549.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-6.544.5L 21 - 27ON
Sat 9/16 Pittsburgh at West Virginia+2.548.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina+7.049.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-3.040.0L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+7.544.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Pittsburgh at Wake Forest-3.045.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Pittsburgh at Notre Dame+21.045.5L 7 - 58ON
Sat 11/4 Pittsburgh vs Florida State+21.550.0L 7 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-4.537.5L 13 - 28ON
Thu 11/16 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-1.047.0W 24 - 16UY
Sat 11/25 Pittsburgh at Duke+4.540.5L 19 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 West Virginia at Penn State+21.048.0L 15 - 38ON
Sat 9/9 West Virginia vs Duquesne-38.555.5W 56 - 17OY
Sat 9/16 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh-2.548.0W 17 - 6UY
Sat 9/23 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+6.053.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 9/30 West Virginia at TCU+14.052.0W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 West Virginia at Houston-3.049.5L 39 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 West Virginia vs Oklahoma State-3.048.0L 34 - 48ON
Sat 10/28 West Virginia at UCF+6.559.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 11/4 West Virginia vs BYU-13.048.5W 37 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 West Virginia at Oklahoma+13.559.5L 20 - 59ON
Sat 11/18 West Virginia vs Cincinnati-4.552.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/25 West Virginia at Baylor-6.553.5W 34 - 31ON
Wed 12/27 West Virginia vs North Carolina-4.562.0W 30 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT.1843%33.746%3.2118341%2223.84.0636%24.836%37%3.6263.71.52.2
WVU.2143%21.845%3.0817242%2274.2.2144%30.845%43%3.8531.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WVU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1333.73343.4%3.841.5214051832224.655%44%46%41%16%.18
WVU Defense1230.828.244.3%3.81.3 - - - - - 48%52%45%43%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1324.824.636.3%3.622.2 - - - - - 42%57%36%37%22%.06
WVU Offense1221.822.743.3%4.21.5233981722274.648%51%45%42%15%.21

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1333:1421.539%50%7.463.71.52.26.43.6530.7
West Virginia1231:192341%69%6.4531.51.35.72.2226.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1355%46%40.2183.14.630.183.2178%10%1.05
WVU Defense1248%45% - - - - .133.0776%10%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1342%36% - - - - .082.6176%12%1.16
WVU Offense1248%45%37.2171.54.624.23.0870%8%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1344%41%17.230.2222.27.4131311.261.631%32%.316%1.9
WVU Defense1252%43% - - - - - - 4.31.630%32%.364%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1357%37% - - - - - - 14.081.639%29%.2910%2.1
WVU Offense1251%42%21.335.5226.76.410.72012.241.530%34%.327%1.8

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.44  #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42  #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46  #35
2023 Talent Rating: 700.42  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 11%  #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9  #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -1.44   West Virginia: 6.935

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -6.9   West Virginia: 5.4




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 6.935  #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84  #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21  #88
2023 Talent Rating: 666.23  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 11  #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4  #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
West Virginia 31
Pittsburgh 20

Projected Total Points: 51
West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13West Virginia31Pittsburgh24Pittsburgh -6.5West Virginia54.5Over
202409/14Pittsburgh38West Virginia34West Virginia -2.5Pittsburgh60.5Over
202309/16West Virginia17Pittsburgh6West Virginia -2.5West Virginia48.0Under
202209/01Pittsburgh38West Virginia31Pittsburgh -7.5West Virginia50.0Over
201111/25West Virginia21Pittsburgh20
201011/26Pittsburgh10West Virginia35
200911/27West Virginia19Pittsburgh16
200811/28Pittsburgh19West Virginia15
200712/01West Virginia9Pittsburgh13
200611/16Pittsburgh27West Virginia45
200511/24West Virginia45Pittsburgh13
200411/25Pittsburgh16West Virginia13
200311/15West Virginia52Pittsburgh31
200111/24West Virginia17Pittsburgh23
200011/23Pittsburgh38West Virginia28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia833 Overs
Pittsburgh711 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 43 - 11 - 12 - 0
Road Teams4 - 111 - 30 - 21 - 1

(#72) PITT at (#45) WVU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTWVU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #72 #45
SP+SP+ #86 #44
Perf GradeGrade #117 #46
OffenseOff #127 #31
DefenseDef #85 #85
Spec TeamsST #73 #127
TalentTal #39 #50
Blue ChipsBC% #43 #43
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCat
PITT OffWVU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #115 #88
SP+SP+ #106 #63
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffWVU Def
Run GameRun #77 #61
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #134 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #70
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffWVU Def
Pass GamePass #124 #99
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #93 #85
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
West Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatWVU OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #31 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #32 #35
SP+SP+ #38 #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
West Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
WVU OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #6 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #85
West Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatWVU OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #28 #83
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #121
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

PITT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
West Virginia -2.5 (48.0)
West Virginia won vs Pittsburgh this year (17-6)

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat Pittsburgh last year (31-24)
Pittsburgh beat West Virginia in 2024 (38-34)
West Virginia beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (17-6)

  
PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)9418451%1179786.4
Phil Jurkovec (Tr)5711251%818637.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Hammond Jr.11854744.666
C'Bo Flemister9836723.738
Daniel Carter2813424.822
Kenny Johnson107207.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerrod Means41721617.675
Konata Mumpfield44576513.182
Gavin Bartholomew18326118.160
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)28316011.331

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)1051001
Javon Mcintyre854007
Solomon Deshields588241
Bangally Kamara537251
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Okunlola186500
Shayne Simon488552
Dayon Hayes4511464
Bam Brima314341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
M.J. Devonshire3210010
Javon Mcintyre854007
Dayon Hayes4511464

WVU's OC Chad Scott (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Greene14727853%24061648.7
Nicco Marchiol305357%247234.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahiem White10984247.753
CJ Donaldson171798114.732
Garrett Greene120772136.448
Justin Johnson3815013.930
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Carter (Tr)27501218.649
Hudson Clement22480421.870
Kole Taylor (Tr)35444412.743
Preston Fox26368214.234

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lee Kpogba978381
Anthony Wilson (Tr)802004
Beanie Bishop (Tr)6710020
Ben Cutter566201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett497521
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)236410
Lee Kpogba978381
Edward Vesterinen285310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beanie Bishop (Tr)6710020
Marcis Floyd505267
Malachi Ruffin370005