Pittsburgh at West Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
West Virginia -2.5 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
West Virginia 17 - Pittsburgh: 6

Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (14 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WVU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: West Virginia -11 (SP+ WVU -12)
Projected Score: PITT: 20 - WVU: 31 (52)
WVU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 55 miles

Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 32 - 26 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
WVU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Pittsburgh vs Wofford	-37.5	49.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati	-6.5	44.5	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/16	Pittsburgh at West Virginia	+2.5	48.0	L 6 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Pittsburgh vs North Carolina	+7.0	49.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech	-3.0	40.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Pittsburgh vs Louisville	+7.5	44.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Pittsburgh at Wake Forest	-3.0	45.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/28	Pittsburgh at Notre Dame	+21.0	45.5	L 7 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/4	Pittsburgh vs Florida State	+21.5	50.0	L 7 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-4.5	37.5	L 13 - 28	O	N
Thu 11/16	Pittsburgh vs Boston College	-1.0	47.0	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Pittsburgh at Duke	+4.5	40.5	L 19 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	West Virginia at Penn State	+21.0	48.0	L 15 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/9	West Virginia vs Duquesne	-38.5	55.5	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/16	West Virginia vs Pittsburgh	-2.5	48.0	W 17 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/23	West Virginia vs Texas Tech	+6.0	53.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/30	West Virginia at TCU	+14.0	52.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	West Virginia at Houston	-3.0	49.5	L 39 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	West Virginia vs Oklahoma State	-3.0	48.0	L 34 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/28	West Virginia at UCF	+6.5	59.5	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/4	West Virginia vs BYU	-13.0	48.5	W 37 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	West Virginia at Oklahoma	+13.5	59.5	L 20 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/18	West Virginia vs Cincinnati	-4.5	52.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/25	West Virginia at Baylor	-6.5	53.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Wed 12/27	West Virginia vs North Carolina	-4.5	62.0	W 30 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	#119 (.09)	38% (113)	20.2	41% (90)	2.86 (109)	102	35% (117)	216	3.46 (98)	#23 (.11)	39% (39)	27.3	39% (32)	41% (67)	3.41 (33)	64.4	1.8	1.3
WVU	#35 (.27)	45% (37)	31.5	47% (29)	3.24 (42)	229	43% (60)	206	4.04 (54)	#78 (.19)	42% (61)	26.2	44% (76)	40% (47)	4.16 (106)	46.4	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	#91 (.15)	42% (85)		45% (56)	3.1 (53)	119	39% (97)	256	4.11 (49)	#35 (.12)	38% (25)		38% (20)	38% (38)	3.68 (57)	58.2	1.3	1.2
WVU	#63 (.2)	43% (69)		44% (75)	3.05 (64)	196	41% (73)	210	4.6 (16)	#124 (.3)	45% (103)		41% (46)	49% (128)	4.74 (131)	33.9	1.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	12	20.2	14	37.7%	3.46	1.8	16	318	102	216	3.4	45%	54%	41%	35%	19%	.09
WVU Defense	13	26.2	18.7	41.5%	4.16	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	44%	40%	19%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	12	27.3	32.8	39.4%	3.41	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	58%	41%	39%	41%	18%	.11
WVU Offense	13	31.5	34.3	45.1%	4.04	1	22	435	229	206	5.3	62%	38%	47%	43%	14%	.27

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	12	27:36	16.3	31%	50%	7.8	64.4	1.8	1.3	6.9	2.5	2	26.7
West Virginia	13	32:30	22.2	40%	53%	5.1	46.4	1	1.2	5.6	2	1	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	12	45% (100)	41% (90)	29.7	101.9	3.4	10 (124)	.06 (118)	2.86 (109)	75% (52)	11% (94)	0.89 (117)
WVU Defense	13	47% (31)	44% (76)	-	-	-	-	.16 (86)	3.08 (63)	76% (91)	11% (49)	1.02 (83)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	12	58% (131)	39% (32)	-	-	-	-	.03 (17)	2.91 (37)	62% (16)	12% (18)	0.98 (57)
WVU Offense	13	62% (6)	47% (29)	43.5	228.9	5.3	32 (10)	.26 (15)	3.24 (42)	67% (108)	9% (41)	1.13 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	12	54% (34)	35% (117)	16	30	216	7.2	13.5	17 (85)	12 (85)	.16 (109)	1.7 (36)	34% (103)	24% (122)	.17 (114)	8% (123)	2.2 (26)
WVU Defense	13	52% (109)	40% (47)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.26 (56)	1.6 (82)	32% (57)	30% (71)	.36 (89)	8% (10)	2.1 (73)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	12	41% (3)	41% (67)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.27 (67)	1.7 (103)	32% (58)	30% (75)	.29 (58)	6% (85)	2.2 (111)
WVU Offense	13	38% (127)	43% (60)	13.7	25.5	205.7	8.1	15	18 (81)	7 (21)	.32 (55)	1.7 (38)	31% (51)	36% (20)	.47 (25)	5% (47)	2 (75)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.44 #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -1.44 West Virginia: 6.935

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -6.9 West Virginia: 5.4

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 6.935 #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
West Virginia 31
Pittsburgh 20

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
West Virginia 31
Pittsburgh 29

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
West Virginia 31
Pittsburgh 20

Total Points: 51

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	West Virginia	31	Pittsburgh	24	Pittsburgh -6.5	West Virginia	54.5	Over
2024	09/14	Pittsburgh	38	West Virginia	34	West Virginia -2.5	Pittsburgh	60.5	Over
2023	09/16	West Virginia	17	Pittsburgh	6	West Virginia -2.5	West Virginia	48.0	Under
2022	09/01	Pittsburgh	38	West Virginia	31	Pittsburgh -7.5	West Virginia	50.0	Over
2011	11/25	West Virginia	21	Pittsburgh	20
2010	11/26	Pittsburgh	10	West Virginia	35
2009	11/27	West Virginia	19	Pittsburgh	16
2008	11/28	Pittsburgh	19	West Virginia	15
2007	12/01	West Virginia	9	Pittsburgh	13
2006	11/16	Pittsburgh	27	West Virginia	45
2005	11/24	West Virginia	45	Pittsburgh	13
2004	11/25	Pittsburgh	16	West Virginia	13
2003	11/15	West Virginia	52	Pittsburgh	31
2001	11/24	West Virginia	17	Pittsburgh	23
2000	11/23	Pittsburgh	38	West Virginia	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
West Virginia	8	3	3 Overs
Pittsburgh	7	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 4	3 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 11	1 - 3	0 - 2	1 - 1

(#72) PITT at (#45) WVU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PITT	WVU
Power RatePwr	#72	#45
SP+SP+	#86	#44
Perf GradeGrade	#117	#46
OffenseOff	#127	#31
DefenseDef	#85	#85
Spec TeamsST	#73	#127
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#43	#43

Pittsburgh Injury Report

West Virginia Injury Report

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	WVU Def
Perf GradePerf	#127	#85
SuccessSuc	#113	#61
ExplosiveExp	#66	#91
PPAPPA	#119	#78
PowerPwr	#115	#88
SP+SP+	#106	#63
Pts POPPO	#98	#106
HavocHav	#114	#18

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	#77	#61
Run SuccessRSuc	#90	#76
Run ExplRExp	#117	#83
PPAExp	#118	#86
Run BlockR Blk	#134	-
OL YdsOLY	#109	#63
Stuff RateStuff	#101	#63
TackleTak	-	#70

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	#124	#99
Pass SuccessPSuc	#117	#47
Pass ExplPExl	#36	#82
PPAExp	#109	#56
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#93	#85
F7 HavocF7	#94	#49
DB HavocDB	#123	#10

West Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	WVU Off	PITT Def
Perf GradePerf	#31	#85
SuccessSuc	#37	#39
ExplosiveExp	#52	#74
PPAPPA	#35	#23
PowerPwr	#32	#35
SP+SP+	#38	#58
Pts POPPO	#54	#33
HavocHav	#37	#36

West Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#6	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	#29	#32
Run ExplRExp	#16	#57
PPAExp	#15	#17
Run BlockR Blk	#61	-
OL YdsOLY	#42	#37
Stuff RateStuff	#72	#16
TackleTak	-	#85

West Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#28	#83
Pass SuccessPSuc	#60	#67
Pass ExplPExl	#38	#103
PPAExp	#55	#67
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#8	#121
F7 HavocF7	#41	#18
DB HavocDB	#47	#85

Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

PITT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 68°

Rematch from Week 3
West Virginia -2.5 (48.0)
West Virginia won vs Pittsburgh this year (17-6)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat West Virginia last year (38-34)
West Virginia beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (17-6)
Pittsburgh beat West Virginia in 2022 (38-31)

PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	94	184	51%	1179	7	8	6.4
Phil Jurkovec (Tr)	57	112	51%	818	6	3	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rodney Hammond Jr.	118	547	4	4.6	66
C'Bo Flemister	98	367	2	3.7	38
Daniel Carter	28	134	2	4.8	22
Kenny Johnson	10	72	0	7.2	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jerrod Means	41	721	6	17.6	75
Konata Mumpfield	44	576	5	13.1	82
Gavin Bartholomew	18	326	1	18.1	60
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)	28	316	0	11.3	31

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)	105	1	0	0	1
Javon Mcintyre	85	4	0	0	7
Solomon Deshields	58	8	2	4	1
Bangally Kamara	53	7	2	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Samuel Okunlola	18	6	5	0	0
Shayne Simon	48	8	5	5	2
Dayon Hayes	45	11	4	6	4
Bam Brima	31	4	3	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
M.J. Devonshire	32	1	0	0	10
Javon Mcintyre	85	4	0	0	7
Dayon Hayes	45	11	4	6	4

WVU's OC Chad Scott (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Greene	147	278	53%	2406	16	4	8.7
Nicco Marchiol	30	53	57%	247	2	3	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahiem White	109	842	4	7.7	53
CJ Donaldson	171	798	11	4.7	32
Garrett Greene	120	772	13	6.4	48
Justin Johnson	38	150	1	3.9	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Carter (Tr)	27	501	2	18.6	49
Hudson Clement	22	480	4	21.8	70
Kole Taylor (Tr)	35	444	4	12.7	43
Preston Fox	26	368	2	14.2	34

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lee Kpogba	97	8	3	8	1
Anthony Wilson (Tr)	80	2	0	0	4
Beanie Bishop (Tr)	67	1	0	0	20
Ben Cutter	56	6	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Bartlett	49	7	5	2	1
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)	23	6	4	1	0
Lee Kpogba	97	8	3	8	1
Edward Vesterinen	28	5	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beanie Bishop (Tr)	67	1	0	0	20
Marcis Floyd	50	5	2	6	7
Malachi Ruffin	37	0	0	0	5