Oklahoma State at West Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview

Oklahoma State Cowboys at West Virginia Mountaineers

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
West Virginia -3 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Oklahoma State 48 - West Virginia: 34 (Big 12)

Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (10 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: West Virginia -4.5 (SP+ OKST -0.5)
Projected Score: OKST: 23 - WVU: 27 (50)
WVU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
OKST Travel: 963 miles, 1 hrs behind

Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OKST Players
WVU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas	-25.5	59.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma State at Arizona State	-2.5	53.5	W 27 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma State vs South Alabama	-7.0	49.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma State at Iowa State	+3.5	36.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	+11.5	53.5	W 29 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Oklahoma State vs Kansas	+3.0	54.0	W 39 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma State at West Virginia	+3.0	48.0	W 48 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati	-7.0	53.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma	+6.0	61.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma State at UCF	-2.5	63.5	L 3 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma State at Houston	-6.5	56.5	W 43 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Oklahoma State vs BYU	-15.5	55.5	W 40 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/2	Oklahoma State vs Texas	+14.0	55.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Wed 12/27	Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	56.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	West Virginia at Penn State	+21.0	48.0	L 15 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/9	West Virginia vs Duquesne	-38.5	55.5	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/16	West Virginia vs Pittsburgh	-2.5	48.0	W 17 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/23	West Virginia vs Texas Tech	+6.0	53.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/30	West Virginia at TCU	+14.0	52.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	West Virginia at Houston	-3.0	49.5	L 39 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	West Virginia vs Oklahoma State	-3.0	48.0	L 34 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/28	West Virginia at UCF	+6.5	59.5	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/4	West Virginia vs BYU	-13.0	48.5	W 37 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	West Virginia at Oklahoma	+13.5	59.5	L 20 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/18	West Virginia vs Cincinnati	-4.5	52.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/25	West Virginia at Baylor	-6.5	53.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Wed 12/27	West Virginia vs North Carolina	-4.5	62.0	W 30 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST	.14	40%	14.2	40%	2.86	126	40%	280	4.08	.2	40%	33.3	41%	39%	3.77	33.5	1.8	1.5
WVU	.21	43%	21.8	45%	3.08	172	42%	227	4.2	.21	44%	30.8	45%	43%	3.8	53	1.5	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WVU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Offense	13	14.2	10.2	39.6%	4.08	1.8	22	405	126	280	3.4	45%	54%	40%	40%	18%	.14
WVU Defense	12	30.8	28.2	44.3%	3.8	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	43%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Defense	13	33.3	41.4	39.5%	3.77	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	41%	39%	16%	.2
WVU Offense	12	21.8	22.7	43.3%	4.2	1.5	23	398	172	227	4.6	48%	51%	45%	42%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oklahoma State	13	27:46	22.2	35%	31%	3.5	33.5	1.8	1.5	6.6	1.9	2	28.8
West Virginia	12	31:19	23	41%	69%	6.4	53	1.5	1.3	5.7	2.2	2	26.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Offense	13	45%	40%	36.6	125.6	3.4	20	.07	2.86	73%	9%	0.89
WVU Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.07	76%	10%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.92	57%	10%	1.12
WVU Offense	12	48%	45%	37.2	171.5	4.6	24	.2	3.08	70%	8%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Offense	13	54%	40%	22.5	40.3	279.5	6.9	12.5	24	18	.21	1.6	33%	31%	.32	9%	2.2
WVU Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.3	1.6	30%	32%	.36	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Defense	13	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.29	1.7	35%	32%	.48	6%	2.3
WVU Offense	12	51%	42%	21.3	35.5	226.7	6.4	10.7	20	12	.24	1.5	30%	34%	.32	7%	1.8

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -0.67 #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
2023 Talent Rating: 649.79 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -0.67 West Virginia: 6.935

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 5.9 West Virginia: 5.4

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 6.935 #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
2023 Talent Rating: 666.23 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.2
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.4

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
West Virginia 27
Oklahoma State 23

Projected Total Points: 50

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Oklahoma State	14	West Virginia	38	Oklahoma State -2.5	West Virginia	65.0	Under
2023	10/21	West Virginia	34	Oklahoma State	48	West Virginia -3	Oklahoma State	48.0	Over
2022	11/26	Oklahoma State	19	West Virginia	24	Oklahoma State -5.5	West Virginia	59.5	Under
2021	11/06	West Virginia	3	Oklahoma State	24	Oklahoma State -3.5	Oklahoma State	48.5	Under
2020	09/26	Oklahoma State	27	West Virginia	13	Oklahoma State -5.5	Oklahoma State	49.0	Under
2019	11/23	West Virginia	13	Oklahoma State	20	Oklahoma State -7	NA	56.0	Under
2018	11/17	Oklahoma State	45	West Virginia	41	West Virginia -6	Oklahoma State	74.0	Over
2017	10/28	West Virginia	39	Oklahoma State	50	Oklahoma State -9	Oklahoma State	76.5	Over
2016	10/29	Oklahoma State	37	West Virginia	20	West Virginia -3	Oklahoma State	66.0	Under
2015	10/10	West Virginia	26	Oklahoma State	33	West Virginia -6	Oklahoma State	63.5	Under
2014	10/25	Oklahoma State	10	West Virginia	34	Oklahoma State -4	West Virginia	0
2013	09/28	West Virginia	30	Oklahoma State	21	Oklahoma State -21	West Virginia	0
2012	11/10	Oklahoma State	55	West Virginia	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
West Virginia	4	4	3 Overs
Oklahoma State	9	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 8	4 - 7	1 - 5	3 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 5	7 - 4	2 - 3	5 - 1

(#67) OKST at (#45) WVU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OKST	WVU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#67	#45
SP+SP+	#42	#44
Perf GradeGrade	#59	#46
OffenseOff	#42	#31
DefenseDef	#97	#85
Spec TeamsST	#16	#127
TalentTal	#56	#50
Blue ChipsBC%	#43	#43

Oklahoma State Injury Report

West Virginia Injury Report

Oklahoma State on Offense


CategoryCat	OKST Off	WVU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#42	#85
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#82	#88
SP+SP+	#31	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oklahoma State Run Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	#33	#61
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#70

Oklahoma State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	#52	#99
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#34	#85
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

West Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	WVU Off	OKST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#31	#97
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#32	#75
SP+SP+	#38	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

West Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	#6	#86
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#61	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#79

West Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	WVU Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	#28	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#8	#61
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
West Virginia -3.0 (48.0)
Oklahoma State won at West Virginia this year (48-34)

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat Oklahoma State in 2024 (38-14)
Oklahoma State beat West Virginia in 2023 (48-34)

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)	304	501	61%	3460	15	14	6.9
Gunnar Gundy	21	34	62%	202	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ollie Gordon	285	1731	21	6.1	75
Jaden Nixon	50	197	1	3.9	34
Elijah Collins (Tr)	30	142	2	4.7	26
Gunnar Gundy	15	49	1	3.3	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brennan Presley	100	988	6	9.9	29
Rashod Owens	63	895	5	14.2	45
Leon Johnson III (Tr)	33	539	1	16.3	67
Jaden Bray	30	382	2	12.7	45

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Bob Clements (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nickolas Martin	140	16	6	8	0
Kendal Daniels	105	6	2	0	1
Trey Rucker	100	4	0	0	1
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nickolas Martin	140	16	6	8	0
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)	42	7	3	1	0
Nathan Latu	31	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5
Dylahn McKinney	38	0	0	0	5
Korie Black	17	1	0	0	5

WVU's OC Chad Scott (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Greene	147	278	53%	2406	16	4	8.7
Nicco Marchiol	30	53	57%	247	2	3	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahiem White	109	842	4	7.7	53
CJ Donaldson	171	798	11	4.7	32
Garrett Greene	120	772	13	6.4	48
Justin Johnson	38	150	1	3.9	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Carter (Tr)	27	501	2	18.6	49
Hudson Clement	22	480	4	21.8	70
Kole Taylor (Tr)	35	444	4	12.7	43
Preston Fox	26	368	2	14.2	34

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lee Kpogba	97	8	3	8	1
Anthony Wilson (Tr)	80	2	0	0	4
Beanie Bishop (Tr)	67	1	0	0	20
Ben Cutter	56	6	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Bartlett	49	7	5	2	1
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)	23	6	4	1	0
Lee Kpogba	97	8	3	8	1
Edward Vesterinen	28	5	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beanie Bishop (Tr)	67	1	0	0	20
Marcis Floyd	50	5	2	6	7
Malachi Ruffin	37	0	0	0	5