Texas A&M at Miami - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo (#19)Texas A&M Aggies at Miami Hurricanes(#5)Miami logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -3 (50.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami 48 - Texas A&M: 33

 
Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Elijah Robinson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (28 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MIAMI 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas A&M -2   (SP+ TA&M -3.5)

Projected Score: TA&M: 28 - MIAMI: 26 (54)
TA&M Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TA&M Travel: 1030 miles, 1 hrs behind
Hurricanes (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (8 - 7)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 4.2 (#30)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas A&M vs New Mexico-37.548.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/9 Texas A&M at Miami-3.050.5L 33 - 48ON
Sat 9/16 Texas A&M vs UL Monroe-36.553.5W 47 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas A&M vs Auburn-9.551.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.553.5W 34 - 22OY
Sat 10/7 Texas A&M vs Alabama+2.545.0L 20 - 26ON
Sat 10/14 Texas A&M at Tennessee+3.054.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-17.051.5W 30 - 17UN
Sat 11/4 Texas A&M at Ole Miss+3.052.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-16.540.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian-40.554.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 Texas A&M at LSU+10.567.5L 30 - 42ON
Wed 12/27 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State+4.056.0L 23 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Miami's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Miami vs Miami (OH)-16.545.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Miami vs Texas A&M+3.050.5W 48 - 33OY
Thu 9/14 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman-54.063.5W 48 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Miami at Temple-23.046.5W 41 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Miami vs Georgia Tech-19.057.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/14 Miami at North Carolina+2.557.5L 31 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 Miami vs Clemson+3.048.5W 28 - 20UY
Sat 10/28 Miami vs Virginia-18.548.0W 29 - 26ON
Sat 11/4 Miami at NC State-6.544.0L 6 - 20UN
Sat 11/11 Miami at Florida State+14.550.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 11/18 Miami vs Louisville-1.546.5L 31 - 38ON
Fri 11/24 Miami at Boston College-13.550.5W 45 - 20OY
Thu 12/28 Miami vs Rutgers+3.041.0L 24 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#42 (.24)43% (54)33.344% (58)3.02 (85)13643% (58)2714.15 (44)#21 (.1)37% (20)22.134% (7)40% (46)2.76 (6)45.51.11
MIAMI#37 (.27)43% (52)31.543% (64)3.35 (24)17344% (43)2583.99 (56)#37 (.14)39% (31)22.838% (27)39% (38)4.53 (125)57.81.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1333.327.843.2%4.151.1224071362713.948%51%44%43%14%.24
MIAMI Defense1322.821.438.5%4.531.4 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense1322.13737%2.761 - - - - - 47%52%34%40%22%.1
MIAMI Offense1331.534.643.3%3.991.7224311732585.147%52%43%44%14%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1331:2422.143%60%5.945.51.117.43.2235.5
Miami1331:5221.941%52%6.157.81.71.462.6229.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1348% (84)44% (58)35.1136.23.923 (46).14 (76)3.02 (85)78% (33)9% (50)0.94 (97)
MIAMI Defense1347% (36)38% (27) - - - - .07 (28)2.65 (12)70% (45)12% (27)1 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1347% (35)34% (7) - - - - -.03 (9)2.46 (6)61% (13)15% (4)0.99 (67)
MIAMI Offense1347% (96)43% (64)33.8173.25.124 (41).2 (44)3.35 (24)82% (10)8% (21)1.03 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1351% (48)43% (58)21.132.7270.88.312.924 (41)9 (40).35 (41)1.7 (23)31% (60)33% (46).46 (26)5% (31)2.3 (17)
MIAMI Defense1352% (102)39% (38) - - - - - - 12 (37).22 (41)1.6 (60)33% (47)28% (33).3 (62)5% (104)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1352% (99)40% (46) - - - - - - 9 (87).28 (77)1.7 (98)38% (3)26% (22).18 (11)7% (33)2.2 (118)
MIAMI Offense1352% (42)44% (43)21.833.62587.711.923 (51)14 (107).39 (28)1.6 (55)30% (36)32% (63).36 (60)6% (91)2 (87)

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 14.95 #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 14.95   Miami: 13.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 15.4   Miami: 11.7




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 13.3 #22
Miami's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Miami's 2023 Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20
Miami's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 28
Miami 26


Total Points: 54

Miami Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.6
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Miami's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Miami48Texas A&M33MiamiTexas A&M -3Miami50.5Over
202209/17Texas A&M17Miami9Texas A&MTexas A&M -6.5Texas A&M45.5Under
200809/20Texas A&M23Miami41Miami
200709/20Miami34Texas A&M17Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami311 Overs
Texas A&M111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 30 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#13) Texas A&M Info
Power Rating: 14.95 #13
Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #4
Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40


Texas A&M has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (0 - 3 - 1 vs Spread )

Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#70)

Texas A&M Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas A&M has a really good defense (#36)
Texas A&M defense is really good in red zone (#116)
Texas A&M has a good run defense (#25)
Texas A&M Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#48)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M Front 7 is disruptive (#38)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)

Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMIAMITA&M
OverallOver#10#14
OffenseOff#13#29
DefenseDef#18#17
Special TeamsST#74#27
PassingPass#20#15
RushingRush#22#66
Run BlockRBLK#29#35
Pass BlockPBLK#11#82
Route RunningWR Rt#17#16
TacklingTkl#45#84
Run DefenseR Def#16#14
Pass Rush DefPRush#19#22
Coverage DefCov#43#39

Rematch from Week 2
Texas A&M 3.0 (50.5)
Miami won vs Texas A&M this year (48-33)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Texas A&M in 2023 (48-33)
Texas A&M beat Miami in 2022 (17-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TA&M | MIAMI
Depth Chart: TA&M | MIAMI
Rosters: TA&M | MIAMI
(#22) Miami Info
Power Rating: 13.3 #22
Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20


Miami has won 1 straight
Miami has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Miami Highlights
Miami is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Miami has a top Offensive Line (#31)
Miami Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Miami has a good run defense (#9)
Miami Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#61)
Miami Defensive Line is very good (#14)
Miami Front 7 is disruptive (#33)

Miami Deficiencies
Miami has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Miami throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Miami has a bad red zone defense (#72)


  
Texas A&M's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Johnson11819062%1452957.6
Conner Weigman8211969%979828.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Amari Daniels10553265.179
Le'Veon Moss9648455.036
Rueben Owens10138533.828
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)4110422.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ainias Smith53795215.042
Jahdae Walker (Tr)35590216.940
Evan Stewart38514413.544
Noah Thomas29359512.434

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Taurean York749350
Demani Richardson593143
Bryce Anderson568334
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Shemar Turner319530
Fadil Diggs3611462
Walter Nolen368401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon181007
Josh DeBerry (Tr)395117
Tyreek Chappell211006

Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Van Dyke21933366%270319128.1
Emory Williams447162%470316.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Henry Parrish Jr.10062566.338
Mark Fletcher Jr.10551454.954
Donald Chaney Jr.9447825.129
Ajay Allen (Tr)7036155.230
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Restrepo851092612.848
Jacolby George57864815.285
Colbie Young47563512.057
Brashard Smith22263212.054

View Miami's Full Roster
Miami's DC Lance Guidry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)7817863
James Williams721024
Kamren Kinchens523105
Corey Flagg Jr.477030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)7817863
Rueben Bain Jr.4212841
Branson Deen (Tr)154320
Wesley Bissainthe417220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Kinchens523105
Daryl Porter Jr.210014
James Williams721024