Pittsburgh at Wake Forest - 2023 Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -3 (45.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Wake Forest 21 - Pittsburgh: 17 (ACC)

Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (24 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Pittsburgh -1 (SP+ PITT -0.5)
Projected Score: PITT: 27 - WAKE: 26 (60)
PITT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
PITT Travel: 299 miles

Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (62 - 53)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (27 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
WAKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Pittsburgh vs Wofford	-37.5	49.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati	-6.5	44.5	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/16	Pittsburgh at West Virginia	+2.5	48.0	L 6 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Pittsburgh vs North Carolina	+7.0	49.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech	-3.0	40.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Pittsburgh vs Louisville	+7.5	44.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Pittsburgh at Wake Forest	-3.0	45.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/28	Pittsburgh at Notre Dame	+21.0	45.5	L 7 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/4	Pittsburgh vs Florida State	+21.5	50.0	L 7 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-4.5	37.5	L 13 - 28	O	N
Thu 11/16	Pittsburgh vs Boston College	-1.0	47.0	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Pittsburgh at Duke	+4.5	40.5	L 19 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Wake Forest's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Wake Forest vs Elon	-33.5	53.5	W 37 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt	-9.5	55.0	W 36 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Wake Forest at Old Dominion	-13.5	60.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech	-3.5	58.5	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wake Forest at Clemson	+21.0	53.5	L 12 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wake Forest at Virginia Tech	+1.5	48.5	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	45.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Wake Forest vs Florida State	+21.0	53.5	L 16 - 41	O	N
Thu 11/2	Wake Forest at Duke	+6.5	41.0	L 21 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Wake Forest vs NC State	-0.5	42.5	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wake Forest at Notre Dame	+22.5	47.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wake Forest at Syracuse	+3.0	43.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	.18	43%	32.9	46%	3.21	183	41%	222	3.84	.06	36%	28.4	36%	37%	3.62	63.7	1.5	2.2
WAKE	.24	47%	25.7	44%	2.97	132	51%	312	4.73	.2	43%	32.5	44%	43%	3.81	40.8	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WAKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	13	32.9	23.8	43.4%	3.84	1.5	21	405	183	222	4.6	55%	44%	46%	41%	16%	.18
WAKE Defense	13	32.5	34.7	43.2%	3.81	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	44%	43%	17%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	13	28.4	34	36.3%	3.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	36%	37%	22%	.06
WAKE Offense	13	25.7	26.6	47.1%	4.73	1.5	25	444	132	312	3.4	45%	54%	44%	51%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	13	33:14	21.5	39%	50%	7.4	63.7	1.5	2.2	6.4	3.6	5	30.7
Wake Forest	13	28:27	25.2	46%	50%	4.8	40.8	1.5	1.5	5.9	2.2	2	30.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	13	55%	46%	40.2	183.1	4.6	30	.18	3.21	78%	10%	1.05
WAKE Defense	13	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.98	77%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.61	76%	12%	1.16
WAKE Offense	13	45%	44%	38.6	131.6	3.4	17	.03	2.97	73%	8%	0.72

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	13	44%	41%	17.2	30.2	222.2	7.4	13	13	11	.26	1.6	31%	32%	.31	6%	1.9
WAKE Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.29	1.7	35%	34%	.45	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.08	1.6	39%	29%	.29	10%	2.1
WAKE Offense	13	54%	51%	23.2	36.5	311.9	8.6	13.4	43	13	.45	1.6	30%	37%	.43	7%	2

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.44 #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
2023 Talent Rating: 672.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -1.44 Wake Forest: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -6.9 Wake Forest: -7.5

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -4.95 #103
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
2023 Talent Rating: 656.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Wake Forest's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Wake Forest's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Pittsburgh 27
Wake Forest 26

Projected Total Points: 60

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Wake Forest's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Wake Forest	21	Pittsburgh	17	Wake Forest	Pittsburgh -3	Wake Forest	45.0	Under
2021	12/04	Wake Forest	21	Pittsburgh	45	Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh -3.5	Pittsburgh	72.5	Under
2018	11/17	Wake Forest	13	Pittsburgh	34	Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh -5	Pittsburgh	62.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wake Forest	1	1	0 Overs
Pittsburgh	2	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0

(#72) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.44 #72
Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58
Talent Rating: 672.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

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Pittsburgh Ratings Matchup Wake Forest

Power #72

#103

Off #115

#123

Def #35

#80

Talent #57

#63

SP+ #86

#92

SP+ Off #106

#101

SP+ Def #58

#66

Rematch from Week 8
Pittsburgh 3.0 (45.0)
Wake Forest won vs Pittsburgh this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
Wake Forest beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (21-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 70° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: PITT | WAKE
Depth Chart: PITT | WAKE
Rosters: PITT | WAKE

(#103) Wake Forest Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.95 #103
Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 656.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20

Team Profile

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Pittsburgh's OC Frank Cignetti Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	166	291	57%	2047	13	11	7.0
Gavin Bartholomew	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Carter	22	208	4	9.5	43
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	28	74	1	2.6	23
Gavin Bartholomew	1	2	0	2.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Konata Mumpfield	52	813	5	15.6	46
Gavin Bartholomew	38	329	4	8.7	21
Israel Polk	24	201	0	8.4	19
Cole Mitchell	11	124	2	11.3	40

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)	115	1	0	0	7
Brandon George	80	6	2	7	0
Rashad Battle	35	1	0	1	8
P.J. O'Brien	33	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Samuel Okunlola	30	7	3	1
Dayon Hayes	16	4	2	0
Brandon George	80	6	2	7
Solomon Deshields	23	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Rashad Battle	35	1	1	8
Donovan McMillon (Tr)	115	1	0	7
Daniel Carter	0	0	1	1

Wake Forest's OC Warren Ruggiero

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Santino Marucci	49	112	44%	519	3	5	4.6
Michael Kern	24	45	53%	288	1	3	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justice Ellison	159	848	10	5.3	47
Santino Marucci	37	131	1	3.5	38
Ke'Shawn Williams	2	27	0	13.5	14
Taylor Morin	1	9	0	9.0	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Taylor Morin	64	756	2	11.8	51
Jahmal Banks	44	587	3	13.3	31
Ke'Shawn Williams	39	448	5	11.5	52
Wesley Grimes	24	319	1	13.3	30

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

Wake Forest's DC Brad Lambert

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nick Andersen	122	1	0	1	1
Evan Slocum	65	1	0	0	2
AJ Williams	48	2	0	0	1
Kevin Pointer	33	7	4	8	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jasheen Davis	31	11	6	5	0
Kevin Pointer	33	7	4	8	1
Bryce Ganious (Tr)	26	5	3	7	0
Justin Williams	9	3	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Evan Slocum	65	1	0	0	2
Dashawn Jones	23	3	1	0	2
Nick Andersen	122	1	0	1	1