Pittsburgh at Wake Forest - 2023 Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -3 (45.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Wake Forest 21 - Pittsburgh: 17 (ACC)

Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Pittsburgh -1 (SP+ PITT -0.5)
Projected Score: PITT: 25 - WAKE: 24 (50)
PITT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
PITT Travel: 299 miles

Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (62 - 53)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
WAKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Pittsburgh vs Wofford	-37.5	49.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati	-6.5	44.5	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/16	Pittsburgh at West Virginia	+2.5	48.0	L 6 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Pittsburgh vs North Carolina	+7.0	49.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech	-3.0	40.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Pittsburgh vs Louisville	+7.5	44.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Pittsburgh at Wake Forest	-3.0	45.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/28	Pittsburgh at Notre Dame	+21.0	45.5	L 7 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/4	Pittsburgh vs Florida State	+21.5	50.0	L 7 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-4.5	37.5	L 13 - 28	O	N
Thu 11/16	Pittsburgh vs Boston College	-1.0	47.0	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Pittsburgh at Duke	+4.5	40.5	L 19 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Wake Forest's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Wake Forest vs Elon	-33.5	53.5	W 37 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt	-9.5	55.0	W 36 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Wake Forest at Old Dominion	-13.5	60.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech	-3.5	58.5	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wake Forest at Clemson	+21.0	53.5	L 12 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wake Forest at Virginia Tech	+1.5	48.5	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	45.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Wake Forest vs Florida State	+21.0	53.5	L 16 - 41	O	N
Thu 11/2	Wake Forest at Duke	+6.5	41.0	L 21 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Wake Forest vs NC State	-0.5	42.5	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wake Forest at Notre Dame	+22.5	47.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wake Forest at Syracuse	+3.0	43.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	.18	43%	33.7	46%	3.21	183	41%	222	3.84	.06	36%	24.8	36%	37%	3.62	63.7	1.5	2.2
WAKE	.24	47%	28.1	44%	2.97	132	51%	312	4.73	.2	43%	22.1	44%	43%	3.81	40.8	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WAKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	13	33.7	33	43.4%	3.84	1.5	21	405	183	222	4.6	55%	44%	46%	41%	16%	.18
WAKE Defense	13	22.1	17.3	43.2%	3.81	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	44%	43%	17%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	13	24.8	24.6	36.3%	3.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	36%	37%	22%	.06
WAKE Offense	13	28.1	28.3	47.1%	4.73	1.5	25	444	132	312	3.4	45%	54%	44%	51%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	13	33:14	21.5	39%	50%	7.4	63.7	1.5	2.2	6.4	3.6	5	30.7
Wake Forest	13	28:27	25.2	46%	50%	4.8	40.8	1.5	1.5	5.9	2.2	2	30.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	13	55%	46%	40.2	183.1	4.6	30	.18	3.21	78%	10%	1.05
WAKE Defense	13	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.98	77%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.61	76%	12%	1.16
WAKE Offense	13	45%	44%	38.6	131.6	3.4	17	.03	2.97	73%	8%	0.72

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	13	44%	41%	17.2	30.2	222.2	7.4	13	13	11	.26	1.6	31%	32%	.31	6%	1.9
WAKE Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.29	1.7	35%	34%	.45	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.08	1.6	39%	29%	.29	10%	2.1
WAKE Offense	13	54%	51%	23.2	36.5	311.9	8.6	13.4	43	13	.45	1.6	30%	37%	.43	7%	2

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.44 #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
2023 Talent Rating: 700.42 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -1.44 Wake Forest: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -6.9 Wake Forest: -7.5

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -4.95 #103
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
2023 Talent Rating: 603.68 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Wake Forest's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Wake Forest's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Pittsburgh 25
Wake Forest 24

Projected Total Points: 50

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Wake Forest's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Wake Forest	21	Pittsburgh	17	Pittsburgh -3	Wake Forest	45.0	Under
2021	12/04	Wake Forest	21	Pittsburgh	45	Pittsburgh -3.5	Pittsburgh	72.5	Under
2018	11/17	Wake Forest	13	Pittsburgh	34	Pittsburgh -5	Pittsburgh	62.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wake Forest	1	1	0 Overs
Pittsburgh	2	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0

(#72) PITT at (#103) WAKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PITT	WAKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#72	#103
SP+SP+	#86	#92
Perf GradeGrade	#117	#56
OffenseOff	#127	#63
DefenseDef	#85	#45
Spec TeamsST	#73	#44
TalentTal	#39	#70
Blue ChipsBC%	#43	#63

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Wake Forest Injury Report

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	WAKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#45
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#115	#80
SP+SP+	#106	#66
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	#77	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#134	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#16

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	#124	#62
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#93	#72
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	PITT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#63	#85
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#123	#35
SP+SP+	#101	#58
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#123	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#85

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#116	#83
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#29	#121
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Pittsburgh 3.0 (45.0)
Wake Forest won vs Pittsburgh this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
Wake Forest beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (21-17)

PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	94	184	51%	1179	7	8	6.4
Phil Jurkovec (Tr)	57	112	51%	818	6	3	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rodney Hammond Jr.	118	547	4	4.6	66
C'Bo Flemister	98	367	2	3.7	38
Daniel Carter	28	134	2	4.8	22
Kenny Johnson	10	72	0	7.2	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jerrod Means	41	721	6	17.6	75
Konata Mumpfield	44	576	5	13.1	82
Gavin Bartholomew	18	326	1	18.1	60
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)	28	316	0	11.3	31

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)	105	1	0	0	1
Javon Mcintyre	85	4	0	0	7
Solomon Deshields	58	8	2	4	1
Bangally Kamara	53	7	2	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Samuel Okunlola	18	6	5	0	0
Shayne Simon	48	8	5	5	2
Dayon Hayes	45	11	4	6	4
Bam Brima	31	4	3	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
M.J. Devonshire	32	1	0	0	10
Javon Mcintyre	85	4	0	0	7
Dayon Hayes	45	11	4	6	4

WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mitch Griffis	123	207	59%	1539	9	8	7.4
Michael Kern	56	92	61%	645	4	2	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demond Claiborne	137	586	5	4.3	42
Justice Ellison	120	548	1	4.6	51
Tate Carney	49	244	4	5.0	74
Mitch Griffis	106	128	2	1.2	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahmal Banks	59	653	4	11.1	33
Taylor Morin	41	617	2	15.0	61
Ke'Shawn Williams	38	384	1	10.1	34
Wesley Grimes	20	339	4	17.0	49

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Brad Lambert (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Hazen	86	9	1	3	0
Jacob Roberts (Tr)	82	10	6	3	1
Malik Mustapha	80	5	1	1	2
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jasheen Davis	49	16	8	10	2
Jacob Roberts (Tr)	82	10	6	3	1
Kendron Wayman	35	4	2	4	2
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caelen Carson	42	1	0	0	6
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5
Nick Andersen	33	1	1	1	3