Pittsburgh at Notre Dame - 2023 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo   Pittsburgh Panthers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish  Notre Dame logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -21 (45.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Notre Dame 58 - Pittsburgh: 7

 
Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT 2nd straight Road Game
ND coming off BYE
Our Line: Notre Dame -26  (SP+ ND -26)
Projected Score: PITT: 13 - ND: 39 (53)
ND Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
PITT Travel: 335 miles
Fighting Irish (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Marcus Freeman (13 - 5)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Pittsburgh vs Wofford-37.549.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-6.544.5L 21 - 27ON
Sat 9/16 Pittsburgh at West Virginia+2.548.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina+7.049.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-3.040.0L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+7.544.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Pittsburgh at Wake Forest-3.045.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Pittsburgh at Notre Dame+21.045.5L 7 - 58ON
Sat 11/4 Pittsburgh vs Florida State+21.550.0L 7 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-4.537.5L 13 - 28ON
Thu 11/16 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-1.047.0W 24 - 16UY
Sat 11/25 Pittsburgh at Duke+4.540.5L 19 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Notre Dame vs Navy-20.549.0W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/2 Notre Dame vs Tennessee State-48.555.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/9 Notre Dame at NC State-7.049.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 Notre Dame vs Central Michigan-34.551.5W 41 - 17ON
Sat 9/23 Notre Dame vs Ohio State+3.055.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Notre Dame at Duke-5.552.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Notre Dame at Louisville-6.553.0L 20 - 33UN
Sat 10/14 Notre Dame vs USC-3.061.0W 48 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh-21.045.5W 58 - 7OY
Sat 11/4 Notre Dame at Clemson-3.044.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Notre Dame vs Wake Forest-22.547.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 11/25 Notre Dame at Stanford-26.050.5W 56 - 23OY
Fri 12/29 Notre Dame vs Oregon State-5.540.5W 40 - 8OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT.1843%33.746%3.2118341%2223.84.0636%24.836%37%3.6263.71.52.2
ND.248%4249%3.3418946%2073.99.1439%17.644%35%3.9242.31.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1333.73343.4%3.841.5214051832224.655%44%46%41%16%.18
ND Defense1317.61838.9%3.921.4 - - - - - 48%51%44%35%15%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1324.824.636.3%3.622.2 - - - - - 42%57%36%37%22%.06
ND Offense134244.747.6%3.991.4223961892074.658%41%49%46%12%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1333:1421.539%50%7.463.71.52.26.43.6530.7
Notre Dame1332:1021.647%44%4.642.31.41.462.8333.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1355%46%40.2183.14.630.183.2178%10%1.05
ND Defense1348%44% - - - - .173.0163%11%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1342%36% - - - - .082.6176%12%1.16
ND Offense1358%49%40.8189.14.625.163.3473%7%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1344%41%17.230.2222.27.4131311.261.631%32%.316%1.9
ND Defense1351%35% - - - - - - 10.141.733%26%.284%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1357%37% - - - - - - 14.081.639%29%.2910%2.1
ND Offense1341%46%16.226207.2812.82511.271.626%33%.355%1.9

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.44  #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42  #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46  #35
2023 Talent Rating: 700.42  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 11%  #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9  #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -1.44   Notre Dame: 21.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -6.9   Notre Dame: 19.1




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 21.915  #6
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 25.62  #11
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: 1.24  #12
2023 Talent Rating: 870.70  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 67  #9
Notre Dame's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Notre Dame's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1  #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #17
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 677.82
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 39
Pittsburgh 13

Projected Total Points: 53
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Pittsburgh15Notre Dame37Notre Dame -12.5Notre Dame55.5Under
202310/28Notre Dame58Pittsburgh7Notre Dame -21Notre Dame45.5Over
202010/24Pittsburgh3Notre Dame45Notre Dame -10Notre Dame43.5Over
201810/13Notre Dame19Pittsburgh14Notre Dame -21Pittsburgh56.0Under
201511/07Pittsburgh30Notre Dame42Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame52.5Over
201311/09Pittsburgh28Notre Dame21Notre Dame -3.5Pittsburgh0
201211/03Notre Dame29Pittsburgh26
201109/24Pittsburgh12Notre Dame15
201010/09Notre Dame23Pittsburgh17
200911/14Pittsburgh27Notre Dame22
200811/01Notre Dame33Pittsburgh36
200509/03Pittsburgh21Notre Dame42
200411/13Notre Dame38Pittsburgh41
200310/11Pittsburgh14Notre Dame20
200210/12Notre Dame14Pittsburgh6
200110/06Notre Dame24Pittsburgh7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame1243 Overs
Pittsburgh422 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 82 - 41 - 11 - 3
Road Teams8 - 84 - 23 - 11 - 1

(#72) PITT at (#6) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #72 #6
SP+SP+ #86 #9
Perf GradeGrade #117 #2
OffenseOff #127 #5
DefenseDef #85 #3
Spec TeamsST #73 #2
TalentTal #39 #11
Blue ChipsBC% #43 #9
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCat
PITT OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127 #3
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #115 #12
SP+SP+ #106 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffND Def
Run GameRun #77 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #134 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #38
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffND Def
Pass GamePass #124 #4
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #93 #8
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #11 #35
SP+SP+ #17 #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #15 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #30 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #85
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #17 #83
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #25 #121
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

PITT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Notre Dame -21.0 (45.5)
Notre Dame won vs Pittsburgh this year (58-7)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Pittsburgh last year (37-15)
Notre Dame beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (58-7)

  
PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)9418451%1179786.4
Phil Jurkovec (Tr)5711251%818637.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Hammond Jr.11854744.666
C'Bo Flemister9836723.738
Daniel Carter2813424.822
Kenny Johnson107207.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerrod Means41721617.675
Konata Mumpfield44576513.182
Gavin Bartholomew18326118.160
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)28316011.331

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)1051001
Javon Mcintyre854007
Solomon Deshields588241
Bangally Kamara537251
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Okunlola186500
Shayne Simon488552
Dayon Hayes4511464
Bam Brima314341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
M.J. Devonshire3210010
Javon Mcintyre854007
Dayon Hayes4511464

ND's OC Gerad Parker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Hartman (Tr)19130164%26892488.9
Steven Angeli344477%5047111.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Audric Estime2101341186.480
Jeremiyah Love7138515.436
Jadarian Price4727235.854
Gi'Bran Payne4516823.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Tyree26484318.676
Mitchell Evans29422114.636
Rico Flores27392114.560
Jordan Faison19322416.955

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JD Bertrand768375
Howard Cross III657242
Jack Kiser521131
Xavier Watts473103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javontae Jean-Baptiste (Tr)4610581
Jordan Botelho295430
Marist Liufau426321
Nana Osafo-Mensah206320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Benjamin Morrison304009
JD Bertrand768375
Cam Hart192004