Pittsburgh at Notre Dame - 2023 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo Pittsburgh Panthers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#24)Notre Dame logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -21 (45.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Notre Dame 58 - Pittsburgh: 7

 
Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (14 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT 2nd straight Road Game
ND coming off BYE
Our Line: Notre Dame -26   (SP+ ND -26)
Projected Score: PITT: 11 - ND: 37 (48)
ND Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
PITT Travel: 335 miles
Fighting Irish (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Marcus Freeman (13 - 5)
Avg Score : 39 - 16 (44 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Pittsburgh vs Wofford-37.549.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-6.544.5L 21 - 27ON
Sat 9/16 Pittsburgh at West Virginia+2.548.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina+7.049.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-3.040.0L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+7.544.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Pittsburgh at Wake Forest-3.045.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Pittsburgh at Notre Dame+21.045.5L 7 - 58ON
Sat 11/4 Pittsburgh vs Florida State+21.550.0L 7 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-4.537.5L 13 - 28ON
Thu 11/16 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-1.047.0W 24 - 16UY
Sat 11/25 Pittsburgh at Duke+4.540.5L 19 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Notre Dame vs Navy-20.549.0W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/2 Notre Dame vs Tennessee State-48.555.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/9 Notre Dame at NC State-7.049.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 Notre Dame vs Central Michigan-34.551.5W 41 - 17ON
Sat 9/23 Notre Dame vs Ohio State+3.055.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Notre Dame at Duke-5.552.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Notre Dame at Louisville-6.553.0L 20 - 33UN
Sat 10/14 Notre Dame vs USC-3.061.0W 48 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh-21.045.5W 58 - 7OY
Sat 11/4 Notre Dame at Clemson-3.044.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Notre Dame vs Wake Forest-22.547.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 11/25 Notre Dame at Stanford-26.050.5W 56 - 23OY
Fri 12/29 Notre Dame vs Oregon State-5.540.5W 40 - 8OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#119 (.09)38% (113)20.241% (90)2.86 (109)10235% (117)2163.46 (98)#23 (.11)39% (39)27.339% (32)41% (67)3.41 (33)64.41.81.3
ND#8 (.35)49% (9)39.251% (9)3.37 (15)18648% (19)2474.87 (7)#6 (.04)35% (7)15.937% (21)33% (3)2.97 (11)48.21.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1220.21437.7%3.461.8163181022163.445%54%41%35%19%.09
ND Defense1315.911.834.6%2.971.8 - - - - - 50%49%37%33%18%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1227.332.839.4%3.411.3 - - - - - 58%41%39%41%18%.11
ND Offense1339.243.749.3%4.871.3214331862475.352%47%51%48%11%.35

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1227:3616.331%50%7.864.41.81.36.92.5226.7
Notre Dame1330:4820.945%59%5.448.21.31.84.81.9429.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1245% (100)41% (90)29.7101.93.410 (124).06 (118)2.86 (109)75% (52)11% (94)0.89 (117)
ND Defense1350% (61)37% (21) - - - - .07 (29)2.85 (26)67% (34)11% (50)1.05 (92)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1258% (131)39% (32) - - - - .03 (17)2.91 (37)62% (16)12% (18)0.98 (57)
ND Offense1352% (45)51% (9)35.2186.35.328 (25).23 (27)3.37 (15)72% (83)7% (10)0.97 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1254% (34)35% (117)16302167.213.517 (85)12 (85).16 (109)1.7 (36)34% (103)24% (122).17 (114)8% (123)2.2 (26)
ND Defense1349% (67)33% (3) - - - - - - 16 (9).04 (2)1.5 (40)36% (14)25% (14).23 (26)7% (27)1.9 (20)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1241% (3)41% (67) - - - - - - 10 (67).27 (67)1.7 (103)32% (58)30% (75).29 (58)6% (85)2.2 (111)
ND Offense1347% (85)48% (19)17.527246.59.114.131 (14)9 (40).51 (8)1.8 (16)28% (10)37% (19).53 (14)4% (11)2.1 (60)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.44 #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -1.44   Notre Dame: 21.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -6.9   Notre Dame: 19.1




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 21.915 #6
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 25.62 #11
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: 1.24 #12
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #9
Notre Dame's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Notre Dame's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1 #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #17
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 37
Pittsburgh 11

Total Points: 48

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 39.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 15.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.8

Notre Dame's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Notre Dame58Pittsburgh7Notre DameNotre Dame -21Notre Dame45.5Over
202010/24Pittsburgh3Notre Dame45Notre DameNotre Dame -10Notre Dame43.5Over
201810/13Notre Dame19Pittsburgh14Notre DameNotre Dame -21Pittsburgh56.0Under
201511/07Pittsburgh30Notre Dame42Notre DameNotre Dame -7.5Notre Dame52.5Over
201311/09Pittsburgh28Notre Dame21PittsburghNotre Dame -3.5Pittsburgh0
201211/03Notre Dame29Pittsburgh26Notre Dame
201109/24Pittsburgh12Notre Dame15Notre Dame
201010/09Notre Dame23Pittsburgh17Notre Dame
200911/14Pittsburgh27Notre Dame22Pittsburgh
200811/01Notre Dame33Pittsburgh36Pittsburgh
200509/03Pittsburgh21Notre Dame42Notre Dame
200411/13Notre Dame38Pittsburgh41Pittsburgh
200310/11Pittsburgh14Notre Dame20Notre Dame
200210/12Notre Dame14Pittsburgh6Notre Dame
200110/06Notre Dame24Pittsburgh7Notre Dame
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame1133 Overs
Pittsburgh421 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 72 - 31 - 11 - 2
Road Teams7 - 83 - 22 - 11 - 1

(#72) Pittsburgh Info
Power Rating: -1.44 #72
Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10


Pittsburgh has lost 1 straight
Pittsburgh has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 5 (0 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)

Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh has a really bad Offense
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh offense is really bad (#48)
Pittsburgh Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#93)
Pittsburgh pass game is really bad (#51)
Pittsburgh offense is bad on 3rd Downs

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNDPITT
OverallOver#2#98
OffenseOff#5#108
DefenseDef#3#65
Special TeamsST#2#59
PassingPass#16#104
RushingRush#11#54
Run BlockRBLK#24#102
Pass BlockPBLK#23#81
Route RunningWR Rt#4#56
TacklingTkl#34#75
Run DefenseR Def#6#51
Pass Rush DefPRush#7#89
Coverage DefCov#3#67

Rematch from Week 9
Notre Dame -21.0 (45.5)
Notre Dame won vs Pittsburgh this year (58-7)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (58-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: PITT | ND
Depth Chart: PITT | ND
Rosters: PITT | ND
(#6) Notre Dame Info
Power Rating: 21.915 #6
Offense Rating: 25.62 #11
Defense Rating: 1.24 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #11
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #9
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70


Notre Dame has won 1 straight
Notre Dame has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (4 - 1 - 1 vs Spread)

Notre Dame Highlights
Notre Dame has Really Good Running Game (#126)
Notre Dame offense is efficent (#75)
Notre Dame has a top Offensive Line (#115)
Notre Dame offense is good in red zone (#22)
Notre Dame offense is good on 3rd downs
Notre Dame has a really good defense (#104)
Notre Dame defense is really good in red zone (#113)
Notre Dame has a good run defense (#85)
Notre Dame has a good pass defense (#110)
Notre Dame Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#114)
Notre Dame Defensive Line is very good (#88)
Notre Dame Secondary is very good (#113)
Notre Dame defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Notre Dame Deficiencies


  
Pittsburgh's OC Frank Cignetti Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)9418451%1179786.4
Phil Jurkovec (Tr)5711251%818637.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Hammond Jr.11854744.666
C'Bo Flemister9836723.738
Daniel Carter2813424.822
Kenny Johnson107207.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerrod Means41721617.675
Konata Mumpfield44576513.182
Gavin Bartholomew18326118.160
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)28316011.331

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)1051001
Javon Mcintyre854007
Solomon Deshields588241
Bangally Kamara537251
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Okunlola186500
Shayne Simon488552
Dayon Hayes4511464
Bam Brima314341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
M.J. Devonshire3210010
Javon Mcintyre854007
Dayon Hayes4511464

Notre Dame's OC Gerad Parker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Hartman (Tr)19130164%26892488.9
Steven Angeli344477%5047111.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Audric Estime2101341186.480
Jeremiyah Love7138515.436
Jadarian Price4727235.854
Gi'Bran Payne4516823.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Tyree26484318.676
Mitchell Evans29422114.636
Rico Flores27392114.560
Jordan Faison19322416.955

View Notre Dame's Full Roster
Notre Dame's DC Al Golden
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JD Bertrand768375
Howard Cross III657242
Jack Kiser521131
Xavier Watts473103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javontae Jean-Baptiste (Tr)4610581
Jordan Botelho295430
Marist Liufau426321
Nana Osafo-Mensah206320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Benjamin Morrison304009
JD Bertrand768375
Cam Hart192004