Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo Pittsburgh Panthers at Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -3 (40.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Virginia Tech 38 - Pittsburgh: 21  (ACC)

 
Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VT is playing their 5th straight game
PITT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Virginia Tech -10  (SP+ VT -12)
Projected Score: PITT: 19 - VT: 29 (48)
PITT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
PITT Travel: 224 miles
Hokies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (4 - 10)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Pittsburgh vs Wofford-37.549.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-6.544.5L 21 - 27ON
Sat 9/16 Pittsburgh at West Virginia+2.548.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina+7.049.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-3.040.0L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+7.544.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Pittsburgh at Wake Forest-3.045.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Pittsburgh at Notre Dame+21.045.5L 7 - 58ON
Sat 11/4 Pittsburgh vs Florida State+21.550.0L 7 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-4.537.5L 13 - 28ON
Thu 11/16 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-1.047.0W 24 - 16UY
Sat 11/25 Pittsburgh at Duke+4.540.5L 19 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-16.048.0W 36 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Virginia Tech vs Purdue-1.549.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/16 Virginia Tech at Rutgers+6.537.5L 16 - 35ON
Sat 9/23 Virginia Tech at Marshall+5.541.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh+3.040.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Virginia Tech at Florida State+23.552.5L 17 - 39OY
Sat 10/14 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest-1.548.5W 30 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26 Virginia Tech vs Syracuse-2.547.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 11/4 Virginia Tech at Louisville+9.548.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 11/11 Virginia Tech at Boston College-2.548.5W 48 - 22OY
Sat 11/18 Virginia Tech vs NC State-2.540.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/25 Virginia Tech at Virginia-2.552.5W 55 - 17OY
Wed 12/27 Virginia Tech vs Tulane-13.543.5W 41 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT.1843%33.746%3.2118341%2223.84.0636%24.836%37%3.6263.71.52.2
VT.138%21.440%2.9511236%2032.62.1738%30.241%36%3.8657.91.41.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1333.73343.4%3.841.5214051832224.655%44%46%41%16%.18
VT Defense1130.231.638%3.861.3 - - - - - 47%53%41%36%19%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1324.824.636.3%3.622.2 - - - - - 42%57%36%37%22%.06
VT Offense1121.42637.6%2.621.4183151122033.249%50%40%36%16%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1333:1421.539%50%7.463.71.52.26.43.6530.7
Virginia Tech1129:0917.531%43%7.357.91.41.36.72.1328.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1355%46%40.2183.14.630.183.2178%10%1.05
VT Defense1147%41% - - - - .132.8368%12%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1342%36% - - - - .082.6176%12%1.16
VT Offense1149%40%35.3111.83.215.082.9574%10%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1344%41%17.230.2222.27.4131311.261.631%32%.316%1.9
VT Defense1153%36% - - - - - - 4.251.736%27%.326%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1357%37% - - - - - - 14.081.639%29%.2910%2.1
VT Offense1150%36%18.531.5202.96.51199.151.535%27%.316%2.2

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.44  #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42  #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46  #35
2023 Talent Rating: 700.42  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 11%  #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9  #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 581.24

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -1.44   Virginia Tech: 5.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -6.9   Virginia Tech: 4.7




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 5.605  #54
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 17.22  #58
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.01  #61
2023 Talent Rating: 638.89  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #57
Virginia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Virginia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #65
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 581.24


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia Tech 29
Pittsburgh 19

Projected Total Points: 48
Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Virginia Tech38Pittsburgh21Pittsburgh -3Virginia Tech40.0Over
202210/08Pittsburgh45Virginia Tech29Pittsburgh -14.5Pittsburgh42.0Over
202110/16Virginia Tech7Pittsburgh28Pittsburgh -6Pittsburgh55.5Under
202011/21Pittsburgh47Virginia Tech14Virginia Tech -6.5Pittsburgh52.5Over
201911/23Virginia Tech28Pittsburgh0Virginia Tech -3.5Virginia Tech44.0Under
201811/10Pittsburgh52Virginia Tech22Pittsburgh -4Pittsburgh52.0Over
201711/18Virginia Tech20Pittsburgh14Virginia Tech -14Pittsburgh49.5Under
201610/27Pittsburgh36Virginia Tech39Virginia Tech -4Pittsburgh53.5Over
201510/03Virginia Tech13Pittsburgh17Virginia Tech -4.5Pittsburgh44.5Under
201410/16Pittsburgh21Virginia Tech16Virginia Tech -2.5Pittsburgh0
201310/12Virginia Tech19Pittsburgh9Virginia Tech -9.5Virginia Tech0
201209/15Pittsburgh35Virginia Tech17
200311/08Pittsburgh31Virginia Tech28
200211/02Virginia Tech21Pittsburgh28
200111/03Pittsburgh38Virginia Tech7
200010/27Virginia Tech37Pittsburgh34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech635 Overs
Pittsburgh1084 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 48 - 34 - 24 - 1
Road Teams4 - 123 - 81 - 42 - 4

(#72) PITT at (#54) VT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTVT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #72 #54
SP+SP+ #86 #46
Perf GradeGrade #117 #74
OffenseOff #127 #92
DefenseDef #85 #76
Spec TeamsST #73 #45
TalentTal #39 #59
Blue ChipsBC% #43 #57
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCat
PITT OffVT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127 #76
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #115 #61
SP+SP+ #106 #44
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffVT Def
Run GameRun #77 #110
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #134 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #94
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #124 #77
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #93 #9
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia Tech on Offense
CategoryCatVT OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #92 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #58 #35
SP+SP+ #65 #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
VT OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #49 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #85
Virginia Tech Pass Game
CategoryCatVT OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #89 #83
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #86 #121
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

PITT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 64°
Rematch from Week 5
Pittsburgh 3.0 (40.0)
Virginia Tech won vs Pittsburgh this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (38-21)

  
PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)9418451%1179786.4
Phil Jurkovec (Tr)5711251%818637.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Hammond Jr.11854744.666
C'Bo Flemister9836723.738
Daniel Carter2813424.822
Kenny Johnson107207.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerrod Means41721617.675
Konata Mumpfield44576513.182
Gavin Bartholomew18326118.160
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)28316011.331

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)1051001
Javon Mcintyre854007
Solomon Deshields588241
Bangally Kamara537251
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Okunlola186500
Shayne Simon488552
Dayon Hayes4511464
Bam Brima314341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
M.J. Devonshire3210010
Javon Mcintyre854007
Dayon Hayes4511464

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones (Tr)16628558%20841737.3
Grant Wells376854%519527.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bhayshul Tuten (Tr)173863105.049
Kyron Drones (Tr)16681854.959
Malachi Thomas8338124.635
Grant Wells177514.460
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Da'Quan Felton (Tr)38667817.684
Jaylin Lane (Tr)41538613.175
Dae'Quan Wright28366013.139
Stephen Gosnell22347315.844

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keli Lawson767346
Alan Tisdale714222
Jalen Stroman552012
Mansoor Delane523001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antwuan Powell38141060
Cole Nelson278510
Pheldarius Payne289451
Norell Pollard238410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Strong241008
Keli Lawson767346
Derrick Canteen (Tr)342005