Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers at Virginia Tech Hokies

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -3 (40.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Virginia Tech 38 - Pittsburgh: 21 (ACC)

Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (24 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VT is playing their 5th straight game
PITT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Virginia Tech -10 (SP+ VT -12)
Projected Score: PITT: 19 - VT: 29 (56)
PITT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
PITT Travel: 224 miles

Hokies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (4 - 10)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
VT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Pittsburgh vs Wofford	-37.5	49.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati	-6.5	44.5	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/16	Pittsburgh at West Virginia	+2.5	48.0	L 6 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Pittsburgh vs North Carolina	+7.0	49.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech	-3.0	40.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Pittsburgh vs Louisville	+7.5	44.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Pittsburgh at Wake Forest	-3.0	45.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/28	Pittsburgh at Notre Dame	+21.0	45.5	L 7 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/4	Pittsburgh vs Florida State	+21.5	50.0	L 7 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-4.5	37.5	L 13 - 28	O	N
Thu 11/16	Pittsburgh vs Boston College	-1.0	47.0	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Pittsburgh at Duke	+4.5	40.5	L 19 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Virginia Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion	-16.0	48.0	W 36 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Virginia Tech vs Purdue	-1.5	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	Virginia Tech at Rutgers	+6.5	37.5	L 16 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Virginia Tech at Marshall	+5.5	41.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	40.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Virginia Tech at Florida State	+23.5	52.5	L 17 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest	-1.5	48.5	W 30 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Virginia Tech vs Syracuse	-2.5	47.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Virginia Tech at Louisville	+9.5	48.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/11	Virginia Tech at Boston College	-2.5	48.5	W 48 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Virginia Tech vs NC State	-2.5	40.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/25	Virginia Tech at Virginia	-2.5	52.5	W 55 - 17	O	Y
Wed 12/27	Virginia Tech vs Tulane	-13.5	43.5	W 41 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	.18	43%	32.9	46%	3.21	183	41%	222	3.84	.06	36%	28.4	36%	37%	3.62	63.7	1.5	2.2
VT	.1	38%	28.2	40%	2.95	112	36%	203	2.62	.17	38%	22.8	41%	36%	3.86	57.9	1.4	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	13	32.9	23.8	43.4%	3.84	1.5	21	405	183	222	4.6	55%	44%	46%	41%	16%	.18
VT Defense	11	22.8	18	38%	3.86	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	41%	36%	19%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	13	28.4	34	36.3%	3.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	36%	37%	22%	.06
VT Offense	11	28.2	28	37.6%	2.62	1.4	18	315	112	203	3.2	49%	50%	40%	36%	16%	.1

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	13	33:14	21.5	39%	50%	7.4	63.7	1.5	2.2	6.4	3.6	5	30.7
Virginia Tech	11	29:09	17.5	31%	43%	7.3	57.9	1.4	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	28.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	13	55%	46%	40.2	183.1	4.6	30	.18	3.21	78%	10%	1.05
VT Defense	11	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.83	68%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.61	76%	12%	1.16
VT Offense	11	49%	40%	35.3	111.8	3.2	15	.08	2.95	74%	10%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	13	44%	41%	17.2	30.2	222.2	7.4	13	13	11	.26	1.6	31%	32%	.31	6%	1.9
VT Defense	11	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.25	1.7	36%	27%	.32	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.08	1.6	39%	29%	.29	10%	2.1
VT Offense	11	50%	36%	18.5	31.5	202.9	6.5	11	9	9	.15	1.5	35%	27%	.31	6%	2.2

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.44 #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
2023 Talent Rating: 672.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -1.44 Virginia Tech: 5.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -6.9 Virginia Tech: 4.7

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 5.605 #54
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 17.22 #58
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.01 #61
2023 Talent Rating: 818.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Virginia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Virginia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia Tech 29
Pittsburgh 19

Projected Total Points: 56

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Virginia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	Virginia Tech	38	Pittsburgh	21	Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh -3	Virginia Tech	40.0	Over
2022	10/08	Pittsburgh	45	Virginia Tech	29	Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh -14.5	Pittsburgh	42.0	Over
2021	10/16	Virginia Tech	7	Pittsburgh	28	Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh -6	Pittsburgh	55.5	Under
2020	11/21	Pittsburgh	47	Virginia Tech	14	Pittsburgh	Virginia Tech -6.5	Pittsburgh	52.5	Over
2019	11/23	Virginia Tech	28	Pittsburgh	0	Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech -3.5	Virginia Tech	44.0	Under
2018	11/10	Pittsburgh	52	Virginia Tech	22	Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh -4	Pittsburgh	52.0	Over
2017	11/18	Virginia Tech	20	Pittsburgh	14	Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech -14	Pittsburgh	49.5	Under
2016	10/27	Pittsburgh	36	Virginia Tech	39	Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech -4	Pittsburgh	53.5	Over
2015	10/03	Virginia Tech	13	Pittsburgh	17	Pittsburgh	Virginia Tech -4.5	Pittsburgh	44.5	Under
2014	10/16	Pittsburgh	21	Virginia Tech	16	Pittsburgh	Virginia Tech -2.5	Pittsburgh	0
2013	10/12	Virginia Tech	19	Pittsburgh	9	Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech -9.5	Virginia Tech	0
2012	09/15	Pittsburgh	35	Virginia Tech	17	Pittsburgh
2003	11/08	Pittsburgh	31	Virginia Tech	28	Pittsburgh
2002	11/02	Virginia Tech	21	Pittsburgh	28	Pittsburgh
2001	11/03	Pittsburgh	38	Virginia Tech	7	Pittsburgh
2000	10/27	Virginia Tech	37	Pittsburgh	34	Virginia Tech

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	6	3	5 Overs
Pittsburgh	10	8	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 4	8 - 3	4 - 2	4 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 12	3 - 8	1 - 4	2 - 4

(#72) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.44 #72
Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58
Talent Rating: 672.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

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,

Pittsburgh Ratings Matchup Virginia Tech

Power #72

#54

Off #115

#58

Def #35

#61

Talent #57

#26

SP+ #86

#46

SP+ Off #106

#65

SP+ Def #58

#44

Rematch from Week 5
Pittsburgh 3.0 (40.0)
Virginia Tech won vs Pittsburgh this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (38-21)
Pittsburgh beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (45-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 64°

Team Information
Injuries: PITT | VT
Depth Chart: PITT | VT
Rosters: PITT | VT

(#54) Virginia Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.605 #54
Offense Rating: 17.22 #58
Defense Rating: 9.01 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #46
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #44
Talent Rating: 818.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80

Team Profile

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Pittsburgh's OC Frank Cignetti Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	166	291	57%	2047	13	11	7.0
Gavin Bartholomew	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Carter	22	208	4	9.5	43
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	28	74	1	2.6	23
Gavin Bartholomew	1	2	0	2.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Konata Mumpfield	52	813	5	15.6	46
Gavin Bartholomew	38	329	4	8.7	21
Israel Polk	24	201	0	8.4	19
Cole Mitchell	11	124	2	11.3	40

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)	115	1	0	0	7
Brandon George	80	6	2	7	0
Rashad Battle	35	1	0	1	8
P.J. O'Brien	33	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Samuel Okunlola	30	7	3	1
Dayon Hayes	16	4	2	0
Brandon George	80	6	2	7
Solomon Deshields	23	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Rashad Battle	35	1	1	8
Donovan McMillon (Tr)	115	1	0	7
Daniel Carter	0	0	1	1

Virginia Tech's OC Tyler Bowen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Peter Moore	1	1	100%	-1	0	0	-1.0
Jaylin Lane (Tr)	1	1	100%	6	1	0	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bhayshul Tuten (Tr)	183	1158	15	6.3	83
Bryce Duke	46	285	0	6.2	48
Jaylin Lane (Tr)	18	116	2	6.4	24
Da'Quan Felton (Tr)	1	10	0	10.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Stephen Gosnell	28	506	1	18.1	49
Jaylin Lane (Tr)	38	466	2	12.3	66
Ali Jennings (Tr)	15	373	3	24.9	65
Dae'Quan Wright	26	361	4	13.9	35

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

Virginia Tech's DC Chris Marve

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keonta Jenkins	65	10	1	3	4
Derrick Canteen (Tr)	44	3	0	0	5
Antwuan Powell	42	19	16	8	0
Jaylen Jones	40	1	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antwuan Powell	42	19	16	8	0
Cole Nelson	36	3	3	6	0
Wilfried Pene	33	5	3	4	1
Josh Fuga	14	6	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaylen Jones	40	1	8
Dorian Strong	32	0	6
Derrick Canteen (Tr)	44	3	5