Pittsburgh at Syracuse - 2023 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo (#24)Pittsburgh Panthers vs Syracuse OrangeSyracuse logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -4.5 (37.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Syracuse 28 - Pittsburgh: 13  (ACC)

 
Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (14 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SYR 2nd straight Home Game
PITT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Syracuse -3.5  (SP+ SYR -6)

Projected Score: PITT: 19 - SYR: 23 (42)
PITT Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 268 miles
Orange (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Dino Babers (39 - 49)
Avg Score : 24 - 25 (34 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Pittsburgh vs Wofford-37.549.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-6.544.5L 21 - 27ON
Sat 9/16 Pittsburgh at West Virginia+2.548.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina+7.049.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-3.040.0L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+7.544.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Pittsburgh at Wake Forest-3.045.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Pittsburgh at Notre Dame+21.045.5L 7 - 58ON
Sat 11/4 Pittsburgh vs Florida State+21.550.0L 7 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-4.537.5L 13 - 28ON
Thu 11/16 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-1.047.0W 24 - 16UY
Sat 11/25 Pittsburgh at Duke+4.540.5L 19 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Syracuse's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Syracuse vs Colgate-40.049.5W 65 - 0OY
Sat 9/9 Syracuse vs Western Michigan-24.556.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/16 Syracuse at Purdue-1.056.5W 35 - 20UY
Sat 9/23 Syracuse vs Army-13.050.5W 29 - 16UN
Sat 9/30 Syracuse vs Clemson+7.052.0L 14 - 31UN
Sat 10/7 Syracuse at North Carolina+9.559.0L 7 - 40UN
Sat 10/14 Syracuse at Florida State+18.553.5L 3 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26 Syracuse at Virginia Tech+2.547.5L 10 - 38ON
Fri 11/3 Syracuse vs Boston College-3.051.0L 10 - 17UN
Sat 11/11 Syracuse vs Pittsburgh+4.537.5W 28 - 13OY
Sat 11/18 Syracuse at Georgia Tech+6.551.5L 22 - 31ON
Sat 11/25 Syracuse vs Wake Forest-3.043.5W 35 - 31OY
Thu 12/21 Syracuse vs South Florida-3.056.0L 0 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#119 (.09)38% (113)20.241% (90)2.86 (109)10235% (117)2163.46 (98)#23 (.11)39% (39)27.339% (32)41% (67)3.41 (33)64.41.81.3
SYR#100 (.13)40% (98)23.541% (94)2.98 (93)17239% (95)1723.38 (103)#67 (.18)44% (93)25.447% (113)41% (55)3.33 (22)61.61.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)45% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)42% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1220.21437.7%3.461.8163181022163.445%54%41%35%19%.09
SYR Defense1325.41743.8%3.331.7 - - - - - 50%50%47%41%18%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1227.332.839.4%3.411.3 - - - - - 58%41%39%41%18%.11
SYR Offense1323.533.539.6%3.381.8183441721724.261%38%41%39%18%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1227:3616.331%50%7.864.41.81.36.92.5226.7
Syracuse1328:1617.839%50%7.361.61.81.762.2329.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1245% (100)41% (90)29.7101.93.410 (124).06 (118)2.86 (109)75% (52)11% (94)0.89 (117)
SYR Defense1350% (63)47% (113) - - - - .13 (60)3.13 (75)79% (105)12% (16)0.8 (6)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1258% (131)39% (32) - - - - .03 (17)2.91 (37)62% (16)12% (18)0.98 (57)
SYR Offense1361% (10)41% (94)40.8171.54.220 (61).12 (87)2.98 (93)71% (94)12% (116)1.04 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1254% (34)35% (117)16302167.213.517 (85)12 (85).16 (109)1.7 (36)34% (103)24% (122).17 (114)8% (123)2.2 (26)
SYR Defense1350% (76)41% (55) - - - - - - 9 (87).25 (55)1.6 (68)31% (85)30% (64).25 (37)6% (78)1.8 (6)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1241% (3)41% (67) - - - - - - 10 (67).27 (67)1.7 (103)32% (58)30% (75).29 (58)6% (85)2.2 (111)
SYR Offense1338% (124)39% (95)14.724.2172.17.111.717 (85)15 (116).22 (88)1.5 (93)31% (48)27% (102).23 (101)6% (83)2.1 (64)

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.44  #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42  #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46  #35
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11%  #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9  #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -1.44   Syracuse: -0.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -6.9   Syracuse: -1.0




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -0.655  #65
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 14.09  #89
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 8.31  #49
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Syracuse's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Syracuse's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0  #68
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Syracuse 23
Pittsburgh 19


Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
Syracuse 22
Pittsburgh 20

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Syracuse 29
Pittsburgh 19

Total Points: 48
Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Syracuse's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Syracuse13Pittsburgh30Pittsburgh -9.5Pittsburgh54.5Under
202410/24Pittsburgh41Syracuse13Pittsburgh -5.0Pittsburgh62.5Under
202311/11Syracuse28Pittsburgh13Pittsburgh -4.5Syracuse37.5Over
202211/05Pittsburgh19Syracuse9Pittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh47.5Under
202111/27Syracuse14Pittsburgh31Pittsburgh -12Pittsburgh58.5Under
202009/19Pittsburgh21Syracuse10Pittsburgh -21.5Syracuse46.5Under
201910/18Syracuse20Pittsburgh27Pittsburgh -3.5Pittsburgh52.5Under
201810/06Pittsburgh44Syracuse37Syracuse -3.5Pittsburgh58.0Over
201710/07Syracuse27Pittsburgh24Syracuse -3Push63.0Under
201611/26Pittsburgh76Syracuse61Pittsburgh -23.5Syracuse65.5Over
201510/24Syracuse20Pittsburgh23Pittsburgh -6.5Syracuse49.0Under
201411/22Pittsburgh30Syracuse7Pittsburgh -8Pittsburgh0
201311/23Syracuse16Pittsburgh17Pittsburgh -1.5Syracuse0
201210/05Syracuse14Pittsburgh13
201112/03Pittsburgh33Syracuse20
201010/16Syracuse14Pittsburgh45
200911/07Pittsburgh37Syracuse10
200809/27Syracuse24Pittsburgh34
200711/03Pittsburgh20Syracuse17
200610/07Syracuse11Pittsburgh21
200510/22Pittsburgh34Syracuse17
200411/06Syracuse38Pittsburgh31
200310/25Pittsburgh34Syracuse14
200210/05Syracuse24Pittsburgh48
200110/13Pittsburgh10Syracuse42
200010/06Syracuse24Pittsburgh17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse653 Overs
Pittsburgh2078 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 107 - 53 - 24 - 3
Road Teams10 - 165 - 73 - 42 - 3

(#72) PITT at (#65) SYR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTSYR
Power RatePwr #72 #65
SP+SP+ #86 #68
Perf GradeGrade #117 #92
OffenseOff #127 #115
DefenseDef #85 #39
Spec TeamsST #73 #88
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #43 #75
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCat
PITT OffSYR Def
Perf GradePerf #127 #39
SuccessSuc #113 #93
ExplosiveExp #66 #13
PPAPPA #119 #67
PowerPwr #115 #49
SP+SP+ #106 #50
Pts POPPO #98 #22
HavocHav #114 #30
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffSYR Def
Run GameRun #77 #37
Run SuccessRSuc #90 #113
Run ExplRExp #117 #6
PPAExp #118 #60
Run BlockR Blk #134 -
OL YdsOLY #109 #75
Stuff RateStuff #101 #70
TackleTak -  #20
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffSYR Def
Pass GamePass #124 #32
Pass SuccessPSuc #117 #55
Pass ExplPExl #36 #68
PPAExp #109 #55
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #93 #101
F7 HavocF7 #94 #16
DB HavocDB #123 #78
Syracuse on Offense
CategoryCatSYR OffPITT Def
Perf GradePerf #115 #85
SuccessSuc #98 #39
ExplosiveExp #101 #74
PPAPPA #100 #23
PowerPwr #89 #35
SP+SP+ #82 #58
Pts POPPO #103 #33
HavocHav #108 #36
Syracuse Run Game
CategoryCat
SYR OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #84 #57
Run SuccessRSuc #94 #32
Run ExplRExp #47 #57
PPAExp #87 #17
Run BlockR Blk #108 -
OL YdsOLY #93 #37
Stuff RateStuff #104 #16
TackleTak -  #85
Syracuse Pass Game
CategoryCatSYR OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #126 #83
Pass SuccessPSuc #95 #67
Pass ExplPExl #93 #103
PPAExp #88 #67
Pass Block/RushP Blk #66 #121
F7 HavocF7 #116 #18
DB HavocDB #83 #85
Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yankee Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 50° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Pittsburgh 4.5 (37.5)
Syracuse won vs Pittsburgh this year (28-13)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse last year (41-13)
Syracuse beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (28-13)
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse in 2022 (19-9)

  
PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)9418451%1179786.4
Phil Jurkovec (Tr)5711251%818637.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodney Hammond Jr.11854744.666
C'Bo Flemister9836723.738
Daniel Carter2813424.822
Kenny Johnson107207.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerrod Means41721617.675
Konata Mumpfield44576513.182
Gavin Bartholomew18326118.160
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)28316011.331

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)1051001
Javon Mcintyre854007
Solomon Deshields588241
Bangally Kamara537251
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Okunlola186500
Shayne Simon488552
Dayon Hayes4511464
Bam Brima314341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
M.J. Devonshire3210010
Javon Mcintyre854007
Dayon Hayes4511464

SYR's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Shrader13421463%16911367.9
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson265151%282365.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lequint Allen244106394.456
Garrett Shrader11446084.039
Dan Villari5532625.938
Juwuan Price4816603.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Alford33610318.547
Umari Hatcher32482315.148
Donovan Brown27321111.986
Lequint Allen3821015.526

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marlowe Wax10512442
Justin Barron895118
Alijah Clark624023
Derek Mcdonald614341
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevon Darton438530
Caleb Okechukwu368521
Marlowe Wax10512442
Leon Lowery458431
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Barron895118
Isaiah Johnson581005
Jason Simmons Jr.450015