Pittsburgh at Syracuse - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -4.5 (37.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Syracuse 28 - Pittsburgh: 13 (ACC)

Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SYR 2nd straight Home Game
PITT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Syracuse -3.5 (SP+ SYR -6)
Projected Score: PITT: 21 - SYR: 25 (46)
PITT Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
PITT Travel: 320 miles

Orange (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Dino Babers (39 - 49)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (22 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
SYR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Pittsburgh vs Wofford	-37.5	49.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati	-6.5	44.5	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/16	Pittsburgh at West Virginia	+2.5	48.0	L 6 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Pittsburgh vs North Carolina	+7.0	49.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech	-3.0	40.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Pittsburgh vs Louisville	+7.5	44.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Pittsburgh at Wake Forest	-3.0	45.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/28	Pittsburgh at Notre Dame	+21.0	45.5	L 7 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/4	Pittsburgh vs Florida State	+21.5	50.0	L 7 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-4.5	37.5	L 13 - 28	O	N
Thu 11/16	Pittsburgh vs Boston College	-1.0	47.0	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Pittsburgh at Duke	+4.5	40.5	L 19 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Syracuse's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Syracuse vs Colgate	-40.0	49.5	W 65 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Syracuse vs Western Michigan	-24.5	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Syracuse at Purdue	-1.0	56.5	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Syracuse vs Army	-13.0	50.5	W 29 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/30	Syracuse vs Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/7	Syracuse at North Carolina	+9.5	59.0	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/14	Syracuse at Florida State	+18.5	53.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Syracuse at Virginia Tech	+2.5	47.5	L 10 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/3	Syracuse vs Boston College	-3.0	51.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/11	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+4.5	37.5	W 28 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Syracuse at Georgia Tech	+6.5	51.5	L 22 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/25	Syracuse vs Wake Forest	-3.0	43.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/21	Syracuse vs South Florida	-3.0	56.0	L 0 - 45	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	.18	43%	33.7	46%	3.21	183	41%	222	3.84	.06	36%	24.8	36%	37%	3.62	63.7	1.5	2.2
SYR	.19	45%	20.2	48%	3.17	143	43%	232	3.83	.13	47%	34.9	49%	44%	3.42	63.3	1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	13	33.7	33	43.4%	3.84	1.5	21	405	183	222	4.6	55%	44%	46%	41%	16%	.18
SYR Defense	13	34.9	28.8	46.5%	3.42	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	49%	44%	16%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	13	24.8	24.6	36.3%	3.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	36%	37%	22%	.06
SYR Offense	13	20.2	21.8	45%	3.83	1	20	375	143	232	4.2	46%	53%	48%	43%	19%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	13	33:14	21.5	39%	50%	7.4	63.7	1.5	2.2	6.4	3.6	5	30.7
Syracuse	13	28:14	20.2	37%	42%	8.6	63.3	1	1.7	5.8	2.5	2	30.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	13	55%	46%	40.2	183.1	4.6	30	.18	3.21	78%	10%	1.05
SYR Defense	13	57%	49%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.27	67%	12%	0.8

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	13	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.61	76%	12%	1.16
SYR Offense	13	46%	48%	34.1	143.1	4.2	21	.22	3.17	70%	12%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	13	44%	41%	17.2	30.2	222.2	7.4	13	13	11	.26	1.6	31%	32%	.31	6%	1.9
SYR Defense	13	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.18	1.3	25%	29%	.21	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.08	1.6	39%	29%	.29	10%	2.1
SYR Offense	13	53%	43%	17.5	28.5	231.6	8.1	13.2	19	9	.16	1.5	33%	32%	.35	6%	2

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.44 #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
2023 Talent Rating: 700.42 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -1.44 Syracuse: -0.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: -6.9 Syracuse: -1.0

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -0.655 #65
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 14.09 #89
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 8.31 #49
2023 Talent Rating: 610.75 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Syracuse's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Syracuse's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Syracuse 25
Pittsburgh 21

Projected Total Points: 46

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.8
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Syracuse's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Syracuse	13	Pittsburgh	30	Pittsburgh -9.5	Pittsburgh	54.5	Under
2024	10/24	Pittsburgh	41	Syracuse	13	Pittsburgh -5.0	Pittsburgh	62.5	Under
2023	11/11	Syracuse	28	Pittsburgh	13	Pittsburgh -4.5	Syracuse	37.5	Over
2022	11/05	Pittsburgh	19	Syracuse	9	Pittsburgh -3.5	Pittsburgh	47.5	Under
2021	11/27	Syracuse	14	Pittsburgh	31	Pittsburgh -12	Pittsburgh	58.5	Under
2020	09/19	Pittsburgh	21	Syracuse	10	Pittsburgh -21.5	Syracuse	46.5	Under
2019	10/18	Syracuse	20	Pittsburgh	27	Pittsburgh -3.5	Pittsburgh	52.5	Under
2018	10/06	Pittsburgh	44	Syracuse	37	Syracuse -3.5	Pittsburgh	58.0	Over
2017	10/07	Syracuse	27	Pittsburgh	24	Syracuse -3	Push	63.0	Under
2016	11/26	Pittsburgh	76	Syracuse	61	Pittsburgh -23.5	Syracuse	65.5	Over
2015	10/24	Syracuse	20	Pittsburgh	23	Pittsburgh -6.5	Syracuse	49.0	Under
2014	11/22	Pittsburgh	30	Syracuse	7	Pittsburgh -8	Pittsburgh	0
2013	11/23	Syracuse	16	Pittsburgh	17	Pittsburgh -1.5	Syracuse	0
2012	10/05	Syracuse	14	Pittsburgh	13
2011	12/03	Pittsburgh	33	Syracuse	20
2010	10/16	Syracuse	14	Pittsburgh	45
2009	11/07	Pittsburgh	37	Syracuse	10
2008	09/27	Syracuse	24	Pittsburgh	34
2007	11/03	Pittsburgh	20	Syracuse	17
2006	10/07	Syracuse	11	Pittsburgh	21
2005	10/22	Pittsburgh	34	Syracuse	17
2004	11/06	Syracuse	38	Pittsburgh	31
2003	10/25	Pittsburgh	34	Syracuse	14
2002	10/05	Syracuse	24	Pittsburgh	48
2001	10/13	Pittsburgh	10	Syracuse	42
2000	10/06	Syracuse	24	Pittsburgh	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Syracuse	6	5	3 Overs
Pittsburgh	20	7	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 10	7 - 5	3 - 2	4 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 16	5 - 7	3 - 4	2 - 3

(#72) PITT at (#65) SYR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PITT	SYR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#72	#65
SP+SP+	#86	#68
Perf GradeGrade	#117	#92
OffenseOff	#127	#115
DefenseDef	#85	#39
Spec TeamsST	#73	#88
TalentTal	#39	#69
Blue ChipsBC%	#43	#75

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Syracuse Injury Report

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	SYR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#39
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#115	#49
SP+SP+	#106	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#77	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#134	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#20

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#124	#32
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#93	#101
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Syracuse on Offense


CategoryCat	SYR Off	PITT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#115	#85
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#89	#35
SP+SP+	#82	#58
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Syracuse Run Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#84	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#85

Syracuse Pass Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#83
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#66	#121
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yankee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Pittsburgh 4.5 (37.5)
Syracuse won vs Pittsburgh this year (28-13)

Previous Matchups
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse last year (30-13)
Pittsburgh beat Syracuse in 2024 (41-13)
Syracuse beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (28-13)

PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)	94	184	51%	1179	7	8	6.4
Phil Jurkovec (Tr)	57	112	51%	818	6	3	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rodney Hammond Jr.	118	547	4	4.6	66
C'Bo Flemister	98	367	2	3.7	38
Daniel Carter	28	134	2	4.8	22
Kenny Johnson	10	72	0	7.2	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jerrod Means	41	721	6	17.6	75
Konata Mumpfield	44	576	5	13.1	82
Gavin Bartholomew	18	326	1	18.1	60
Daejon Reynolds (Tr)	28	316	0	11.3	31

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)	105	1	0	0	1
Javon Mcintyre	85	4	0	0	7
Solomon Deshields	58	8	2	4	1
Bangally Kamara	53	7	2	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Samuel Okunlola	18	6	5	0	0
Shayne Simon	48	8	5	5	2
Dayon Hayes	45	11	4	6	4
Bam Brima	31	4	3	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
M.J. Devonshire	32	1	0	0	10
Javon Mcintyre	85	4	0	0	7
Dayon Hayes	45	11	4	6	4

SYR's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Shrader	134	214	63%	1691	13	6	7.9
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson	26	51	51%	282	3	6	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lequint Allen	244	1063	9	4.4	56
Garrett Shrader	114	460	8	4.0	39
Dan Villari	55	326	2	5.9	38
Juwuan Price	48	166	0	3.5	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Alford	33	610	3	18.5	47
Umari Hatcher	32	482	3	15.1	48
Donovan Brown	27	321	1	11.9	86
Lequint Allen	38	210	1	5.5	26

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marlowe Wax	105	12	4	4	2
Justin Barron	89	5	1	1	8
Alijah Clark	62	4	0	2	3
Derek Mcdonald	61	4	3	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevon Darton	43	8	5	3	0
Caleb Okechukwu	36	8	5	2	1
Marlowe Wax	105	12	4	4	2
Leon Lowery	45	8	4	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Barron	89	5	1	1	8
Isaiah Johnson	58	1	0	0	5
Jason Simmons Jr.	45	0	0	1	5