North Texas at Miami (OH) - 2021 Matchup Preview

North Texas Mean Green vs Miami (OH) RedHawks

Thursday, December 23rd 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -2 (56.5) (115) Open: -4.5 | 52.5
Miami (OH) 27 - North Texas: 14 (Frisco Football Classic)

Mean Green (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Seth Littrell (32 - 33)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -4 (SP+ M-OH -8)
Projected Score: UNT: 33 - M-OH: 28 (61)
M-OH Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
UNT Travel: 19 miles

RedHawks (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (33 - 48)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
UNT Players
M-OH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	North Texas vs Northwestern State	-20.0	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/11	North Texas at SMU	+22.5	75.5	L 12 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	North Texas vs UAB	+12.5	58.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/25	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+9.5	65.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	North Texas at Missouri	+18.5	69.0	L 35 - 48	O	Y
Fri 10/15	North Texas vs Marshall	+11.0	66.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/23	North Texas vs Liberty	+21.0	61.0	L 26 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/30	North Texas at Rice	+1.5	55.0	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/6	North Texas at Southern Miss	-5.5	49.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/13	North Texas vs UTEP	-1.0	55.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/20	North Texas at Florida International	-10.0	57.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/27	North Texas vs UTSA	+8.5	60.0	W 45 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/23	North Texas vs Miami (OH)	+2.0	56.5	L 14 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Miami (OH)'s 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Miami (OH) at Cincinnati	+22.5	49.0	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/11	Miami (OH) at Minnesota	+18.5	55.0	L 26 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Miami (OH) vs Long Island University	-39.5	55.5	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/25	Miami (OH) at Army	+7.5	49.0	L 10 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/2	Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan	+2.5	56.5	W 28 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan	-2.5	58.0	L 12 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/16	Miami (OH) vs Akron	-20.0	51.0	W 34 - 21	O	N
Sat 10/23	Miami (OH) at Ball State	+3.5	53.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Miami (OH) at Ohio	-7.0	54.5	L 33 - 35	O	N
Tue 11/9	Miami (OH) vs Buffalo	-7.0	58.0	W 45 - 18	O	Y
Tue 11/16	Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green	-17.0	52.0	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Miami (OH) at Kent State	-1.0	68.0	L 47 - 48	O	N
Thu 12/23	Miami (OH) vs North Texas	-2.0	56.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	.29	46%	45.1	49%	3.27	230	42%	283	4.03	.33	47%	26.5	48%	44%	4.67	53.6	1.5	0.9
M-OH	.25	40%	23.5	34%	2.68	127	45%	238	3.6	.23	45%	21.7	40%	49%	3.88	60.7	0.7	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
M-OH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	10	45.1	43.7	46.1%	4.03	1.5	25	513	230	283	5.2	54%	46%	49%	42%	12%	.29
M-OH Defense	3	21.7	22.7	44.8%	3.88	1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	40%	49%	20%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	10	26.5	28.3	46.6%	4.67	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	48%	44%	13%	.33
M-OH Offense	3	23.5	32.3	39.6%	3.6	0.7	19	365	127	238	3.8	44%	56%	34%	45%	18%	.25

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	10	25:00	24.8	47%	46%	6.8	53.6	1.5	0.9	5.1	2.2	0	28.3
Miami (OH)	3	28:43	18.7	40%	67%	6	60.7	0.7	1	6.7	4.3	1	27.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	10	54%	49%	44.3	230.2	5.2	18	.21	3.27	70%	6%	0.99
M-OH Defense	3	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.14	64%	12%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	10	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.42	80%	8%	1.19
M-OH Offense	3	44%	34%	33.3	127	3.8	2	.03	2.68	100%	10%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	10	46%	42%	18.5	33.6	283	8.4	15.3	28	9	.38	1.9	31%	37%	.49	6%	2.2
M-OH Defense	3	56%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.34	1.7	28%	43%	.48	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	10	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.34	1.6	29%	32%	.43	4%	2.2
M-OH Offense	3	56%	45%	15.7	28.3	238.3	8.4	15.2	8	1	.43	1.8	38%	29%	.37	8%	2.4

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5 #95
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #100
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: Miami (OH): 0.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -6.5 Miami (OH): 1.5

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 0.75 NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #73
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #63
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #67

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 33
Miami (OH) 28

Projected Total Points: 61

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	12/23	Miami (OH)	27	North Texas	14	Miami (OH) -2	Miami (OH)	56.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami (OH)	1	1	0 Overs
North Texas	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

North Texas Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Frisco Football Classic	North Texas vs Miami (OH)	+2.0	56.5	L 14 - 27
2020	Beach Bowl	North Texas vs App State	+21.5	67.5	L 28 - 56
2018	Mexico Bowl	North Texas vs Utah State	+7.0	67.5	L 13 - 52
2017	Orleans Bowl	North Texas vs Troy	+5.5	61.5	L 30 - 50
2016	Dallas Bowl	North Texas vs Army	+9.5	47.0	L 31 - 38

Miami (OH) Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Frisco Football Classic	Miami (OH) vs North Texas	-2.0	56.5	W 27 - 14
2019	Lendingtree Bowl	Miami (OH) vs Louisiana	+15.5	55.5	L 17 - 27
2016	Petersburg Bowl	Miami (OH) vs Mississippi State	+11.5	58.0	L 16 - 17

(#) UNT at (#) M-OH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNT	M-OH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#73
Perf GradeGrade	#83	#58
OffenseOff	#104	#55
DefenseDef	#36	#50
Spec TeamsST	#25	#130
TalentTal	#79	#111
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Texas Injury Report

Miami (OH) Injury Report

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	M-OH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	#50
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#67
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	#32	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#116	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#51

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#110
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#117	#24
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	UNT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#55	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	#92	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#89

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	#29	#102
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#127	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Toyota Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Miami (OH) -2.0 (56.5)
Miami (OH) won vs North Texas this year (27-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UNT's OC Mike Bloesch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Phil Bennett (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD