Liberty at Florida International - 2025 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Florida International Golden PanthersFlorida International logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (5:00 PM EST)
Liberty -2.5 (51.5) (-130)  Open: -4.0
Florida International 34 - Liberty: 27  (Conference USA)

 
Flames (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (21 - 5)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FIU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Florida International -3  (SP+ FIU -1)

Projected Score: LIB: 25 - FIU: 28 (52)
LIB Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 805 miles
Golden Panthers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Liberty's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Liberty vs Maine-25.551.0W 28 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Liberty at Jacksonville State-6.050.5L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/13 Liberty at Bowling Green-6.051.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 9/20 Liberty vs James Madison+7.546.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 9/27 Liberty at Old Dominion+14.553.5L 7 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Liberty at UTEP-1.546.5W 19 - 8UY
Tue 10/14 Liberty vs New Mexico State-10.548.5W 30 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Liberty vs Delaware-3.552.5W 59 - 30OY
Sat 11/8 Liberty vs Missouri State-7.551.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/15 Liberty at Florida International-2.551.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 11/22 Liberty at Louisiana Tech-1.545.5L 28 - 34ON
Sat 11/29 Liberty vs Kennesaw State+2.555.5L 42 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-4.054.5L 16 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+7.052.5L 10 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+9.555.5W 25 - 6UY
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State+3.048.5L 26 - 45ON
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State+3.050.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+1.550.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+2.551.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-2.555.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/29 Florida International vs Sam Houston-10.550.5W 56 - 16OY
Fri 12/26 Florida International vs UTSA+7.062.5L 20 - 57ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#73 (.17)44% (50)25.647% (39)2.91 (74)19340% (86)1963.68 (73)#101 (.21)42% (69)26.545% (95)39% (41)3.55 (58)55.61.81.2
FIU#81 (.16)41% (94)28.539% (110)2.84 (83)17643% (54)2024.04 (38)#70 (.16)43% (81)3046% (109)41% (62)3.65 (67)53.21.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1225.619.743.9%3.681.8203891931964.658%40%47%40%16%.17
FIU Defense13302842.5%3.651.6 - - - - - 46%51%46%41%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1226.525.741.7%3.551.2 - - - - - 54%44%45%39%13%.21
FIU Offense1328.530.540.7%4.041.519377176202549%49%39%43%17%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1230:3920.340%52%6.255.61.81.24.11.3129.1
Florida International1329:2418.936%62%6.253.21.51.64.92.1030.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1258% (13)47% (39)41.71934.625 (99).18 (37)2.91 (74)73% (62)9% (54)0.98 (62)
FIU Defense1346% (21)46% (109) - - - - .12 (84)3.21 (118)75% (96)10% (68)0.94 (56)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1254% (114)45% (95) - - - - .19 (117)3.18 (115)72% (75)8% (123)1.01 (93)
FIU Offense1349% (66)39% (110)35.1175.5526 (49).15 (52)2.84 (83)74% (57)10% (74)1.19 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1240% (123)40% (86)14.526.3195.57.413.511 (114)13 (88).21 (87)1.5 (69)29% (26)31% (67).27 (82)7% (106)2 (83)
FIU Defense1351% (102)41% (62) - - - - - - 12 (31).26 (79)1.6 (99)31% (75)28% (55).29 (68)7% (31)2.2 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1244% (22)39% (41) - - - - - - 7 (55).25 (68)1.6 (106)31% (80)32% (102).5 (133)6% (76)2.3 (134)
FIU Offense1349% (72)43% (54)18.229.2201.86.911.118 (134)11 (88).21 (90)1.4 (127)33% (90)27% (101).23 (96)7% (116)1.9 (94)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: -7.60  #97
Liberty's Offense Rating: 4.58  #93
Liberty's Defense Rating: 12.18  #96
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Liberty's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Liberty's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.4  #98
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #86
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #103

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -7.60   Florida International: -5.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: -8.4   Florida International: -7.3




Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -5.19  #99
Florida International's Offense Rating: 4.06  #101
Florida International's Defense Rating: 12.14  #95
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3  #94
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #69
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #114

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Florida International 28
Liberty 25


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 31
Florida International 22

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Florida International 28
Liberty 26

Total Points: 54
Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Florida International34Liberty27Liberty -2.5Florida International51.5Over
202410/08Liberty31Florida International24Liberty -15.5Florida International56.0Under
202309/23Florida International6Liberty38Liberty -10Liberty54.0Under
202009/26Liberty36Florida International34Liberty -10Florida International61.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida International132 Overs
Liberty312 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 30 - 21 - 1
Road Teams1 - 33 - 11 - 12 - 0

(#97) LIB at (#99) FIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBFIU
Power RatePwr #97 #99
SP+SP+ #98 #94
Perf GradeGrade #67 #64
OffenseOff #60 #57
DefenseDef #83 #71
Spec TeamsST #103 #89
TalentTal #93 #107
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #101
Liberty Notes
(11/22) Allowed 300+ rush yds vs La Tech, will miss bowl
(10/14) Lucky W vs NMSU, OG'd, only 3-10 on 3rd, KR TD
(10/14) QB Ethan Vasko JAG-, even rushing has regressed
(9/25) QB Vasko ? for ODU game, inj vs JMU
(9/20) QUIT WATCH. 1-3, QBs are awful, Off sucks
(9/20) Team this talented should not be this bad
(9/14) Awful situational team. TO's, FP, RZ issues
(9/7) Run Def awful, gave up 370+ in L to Jax St
(7/11) Losing DE Bush in spring a blow, Bazile good
(4/7) Fr QB Houck a goal line runner that will play
(4/7) RB rebuild. Blue some exp, Gray moved from WR
(4/7) QB Vasko (C Car) vs Merdinger (NC) for QB1
Liberty Injury Report
Florida International Notes
(11/22) 3 straight W's, beat Jax St to get to bowl eligible
(11/22) 3-5 to 6-5 is a great turnaround. Bravo Simmons
(10/29) QB Jenkins inj in Mizzu St, QB2 Pesansky OK
(10/22) Killed by KSU, even yds but 9 flags, 6-17 3rd/4th D
(10/22) Off is functional but mistake prone, Def awful vs KSU
(10/14) DB health is key, depth cannot play FBS ball
(10/14) Huge W @ WKU, rushed for 220+, Def great all night
(9/20) Bad L - killed by Delaware, flags, TO's... woof
(9/17) Def better at all 3 levels, good red zone Def
(9/17) QB Jenkins, RB Owens an upgrade for Off
(9/6) Def is fighting hard, impressed w/ new staff
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
Florida International Injury Report
Liberty on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
LIB OffFIU Def
Perf GradePerf #60 #71
SuccessSuc #50 #81
ExplosiveExp #101 #80
PPAPPA #73 #70
PowerPwr #93 #95
SP+SP+ #86 #114
Pts POPPO #73 #67
HavocHav #76 #55
Liberty Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
LIB OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #55 #126
Run SuccessRSuc #39 #109
Run ExplRExp #62 #56
PPAExp #37 #84
Run BlockR Blk #34 -
OL YdsOLY #74 #118
Stuff RateStuff #42 #115
TackleTak -  #62
Liberty Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
LIB OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #114 #16
Pass SuccessPSuc #86 #62
Pass ExplPExl #69 #99
PPAExp #87 #79
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #95 #95
F7 HavocF7 #54 #68
DB HavocDB #106 #31
Florida International on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatFIU OffLIB Def
Perf GradePerf #57 #83
SuccessSuc #94 #69
ExplosiveExp #34 #98
PPAPPA #81 #101
PowerPwr #101 #96
SP+SP+ #69 #103
Pts POPPO #38 #58
HavocHav #101 #116
Florida International Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #89 #99
Run SuccessRSuc #110 #95
Run ExplRExp #4 #93
PPAExp #52 #117
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #83 #115
Stuff RateStuff #120 #89
TackleTak -  #66
Florida International Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatFIU OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #70 #35
Pass SuccessPSuc #54 #41
Pass ExplPExl #127 #106
PPAExp #90 #68
Pass Block/RushP Blk #110 #93
F7 HavocF7 #74 #123
DB HavocDB #116 #76
Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Pitbull Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Liberty 2.5 (51.5)
Florida International won vs Liberty this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Florida International last year (31-24)
Liberty beat Florida International in 2023 (38-6)

  
LIB's OC Newland Isaac (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Vasko (Tr)15126657%196110127.4
Michael Merdinger (Tr)214151%350108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Dickens (Tr)2281325165.895
Ethan Vasko (Tr)10025852.624
Caden Williams5624304.325
Vaughn Blue4723425.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donte Lee Jr32589518.462
Jamari Person (Tr)28315011.320
Julian Gray18218112.172
Reese Smith2320919.123

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Jack Curtis (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derrell Farrar (Tr)714122
Joseph Carter534010
Damond Harmon483116
Christian Bodnar442212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Hall115413
Brenton Williams274330
Christian Bodnar442212
CJ Bazile Jr.276210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damond Harmon483116
Brylan Green391005
Amarian Williams291015

FIU's OC Nick Coleman (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins16426362%1742966.6
Joe Pesansky (Tr)8915956%10211176.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens2131334116.384
Anthony Carrie (Tr)10346954.653
Devonte Lyons3714213.835
Sterling Joseph7123217.661
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Perry (Tr)56840915.064
Kyle Mcneal31310110.030
Dallas Payne (Tr)27293410.942
Maguire Anderson25280111.246

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Josiah Taylor717122
Jessiah Mcgrew670004
Shamir Sterlin623014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons259782
Keegan Davis296650
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Dante Anderson (Tr)145320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark5770013
Brian Blades260005
Jessiah Mcgrew670004