Florida International at Missouri State

Florida International at Missouri State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Florida International Golden Panthers at Missouri State Bears

Wednesday, October 29th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Missouri State -3.0 (50.0) (-185) Open: -4.0 | 51.5
Missouri State 28 - Florida International: 21 (Conference USA)

Golden Panthers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)

Wind: 14.9 MPH
Our Line: Missouri State -4.5 (SP+ FIU -0)
Projected Score: FIU: 24 - MOST: 29 (53)
MOST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
FIU Travel: 1095 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bears (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (28 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 5.5 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)

Matchup
Schedules
FIU Players
MOST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida International's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman	-26.5	54.5	W 42 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Florida International at Penn State	+42.0	53.5	L 0 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Florida International vs Florida Atlantic	-2.0	56.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Florida International vs Delaware	-4.0	54.5	L 16 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Florida International at UConn	+7.0	52.5	L 10 - 51	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14	Florida International at Western Kentucky	+9.5	55.5	W 25 - 6	U	Y
Tue 10/21	Florida International vs Kennesaw State	+3.0	48.5	L 26 - 45	O	N
Wed 10/29	Florida International at Missouri State	+3.0	50.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/8	Florida International at Middle Tennessee	+1.5	50.5	W 56 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Florida International vs Liberty	+2.5	51.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Florida International vs Jacksonville State	-2.5	55.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Florida International vs Sam Houston	-10.5	50.5	W 56 - 16	O	Y
Fri 12/26	Florida International vs UTSA	+7.0	62.5	L 20 - 57	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule

Missouri State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Missouri State at USC	+34.5	59.5	L 13 - 73	O	N
Sat 9/6	Missouri State at Marshall	+7.0	53.5	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Missouri State vs SMU	+29.5	60.5	L 10 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Missouri State vs UT Martin	-14.0	55.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Missouri State vs Western Kentucky	+3.5	59.5	L 22 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8	Missouri State at Middle Tennessee	-2.5	52.5	W 22 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22	Missouri State at New Mexico State	-2.5	51.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Wed 10/29	Missouri State vs Florida International	-3.0	50.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Missouri State at Liberty	+7.5	51.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Missouri State vs UTEP	-6.5	47.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Missouri State at Kennesaw State	+6.5	54.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/29	Missouri State vs Louisiana Tech	-2.5	45.0	L 30 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/18	Missouri State vs Arkansas State	+1.5	55.5	L 28 - 34	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU	#101 (.13)	39% (111)	28.5	37% (125)	2.48 (130)	122	42% (64)	229	4.44 (21)	#37 (.12)	41% (62)	30	44% (81)	37% (30)	3.49 (39)	47.4	1.6	1.3
MOST		0%	25.6	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	28.8	0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MOST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Offense	12	28.5	22.4	39.2%	4.44	1.6	18	351	122	229	3.7	52%	48%	37%	42%	16%	.13
MOST Defense	1	28.8	25.3	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Defense	12	30	29.8	41.2%	3.49	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	44%	37%	12%	.12
MOST Offense	1	25.6	28.3	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida International	12	28:40	17.9	31%	54%	5.5	47.4	1.6	1.3	3.9	1.5	2	29.5
Missouri State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Offense	12	52% (58)	37% (125)	32.9	121.7	3.7	16 (90)	- (124)	2.48 (130)	58% (128)	11% (90)	0.9 (101)
MOST Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Defense	12	56% (122)	44% (81)	-	-	-	-	.17 (95)	3.18 (95)	71% (57)	7% (129)	1.03 (93)
MOST Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Offense	12	48% (78)	42% (64)	17.2	27.8	229.4	8.2	13.4	24 (38)	11 (72)	.29 (48)	1.6 (40)	32% (79)	27% (107)	.27 (93)	5% (46)	2 (71)
MOST Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Defense	12	44% (14)	37% (30)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.05 (5)	1.3 (7)	28% (114)	25% (5)	.11 (4)	5% (108)	1.9 (29)
MOST Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -14.03 #116
Florida International's Offense Rating: 6.54 #111
Florida International's Defense Rating: 20.57 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #74
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #124

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -14.03 Missouri State: -7.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -10.5 Missouri State: -10.7

Missouri State's Power Ratings
Missouri State's Power Rating: -7.6 #99
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 11.31 #79
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 20.81 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 5.5
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.7 #108
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #77
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #118

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri State 29
Florida International 24

Projected Total Points: 53

Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/29	Missouri State	28	Florida International	21	Missouri State -3.0	Missouri State	50.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri State	1	1	0 Overs
Florida International	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#116) FIU at (#99) MOST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FIU	MOST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#116	#99
SP+SP+	#107	#108
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#100
OffenseOff	#75	#67
DefenseDef	#79	#100
Spec TeamsST	#77	#135
TalentTal	#107	#131
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#38

Florida International Notes(11/22) 3 straight W's, beat Jax St to get to bowl eligible
(11/22) 3-5 to 6-5 is a great turnaround. Bravo Simmons
(10/29) QB Jenkins inj in Mizzu St, QB2 Pesansky OK
(10/22) Killed by KSU, even yds but 9 flags, 6-17 3rd/4th D
(10/22) Off is functional but mistake prone, Def awful vs KSU
(10/14) DB health is key, depth cannot play FBS ball
(10/14) Huge W @ WKU, rushed for 220+, Def great all night
(9/20) Bad L - killed by Delaware, flags, TO's... woof
(9/17) Def better at all 3 levels, good red zone Def
(9/17) QB Jenkins, RB Owens an upgrade for Off
(9/6) Def is fighting hard, impressed w/ new staff
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
Florida International Injury Report

Missouri State Notes(12/18) Hired Casey Woods (SMU OC) as new HC
(11/23) Off Success #'s awful but leaders in Expl? Odd
(10/29) RB Shomari Lawrence can scoot. Decent RB
(10/22) QB Jacob Clark is back from inj vs Delaware (10/22)
(10/22) OL is the worst in CFB in Sacks/TFL allowed (week 9)
(10/8) QB Bailey is tiny, 6' 170 lbs. Young but has some skills
(10/1) QB2 is true Fr Deuce Bailey w/ Clark out, mobile
(9/23) QB Jacob Clark has been good, Run Off bad
(9/23) Off all or nothing, Success awful, Expl great
(4/7) Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
(4/7) RB Lawrence (FIU) starts, watch Fr King Davis
(3/26) QB Clark back, 3K yds, 26 TD. Looks good
Missouri State Injury Report

Florida International on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	MOST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#75	#100
SuccessSuc	#111	NR
ExplosiveExp	#65	NR
PPAPPA	#101	NR
PowerPwr	#111	#115
SP+SP+	#74	#118
Pts POPPO	#21	NR
HavocHav	#70	NR

Florida International Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	MOST Def
Run GameRun	#94	#101
Run SuccessRSuc	#125	NR
Run ExplRExp	#101	NR
PPAExp	#124	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#58	-
OL YdsOLY	#130	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#131	NR
TackleTak	-	#107

Florida International Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	MOST Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	#64	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#40	NR
PPAExp	#48	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#109	#70
F7 HavocF7	#90	NR
DB HavocDB	#46	NR

Missouri State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	MOST Off	FIU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	#79
SuccessSuc	NR	#62
ExplosiveExp	NR	#20
PPAPPA	NR	#37
PowerPwr	#79	#113
SP+SP+	#77	#124
Pts POPPO	NR	#39
HavocHav	NR	#129

Missouri State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	MOST Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	#98	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#81
Run ExplRExp	NR	#93
PPAExp	NR	#95
Run BlockR Blk	#134	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#95
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#101
TackleTak	-	#63

Missouri State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	MOST Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	#24	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#30
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#7
PPAExp	NR	#5
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#88
F7 HavocF7	NR	#129
DB HavocDB	NR	#108

Program Comparison
MOST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Plaster Sports Complex
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 46° - Wind: 15 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Missouri State -3.0 (50.0)
Missouri State won vs Florida International this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
Missouri State beat Florida International last year (28-21)

FIU's OC Nick Coleman (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Keyone Jenkins	164	263	62%	1742	9	6	6.6
Joe Pesansky (Tr)	89	159	56%	1021	11	7	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kejon Owens	213	1334	11	6.3	84
Anthony Carrie (Tr)	103	469	5	4.6	53
Devonte Lyons	37	142	1	3.8	35
Sterling Joseph	7	123	2	17.6	61

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Alex Perry (Tr)	56	840	9	15.0	64
Kyle Mcneal	31	310	1	10.0	30
Dallas Payne (Tr)	27	293	4	10.9	42
Maguire Anderson	25	280	1	11.2	46

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Chaney Jr	107	8	3	1	1
Josiah Taylor	71	7	1	2	2
Jessiah Mcgrew	67	0	0	0	4
Shamir Sterlin	62	3	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kenton Simmons	25	9	7	8	2
Keegan Davis	29	6	6	5	0
Johnny Chaney Jr	107	8	3	1	1
Dante Anderson (Tr)	14	5	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Mister Clark	57	7	13
Brian Blades	26	0	5
Jessiah Mcgrew	67	0	4

MOST's OC Nick Petrino (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacob Clark	247	376	66%	3244	28	11	8.6
Deuce Bailey	23	47	49%	335	2	0	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)	199	1021	7	5.1	70
Ramone Green Jr.	52	278	1	5.3	45
Deuce Bailey	27	81	1	3.0	20
Ronnel Johnson	1	38	0	38.0	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Alred Luke	43	640	5	14.9	59
Jmariyae Robinson	44	632	7	14.4	52
Tristian Gardner	30	465	6	15.5	42
Ronnel Johnson	35	463	2	13.2	35

View Missouri State's Full Roster

MOST's DC L.D. Scott (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kanye Young	77	6	1	5	4
Jared Lloyd	76	4	2	2	2
Maguire Neal	63	1	0	0	5
Thomas Anderson	60	2	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DJ Wesolak (Tr)	30	6	4	5	2
Caleb Dietlin	19	3	3	6	2
Mitchell Toney	23	5	3	6	2
Cooper Roy	11	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jordan Dunbar (Tr)	21	1	0	11
Maguire Neal	63	1	0	5
Thomas Anderson	60	2	1	5