Florida International at Sam Houston - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo Florida International Golden Panthers at Sam Houston BearkatsSam Houston logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Bowers Stadium - Huntsville, TX  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Panthers (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 24 (27 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
SHSU is playing their 5th straight game
FIU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Florida International -8.5   (SP+ FIU -6.5)

Projected Score: FIU: 33 - SHSU: 25 (58)
FIU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
FIU Travel: 984 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bearkats (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 39 (22 - 39 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.5 - 9.5 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
 
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-6.055.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+14
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+6.5
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State-13.5
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State-8
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee-11.5
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+3
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-8
Sat 11/29 Florida International at Sam Houston-8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Sam Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Sam Houston at Western Kentucky+9.560.5L 24 - 41ON
Fri 8/29 Sam Houston vs UNLV+13.558.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 9/6 Sam Houston at Hawai'i+7.047.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Sam Houston at Texas+40.551.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/2 Sam Houston at New Mexico State+7
Thu 10/9 Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State+3
Wed 10/15 Sam Houston vs UTEP+9
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech+14
Sat 11/8 Sam Houston at Oregon State+18.5
Sat 11/15 Sam Houston vs Delaware+7.5
Sat 11/22 Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee-1
Sat 11/29 Sam Houston vs Florida International+8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 0

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#93 (.13)42% (81)26.747% (51)3.13 (54)19638% (105)1894.2 (57)#72 (.14)37% (52)23.740% (71)35% (42)2.42 (31)38.31.31.3
SHSU#123 (.05)37% (111)21.738% (105)2.79 (87)13637% (108)1853.14 (113)#85 (.16)44% (103)38.740% (72)49% (118)4.38 (100)6811.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
SHSU#115 (.1)39% (107)41% (100)3.18 (44)18038% (105)1682.97 (129)#31 (.11)42% (70)47% (105)37% (27)3.84 (75)37.91.22.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense326.726.742.2%4.21.320385196189549%51%47%38%18%.13
SHSU Defense338.738.744.5%4.381.7 - - - - - 44%56%40%49%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense323.73436.7%2.421.3 - - - - - 44%56%40%35%14%.14
SHSU Offense321.721.737.4%3.141183211361854.244%55%38%37%19%.05

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International333:2419.739%50%5.338.31.31.34.72027.9
Sam Houston328:0917.714%30%76811.752127.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense349% (82)47% (51)39196510 (10).29 (33)3.13 (54)63% (102)12% (114)1.24 (23)
SHSU Defense344% (30)40% (72) - - - - -.08 (24)2.97 (89)69% (66)9% (80)0.68 (10)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense344% (29)40% (71) - - - - .1 (85)3.27 (117)75% (80)8% (102)1.2 (112)
SHSU Offense344% (103)38% (105)32.3135.74.24 (79).06 (93)2.79 (87)73% (66)12% (114)1.13 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense351% (54)38% (105)19.330.7188.76.29.81 (123)1 (23)-.02 (129)1.2 (123)32% (87)29% (90).34 (66)6% (81)2 (62)
SHSU Defense356% (108)49% (118) - - - - - - 2 (56).36 (110)1.6 (89)31% (90)36% (116).17 (47)7% (45)1.8 (52)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense356% (112)35% (42) - - - - - - 3 (28).17 (56)1.6 (82)33% (74)22% (34).17 (51)6% (64)2.3 (110)
SHSU Offense355% (37)37% (108)18.73118569.92 (102)3 (92).07 (121)1.3 (112)40% (130)22% (116)-.07 (131)7% (110)1.7 (105)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -3.39 #88
Florida International's Offense Rating: 5.03 #103
Florida International's Defense Rating: 8.42 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #111
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -3.39   Sam Houston: -16.075

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -12.1   Sam Houston: -18.6




Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -16.075 #125
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 23.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida International 33
Sam Houston 25


Total Points: 58

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.7

Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/22Florida International7Sam Houston10Sam HoustonSam Houston -5.0Florida International47.0Under
202310/18Sam Houston27Florida International33Florida InternationalSam Houston State -6Florida International42.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Sam Houston101 Overs
Florida International121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#88) Florida International Info
Power Rating: -3.39 #88
Offense Rating: 5.03 #103
Defense Rating: 8.42 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Good in Scoring Position 2.42 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Good Pass Def Success 35%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Florida International has lost 8 straight
Florida International has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida International Notes
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
(7/27) DBs are good. 7th in CFB in coverage LY.
(5/23) FIU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY
(4/7) RB rebuild, but still strength of the team
(4/7) RB Owens, Lyons & Allen (Mia) will all play
(3/24) QB Jenkins back, pass improved, fumbles a lot
(3/24) WR complete rebuild and looks very ?
(3/24) OL awful LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds.
(3/24) Def bad, replacing a lot. 4 DL, 3 DB portals
(3/24) HC Simmons successful at Fl A&M, good fit

Florida International Highlights
Florida International is Undefeated vs Spread

Florida International defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Florida International Deficiencies
Florida International Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Florida International pass game is really bad (#105)
Florida International gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#106)
Florida International Does Not Stuff Runs (#132)
Florida International has a bad defensive line (#117)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatSHSUFIU
OverallOver#98#74
OffenseOff#110#85
DefenseDef#71#55
Special TeamsST#43#55
PassingPass#104#105
RushingRush#103#70
Run BlockRBLK#91#74
Pass BlockPBLK#96#97
Route RunningWR Rt#103#54
TacklingTkl#96#66
Run DefenseR Def#48#90
Pass Rush DefPRush#59#61
Coverage DefCov#86#21

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Florida International last year (10-7)
Florida International beat Sam Houston in 2023 (33-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bowers Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FIU | SHSU
Depth Chart: FIU | SHSU
Rosters: FIU | SHSU
(#125) Sam Houston Info
Power Rating: -16.075 #125
Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Sam Houston has lost 11 straight
Sam Houston has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Sam Houston Notes
(8/23) QB1? Watson running air raid likely not good
(7/13) Home games 70 miles off campus (Shell Energy)
(7/11) QB Mettauer big arm, was Longo's pick at Wisc
(7/11) Over Bet Watch. Def down, Pass Off up
(6/6) Not a fan of HC Phil Long hire at all.
(6/6) Could be a bottom Def in CFB, DBs are JUCOs
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals inc. Green (IU)
(3/26) WR some exp, replacing a lot. 2 portal adds

Sam Houston Highlights

Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston has a really bad Offense at Home
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#112)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Sam Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Sam Houston has a bad defense (#103)
Sam Houston has a bad red zone defense (#100)


  
Florida International's OC Nick Coleman
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins518262%498116.1
Joe Pesansky (Tr)71070%68006.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens4532247.247
Devonte Lyons199014.735
Anthony Carrie (Tr)237023.026
Keyone Jenkins194132.223
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Maguire Anderson7112016.046
Alex Perry (Tr)778111.126
Eric Nelson356018.734
Shaborne Demps553010.626

View Florida International's Full Roster
Florida International's DC Jovan Dewitt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Taylor231001
Johnny Chaney Jr233100
Jessiah Mcgrew140001
Shamir Sterlin131010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons53211
Johnny Chaney Jr233100
Quaylen Hill32100
Percy Courtney Jr.41110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark120003
Brian Blades100002
Josiah Taylor231001

Sam Houston's OC Zack Patterson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Watson305258%310016.0
Mabrey Mettauer (Tr)203165%177125.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hunter Watson2410824.555
Landan Brown139417.253
Elijah Green (Tr)247603.211
Alton McCaskill (Tr)117216.552
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Green (Tr)11124111.335
Grady O'Neill (Tr)665010.829
Malik Phillips660010.022
Tim Burns Jr.159159.059

View Sam Houston's Full Roster
Sam Houston's DC Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Brown (Tr)211003
Emon Allen183001
Antavious Fish (Tr)170000
Chatavies Johnson170000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
AJ Edwards163102
JaMair Diaz (Tr)131110
Tokyo Gordon122100
Chauncey Chidi112100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Brown (Tr)211003
Cecil Powell (Tr)120003
AJ Edwards163102