Florida International at Sam Houston - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo Florida International Golden Panthers vs Sam Houston BearkatsSam Houston logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (1:00 PM EST)
Florida International -10.5 (50.5) (-450)  Open: -10.5 | 51.5
Florida International 56 - Sam Houston: 16  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Panthers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Wind: 17.4 MPH
SHSU is playing their 5th straight game
FIU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Florida International -15.5  (SP+ FIU -20)

Projected Score: FIU: 33 - SHSU: 17 (50)
FIU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
FIU Travel: 984 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bearkats (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 38 (18 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-4.054.5L 16 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+7.052.5L 10 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+9.555.5W 25 - 6UY
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State+3.048.5L 26 - 45ON
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State+3.050.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+1.550.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+2.551.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-2.555.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/29 Florida International vs Sam Houston-10.550.5W 56 - 16OY
Fri 12/26 Florida International vs UTSA+7.062.5L 20 - 57ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Sam Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Sam Houston at Western Kentucky+9.560.5L 24 - 41ON
Fri 8/29 Sam Houston vs UNLV+13.558.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 9/6 Sam Houston at Hawai'i+7.047.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Sam Houston at Texas+39.551.5L 0 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/2 Sam Houston at New Mexico State-1.553.5L 10 - 37UN
Thu 10/9 Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State+7.053.5L 27 - 29OY
Wed 10/15 Sam Houston vs UTEP+3.546.5L 17 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/31 Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech+16.548.0L 14 - 55ON
Sat 11/8 Sam Houston at Oregon State+21.052.5W 21 - 17UY
Sat 11/15 Sam Houston vs Delaware+11.556.5W 26 - 23UY
Sat 11/22 Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee+6.553.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/29 Sam Houston vs Florida International+10.550.5L 16 - 56ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 5

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#81 (.16)41% (94)28.539% (110)2.84 (83)17643% (54)2024.04 (38)#70 (.16)43% (81)3046% (109)41% (62)3.65 (67)53.21.51.6
SHSU#131 (.01)37% (121)17.840% (104)2.67 (116)13335% (127)1842.79 (129)#109 (.22)48% (129)37.847% (118)50% (133)3.85 (89)59.41.31.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
SHSU#115 (.1)39% (107)41% (100)3.18 (44)18038% (105)1682.97 (129)#31 (.11)42% (70)47% (105)37% (27)3.84 (75)37.91.22.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense1328.522.440.7%4.041.519377176202549%49%39%43%17%.16
SHSU Defense1237.837.847.8%3.851.5 - - - - - 51%47%47%50%14%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense133029.842.5%3.651.6 - - - - - 46%51%46%41%16%.16
SHSU Offense1217.817.836.9%2.791.3173171331844.343%55%40%35%20%.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International1329:2418.936%62%6.253.21.51.64.92.1030.1
Sam Houston1228:3016.722%30%6.459.41.31.55.31.8326.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense1349% (66)39% (110)35.1175.5526 (49).15 (52)2.84 (83)74% (57)10% (74)1.19 (4)
SHSU Defense1251% (80)47% (118) - - - - .15 (95)2.89 (72)68% (45)10% (61)0.96 (70)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense1346% (21)46% (109) - - - - .12 (84)3.21 (118)75% (96)10% (68)0.94 (56)
SHSU Offense1243% (116)40% (104)30.8132.84.310 (122).07 (91)2.67 (116)66% (107)13% (128)1.09 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense1349% (72)43% (54)18.229.2201.86.911.118 (134)11 (88).21 (90)1.4 (127)33% (90)27% (101).23 (96)7% (116)1.9 (94)
SHSU Defense1247% (57)50% (133) - - - - - - 8 (100).36 (115)1.5 (51)27% (130)35% (126).17 (21)5% (115)1.8 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense1351% (102)41% (62) - - - - - - 12 (31).26 (79)1.6 (99)31% (75)28% (55).29 (68)7% (31)2.2 (119)
SHSU Offense1255% (21)35% (127)17.832.41845.710.412 (103)10 (60).01 (133)1.4 (129)35% (124)22% (135).01 (135)7% (106)2 (66)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -8.08  #99
Florida International's Offense Rating: 4.06  #101
Florida International's Defense Rating: 12.14  #95
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3  #94
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #69
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #114

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -8.08   Sam Houston: -23.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -7.3   Sam Houston: -27.2




Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -23.37  #134
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 0.53  #124
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 20.07  #130
2025 Talent Rating: 476.00  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -27.2  #135
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.5  #130
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1  #135

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida International 33
Sam Houston 17


Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida International 26
Sam Houston 19

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Florida International 32
Sam Houston 24

Total Points: 56
Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.8

Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Sam Houston16Florida International56Florida International -10.5Florida International50.5Over
202410/22Florida International7Sam Houston10Sam Houston -5.0Florida International47.0Under
202310/18Sam Houston27Florida International33Sam Houston State -6Florida International42.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Sam Houston102 Overs
Florida International231 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 31 - 20 - 11 - 1
Road Teams3 - 02 - 11 - 11 - 0

(#99) FIU at (#134) SHSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFIUSHSU
Power RatePwr #99 #134
SP+SP+ #94 #135
Perf GradeGrade #64 #133
OffenseOff #57 #133
DefenseDef #71 #119
Spec TeamsST #89 #36
TalentTal #107 #121
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Florida International Notes
(11/22) 3 straight W's, beat Jax St to get to bowl eligible
(11/22) 3-5 to 6-5 is a great turnaround. Bravo Simmons
(10/29) QB Jenkins inj in Mizzu St, QB2 Pesansky OK
(10/22) Killed by KSU, even yds but 9 flags, 6-17 3rd/4th D
(10/22) Off is functional but mistake prone, Def awful vs KSU
(10/14) DB health is key, depth cannot play FBS ball
(10/14) Huge W @ WKU, rushed for 220+, Def great all night
(9/20) Bad L - killed by Delaware, flags, TO's... woof
(9/17) Def better at all 3 levels, good red zone Def
(9/17) QB Jenkins, RB Owens an upgrade for Off
(9/6) Def is fighting hard, impressed w/ new staff
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
Florida International Injury Report
Sam Houston Notes
(10/10) Def could not hold vs Jax St, QB Watson is tough
(10/3) Hilarious mistakes vs NMSU, no wonder still 0 wins
(10/3) Def awful, Off somehow worse. Longo grade F-
(8/30) QB Watson cannot run this system, big issue
(8/23) QB1? Watson running air raid likely not good
(7/13) Home games 70 miles off campus (Shell Energy)
(7/11) QB Mettauer big arm, was Longo's pick at Wisc
(7/11) Over Bet Watch. Def down, Pass Off up
(6/6) Not a fan of HC Phil Long hire at all.
(6/6) Could be a bottom Def in CFB, DBs are JUCOs
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
Sam Houston Injury Report
Florida International on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffSHSU Def
Perf GradePerf #57 #119
SuccessSuc #94 #129
ExplosiveExp #34 #59
PPAPPA #81 #109
PowerPwr #101 #130
SP+SP+ #69 #135
Pts POPPO #38 #89
HavocHav #101 #100
Florida International Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffSHSU Def
Run GameRun #89 #102
Run SuccessRSuc #110 #118
Run ExplRExp #4 #70
PPAExp #52 #95
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #83 #72
Stuff RateStuff #120 #95
TackleTak -  #123
Florida International Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffSHSU Def
Pass GamePass #70 #120
Pass SuccessPSuc #54 #133
Pass ExplPExl #127 #51
PPAExp #90 #115
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #110 #104
F7 HavocF7 #74 #61
DB HavocDB #116 #115
Sam Houston on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatSHSU OffFIU Def
Perf GradePerf #133 #71
SuccessSuc #121 #81
ExplosiveExp #71 #80
PPAPPA #131 #70
PowerPwr #124 #95
SP+SP+ #130 #114
Pts POPPO #129 #67
HavocHav #132 #55
Sam Houston Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
SHSU OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #122 #126
Run SuccessRSuc #104 #109
Run ExplRExp #20 #56
PPAExp #91 #84
Run BlockR Blk #116 -
OL YdsOLY #116 #118
Stuff RateStuff #132 #115
TackleTak -  #62
Sam Houston Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatSHSU OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #122 #16
Pass SuccessPSuc #127 #62
Pass ExplPExl #129 #99
PPAExp #133 #79
Pass Block/RushP Blk #74 #95
F7 HavocF7 #128 #68
DB HavocDB #106 #31
Program Comparison
SHSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

FIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in BBVA Compass Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 72° - Wind: 17 mph
Rain: 0.012
Rematch from Week 14
Florida International 10.5 (50.5)
Florida International won at Sam Houston this year (56-16)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Florida International last year (10-7)
Florida International beat Sam Houston in 2023 (33-27)

  
FIU's OC Nick Coleman (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins16426362%1742966.6
Joe Pesansky (Tr)8915956%10211176.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens2131334116.384
Anthony Carrie (Tr)10346954.653
Devonte Lyons3714213.835
Sterling Joseph7123217.661
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Perry (Tr)56840915.064
Kyle Mcneal31310110.030
Dallas Payne (Tr)27293410.942
Maguire Anderson25280111.246

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Josiah Taylor717122
Jessiah Mcgrew670004
Shamir Sterlin623014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons259782
Keegan Davis296650
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Dante Anderson (Tr)145320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark5770013
Brian Blades260005
Jessiah Mcgrew670004

SHSU's OC Zack Patterson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Watson10418257%1108546.1
Landyn Locke7114150%765445.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landan Brown8448755.863
Elijah Green (Tr)5839126.780
Alton McCaskill (Tr)8837114.252
Hunter Watson7427623.755
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Reed30460515.354
Grady O'Neill (Tr)38392110.329
Landan Brown3723706.424
Tim Burns Jr.12228119.059

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

SHSU's DC Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Fish (Tr)786110
CJ Brown (Tr)642004
Tyler Bailey451102
Cecil Powell (Tr)424014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christopher Eaton Jr. (Tr)269550
Chauncey Chidi314300
Dylan Frazier414222
Dean Ford326220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emon Allen404005
CJ Brown (Tr)642004
Cecil Powell (Tr)424014