UTSA at San Diego State - 2021 Matchup Preview

UTSA Roadrunners vs San Diego State Aztecs

Tuesday, December 21st 2021 (7:30 PM EST)
San Diego State -3 (48.0) (105) Open: -2.5 | 50.0
San Diego State 38 - UTSA: 24 (Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl)

Roadrunners (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (10 - 5)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1 (SP+ SDSU -2)
Projected Score: UTSA: 20 - SDSU: 30 (50)
SDSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UTSA Travel: 276 miles

Aztecs (12 - 2) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brady Hoke (7 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (31 - 7 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
UTSA Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	UTSA at Illinois	+4.5	52.0	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/11	UTSA vs Lamar	-38.0	65.0	W 54 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	UTSA vs Middle Tennessee	-11.5	60.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/25	UTSA at Memphis	+3.0	66.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UTSA vs UNLV	-21.5	55.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/9	UTSA at Western Kentucky	+3.5	71.0	W 52 - 46	O	Y
Sat 10/16	UTSA vs Rice	-17.0	53.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	UTSA at Louisiana Tech	-5.5	59.5	W 45 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	UTSA at UTEP	-12.0	53.5	W 44 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/13	UTSA vs Southern Miss	-32.5	54.0	W 27 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/20	UTSA vs UAB	-3.5	54.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/27	UTSA at North Texas	-8.5	60.0	L 23 - 45	O	N
Fri 12/3	UTSA vs Western Kentucky	+3.0	74.5	W 49 - 41	O	Y
Tue 12/21	UTSA vs San Diego State	+3.0	48.0	L 24 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

San Diego State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	San Diego State vs New Mexico State	-31.0	51.0	W 28 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/11	San Diego State at Arizona	+1.5	46.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/18	San Diego State vs Utah	+8.0	42.5	W 33 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/25	San Diego State vs Towson	-23.0	41.0	W 48 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	San Diego State vs New Mexico	-19.5	42.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/15	San Diego State at San José State	-10.0	41.0	W 19 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/23	San Diego State at Air Force	+3.0	38.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/30	San Diego State vs Fresno State	+2.0	43.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/6	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-7.0	45.0	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/13	San Diego State vs Nevada	-2.5	45.0	W 23 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/19	San Diego State at UNLV	-11.0	41.0	W 28 - 20	O	N
Fri 11/26	San Diego State vs Boise State	+3.0	44.0	W 27 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/4	San Diego State vs Utah State	-6.5	49.5	L 13 - 46	O	N
Tue 12/21	San Diego State vs UTSA	-3.0	48.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	.15	40%	35.5	39%	3.05	215	41%	200	3.7	.16	41%	28.8	44%	38%	3.57	66.9	1	1.6
SDSU	.07	39%	26.4	39%	2.6	199	39%	150	3.04	.01	34%	15.4	32%	36%	2.95	42.4	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	12	35.5	21.7	39.7%	3.7	1	22	415	215	200	5.2	54%	46%	39%	41%	14%	.15
SDSU Defense	8	15.4	6.8	34%	2.95	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	32%	36%	21%	.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	12	28.8	33.7	41.2%	3.57	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	44%	38%	18%	.16
SDSU Offense	8	26.4	31.2	38.6%	3.04	1.4	19	349	199	150	4.4	60%	40%	39%	39%	19%	.07

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	12	29:32	21.8	44%	53%	7	66.9	1	1.6	7.1	2.1	1	29.2
San Diego State	8	34:38	19	36%	44%	4.8	42.4	1.4	1.5	8	2.4	4	32.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	12	54%	39%	41.3	215.4	5.2	24	.15	3.05	71%	9%	1.17
SDSU Defense	8	46%	32%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.1	50%	15%	1.15

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.88	81%	13%	0.96
SDSU Offense	8	60%	39%	45	198.8	4.4	14	.04	2.6	70%	13%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	12	46%	41%	18.5	30.8	199.9	6.5	10.8	16	8	.16	1.6	31%	31%	.25	5%	2.1
SDSU Defense	8	54%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.03	1.4	35%	26%	.2	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	12	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.21	1.7	33%	34%	.29	5%	1.7
SDSU Offense	8	40%	39%	14.5	25.4	150	5.9	10.3	6	5	.11	1.4	33%	27%	.13	5%	1.9

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2021 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5 #58
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #76

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: San Diego State: 4.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 6.5 San Diego State: 8.3

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 4.15 NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San Diego State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #50
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #93
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #12

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 30
UTSA 20

Projected Total Points: 50

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	12/21	San Diego State	38	UTSA	24	San Diego State -3	San Diego State	48.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	1	1	1 Overs
UTSA	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

UTSA Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Frisco Bowl	UTSA vs San Diego State	+3.0	48.0	L 24 - 38
2020	Responder Bowl	UTSA vs Louisiana	+14.0	54.5	L 24 - 31
2016	Mexico Bowl	UTSA vs New Mexico	+7.5	54.0	L 20 - 23

San Diego State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Frisco Bowl	San Diego State vs UTSA	-3.0	48.0	W 38 - 24
2019	Mexico Bowl	San Diego State vs Central Michigan	-4.0	40.0	W 48 - 11
2018	Frisco Bowl	San Diego State vs Ohio	+2.5	49.0	L 0 - 27
2017	Forces Bowl	San Diego State vs Army	-6.5	46.0	L 35 - 42
2016	Vegas Bowl	San Diego State vs Houston	+3.0	51.0	W 34 - 10
2015	I Bowl	San Diego State vs Cincinnati	+2.5		W 42 - 7

(#) UTSA at (#) SDSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTSA	SDSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#34
OffenseOff	#34	#54
DefenseDef	#79	#21
Spec TeamsST	#55	#18
TalentTal	#77	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UTSA Injury Report

San Diego State Injury Report

UTSA on Offense


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	SDSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#34	#21
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#42	#12
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UTSA Run Game


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	#49	#55
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#48

UTSA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#13
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#94	#23
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UTSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#54	#79
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#76
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UTSA Def
Run GameRun	#100	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#18	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#103

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	UTSA Def
Pass GamePass	#91	#113
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#16	#50
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Toyota Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
San Diego State -3.0 (48.0)
San Diego State won vs UTSA this year (38-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UTSA's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp / Rod Wright (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SDSU's OC Jeff Hecklinski (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD