Florida Atlantic at Florida International - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida Atlantic logo Florida Atlantic Owls at Florida International Golden PanthersFlorida International logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Florida International -2.0 (56.5) (-125)  Open: -1.5 | 57.0
Florida International 38 - Florida Atlantic: 28

 
Owls (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Our Line: Florida International -3   (SP+ FAU -2.5)
Projected Score: FAU: 27 - FIU: 30 (57)
FIU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
FAU Travel: 46 miles
Golden Panthers (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 24 (40 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Maryland+16.557.5L 7 - 39UN
Sat 9/6 Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M-21.051.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Florida Atlantic at Florida International+2.056.5L 28 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Florida Atlantic vs Memphis+21.5
Sat 10/4 Florida Atlantic at Rice+0.5
Sat 10/11 Florida Atlantic vs UAB-8.5
Sat 10/18 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+14.5
Sat 10/25 Florida Atlantic at Navy+12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-5
Sat 11/15 Florida Atlantic at Tulane+15.5
Sat 11/22 Florida Atlantic vs UConn+9.5
Sat 11/29 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina+7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-6.055.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+14
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+6.5
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State-13.5
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State-8
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee-11.5
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+3
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-8
Sat 11/29 Florida International at Sam Houston-8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#103 (.1)44% (62)30.347% (56)2.53 (109)13043% (72)3273.93 (69)#107 (.22)36% (49)30.336% (48)37% (46)3.08 (54)61.330.3
FIU#93 (.13)42% (81)26.747% (51)3.13 (54)19638% (105)1894.2 (57)#72 (.14)37% (52)23.740% (71)35% (42)2.42 (31)38.31.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)40% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)43% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Offense330.317.544%3.933264571303274.136%64%47%43%19%.1
FIU Defense323.718.536.7%2.421.3 - - - - - 44%56%40%35%14%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Defense330.338.536.5%3.080.3 - - - - - 30%70%36%37%16%.22
FIU Offense326.74042.2%4.21.320385196189549%51%47%38%18%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic328:4426.339%44%6.761.330.36.31229.6
Florida International333:2419.739%50%5.338.31.31.34.72027.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Offense336% (133)47% (56)32130.34.12 (109).01 (104)2.53 (109)100% (1)8% (65)0.98 (63)
FIU Defense344% (29)40% (71) - - - - .1 (85)3.27 (117)75% (80)8% (102)1.2 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Defense330% (1)36% (48) - - - - .06 (66)2 (10)0% (1)8% (97)0.86 (51)
FIU Offense349% (82)47% (51)39196510 (10).29 (33)3.13 (54)63% (102)12% (114)1.24 (23)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Offense364% (2)43% (72)32.752.7326.76.2108 (18)9 (136).15 (102)1.5 (89)33% (99)32% (64).5 (41)11% (134)2.3 (25)
FIU Defense356% (112)35% (42) - - - - - - 3 (28).17 (56)1.6 (82)33% (74)22% (34).17 (51)6% (64)2.3 (110)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Defense370% (136)37% (46) - - - - - - 0.29 (98)1.6 (93)43% (3)28% (65).27 (69)8% (25)1.9 (55)
FIU Offense351% (54)38% (105)19.330.7188.76.29.81 (123)1 (23)-.02 (129)1.2 (123)32% (87)29% (90).34 (66)6% (81)2 (62)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -7.23 #99
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 4.73 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.96 #90
2025 Talent Rating: 658.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.7 #102
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #98
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -7.23   Florida International: -5.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -9.7   Florida International: -12.1




Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -5.245 #88
Florida International's Offense Rating: 5.03 #103
Florida International's Defense Rating: 8.42 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #111
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.5

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Florida International 30
Florida Atlantic 27


Total Points: 57

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 40
Defense: 23.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Florida International38Florida Atlantic28Florida InternationalFlorida International -2.0Florida International56.5Over
202409/14Florida Atlantic38Florida International20Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -3.5Florida Atlantic44.5Over
202211/12Florida International7Florida Atlantic52Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -15Florida Atlantic54.5Over
202110/02Florida Atlantic58Florida International21Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -10.5Florida Atlantic52.0Over
202011/13Florida International19Florida Atlantic38Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -9.5Florida Atlantic42.0Over
201911/09Florida Atlantic37Florida International7Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -11.5Florida Atlantic59.5Under
201811/03Florida International14Florida Atlantic49Florida AtlanticFlorida International -2Florida Atlantic59.5Over
201711/18Florida Atlantic52Florida International24Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -14.5Florida Atlantic65.5Over
201610/01Florida International33Florida Atlantic31Florida InternationalFlorida Atlantic -5Florida International52.5Over
201510/31Florida Atlantic31Florida International17Florida AtlanticFlorida International -1Florida Atlantic51.0Under
201410/02Florida International38Florida Atlantic10Florida InternationalFlorida Atlantic -9Florida International0
201311/29Florida Atlantic21Florida International6Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -28.5Florida International0
201211/16Florida Atlantic24Florida International34Florida International
201111/12Florida International41Florida Atlantic7Florida International
201010/30Florida Atlantic21Florida International9Florida Atlantic
200912/05Florida International21Florida Atlantic28Florida Atlantic
200811/29Florida Atlantic57Florida International50Florida Atlantic
200711/24Florida International23Florida Atlantic55Florida Atlantic
200611/25Florida Atlantic31Florida International0Florida Atlantic
200511/26Florida Atlantic6Florida International52Florida International
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida International648 Overs
Florida Atlantic1482 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 78 - 45 - 23 - 2
Road Teams7 - 134 - 82 - 32 - 5

(#99) Florida Atlantic Info
Power Rating: -7.23 #99
Offense Rating: 4.73 #108
Defense Rating: 11.96 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.7 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 658.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Florida Atlantic has won 1 straight
Florida Atlantic has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida Atlantic Notes
(8/30) Vetkamp 4 Int vs MD? Run Off awful. Woof
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
(3/24) QB Veltkamp a big portal+ from WKU LY
(3/24) New HC Kittley was OC at T Tech. Likely OC
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. No portals, some depth

Florida Atlantic Highlights
Florida Atlantic Defensive Line is very good (#10)
Florida Atlantic Secondary is very good (#25)
Florida Atlantic defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Florida Atlantic Deficiencies
Florida Atlantic has a bad TO Margin (#135)
Florida Atlantic throws a Lot of Interceptions (#136)
Florida Atlantic does not Sack the QB (#112)
Florida Atlantic gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#104)
Florida Atlantic Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatFIUFAU
OverallOver#74#59
OffenseOff#85#76
DefenseDef#55#48
Special TeamsST#55#17
PassingPass#105#99
RushingRush#70#86
Run BlockRBLK#74#61
Pass BlockPBLK#97#21
Route RunningWR Rt#54#48
TacklingTkl#66#73
Run DefenseR Def#90#18
Pass Rush DefPRush#61#69
Coverage DefCov#21#81

Rematch from Week 3
Florida International -2.0 (56.5)
Florida International won vs Florida Atlantic this year (38-28)

Previous Matchups
Florida Atlantic beat Florida International last year (38-20)
Florida Atlantic beat Florida International in 2022 (52-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Pitbull Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FAU | FIU
Depth Chart: FAU | FIU
Rosters: FAU | FIU
(#88) Florida International Info
Power Rating: -5.245 #88
Offense Rating: 5.03 #103
Defense Rating: 8.42 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Good in Scoring Position 2.42 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Good Pass Def Success 35%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Florida International has lost 1 straight
Florida International has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Florida International Notes
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
(7/27) DBs are good. 7th in CFB in coverage LY.
(5/23) FIU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY
(4/7) RB rebuild, but still strength of the team
(4/7) RB Owens, Lyons & Allen (Mia) will all play
(3/24) QB Jenkins back, pass improved, fumbles a lot
(3/24) WR complete rebuild and looks very ?
(3/24) OL awful LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds.
(3/24) Def bad, replacing a lot. 4 DL, 3 DB portals
(3/24) HC Simmons successful at Fl A&M, good fit

Florida International Highlights
Florida International is Undefeated vs Spread
Florida International is Undefeated at Home
Florida International is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Florida International defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Florida International Deficiencies
Florida International Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Florida International pass game is really bad (#105)
Florida International gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#106)
Florida International Does Not Stuff Runs (#132)
Florida International has a bad defensive line (#117)


  
Florida Atlantic's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)9013865%880876.4
Zach Gibson (Tr)71547%82025.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gemari Sands3323207.037
Xavier Terrell237003.014
Kaden Shields-Dutton116015.513
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)232110.912
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer (Tr)2521318.530
Asaad Waseem (Tr)14163311.631
Jayshon Platt10146114.638
Dom Henry9127214.140

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster
Florida Atlantic's DC Brett Dewhurst
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christopher Keys161000
Dillion Williams (Tr)140002
Khmari Johnson (Tr)122000
Zyere Horton121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)21100
Wilky Denaud92100
Deshaun Batiste (Tr)71110
Christopher Keys161000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terez Reid (Tr)92003
Wendol Philord51002
Damarius McGhee (Tr)20002

Florida International's OC Nick Coleman
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins518262%498116.1
Joe Pesansky (Tr)71070%68006.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens4532247.247
Devonte Lyons199014.735
Anthony Carrie (Tr)237023.026
Keyone Jenkins194132.223
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Maguire Anderson7112016.046
Alex Perry (Tr)778111.126
Eric Nelson356018.734
Shaborne Demps553010.626

View Florida International's Full Roster
Florida International's DC Jovan Dewitt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Taylor231001
Johnny Chaney Jr233100
Jessiah Mcgrew140001
Shamir Sterlin131010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons53211
Johnny Chaney Jr233100
Quaylen Hill32100
Percy Courtney Jr.41110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark120003
Brian Blades100002
Josiah Taylor231001