Florida Atlantic at Florida International - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida Atlantic logo Florida Atlantic Owls at Florida International Golden PanthersFlorida International logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Florida International -2.0 (56.5) (-125)  Open: -1.5 | 57.0
Florida International 38 - Florida Atlantic: 28

 
Owls (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Our Line: Florida International -6.5  (SP+ FIU -2)
Projected Score: FAU: 26 - FIU: 32 (58)
FIU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
FAU Travel: 46 miles
Golden Panthers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Maryland+16.557.5L 7 - 39UN
Sat 9/6 Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M-21.051.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Florida Atlantic at Florida International+2.056.5L 28 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Florida Atlantic vs Memphis+14.062.5L 26 - 55ON
Sat 10/4 Florida Atlantic at Rice+4.554.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 10/11 Florida Atlantic vs UAB-4.566.5W 53 - 33OY
Sat 10/18 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+20.572.5L 13 - 48UN
Sat 10/25 Florida Atlantic at Navy+14.563.5L 32 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-4.560.5W 40 - 21OY
Sat 11/15 Florida Atlantic at Tulane+16.560.5L 24 - 35UY
Sat 11/22 Florida Atlantic vs UConn+6.064.0L 45 - 48OY
Sat 11/29 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina+6.566.5L 3 - 42UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-4.054.5L 16 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+7.052.5L 10 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+9.555.5W 25 - 6UY
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State+3.048.5L 26 - 45ON
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State+3.050.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+1.550.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+2.551.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-2.555.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/29 Florida International vs Sam Houston-10.550.5W 56 - 16OY
Fri 12/26 Florida International vs UTSA+7.062.5L 20 - 57ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#44 (.21)42% (78)29.540% (97)2.76 (106)10543% (55)3413.49 (89)#123 (.26)45% (120)36.349% (127)42% (76)4.58 (132)562.40.7
FIU#81 (.16)41% (94)28.539% (110)2.84 (83)17643% (54)2024.04 (38)#70 (.16)43% (81)3046% (109)41% (62)3.65 (67)53.21.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)40% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)43% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Offense1229.521.841.7%3.492.4254461053413.636%62%40%43%18%.21
FIU Defense13302842.5%3.651.6 - - - - - 46%51%46%41%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Defense1236.337.245.5%4.580.7 - - - - - 54%45%49%42%14%.26
FIU Offense1328.530.540.7%4.041.519377176202549%49%39%43%17%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic1228:3224.837%66%6.6562.40.75.41.8230.5
Florida International1329:2418.936%62%6.253.21.51.64.92.1030.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Offense1236% (135)40% (97)29.5105.23.613 (99).04 (108)2.76 (106)77% (31)10% (89)1.04 (40)
FIU Defense1346% (21)46% (109) - - - - .12 (84)3.21 (118)75% (96)10% (68)0.94 (56)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Defense1254% (112)49% (127) - - - - .25 (133)3.07 (103)86% (133)9% (89)1.09 (120)
FIU Offense1349% (66)39% (110)35.1175.5526 (49).15 (52)2.84 (83)74% (57)10% (74)1.19 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Offense1262% (4)43% (55)3248.4340.5710.628 (22)20 (134).33 (41)1.6 (52)34% (111)31% (65).39 (35)8% (125)2.1 (25)
FIU Defense1351% (102)41% (62) - - - - - - 12 (31).26 (79)1.6 (99)31% (75)28% (55).29 (68)7% (31)2.2 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Defense1245% (26)42% (76) - - - - - - 3.31 (94)1.6 (81)29% (114)29% (58).38 (110)5% (110)2.2 (114)
FIU Offense1349% (72)43% (54)18.229.2201.86.911.118 (134)11 (88).21 (90)1.4 (127)33% (90)27% (101).23 (96)7% (116)1.9 (94)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -13.83  #125
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 3.50  #104
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 17.33  #122
2025 Talent Rating: 658.00  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4  #102
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #65
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2  #130

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -13.83   Florida International: -5.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -9.4   Florida International: -7.3




Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -5.19  #99
Florida International's Offense Rating: 4.06  #101
Florida International's Defense Rating: 12.14  #95
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3  #94
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #69
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #114

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Florida International 32
Florida Atlantic 26


Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida International 30
Florida Atlantic 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Florida International 33
Florida Atlantic 27

Total Points: 60
Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Florida International38Florida Atlantic28Florida International -2.0Florida International56.5Over
202409/14Florida Atlantic38Florida International20Florida Atlantic -3.5Florida Atlantic44.5Over
202211/12Florida International7Florida Atlantic52Florida Atlantic -15Florida Atlantic54.5Over
202110/02Florida Atlantic58Florida International21Florida Atlantic -10.5Florida Atlantic52.0Over
202011/13Florida International19Florida Atlantic38Florida Atlantic -9.5Florida Atlantic42.0Over
201911/09Florida Atlantic37Florida International7Florida Atlantic -11.5Florida Atlantic59.5Under
201811/03Florida International14Florida Atlantic49Florida International -2Florida Atlantic59.5Over
201711/18Florida Atlantic52Florida International24Florida Atlantic -14.5Florida Atlantic65.5Over
201610/01Florida International33Florida Atlantic31Florida Atlantic -5Florida International52.5Over
201510/31Florida Atlantic31Florida International17Florida International -1Florida Atlantic51.0Under
201410/02Florida International38Florida Atlantic10Florida Atlantic -9Florida International0
201311/29Florida Atlantic21Florida International6Florida Atlantic -28.5Florida International0
201211/16Florida Atlantic24Florida International34
201111/12Florida International41Florida Atlantic7
201010/30Florida Atlantic21Florida International9
200912/05Florida International21Florida Atlantic28
200811/29Florida Atlantic57Florida International50
200711/24Florida International23Florida Atlantic55
200611/25Florida Atlantic31Florida International0
200511/26Florida Atlantic6Florida International52
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida International648 Overs
Florida Atlantic1482 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 78 - 45 - 23 - 2
Road Teams7 - 134 - 82 - 32 - 5

(#125) FAU at (#99) FIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFAUFIU
Power RatePwr #125 #99
SP+SP+ #102 #94
Perf GradeGrade #104 #64
OffenseOff #83 #57
DefenseDef #108 #71
Spec TeamsST #97 #89
TalentTal #83 #107
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #101
Florida Atlantic Notes
(10/12) 2 straight W's, QB Veltkamp heating up
(9/24) Fastest Off in CFB, snap every 18 seconds
(9/24) Off TOs a huge issue, Success #'s both sides bad
(9/24) Def is awful and hasn't played good Off either
(9/24) Most pass heavy offense, throwing 50 times a game
(8/30) Vetkamp 4 Int vs MD? Run Off awful. Woof
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
Florida Atlantic Injury Report
Florida International Notes
(11/22) 3 straight W's, beat Jax St to get to bowl eligible
(11/22) 3-5 to 6-5 is a great turnaround. Bravo Simmons
(10/29) QB Jenkins inj in Mizzu St, QB2 Pesansky OK
(10/22) Killed by KSU, even yds but 9 flags, 6-17 3rd/4th D
(10/22) Off is functional but mistake prone, Def awful vs KSU
(10/14) DB health is key, depth cannot play FBS ball
(10/14) Huge W @ WKU, rushed for 220+, Def great all night
(9/20) Bad L - killed by Delaware, flags, TO's... woof
(9/17) Def better at all 3 levels, good red zone Def
(9/17) QB Jenkins, RB Owens an upgrade for Off
(9/6) Def is fighting hard, impressed w/ new staff
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
Florida International Injury Report
Florida Atlantic on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffFIU Def
Perf GradePerf #83 #71
SuccessSuc #78 #81
ExplosiveExp #7 #80
PPAPPA #44 #70
PowerPwr #104 #95
SP+SP+ #65 #114
Pts POPPO #89 #67
HavocHav #111 #55
Florida Atlantic Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #127 #126
Run SuccessRSuc #97 #109
Run ExplRExp #40 #56
PPAExp #108 #84
Run BlockR Blk #127 -
OL YdsOLY #106 #118
Stuff RateStuff #53 #115
TackleTak -  #62
Florida Atlantic Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #47 #16
Pass SuccessPSuc #55 #62
Pass ExplPExl #52 #99
PPAExp #41 #79
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #14 #95
F7 HavocF7 #89 #68
DB HavocDB #125 #31
Florida International on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatFIU OffFAU Def
Perf GradePerf #57 #108
SuccessSuc #94 #120
ExplosiveExp #34 #101
PPAPPA #81 #123
PowerPwr #101 #122
SP+SP+ #69 #130
Pts POPPO #38 #132
HavocHav #101 #106
Florida International Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffFAU Def
Run GameRun #89 #80
Run SuccessRSuc #110 #127
Run ExplRExp #4 #120
PPAExp #52 #133
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #83 #103
Stuff RateStuff #120 #123
TackleTak -  #58
Florida International Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatFIU OffFAU Def
Pass GamePass #70 #118
Pass SuccessPSuc #54 #76
Pass ExplPExl #127 #81
PPAExp #90 #94
Pass Block/RushP Blk #110 #61
F7 HavocF7 #74 #89
DB HavocDB #116 #110
Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Pitbull Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Florida International -2.0 (56.5)
Florida International won vs Florida Atlantic this year (38-28)

Previous Matchups
Florida Atlantic beat Florida International last year (38-20)
Florida Atlantic beat Florida International in 2022 (52-7)

  
FAU's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)34551467%365224177.1
Zach Gibson (Tr)315359%323336.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gemari Sands10546504.437
Kaden Shields-Dutton8346065.550
Xavier Terrell5416113.014
Easton Messer (Tr)351117.039
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer (Tr)1001029610.355
Asaad Waseem (Tr)69726510.544
Jayshon Platt46720515.748
Dom Henry40575414.490

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)862112
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)835201
Dillion Williams (Tr)622003
Christopher Keys471001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Batiste (Tr)234430
Josh Roberts225320
Wilky Denaud295300
Cecil Doggette Jr.247320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terez Reid (Tr)424008
Damarius McGhee (Tr)300004
Jayden Sweeney (Tr)412034

FIU's OC Nick Coleman (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins16426362%1742966.6
Joe Pesansky (Tr)8915956%10211176.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens2131334116.384
Anthony Carrie (Tr)10346954.653
Devonte Lyons3714213.835
Sterling Joseph7123217.661
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Perry (Tr)56840915.064
Kyle Mcneal31310110.030
Dallas Payne (Tr)27293410.942
Maguire Anderson25280111.246

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Josiah Taylor717122
Jessiah Mcgrew670004
Shamir Sterlin623014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons259782
Keegan Davis296650
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Dante Anderson (Tr)145320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark5770013
Brian Blades260005
Jessiah Mcgrew670004