UTSA at Marshall - 2023 Matchup Preview

UTSA Roadrunners vs Marshall Thundering Herd

Tuesday, December 19th 2023 (9:00 PM EST)
UTSA -7.0 (47.0) (0) Open: -9.5 | 55.0
UTSA 35 - Marshall: 17 (Scooter's Coffee Frisco Bowl)

Roadrunners (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (31 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: UTSA -9.5 (SP+ UTSA -12.5)
Projected Score: UTSA: 31 - MRSH: 22 (53)
UTSA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 276 miles

Thundering Herd (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
UTSA Players
MRSH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UTSA at Houston	-2.5	59.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	UTSA vs Texas State	-13.5	66.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Fri 9/15	UTSA vs Army	-7.0	42.0	L 29 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/23	UTSA at Tennessee	+24.0	59.0	L 14 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	UTSA at Temple	-14.0	56.0	W 49 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/14	UTSA vs UAB	-9.0	67.0	W 41 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/21	UTSA at Florida Atlantic	-2.5	58.5	W 36 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UTSA vs East Carolina	-17.5	48.0	W 41 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/4	UTSA at North Texas	-7.5	71.0	W 37 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/11	UTSA vs Rice	-13.5	53.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/17	UTSA vs South Florida	-14.5	65.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/24	UTSA at Tulane	+2.5	51.5	L 16 - 29	U	N
Tue 12/19	UTSA vs Marshall	-7.0	47.0	W 35 - 17	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Marshall's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Marshall vs UAlbany	-22.0	47.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Marshall at East Carolina	-3.0	43.5	W 31 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Marshall vs Virginia Tech	-5.5	41.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Marshall vs Old Dominion	-14.5	47.0	W 41 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Marshall at NC State	+6.5	44.0	L 41 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/14	Marshall at Georgia State	+2.0	53.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Thu 10/19	Marshall vs James Madison	+5.0	49.0	L 9 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Marshall at Coastal Carolina	-3.5	47.0	L 6 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/4	Marshall at App State	+3.0	57.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Marshall vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	56.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Marshall at South Alabama	+10.5	44.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/25	Marshall vs Arkansas State	-2.0	54.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Tue 12/19	Marshall vs UTSA	+7.0	47.0	L 17 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	.31	49%	35.5	46%	3.41	176	53%	300	4.28	.16	36%	28.8	34%	38%	3.18	62.6	1.4	1.7
MRSH	.06	40%	30.8	43%	2.91	205	36%	192	2.83	-.05	30%	30.3	32%	29%	2.67	66.1	1.5	2.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MRSH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	14	35.5	21.7	49.3%	4.28	1.4	26	476	176	300	4.5	48%	52%	46%	53%	14%	.31
MRSH Defense	13	30.3	24.7	29.9%	2.67	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	32%	29%	24%	-.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	14	28.8	33.7	35.8%	3.18	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	34%	38%	21%	.16
MRSH Offense	13	30.8	31.3	40.2%	2.83	1.5	21	397	205	192	4.5	61%	38%	43%	36%	20%	.06

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	14	29:44	25.9	49%	48%	7.1	62.6	1.4	1.7	6.4	1.8	2	30.6
Marshall	13	31:49	20.8	37%	29%	7.2	66.1	1.5	2.8	6.3	2.8	4	31.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	14	48%	46%	38.8	175.6	4.5	28	.21	3.41	75%	9%	0.99
MRSH Defense	13	44%	32%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.6	62%	14%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	14	48%	34%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.65	67%	12%	1.24
MRSH Offense	13	61%	43%	45.8	205.2	4.5	20	.09	2.91	69%	14%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	14	52%	53%	24.4	35.9	300.4	8.4	12.3	34	9	.44	1.5	27%	38%	.49	6%	2
MRSH Defense	13	55%	29%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	-.06	1.7	39%	19%	.02	10%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	14	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.25	1.7	36%	28%	.31	8%	2.3
MRSH Offense	13	38%	36%	17.3	28.2	192	6.8	11.1	16	10	.06	1.4	34%	25%	.12	6%	2

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 1.44 #55
UTSA's Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
UTSA's Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
2023 Talent Rating: 574.52 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UTSA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
UTSA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.44 Marshall: -6.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 4.2 Marshall: -8.2

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -6.745 #91
Marshall's Offense Rating: 11.11 #118
Marshall's Defense Rating: 6.26 #33
2023 Talent Rating: 478.59 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Marshall's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
Marshall's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #94
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #96

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UTSA 31
Marshall 22

Projected Total Points: 53

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Marshall's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/19	Marshall	17	UTSA	35	UTSA -7.0	UTSA	47.0	Over
2018	11/17	Marshall	23	UTSA	0	Marshall -27.5	UTSA	48.0	Under
2017	11/18	UTSA	9	Marshall	7	UT San Antonio -3	Marshall	45.0	Under
2013	10/05	Marshall	34	UTSA	10	Marshall -11	Marshall	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Marshall	2	2	1 Overs
UTSA	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	1 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 3	3 - 1	1 - 0	2 - 1

UTSA Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Frisco Bowl	UTSA vs Marshall	-7.0	47.0	W 35 - 17
2022	Cure Bowl	UTSA vs Troy	+2.0	55.5	L 12 - 18
2021	Frisco Bowl	UTSA vs San Diego State	+3.0	48.0	L 24 - 38
2020	Responder Bowl	UTSA vs Louisiana	+14.0	54.5	L 24 - 31

Marshall Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Frisco Bowl	Marshall vs UTSA	+7.0	47.0	L 17 - 35
2022	Beach Bowl	Marshall vs UConn	-11.5	42.0	W 28 - 14
2021	Orleans Bowl	Marshall vs Louisiana	+4.0	55.5	L 21 - 36
2020	Camellia Bowl	Marshall vs Buffalo	+5.5	53.5	L 10 - 17
2019	Gasparilla Bowl	Marshall vs UCF	+16.0	60.0	L 25 - 48
2018	Gasparilla Bowl	Marshall vs South Florida	-3.5	51.0	W 38 - 20
2017	Mexico Bowl	Marshall vs Colorado State	+3.0	58.5	W 31 - 28

(#55) UTSA at (#91) MRSH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTSA	MRSH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#55	#91
SP+SP+	#49	#94
Perf GradeGrade	#65	#63
OffenseOff	#53	#112
DefenseDef	#73	#13
Spec TeamsST	#122	#20
TalentTal	#74	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

UTSA Injury Report

Marshall Injury Report

UTSA on Offense


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	MRSH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#53	#13
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#51	#33
SP+SP+	#42	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UTSA Run Game


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	#40	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#42

UTSA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	#71	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#106	#16
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Marshall on Offense


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	UTSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#112	#73
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#118	#43
SP+SP+	#78	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Marshall Run Game


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	UTSA Def
Run GameRun	#113	#55
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#96

Marshall Pass Game


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	UTSA Def
Pass GamePass	#104	#112
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#40	#24
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Toyota Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
UTSA 7.0 (47.0)
UTSA won at Marshall this year (35-17)

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat Marshall in 2023 (35-17)

UTSA's OC Justin Burke (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Frank Harris	218	336	65%	2506	18	8	7.5
Owen McCown (Tr)	43	58	74%	442	4	3	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kevorian Barnes	147	715	6	4.9	44
Robert Henry	127	588	11	4.6	43
Rocko Griffin (Tr)	91	483	6	5.3	69
Frank Harris	86	323	4	3.8	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua Cephus	89	1151	10	12.9	84
Tykee Ogle-Kellogg	33	575	7	17.4	46
Devin Mccuin	42	546	3	13.0	72
Oscar Cardenas	32	280	2	8.8	28

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ken Robinson	65	2	0	1	4
Jamal Ligon	62	7	1	5	1
Martavius French	61	5	2	4	3
Rashad Wisdom	61	2	2	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Moore	45	18	14	3	3
Brandon Matterson	14	6	5	5	0
Jimmori Robinson	40	11	5	10	2
Nick Booker-Brown	18	7	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameryn Alexander (Tr)	34	2	1	1	15
Nicktroy Fortune	26	1	0	2	9
Ken Robinson	65	2	0	1	4

MRSH's OC Clint Trickett (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cam Fancher	202	308	66%	2162	11	11	7.0
Cole Pennington	64	112	57%	695	0	6	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rasheen Ali	212	1140	15	5.4	64
Ethan Payne	83	335	1	4.0	64
Cam Fancher	120	273	4	2.3	63
Caleb McMillan	1	21	1	21.0	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Harrison	28	410	1	14.6	52
DeMarcus Harris	24	396	1	16.5	65
Caleb Coombs	39	310	2	7.9	24
Caleb McMillan	18	275	2	15.3	75

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Jason Semore (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elias Neal	93	11	3	3	2
J.J. Roberts (Tr)	74	2	0	1	1
Owen Porter	62	14	4	13	2
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)	62	7	2	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sam Burton	42	8	7	8	0
Elijah Alston	45	11	6	14	2
Owen Porter	62	14	4	13	2
Michael Green	41	8	4	6	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Micah Abraham	36	0	0	15
Dyoni Hill	54	1	0	10
Josh Moten	30	1	1	6