Florida International at Western Kentucky - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo Florida International Golden Panthers at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Tuesday, October 14th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium - Bowling Green, KY  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Panthers (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 24 (27 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
FIU coming off BYE
WKU coming off BYE
Our Line: Western Kentucky -6.5   (SP+ WKU -10)

Projected Score: FIU: 26 - WKU: 33 (59)
WKU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
FIU Travel: 855 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hilltoppers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 39 - 25 (48 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
 
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-6.054.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+14
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+6.5
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State-13.5
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State-8
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee-11.5
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+3
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-8
Sat 11/29 Florida International at Sam Houston-8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston-9.560.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 8/30 Western Kentucky vs North Alabama-27.560.5W 55 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Western Kentucky at Toledo+8.557.5L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Western Kentucky vs Nevada-10.554.5
Sat 9/27 Western Kentucky at Missouri State-12
Fri 10/3 Western Kentucky at Delaware-2
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-6.5
Tue 10/21 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech-1
Sat 11/1 Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State-13
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-20.5
Sat 11/22 Western Kentucky at LSU+29.5
Sat 11/29 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State-7

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#93 (.13)42% (81)26.747% (51)3.13 (54)19638% (105)1894.2 (57)#72 (.14)37% (52)23.740% (71)35% (42)2.42 (31)38.31.31.3
WKU#80 (.16)42% (83)3937% (112)2.71 (96)11045% (59)3585 (32)#91 (.18)35% (37)2539% (67)32% (30)3.08 (53)641.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense326.726.742.2%4.21.320385196189549%51%47%38%18%.13
WKU Defense3251535.2%3.081 - - - - - 51%49%39%32%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense323.73436.7%2.421.3 - - - - - 44%56%40%35%14%.14
WKU Offense3394842.1%51.3234681103583.534%66%37%45%12%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International333:2419.739%50%5.338.31.31.34.72027.9
Western Kentucky329:5423.349%20%6641.315.71.3029.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense349% (82)47% (51)39196510 (10).29 (33)3.13 (54)63% (102)12% (114)1.24 (23)
WKU Defense351% (77)39% (67) - - - - .19 (108)3.03 (94)71% (72)10% (76)1.27 (121)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense344% (29)40% (71) - - - - .1 (85)3.27 (117)75% (80)8% (102)1.2 (112)
WKU Offense334% (136)37% (112)31.7109.73.54 (79)-.16 (131)2.71 (96)60% (103)7% (44)0.8 (107)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense351% (54)38% (105)19.330.7188.76.29.81 (123)1 (23)-.02 (129)1.2 (123)32% (87)29% (90).34 (66)6% (81)2 (62)
WKU Defense349% (58)32% (30) - - - - - - 2 (56).19 (61)1.6 (77)37% (28)15% (12)-.01 (20)7% (44)1.8 (51)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense356% (112)35% (42) - - - - - - 3 (28).17 (56)1.6 (82)33% (74)22% (34).17 (51)6% (64)2.3 (110)
WKU Offense366% (1)45% (59)29433588.312.311 (5)1 (23).32 (63)1.7 (28)34% (105)37% (35).1 (117)5% (63)1.7 (108)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -3.39 #88
Florida International's Offense Rating: 5.03 #103
Florida International's Defense Rating: 8.42 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #111
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -3.39   Western Kentucky: -1.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -12.1   Western Kentucky: -2.5




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.28 #91
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 23.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 33
Florida International 26


Total Points: 59

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 39 PPG
Offense at Home: 48
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25Florida International28Western Kentucky41Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -11.5Western Kentucky54.0Over
202209/24Western Kentucky73Florida International0Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -31Western Kentucky65.0Over
202110/23Florida International19Western Kentucky34Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -16.5Florida International78.0Under
202011/21Western Kentucky38Florida International21Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -6.5Western Kentucky41.5Over
201909/07Florida International14Western Kentucky20Western KentuckyFlorida International -9Western Kentucky57.0Under
201810/27Western Kentucky17Florida International38Florida InternationalFlorida International -3Florida International54.0Over
201711/24Florida International41Western Kentucky17Florida InternationalWestern Kentucky -3Florida International56.5Over
201611/05Western Kentucky49Florida International21Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -25Western Kentucky65.5Over
201511/21Florida International7Western Kentucky63Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -14Western Kentucky65.5Over
201210/27Florida International6Western Kentucky14Western Kentucky
201111/05Western Kentucky10Florida International9Western Kentucky
201010/09Florida International28Western Kentucky21Florida International
200910/10Western Kentucky20Florida International37Florida International
200812/06Florida International27Western Kentucky3Florida International
200511/19Florida International38Western Kentucky35Florida International
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky967 Overs
Florida International632 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 75 - 43 - 12 - 3
Road Teams7 - 84 - 53 - 21 - 3

(#88) Florida International Info
Power Rating: -3.39 #88
Offense Rating: 5.03 #103
Defense Rating: 8.42 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Good in Scoring Position 2.42 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Good Pass Def Success 35%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Florida International has lost 2 straight
Florida International has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida International Notes
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
(7/27) DBs are good. 7th in CFB in coverage LY.
(5/23) FIU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY
(4/7) RB rebuild, but still strength of the team
(4/7) RB Owens, Lyons & Allen (Mia) will all play
(3/24) QB Jenkins back, pass improved, fumbles a lot
(3/24) WR complete rebuild and looks very ?
(3/24) OL awful LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds.
(3/24) Def bad, replacing a lot. 4 DL, 3 DB portals
(3/24) HC Simmons successful at Fl A&M, good fit

Florida International Highlights
Florida International is Undefeated vs Spread

Florida International defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Florida International Deficiencies
Florida International Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Florida International pass game is really bad (#105)
Florida International gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#106)
Florida International Does Not Stuff Runs (#132)
Florida International has a bad defensive line (#117)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWKUFIU
OverallOver#47#74
OffenseOff#60#85
DefenseDef#67#55
Special TeamsST#4#55
PassingPass#44#105
RushingRush#64#70
Run BlockRBLK#109#74
Pass BlockPBLK#73#97
Route RunningWR Rt#23#54
TacklingTkl#94#66
Run DefenseR Def#91#90
Pass Rush DefPRush#22#61
Coverage DefCov#57#21

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Florida International in 2023 (41-28)
Western Kentucky beat Florida International in 2022 (73-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FIU | WKU
Depth Chart: FIU | WKU
Rosters: FIU | WKU
(#91) Western Kentucky Info
Power Rating: -1.28 #91
Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 66%, Run: 34%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Western Kentucky has lost 4 straight
Western Kentucky has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Western Kentucky Notes
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
(7/11) Portal hits big, 2 starters back. 46 portals signed
(7/11) QB McIvor (3k yds/30 TD) combo w/ OC McIvor
(5/2) WR Henry (FCS W Ill) 1,179 yds, 6 TD LY
(3/22) Def avg CUSA, but must rebuild most
(3/22) Almost 60% new roster, new OC/DC.
(3/22) New OC Bowie (Alb. Chr.) brought QB McIvor

Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky is Undefeated at Home
Western Kentucky is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Western Kentucky offense is explosive (#19)
Western Kentucky offense is good on 3rd downs
Western Kentucky has a good pass defense (#30)

Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#105)


  
Florida International's OC Nick Coleman
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins518262%498116.1
Joe Pesansky (Tr)71070%68006.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens4532247.247
Devonte Lyons199014.735
Anthony Carrie (Tr)237023.026
Keyone Jenkins194132.223
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Maguire Anderson7112016.046
Alex Perry (Tr)778111.126
Eric Nelson356018.734
Shaborne Demps553010.626

View Florida International's Full Roster
Florida International's DC Jovan Dewitt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Taylor231001
Johnny Chaney Jr233100
Jessiah Mcgrew140001
Shamir Sterlin131010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons53211
Johnny Chaney Jr233100
Quaylen Hill32100
Percy Courtney Jr.41110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark120003
Brian Blades100002
Josiah Taylor231001

Western Kentucky's OC Rick Bowie
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maverick McIvor (Tr)8012067%9411017.8
Rodney Tisdale Jr.6875%941011.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marvis Parrish239304.022
Jaden McGill (Tr)166313.915
George Hart III175913.512
La'Vell Wright (Tr)113913.512
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Moussa Barry11210019.148
Matthew Henry (Tr)11198318.055
K.D. Hutchinson12184315.378
Marvis Parrish1410017.122

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster
Western Kentucky's DC DaVon Brown
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dave Herard140000
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)130001
Jaylen Wester (Tr)131010
Dylan Flowers101001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harper Holloman73103
Dominic Oliver (Tr)102100
Jayden Gray (Tr)72120
Jaden Hardy (Tr)102100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harper Holloman73103
Al-Ma'Hi Ali (Tr)80002
Lataj Wright00001