Florida International at Western Kentucky - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo   Florida International Golden Panthers at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers  Western Kentucky logo
Tuesday, October 14th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -9.5 (55.5) (-380)  Open: -8.5 | 55.5
Florida International 25 - Western Kentucky: 6  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Panthers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
FIU coming off BYE
WKU coming off BYE
Our Line: Western Kentucky -12.5  (SP+ WKU -12)

Projected Score: FIU: 21 - WKU: 34 (55)
WKU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
FIU Travel: 855 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hilltoppers (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (35 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#36)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
 
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-4.054.5L 16 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+7.052.5L 10 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+9.555.5W 25 - 6UY
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State+3.048.5L 26 - 45ON
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State+3.050.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+1.550.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+2.551.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-2.555.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/29 Florida International vs Sam Houston-10.550.5W 56 - 16OY
Fri 12/26 Florida International vs UTSA+7.062.5L 20 - 57ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston-9.560.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 8/30 Western Kentucky vs North Alabama-27.560.5W 55 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Western Kentucky at Toledo+8.557.5L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Western Kentucky vs Nevada-8.554.5W 31 - 16UY
Sat 9/27 Western Kentucky at Missouri State-3.559.5W 27 - 22UY
Fri 10/3 Western Kentucky at Delaware+2.562.5W 27 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-9.555.5L 6 - 25UN
Tue 10/21 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech+5.549.5W 28 - 27OY
Sat 11/1 Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State-7.553.5W 35 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-13.551.5W 42 - 26OY
Sat 11/22 Western Kentucky at LSU+24.552.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 11/29 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State-1.556.5L 34 - 37ON
Tue 12/23 Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss+3.059.0W 27 - 16UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)28.537% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)3044% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)29.538% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)22.848% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense1228.522.439.2%4.441.6183511222293.752%48%37%42%16%.13
WKU Defense1422.818.844.7%3.661.5 - - - - - 63%36%48%40%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense123029.841.2%3.491.3 - - - - - 56%44%44%37%12%.12
WKU Offense1429.53541.8%3.831.7193741102653.545%55%38%45%16%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International1228:4017.931%54%5.547.41.61.33.91.5229.5
Western Kentucky1427:5219.341%59%4.141.31.71.54.91.6029.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense1252% (58)37% (125)32.9121.73.716 (90)- (124)2.48 (130)58% (128)11% (90)0.9 (101)
WKU Defense1463% (134)48% (113) - - - - .19 (103)3.36 (116)77% (93)9% (88)0.9 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense1256% (122)44% (81) - - - - .17 (95)3.18 (95)71% (57)7% (129)1.03 (93)
WKU Offense1445% (105)38% (117)31.1109.73.514 (98).01 (121)2.78 (108)69% (100)11% (87)0.95 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense1248% (78)42% (64)17.227.8229.48.213.424 (38)11 (72).29 (48)1.6 (40)32% (79)27% (107).27 (93)5% (46)2 (71)
WKU Defense1436% (1)40% (60) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (99)1.8 (128)28% (116)29% (47).23 (37)3% (132)2.1 (92)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense1244% (14)37% (30) - - - - - - 11 (52).05 (5)1.3 (7)28% (114)25% (5).11 (4)5% (108)1.9 (29)
WKU Offense1455% (26)45% (33)22.133.5264.67.91228 (15)12 (85).36 (28)1.6 (59)33% (91)30% (91).29 (89)6% (56)1.9 (100)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -14.03  #117
Florida International's Offense Rating: 6.54  #112
Florida International's Defense Rating: 20.57  #114
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5  #107
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #74
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #124

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -14.03   Western Kentucky: 0.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -10.5   Western Kentucky: 1.6




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 0.125  #84
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.64  #104
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 13.99  #71
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 4.3
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6  #69
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #56
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 34
Florida International 21


Projected Total Points: 55
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/14Western Kentucky6Florida International25Western Kentucky -9.5Florida International55.5Under
202311/25Florida International28Western Kentucky41Western Kentucky -11.5Western Kentucky54.0Over
202209/24Western Kentucky73Florida International0Western Kentucky -31Western Kentucky65.0Over
202110/23Florida International19Western Kentucky34Western Kentucky -16.5Florida International78.0Under
202011/21Western Kentucky38Florida International21Western Kentucky -6.5Western Kentucky41.5Over
201909/07Florida International14Western Kentucky20Florida International -9Western Kentucky57.0Under
201810/27Western Kentucky17Florida International38Florida International -3Florida International54.0Over
201711/24Florida International41Western Kentucky17Western Kentucky -3Florida International56.5Over
201611/05Western Kentucky49Florida International21Western Kentucky -25Western Kentucky65.5Over
201511/21Florida International7Western Kentucky63Western Kentucky -14Western Kentucky65.5Over
201210/27Florida International6Western Kentucky14
201111/05Western Kentucky10Florida International9
201010/09Florida International28Western Kentucky21
200910/10Western Kentucky20Florida International37
200812/06Florida International27Western Kentucky3
200511/19Florida International38Western Kentucky35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky967 Overs
Florida International743 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 85 - 53 - 22 - 3
Road Teams8 - 85 - 53 - 22 - 3

(#117) FIU at (#84) WKU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFIUWKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #117 #84
SP+SP+ #107 #69
Perf GradeGrade #85 #65
OffenseOff #75 #69
DefenseDef #79 #71
Spec TeamsST #77 #20
TalentTal #107 #89
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #88
Florida International Notes
(11/22) 3 straight W's, beat Jax St to get to bowl eligible
(11/22) 3-5 to 6-5 is a great turnaround. Bravo Simmons
(10/29) QB Jenkins inj in Mizzu St, QB2 Pesansky OK
(10/22) Killed by KSU, even yds but 9 flags, 6-17 3rd/4th D
(10/22) Off is functional but mistake prone, Def awful vs KSU
(10/14) DB health is key, depth cannot play FBS ball
(10/14) Huge W @ WKU, rushed for 220+, Def great all night
(9/20) Bad L - killed by Delaware, flags, TO's... woof
(9/17) Def better at all 3 levels, good red zone Def
(9/17) QB Jenkins, RB Owens an upgrade for Off
(9/6) Def is fighting hard, impressed w/ new staff
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
Florida International Injury Report
Western Kentucky Notes
(10/22) Escaped LT in OT, QB Tisdale OK but is mobile
(10/21) QB1 McIvor shoulder inj, R. Tisdale (Fr) vs La Tech
(10/15) FIU performance off a bye? Completely unprepared
(10/15) McIover last 4 games, 2 TD, 4 INT, 231 YPG.
(10/14) Shameful performance vs FIU, OG'd by 200+, Off awful
(10/4) Lucky W @ Del, OG'd by 100 yds, 2 TOs for TDs.
(10/4) QB McIvor is fun in an extremely pass heavy Off
(8/23) Likely 7-8 portal starters on both Off & Def
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
Western Kentucky Injury Report
Florida International on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffWKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #75 #71
SuccessSuc #111 #102
ExplosiveExp #65 #36
PPAPPA #101 #95
PowerPwr #112 #71
SP+SP+ #74 #78
Pts POPPO #21 #54
HavocHav #70 #122
Florida International Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #94 #65
Run SuccessRSuc #125 #113
Run ExplRExp #101 #35
PPAExp #124 #103
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLY #130 #116
Stuff RateStuff #131 #128
TackleTak -  #119
Florida International Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #87 #52
Pass SuccessPSuc #64 #60
Pass ExplPExl #40 #128
PPAExp #48 #99
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #109 #81
F7 HavocF7 #90 #88
DB HavocDB #46 #132
Western Kentucky on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatWKU OffFIU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #69 #79
SuccessSuc #83 #62
ExplosiveExp #33 #20
PPAPPA #66 #37
PowerPwr #104 #114
SP+SP+ #56 #124
Pts POPPO #78 #39
HavocHav #73 #129
Western Kentucky Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
WKU OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #72 #118
Run SuccessRSuc #117 #81
Run ExplRExp #75 #93
PPAExp #121 #95
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLY #108 #95
Stuff RateStuff #103 #101
TackleTak -  #63
Western Kentucky Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatWKU OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #57 #28
Pass SuccessPSuc #33 #30
Pass ExplPExl #59 #7
PPAExp #28 #5
Pass Block/RushP Blk #48 #88
F7 HavocF7 #87 #129
DB HavocDB #56 #108
Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Western Kentucky -9.5 (55.5)
Florida International won at Western Kentucky this year (25-6)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat Western Kentucky last year (25-6)
Western Kentucky beat Florida International in 2023 (41-28)

  
FIU's OC Nick Coleman (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins16426362%1742966.6
Joe Pesansky (Tr)8915956%10211176.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens2131334116.384
Anthony Carrie (Tr)10346954.653
Devonte Lyons3714213.835
Sterling Joseph7123217.661
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Perry (Tr)56840915.064
Kyle Mcneal31310110.030
Dallas Payne (Tr)27293410.942
Maguire Anderson25280111.246

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Josiah Taylor717122
Jessiah Mcgrew670004
Shamir Sterlin623014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons259782
Keegan Davis296650
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Dante Anderson (Tr)145320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark5770013
Brian Blades260005
Jessiah Mcgrew670004

WKU's OC Will Friend (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maverick McIvor (Tr)18327367%20621267.6
Rodney Tisdale Jr.13921266%1432976.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marvis Parrish10657615.466
La'Vell Wright (Tr)85471105.539
George Hart III7030054.336
Rodney Tisdale Jr.5210822.115
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matthew Henry (Tr)55888616.155
K.D. Hutchinson6661839.478
Moussa Barry34488114.448
Noah Meyers32357311.262

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Tyson Summers (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Wester (Tr)1067232
Anthony Brackenridge745123
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)744005
Dave Herard583004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Oliver (Tr)204300
Koron Hayward194321
Jalen Emery (Tr)183213
Harper Holloman396264
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nazir Ward353106
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)744005
Jai Eugene Jr.212105