Florida International at Western Kentucky - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo Florida International Golden Panthers at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Tuesday, October 14th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -9.5 (55.5) (-380)  Open: -8.5 | 55.5
Florida International 25 - Western Kentucky: 6  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Panthers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
FIU coming off BYE
WKU coming off BYE
Our Line: Western Kentucky -12  (SP+ WKU -8)

Projected Score: FIU: 21 - WKU: 33 (54)
WKU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
FIU Travel: 855 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hilltoppers (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (35 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#36)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
 
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-4.054.5L 16 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+7.052.5L 10 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+9.555.5W 25 - 6UY
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State+3.048.5L 26 - 45ON
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State+3.050.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+1.550.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+2.551.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-2.555.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/29 Florida International vs Sam Houston-10.550.5W 56 - 16OY
Fri 12/26 Florida International vs UTSA+7.062.5L 20 - 57ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston-9.560.5W 41 - 24OY
Sat 8/30 Western Kentucky vs North Alabama-27.560.5W 55 - 6OY
Sat 9/6 Western Kentucky at Toledo+8.557.5L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Western Kentucky vs Nevada-8.554.5W 31 - 16UY
Sat 9/27 Western Kentucky at Missouri State-3.559.5W 27 - 22UY
Fri 10/3 Western Kentucky at Delaware+2.562.5W 27 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-9.555.5L 6 - 25UN
Tue 10/21 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech+5.549.5W 28 - 27OY
Sat 11/1 Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State-7.553.5W 35 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-13.551.5W 42 - 26OY
Sat 11/22 Western Kentucky at LSU+24.552.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 11/29 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State-1.556.5L 34 - 37ON
Tue 12/23 Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss+3.059.0W 27 - 16UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#81 (.16)41% (94)28.539% (110)2.84 (83)17643% (54)2024.04 (38)#70 (.16)43% (81)3046% (109)41% (62)3.65 (67)53.21.51.6
WKU#74 (.17)43% (58)29.545% (52)2.97 (62)12342% (64)2524.21 (30)#42 (.11)37% (19)22.839% (26)36% (18)2.72 (11)55.61.41
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense1328.522.440.7%4.041.519377176202549%49%39%43%17%.16
WKU Defense1322.818.837%2.721 - - - - - 46%52%39%36%16%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense133029.842.5%3.651.6 - - - - - 46%51%46%41%16%.16
WKU Offense1329.53543.2%4.211.4203741232524.242%57%45%42%15%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International1329:2418.936%62%6.253.21.51.64.92.1030.1
Western Kentucky1327:102045%33%5.655.61.414.91.2228.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense1349% (66)39% (110)35.1175.5526 (49).15 (52)2.84 (83)74% (57)10% (74)1.19 (4)
WKU Defense1346% (22)39% (26) - - - - .09 (61)2.79 (52)55% (3)9% (94)1.13 (130)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense1346% (21)46% (109) - - - - .12 (84)3.21 (118)75% (96)10% (68)0.94 (56)
WKU Offense1342% (125)45% (52)29.2122.74.220 (78).09 (81)2.97 (62)81% (12)9% (49)0.92 (84)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense1349% (72)43% (54)18.229.2201.86.911.118 (134)11 (88).21 (90)1.4 (127)33% (90)27% (101).23 (96)7% (116)1.9 (94)
WKU Defense1352% (109)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (55).16 (33)1.5 (62)34% (32)27% (31).23 (43)7% (17)2 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense1351% (102)41% (62) - - - - - - 12 (31).26 (79)1.6 (99)31% (75)28% (55).29 (68)7% (31)2.2 (119)
WKU Offense1357% (12)42% (64)23.335251.67.210.821 (42)11 (60).24 (72)1.5 (89)33% (100)34% (24).36 (45)6% (89)1.9 (104)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -8.08  #99
Florida International's Offense Rating: 4.06  #101
Florida International's Defense Rating: 12.14  #95
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3  #94
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #69
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #114

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -8.08   Western Kentucky: 4.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -7.3   Western Kentucky: 0.4




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 4.47  #57
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.30  #77
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 3.76  #39
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 4.3
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4  #70
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9  #60
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #80

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 33
Florida International 21


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 34
Florida International 16

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 31
Florida International 23

Total Points: 54
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/14Western Kentucky6Florida International25Western Kentucky -9.5Florida International55.5Under
202311/25Florida International28Western Kentucky41Western Kentucky -11.5Western Kentucky54.0Over
202209/24Western Kentucky73Florida International0Western Kentucky -31Western Kentucky65.0Over
202110/23Florida International19Western Kentucky34Western Kentucky -16.5Florida International78.0Under
202011/21Western Kentucky38Florida International21Western Kentucky -6.5Western Kentucky41.5Over
201909/07Florida International14Western Kentucky20Florida International -9Western Kentucky57.0Under
201810/27Western Kentucky17Florida International38Florida International -3Florida International54.0Over
201711/24Florida International41Western Kentucky17Western Kentucky -3Florida International56.5Over
201611/05Western Kentucky49Florida International21Western Kentucky -25Western Kentucky65.5Over
201511/21Florida International7Western Kentucky63Western Kentucky -14Western Kentucky65.5Over
201210/27Florida International6Western Kentucky14
201111/05Western Kentucky10Florida International9
201010/09Florida International28Western Kentucky21
200910/10Western Kentucky20Florida International37
200812/06Florida International27Western Kentucky3
200511/19Florida International38Western Kentucky35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky967 Overs
Florida International743 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 85 - 53 - 22 - 3
Road Teams8 - 85 - 53 - 22 - 3

(#99) FIU at (#57) WKU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFIUWKU
Power RatePwr #99 #57
SP+SP+ #94 #70
Perf GradeGrade #64 #55
OffenseOff #57 #64
DefenseDef #71 #54
Spec TeamsST #89 #28
TalentTal #107 #89
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #88
Florida International Notes
(11/22) 3 straight W's, beat Jax St to get to bowl eligible
(11/22) 3-5 to 6-5 is a great turnaround. Bravo Simmons
(10/29) QB Jenkins inj in Mizzu St, QB2 Pesansky OK
(10/22) Killed by KSU, even yds but 9 flags, 6-17 3rd/4th D
(10/22) Off is functional but mistake prone, Def awful vs KSU
(10/14) DB health is key, depth cannot play FBS ball
(10/14) Huge W @ WKU, rushed for 220+, Def great all night
(9/20) Bad L - killed by Delaware, flags, TO's... woof
(9/17) Def better at all 3 levels, good red zone Def
(9/17) QB Jenkins, RB Owens an upgrade for Off
(9/6) Def is fighting hard, impressed w/ new staff
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
Florida International Injury Report
Western Kentucky Notes
(10/22) Escaped LT in OT, QB Tisdale OK but is mobile
(10/21) QB1 McIvor shoulder inj, R. Tisdale (Fr) vs La Tech
(10/15) FIU performance off a bye? Completely unprepared
(10/15) McIover last 4 games, 2 TD, 4 INT, 231 YPG.
(10/14) Shameful performance vs FIU, OG'd by 200+, Off awful
(10/4) Lucky W @ Del, OG'd by 100 yds, 2 TOs for TDs.
(10/4) QB McIvor is fun in an extremely pass heavy Off
(8/23) Likely 7-8 portal starters on both Off & Def
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
Western Kentucky Injury Report
Florida International on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffWKU Def
Perf GradePerf #57 #54
SuccessSuc #94 #19
ExplosiveExp #34 #116
PPAPPA #81 #42
PowerPwr #101 #39
SP+SP+ #69 #80
Pts POPPO #38 #11
HavocHav #101 #58
Florida International Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #89 #72
Run SuccessRSuc #110 #26
Run ExplRExp #4 #130
PPAExp #52 #61
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #83 #52
Stuff RateStuff #120 #31
TackleTak -  #118
Florida International Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #70 #34
Pass SuccessPSuc #54 #18
Pass ExplPExl #127 #62
PPAExp #90 #33
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #110 #70
F7 HavocF7 #74 #94
DB HavocDB #116 #17
Western Kentucky on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatWKU OffFIU Def
Perf GradePerf #64 #71
SuccessSuc #58 #81
ExplosiveExp #70 #80
PPAPPA #74 #70
PowerPwr #77 #95
SP+SP+ #60 #114
Pts POPPO #30 #67
HavocHav #61 #55
Western Kentucky Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
WKU OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #74 #126
Run SuccessRSuc #52 #109
Run ExplRExp #84 #56
PPAExp #81 #84
Run BlockR Blk #91 -
OL YdsOLY #62 #118
Stuff RateStuff #99 #115
TackleTak -  #62
Western Kentucky Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatWKU OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #47 #16
Pass SuccessPSuc #64 #62
Pass ExplPExl #89 #99
PPAExp #72 #79
Pass Block/RushP Blk #34 #95
F7 HavocF7 #49 #68
DB HavocDB #89 #31
Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

FIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 65°
Rematch from Week 8
Western Kentucky -9.5 (55.5)
Florida International won at Western Kentucky this year (25-6)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Florida International in 2023 (41-28)
Western Kentucky beat Florida International in 2022 (73-0)

  
FIU's OC Nick Coleman (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins16426362%1742966.6
Joe Pesansky (Tr)8915956%10211176.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens2131334116.384
Anthony Carrie (Tr)10346954.653
Devonte Lyons3714213.835
Sterling Joseph7123217.661
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Perry (Tr)56840915.064
Kyle Mcneal31310110.030
Dallas Payne (Tr)27293410.942
Maguire Anderson25280111.246

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Josiah Taylor717122
Jessiah Mcgrew670004
Shamir Sterlin623014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons259782
Keegan Davis296650
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Dante Anderson (Tr)145320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark5770013
Brian Blades260005
Jessiah Mcgrew670004

WKU's OC Rick Bowie (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maverick McIvor (Tr)18327367%20621267.6
Rodney Tisdale Jr.13921266%1432976.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marvis Parrish10657615.466
La'Vell Wright (Tr)85471105.539
George Hart III7030054.336
Rodney Tisdale Jr.5210822.115
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matthew Henry (Tr)55888616.155
K.D. Hutchinson6661839.478
Moussa Barry34488114.448
Noah Meyers32357311.262

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC DaVon Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Wester (Tr)1067232
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)744005
Anthony Brackenridge745123
Dave Herard583004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Oliver (Tr)204300
Koron Hayward194321
Jalen Emery (Tr)183213
Harper Holloman396264
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nazir Ward353106
Jai Eugene Jr.212105
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)744005