Florida International at UConn - 2025 Matchup Preview

Florida International Golden Panthers at UConn Huskies

Saturday, October 4th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
UConn -7 (52.5) (-270) Open: -10.0
UConn 51 - Florida International: 10

Golden Panthers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)

FIU coming off BYE
CONN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: UConn -13.5 (SP+ CONN -14)
Projected Score: FIU: 20 - CONN: 34 (54)
CONN Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
FIU Travel: 1191 miles

Huskies (9 - 4) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Jim L. Mora (17 - 20)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (40 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#23)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)

Matchup
Schedules
FIU Players
CONN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida International's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman	-26.5	54.5	W 42 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Florida International at Penn State	+42.0	53.5	L 0 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Florida International vs Florida Atlantic	-2.0	56.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Florida International vs Delaware	-4.0	54.5	L 16 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Florida International at UConn	+7.0	52.5	L 10 - 51	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14	Florida International at Western Kentucky	+9.5	55.5	W 25 - 6	U	Y
Tue 10/21	Florida International vs Kennesaw State	+3.0	48.5	L 26 - 45	O	N
Wed 10/29	Florida International at Missouri State	+3.0	50.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/8	Florida International at Middle Tennessee	+1.5	50.5	W 56 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Florida International vs Liberty	+2.5	51.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Florida International vs Jacksonville State	-2.5	55.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Florida International vs Sam Houston	-10.5	50.5	W 56 - 16	O	Y
Fri 12/26	Florida International vs UTSA	+7.0	62.5	L 20 - 57	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule

UConn's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	UConn vs Central Connecticut	-29.5	51.5	W 59 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/6	UConn at Syracuse	+7.0	57.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/13	UConn at Delaware	-8.5	52.5	L 41 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/20	UConn vs Ball State	-21.0	53.5	W 31 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/27	UConn at Buffalo	-3.0	51.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/4	UConn vs Florida International	-7.0	52.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	UConn at Boston College	-2.5	58.5	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/25	UConn at Rice	-10.5	48.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/1	UConn vs UAB	-10.0	61.5	W 38 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/8	UConn vs Duke	+7.5	63.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/15	UConn vs Air Force	-7.5	64.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/22	UConn at Florida Atlantic	-6.0	64.0	W 48 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/27	UConn vs Army	+5.5	41.5	L 16 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU	#81 (.16)	41% (94)	28.5	39% (110)	2.84 (83)	176	43% (54)	202	4.04 (38)	#70 (.16)	43% (81)	30	46% (109)	41% (62)	3.65 (67)	53.2	1.5	1.6
CONN	#13 (.31)	46% (29)	35.3	46% (46)	2.93 (70)	151	47% (25)	277	4.58 (16)	#112 (.22)	47% (126)	27	50% (133)	43% (89)	3.8 (81)	45.5	0.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU	#101 (.13)	39% (111)		37% (125)	2.48 (130)	122	42% (64)	229	4.44 (21)	#37 (.12)	41% (62)		44% (81)	37% (30)	3.49 (39)	47.4	1.6	1.3
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)		43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)		42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Offense	13	28.5	22.4	40.7%	4.04	1.5	19	377	176	202	5	49%	49%	39%	43%	17%	.16
CONN Defense	13	27	19.5	46.6%	3.8	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	50%	43%	15%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Defense	13	30	29.8	42.5%	3.65	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	46%	51%	46%	41%	16%	.16
CONN Offense	13	35.3	40.3	46%	4.58	0.2	20	428	151	277	5.3	45%	54%	46%	47%	12%	.31

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida International	13	29:24	18.9	36%	62%	6.2	53.2	1.5	1.6	4.9	2.1	0	30.1
UConn	13	27:00	20.1	42%	72%	4.5	45.5	0.2	1.2	5.8	2.6	0	30.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Offense	13	49% (66)	39% (110)	35.1	175.5	5	26 (49)	.15 (52)	2.84 (83)	74% (57)	10% (74)	1.19 (4)
CONN Defense	13	55% (121)	50% (133)	-	-	-	-	.21 (123)	3.37 (132)	67% (33)	10% (68)	0.95 (68)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Defense	13	46% (21)	46% (109)	-	-	-	-	.12 (84)	3.21 (118)	75% (96)	10% (68)	0.94 (56)
CONN Offense	13	45% (111)	46% (46)	28.6	150.6	5.3	24 (36)	.21 (28)	2.93 (70)	82% (9)	6% (3)	1.04 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Offense	13	49% (72)	43% (54)	18.2	29.2	201.8	6.9	11.1	18 (134)	11 (88)	.21 (90)	1.4 (127)	33% (90)	27% (101)	.23 (96)	7% (116)	1.9 (94)
CONN Defense	13	44% (18)	43% (89)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (55)	.28 (85)	1.6 (69)	26% (132)	33% (116)	.4 (115)	5% (95)	2 (80)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Defense	13	51% (102)	41% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (31)	.26 (79)	1.6 (99)	31% (75)	28% (55)	.29 (68)	7% (31)	2.2 (119)
CONN Offense	13	54% (25)	47% (25)	22.8	33.4	277.4	8.3	12.2	30 (14)	1 (1)	.44 (14)	1.6 (51)	32% (74)	29% (84)	.48 (14)	6% (59)	2.5 (1)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -8.08 #99
Florida International's Offense Rating: 4.06 #101
Florida International's Defense Rating: 12.14 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3 #94
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #69
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #114

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -8.08 UConn: 6.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -7.3 UConn: 6.7

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: 6.04 #70
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.68 #25
UConn's Defense Rating: 17.30 #120
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
UConn's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 3.3
UConn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7 #45
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #31
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #71

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UConn 34
Florida International 20

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
UConn 33
Florida International 18

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
UConn 34
Florida International 25

Total Points: 59

UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.3
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

UConn's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	UConn	51	Florida International	10	UConn -7	UConn	52.5	Over
2023	09/16	UConn	17	Florida International	24	Connecticut -7	Florida International	43.0	Under
2022	10/08	Florida International	12	UConn	33	Connecticut -5.5	UConn	46.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UConn	2	2	1 Overs
Florida International	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

(#99) FIU at (#70) CONN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FIU	CONN
Power RatePwr	#99	#70
SP+SP+	#94	#45
Perf GradeGrade	#64	#33
OffenseOff	#57	#12
DefenseDef	#71	#98
Spec TeamsST	#89	#84
TalentTal	#107	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#65

Florida International Notes(11/22) 3 straight W's, beat Jax St to get to bowl eligible
(11/22) 3-5 to 6-5 is a great turnaround. Bravo Simmons
(10/29) QB Jenkins inj in Mizzu St, QB2 Pesansky OK
(10/22) Killed by KSU, even yds but 9 flags, 6-17 3rd/4th D
(10/22) Off is functional but mistake prone, Def awful vs KSU
(10/14) DB health is key, depth cannot play FBS ball
(10/14) Huge W @ WKU, rushed for 220+, Def great all night
(9/20) Bad L - killed by Delaware, flags, TO's... woof
(9/17) Def better at all 3 levels, good red zone Def
(9/17) QB Jenkins, RB Owens an upgrade for Off
(9/6) Def is fighting hard, impressed w/ new staff
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
Florida International Injury Report

UConn Notes(12/6) Hires Jason Candle (Toledo HC), Mora to Col St
(10/25) Bad L vs Rice, Def mauled for 300 yds rushing
(10/18) Great W at BC, QB Fagano balled out, 5-2 and rolling
(9/1) Fagano good, Off 600+ yds vs FCS. Good start
(3/21) QB Evers started last 1/2 LY. JAG
(3/21) RB Edwards back, Brown good depth
(3/21) WR Sheffield/Bell good combo. Added depth
(3/21) Def OK LY, considering. 12 portal adds.
(3/21) HC Mora great job LY. Tough job, doing well
UConn Injury Report

Florida International on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	CONN Def
Perf GradePerf	#57	#98
SuccessSuc	#94	#126
ExplosiveExp	#34	#40
PPAPPA	#81	#112
PowerPwr	#101	#120
SP+SP+	#69	#71
Pts POPPO	#38	#81
HavocHav	#101	#89

Florida International Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#89	#113
Run SuccessRSuc	#110	#133
Run ExplRExp	#4	#68
PPAExp	#52	#123
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	#83	#132
Stuff RateStuff	#120	#135
TackleTak	-	#109

Florida International Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	#54	#89
Pass ExplPExl	#127	#69
PPAExp	#90	#85
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#110	#87
F7 HavocF7	#74	#68
DB HavocDB	#116	#95

UConn on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	FIU Def
Perf GradePerf	#12	#71
SuccessSuc	#29	#81
ExplosiveExp	#27	#80
PPAPPA	#13	#70
PowerPwr	#25	#95
SP+SP+	#31	#114
Pts POPPO	#16	#67
HavocHav	#13	#55

UConn Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	#45	#126
Run SuccessRSuc	#46	#109
Run ExplRExp	#39	#56
PPAExp	#28	#84
Run BlockR Blk	#5	-
OL YdsOLY	#70	#118
Stuff RateStuff	#39	#115
TackleTak	-	#62

UConn Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#16
Pass SuccessPSuc	#25	#62
Pass ExplPExl	#51	#99
PPAExp	#14	#79
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#71	#95
F7 HavocF7	#3	#68
DB HavocDB	#59	#31

Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

FIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 81°

Rematch from Week 6
UConn -7.0 (52.5)
UConn won vs Florida International this year (51-10)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat UConn in 2023 (24-17)
UConn beat Florida International in 2022 (33-12)

FIU's OC Nick Coleman (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Keyone Jenkins	164	263	62%	1742	9	6	6.6
Joe Pesansky (Tr)	89	159	56%	1021	11	7	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kejon Owens	213	1334	11	6.3	84
Anthony Carrie (Tr)	103	469	5	4.6	53
Devonte Lyons	37	142	1	3.8	35
Sterling Joseph	7	123	2	17.6	61

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Alex Perry (Tr)	56	840	9	15.0	64
Kyle Mcneal	31	310	1	10.0	30
Dallas Payne (Tr)	27	293	4	10.9	42
Maguire Anderson	25	280	1	11.2	46

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Chaney Jr	107	8	3	1	1
Josiah Taylor	71	7	1	2	2
Jessiah Mcgrew	67	0	0	0	4
Shamir Sterlin	62	3	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kenton Simmons	25	9	7	8	2
Keegan Davis	29	6	6	5	0
Johnny Chaney Jr	107	8	3	1	1
Dante Anderson (Tr)	14	5	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Mister Clark	57	7	13
Brian Blades	26	0	5
Jessiah Mcgrew	67	0	4

CONN's OC Gordon Sammis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joe Fagnano	284	412	69%	3441	28	1	8.4
Ksaan Farrar	11	18	61%	84	0	0	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Camryn Edwards	210	1240	15	5.9	73
Jayden Brown	32	262	2	8.2	49
Victor Rosa	30	155	2	5.2	31
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman	23	138	1	6.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Skyler Bell	101	1276	13	12.6	80
Reymello Murphy (Tr)	39	446	3	11.4	61
John Neider	27	422	2	15.6	45
Javonte Vereen (Tr)	21	305	5	14.5	50

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Matt Brock (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham (Tr)	125	15	10	1	1
Oumar Diomande	116	8	5	5	1
Malachi McLean	79	2	1	1	2
Cam Chadwick	66	3	1	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham (Tr)	125	15	10	1	1
Oumar Diomande	116	8	5	5	1
Donovan Branch	30	5	4	7	1
Tyquan King (Tr)	41	4	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Mon Brinson	59	7	0	0	6
Tyrece Mills (Tr)	25	2	0	1	5
Cam Chadwick	66	3	1	2	4