Illinois at Washington - 2025 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo   Illinois Fighting Illini at Washington Huskies  Washington logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Washington -3.5 (54.5) (-166)  Open: -4.5
Washington 42 - Illinois: 25  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Bret Bielema (27 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (27 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
ILL coming off BYE
WASH is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Washington -2.5  (SP+ WASH -6)

Projected Score: ILL: 27 - WASH: 29 (56)
WASH Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ILL Travel: 1759 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Huskies (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Illinois vs Western Illinois-48.562.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Illinois at Duke-2.549.0W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/13 Illinois vs Western Michigan-27.550.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 Illinois at Indiana+7.051.5L 10 - 63ON
Sat 9/27 Illinois vs USC+6.562.5W 34 - 32OY
Sat 10/4 Illinois at Purdue-7.555.5W 43 - 27OY
Sat 10/11 Illinois vs Ohio State+15.551.5L 16 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Illinois at Washington+3.554.5L 25 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Illinois vs Rutgers-13.563.5W 35 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Illinois vs Maryland-15.551.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 11/22 Illinois at Wisconsin-8.542.5L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/29 Illinois vs Northwestern-7.044.5W 20 - 13UN
Tue 12/30 Illinois vs Tennessee+3.062.5W 30 - 28UY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Washington's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington vs Colorado State-20.552.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 Washington vs UC Davis-28.054.0W 70 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Washington at Washington State-21.051.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 9/27 Washington vs Ohio State+9.552.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Washington at Maryland-5.552.5W 24 - 20UN
Fri 10/10 Washington vs Rutgers-9.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 10/18 Washington at Michigan+4.550.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Washington vs Illinois-3.554.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Washington at Wisconsin-10.544.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/15 Washington vs Purdue-14.551.5W 49 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Washington at UCLA-10.551.5W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/29 Washington vs Oregon+6.551.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 12/13 Washington vs Boise State-9.555.5W 38 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)29.445% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)23.650% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)34.146% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)18.748% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WASH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1329.426.644.6%4.230.9193381401984.453%47%45%44%18%.25
WASH Defense1318.719.743.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 52%48%48%38%14%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1323.635.646.3%3.481.5 - - - - - 48%52%50%43%13%.18
WASH Offense1334.136.747%3.520.8193551222334.146%54%46%48%16%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1326:5218.744%50%5.1390.91.53.82.2130.2
Washington1327:5019.136%46%5.548.70.81.23.31.5027.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1353% (50)45% (51)31.81404.420 (67).13 (67)3.14 (49)81% (17)11% (107)0.91 (95)
WASH Defense1352% (79)48% (116) - - - - .19 (106)3.3 (114)68% (36)7% (131)0.89 (31)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1348% (37)50% (127) - - - - .19 (108)3.57 (132)75% (75)8% (120)0.8 (5)
WASH Offense1346% (100)46% (36)29.5121.64.113 (105).12 (78)3.29 (28)77% (43)11% (101)0.83 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1347% (83)44% (44)15.425.5197.87.812.921 (51)5 (6).38 (16)1.8 (15)31% (62)31% (81).42 (31)6% (82)2.3 (5)
WASH Defense1348% (58)38% (31) - - - - - - 8 (93).09 (13)1.5 (40)30% (95)33% (98).35 (90)7% (32)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1352% (95)43% (90) - - - - - - 12 (39).19 (44)1.4 (17)28% (117)34% (111).37 (97)6% (84)1.9 (40)
WASH Offense1354% (38)48% (13)21.229.6232.97.91118 (68)7 (26).37 (22)1.5 (117)27% (6)34% (44).35 (62)5% (35)1.8 (121)

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 17.62  #15
Illinois's Offense Rating: 26.51  #8
Illinois's Defense Rating: 8.89  #37
2025 Talent Rating: 864.00  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 10%  #39
Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.9  #24
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 17.62   Washington: 17.59

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 12.9   Washington: 18.4




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 17.59  #35
Washington's Offense Rating: 18.70  #35
Washington's Defense Rating: 6.92  #30
2025 Talent Rating: 904.00  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 19  #27
Washington's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Washington's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4  #13
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #20
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.6

Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 29
Illinois 27


Projected Total Points: 56
Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Washington's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Washington42Illinois25Washington -3.5Washington54.5Over
201409/13Washington44Illinois19Washington -15Washington0
201309/14Illinois24Washington34Washington -7Washington0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington331 Overs
Illinois000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 12 - 12 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 21 - 21 - 00 - 2

(#15) ILL at (#35) WASH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILLWASH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #15 #35
SP+SP+ #24 #13
Perf GradeGrade #24 #15
OffenseOff #12 #19
DefenseDef #69 #31
Spec TeamsST #91 #68
TalentTal #37 #23
Blue ChipsBC% #39 #27
Illinois Notes
(11/22) Finishes 2-3 on road after awful L @ Wisconsin
(10/10) 1st in P4 at +42 Pts off TOs w/ a TO margin +7
(9/20) Destroyed by IU, outrushed 267 to 2! Off awful
(8/15) OL banged up in fall camp, not major
(6/6) QB Altmyer 3rd yr w/ OC Lunney. Big goals TY
(6/6) RBs Laughery good, Feegan back from inj (hip)
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, Clement (WVU) + Bowick (BSU)
(6/6) OL has 4/5 back, 3 portals, should improve TY
(6/6) Def looks really deep, could be better unit
(6/6) Secondary one of best in B1G, Pass rush ?
(6/6) Def good LY, returns a lot. 7 portal DL added
(5/23) Illini were 5-1 in 1 score games LY
Illinois Injury Report
Washington Notes
(11/27) Buried UCLA, 1st road game Wash has played well
(11/27) 2-7 in B1G road games under Fisch. Some bad L's
(11/21) Fr RB Jordan Washington is electric. Watch in '26
(10/24) OL injuries are hurting, Mills & Willis right now
(10/18) Not ready to compete on lines vs Mich, awful perf
(9/30) Red zone Def is last in the P4 thru week 5
(9/27) Top CB Tacario Davis doubtful for Ohio St
(9/24) Undefeated at home since Nov, 2021 into OSU
(9/23) RB Jonah Coleman criminally underrated, great
(9/23) DT Anterio Thompson injured, ? for Ohio St
(9/23) Top LB Jacob Manu inj '24, has not played
(9/22) Red zone scoring 16 trips, 15 touchdowns so far
Washington Injury Report
Illinois on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffWASH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #12 #31
SuccessSuc #45 #83
ExplosiveExp #44 #17
PPAPPA #31 #54
PowerPwr #8 #30
SP+SP+ #27 #9
Pts POPPO #39 #95
HavocHav #103 #107
Illinois Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffWASH Def
Run GameRun #54 #50
Run SuccessRSuc #51 #116
Run ExplRExp #95 #31
PPAExp #67 #106
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLY #49 #114
Stuff RateStuff #20 #123
TackleTak -  #14
Illinois Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ILL OffWASH Def
Pass GamePass #35 #37
Pass SuccessPSuc #44 #31
Pass ExplPExl #15 #40
PPAExp #16 #13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #74 #36
F7 HavocF7 #107 #131
DB HavocDB #82 #32
Washington on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatWASH OffILL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #19 #69
SuccessSuc #21 #115
ExplosiveExp #119 #8
PPAPPA #32 #76
PowerPwr #35 #37
SP+SP+ #20 #41
Pts POPPO #102 #37
HavocHav #74 #117
Washington Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffILL Def
Run GameRun #13 #51
Run SuccessRSuc #36 #127
Run ExplRExp #123 #5
PPAExp #78 #108
Run BlockR Blk #28 -
OL YdsOLY #28 #132
Stuff RateStuff #17 #134
TackleTak -  #33
Washington Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatWASH OffILL Def
Pass GamePass #41 #99
Pass SuccessPSuc #13 #90
Pass ExplPExl #117 #17
PPAExp #22 #44
Pass Block/RushP Blk #62 #47
F7 HavocF7 #101 #120
DB HavocDB #35 #84
Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Washington -3.5 (54.5)
Washington won vs Illinois this year (42-25)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Illinois last year (42-25)

  
ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer24636567%30072258.2
Ethan Hampton (Tr)3475%27016.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ca'Lil Valentine13161444.725
Kaden Feagin12250774.226
Aidan Laughery7538235.157
Luke Altmyer10024252.436
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hank Beatty70864312.362
Collin Dixon35548515.761
Hudson Clement (Tr)36454312.627
Justin Bowick (Tr)22265512.025

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Aaron Henry (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey764012
Miles Scott644104
Dylan Rosiek534013
Torrie Cox Jr.501003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas44141161
Leon Lowery203240
Tomiwa Durojaiye (Tr)165231
Joe Barna202212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Clarke301007
Miles Scott644104
James Kreutz304003

WASH's OC Jimmie Dougherty (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Demond Williams Jr.24635470%30652588.7
Kai Horton (Tr)71354%98007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman156758154.938
Demond Williams Jr.14361264.342
Adam Mohammed10652354.925
Jordan Washington2723318.668
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Denzel Boston628811114.278
Dezmen Roebuck42560713.359
Decker DeGraaf32360211.330
Jonah Coleman31354211.445

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)943006
Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr)706123
Deven Bryant622012
Makell Esteen512101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Lane408412
Zach Durfee375451
Bryce Butler204330
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei (Tr)194221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ephesians Prysock481007
DeShawn Lynch194117
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)943006