Washington at Michigan - 2025 Matchup Preview
Washington logo Washington Huskies at Michigan WolverinesMichigan logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan -4.5 (50.5) (-175)  Open: -10.5 | 47.5
Michigan 24 - Washington: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Huskies (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (30 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Wind: 12.1 MPH
WASH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -1  (SP+ WASH -2.5)

Projected Score: WASH: 25 - MICH: 26 (51)
MICH Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
WASH Travel: 1901 miles, 3 hrs behind
Wolverines (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Biff Pogi (Int) ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Washington's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington vs Colorado State-20.552.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 Washington vs UC Davis-28.054.0W 70 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Washington at Washington State-21.051.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 9/27 Washington vs Ohio State+9.552.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Washington at Maryland-5.552.5W 24 - 20UN
Fri 10/10 Washington vs Rutgers-9.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 10/18 Washington at Michigan+4.550.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Washington vs Illinois-3.554.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Washington at Wisconsin-10.544.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/15 Washington vs Purdue-14.551.5W 49 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Washington at UCLA-10.551.5W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/29 Washington vs Oregon+6.551.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 12/13 Washington vs Boise State-9.555.5W 38 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Michigan vs New Mexico-36.552.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Michigan at Oklahoma+3.047.5L 13 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Michigan vs Central Michigan-27.542.5W 63 - 3OY
Sat 9/20 Michigan at Nebraska-1.547.5W 30 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan vs Wisconsin-17.542.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 10/11 Michigan at USC+3.058.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/18 Michigan vs Washington-4.550.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/25 Michigan at Michigan State-13.547.5W 31 - 20ON
Sat 11/1 Michigan vs Purdue-21.048.5W 21 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan vs Northwestern-10.041.5W 24 - 22ON
Sat 11/22 Michigan at Maryland-14.046.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 11/29 Michigan vs Ohio State+9.543.5L 9 - 27UN
Wed 12/31 Michigan vs Texas+7.050.0L 27 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#19 (.28)49% (9)34.149% (14)3.16 (30)16751% (7)2444.58 (17)#22 (.07)39% (34)18.738% (21)40% (57)2.99 (18)55.31.11.5
MICH#45 (.2)45% (36)27.548% (17)3.25 (20)19843% (59)1713.67 (75)#39 (.1)42% (70)20.441% (51)44% (102)3.67 (69)31.81.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)46% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)48% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Offense1334.129.649.2%4.581.1224111672444.751%48%49%51%14%.28
MICH Defense1320.413.341.9%3.671.3 - - - - - 46%53%41%44%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Defense1318.71938.9%2.991.5 - - - - - 45%54%38%40%14%.07
MICH Offense1327.529.245.3%3.671.1193691981715.655%43%48%43%12%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington1329:2822.551%55%6.255.31.11.54.21.8228.9
Michigan1327:1418.746%17%3.731.81.11.35.52.2030.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Offense1351% (58)49% (14)35.4166.54.730 (11).25 (13)3.16 (30)77% (34)10% (82)1.04 (42)
MICH Defense1346% (20)41% (51) - - - - .04 (30)2.67 (24)61% (10)10% (53)0.81 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Defense1345% (13)38% (21) - - - - -.03 (8)2.87 (66)67% (33)8% (123)0.77 (3)
MICH Offense1355% (31)48% (17)35.3197.85.632 (23).22 (20)3.25 (20)75% (49)7% (23)0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Offense1348% (77)51% (7)19.628.5244.48.612.526 (75)8 (34).37 (31)1.4 (114)28% (18)36% (18).44 (22)4% (10)2.1 (38)
MICH Defense1353% (117)44% (102) - - - - - - 13 (4).2 (52)1.3 (3)30% (103)32% (96).37 (107)7% (34)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Defense1354% (124)40% (57) - - - - - - 14 (38).19 (43)1.5 (50)34% (30)30% (77).28 (66)7% (31)2 (78)
MICH Offense1343% (107)43% (59)13.822.8171.57.512.59 (106)7 (20).25 (68)1.5 (107)30% (39)32% (44).31 (67)4% (16)1.7 (132)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 20.15  #16
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.50  #20
Washington's Defense Rating: -0.65  #28
2025 Talent Rating: 904.00  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 19%  #27
Washington's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Washington's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.3  #18
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #28
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 20.15   Michigan: 19.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 16.3   Michigan: 13.6




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 19.24  #17
Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.47  #39
Michigan's Defense Rating: -4.41  #18
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50  #16
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6  #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #50
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5  #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Washington's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 26
Washington 25


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 30
Washington 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Washington 24
Michigan 24

Total Points: 48
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Michigan24Washington7Michigan -4.5Michigan50.5Under
202410/05Washington27Michigan17Washington -1.5Washington39.5Over
202301/08Michigan34Washington13Michigan -5.5Michigan55.5Under
202109/11Michigan31Washington10Michigan -6.5Michigan47.5Under
200208/31Michigan31Washington29
200109/08Washington23Michigan18
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan431 Overs
Washington213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 04 - 04 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 60 - 40 - 00 - 4

(#16) WASH at (#17) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWASHMICH
Power RatePwr #16 #17
SP+SP+ #18 #26
Perf GradeGrade #23 #21
OffenseOff #23 #47
DefenseDef #40 #17
Spec TeamsST #49 #7
TalentTal #23 #8
Blue ChipsBC% #27 #16
Washington Notes
(11/27) Buried UCLA, 1st road game Wash has played well
(11/27) 2-7 in B1G road games under Fisch. Some bad L's
(11/21) Fr RB Jordan Washington is electric. Watch in '26
(10/24) OL injuries are hurting, Mills & Willis right now
(10/18) Not ready to compete on lines vs Mich, awful perf
(9/30) Red zone Def is last in the P4 thru week 5
(9/27) Top CB Tacario Davis doubtful for Ohio St
(9/24) Undefeated at home since Nov, 2021 into OSU
(9/23) RB Jonah Coleman criminally underrated, great
(9/23) DT Anterio Thompson injured, ? for Ohio St
(9/23) Top LB Jacob Manu inj '24, has not played
(9/22) Red zone scoring 16 trips, 15 touchdowns so far
Washington Injury Report
Michigan Notes
(12/10) Sherrone Moore fired for cause. Messy situation
(11/18) RB Justice Haynes out regular season (foot inj)
(11/16) Keep eking by B1G bottom feeders. Overrated
(10/18) Dominated UW up front both sides, Def was great
(10/12) Off is terrible, will not score vs Def w/ a pulse
(9/21) Skill positions on outside both Off & Def are bad
(9/20) Huge win at Neb, Run Off great, Run Def better
(9/14) Underwood unleashed, Run Off awful so far
(9/8) Biff Poggi will be acting HC vs CMU/Neb
(9/8) HC Moore a minus for lack of aggressiveness
(9/7) OL is not as good as thought. WR are awful
(8/24) QB1 Fr. Bryce Underwood is starting QB
Michigan Injury Report
Washington on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffMICH Def
Perf GradePerf #23 #17
SuccessSuc #9 #70
ExplosiveExp #79 #7
PPAPPA #19 #39
PowerPwr #20 #18
SP+SP+ #28 #12
Pts POPPO #17 #69
HavocHav #41 #45
Washington Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #14 #5
Run SuccessRSuc #14 #51
Run ExplRExp #42 #7
PPAExp #13 #30
Run BlockR Blk #26 -
OL YdsOLY #30 #24
Stuff RateStuff #50 #94
TackleTak -  #13
Washington Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #71 #52
Pass SuccessPSuc #7 #102
Pass ExplPExl #114 #3
PPAExp #31 #52
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #65 #30
F7 HavocF7 #82 #53
DB HavocDB #10 #34
Michigan on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMICH OffWASH Def
Perf GradePerf #47 #40
SuccessSuc #36 #34
ExplosiveExp #116 #33
PPAPPA #45 #22
PowerPwr #39 #28
SP+SP+ #50 #14
Pts POPPO #75 #18
HavocHav #9 #100
Michigan Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MICH OffWASH Def
Run GameRun #24 #57
Run SuccessRSuc #17 #21
Run ExplRExp #63 #3
PPAExp #20 #8
Run BlockR Blk #38 -
OL YdsOLY #20 #66
Stuff RateStuff #8 #114
TackleTak -  #17
Michigan Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMICH OffWASH Def
Pass GamePass #80 #57
Pass SuccessPSuc #59 #57
Pass ExplPExl #107 #50
PPAExp #68 #43
Pass Block/RushP Blk #49 #51
F7 HavocF7 #23 #123
DB HavocDB #16 #31
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 69° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Michigan -4.5 (50.5)
Michigan won vs Washington this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Michigan last year (27-17)
Michigan beat Washington in 2023 (34-13)

  
WASH's OC Jimmie Dougherty (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Demond Williams Jr.24635470%30642588.7
Kai Horton (Tr)71354%98007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman156759154.938
Demond Williams Jr.14361264.342
Adam Mohammed10652354.925
Jordan Washington2723318.668
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Denzel Boston628801114.278
Dezmen Roebuck42560713.359
Decker DeGraaf32360211.330
Jonah Coleman31354211.445

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)933006
Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr)706122
Deven Bryant622012
Makell Esteen522101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Lane408412
Zach Durfee375451
Bryce Butler204330
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei (Tr)194211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ephesians Prysock491007
DeShawn Lynch194117
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)933006

MICH's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Underwood17929361%2229967.6
Jadyn Davis020%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Marshall150932106.265
Justice Haynes (Tr)121857107.175
Bryce Underwood7432354.437
Bryson Kuzdzal5624444.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Marsh42641315.369
Donaven McCulley (Tr)35534315.344
Semaj Morgan19214111.332
Marlin Klein20209110.527

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Don Martindale (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Rolder697221
Ernest Hausmann686141
TJ Metcalf (Tr)513003
Brandyn Hillman483003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derrick Moore29101033
Jaishawn Barham3210454
Jimmy Rolder697221
TJ Guy173220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeke Berry2800010
Jyaire Hill332105
Jaishawn Barham3210454