Washington at Michigan - 2025 Matchup Preview
Washington logo   Washington Huskies at Michigan Wolverines  Michigan logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan -4.5 (50.5) (-175)  Open: -10.5 | 47.5
Michigan 24 - Washington: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Huskies (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (30 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
WASH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -1  (SP+ WASH -6)

Projected Score: WASH: 24 - MICH: 25 (49)
MICH Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
WASH Travel: 1901 miles, 3 hrs behind
Wolverines (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Washington's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington vs Colorado State-20.552.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 Washington vs UC Davis-28.054.0W 70 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Washington at Washington State-21.051.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 9/27 Washington vs Ohio State+9.552.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Washington at Maryland-5.552.5W 24 - 20UN
Fri 10/10 Washington vs Rutgers-9.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 10/18 Washington at Michigan+4.550.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Washington vs Illinois-3.554.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Washington at Wisconsin-10.544.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/15 Washington vs Purdue-14.551.5W 49 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Washington at UCLA-10.551.5W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/29 Washington vs Oregon+6.551.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 12/13 Washington vs Boise State-9.555.5W 38 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Michigan vs New Mexico-36.552.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Michigan at Oklahoma+3.047.5L 13 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Michigan vs Central Michigan-27.542.5W 63 - 3OY
Sat 9/20 Michigan at Nebraska-1.547.5W 30 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan vs Wisconsin-17.542.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 10/11 Michigan at USC+3.058.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/18 Michigan vs Washington-4.550.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/25 Michigan at Michigan State-13.547.5W 31 - 20ON
Sat 11/1 Michigan vs Purdue-21.048.5W 21 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan vs Northwestern-10.041.5W 24 - 22ON
Sat 11/22 Michigan at Maryland-14.046.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 11/29 Michigan vs Ohio State+9.543.5L 9 - 27UN
Wed 12/31 Michigan vs Texas+7.050.0L 27 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)34.146% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)18.748% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)27.541% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)20.438% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Offense1334.129.647%3.520.8193551222334.146%54%46%48%16%.25
MICH Defense1320.413.338.3%3.481.2 - - - - - 42%57%38%39%19%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Defense1318.71943.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 52%48%48%38%14%.14
MICH Offense1327.529.240.1%4.181.5152721491234.560%39%41%40%15%.1

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington1327:5019.136%46%5.548.70.81.23.31.5027.9
Michigan1328:5715.243%71%3.736.81.51.25.62.4230
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Offense1346% (100)46% (36)29.5121.64.113 (105).12 (78)3.29 (28)77% (43)11% (101)0.83 (123)
MICH Defense1342% (1)38% (18) - - - - .04 (24)2.72 (24)82% (120)11% (50)0.85 (11)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Defense1352% (79)48% (116) - - - - .19 (106)3.3 (114)68% (36)7% (131)0.89 (31)
MICH Offense1360% (9)41% (101)33.3148.54.518 (78).1 (86)3 (80)84% (7)10% (73)0.91 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Offense1354% (38)48% (13)21.229.6232.97.91118 (68)7 (26).37 (22)1.5 (117)27% (6)34% (44).35 (62)5% (35)1.8 (121)
MICH Defense1357% (134)39% (42) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (56)1.6 (71)36% (12)28% (28).27 (54)8% (10)2.2 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Defense1348% (58)38% (31) - - - - - - 8 (93).09 (13)1.5 (40)30% (95)33% (98).35 (90)7% (32)2 (57)
MICH Offense1339% (126)40% (92)13.822.5123.35.5911 (122)12 (85).12 (119)1.4 (131)33% (90)30% (92).26 (96)5% (51)1.7 (133)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 11.78  #35
Washington's Offense Rating: 18.70  #35
Washington's Defense Rating: 6.92  #30
2025 Talent Rating: 904.00  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 19%  #27
Washington's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Washington's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4  #13
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #20
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 11.78   Michigan: 16.29

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 18.4   Michigan: 12.4




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 16.29  #21
Michigan's Offense Rating: 16.26  #52
Michigan's Defense Rating: 1.08  #13
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50  #16
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4  #25
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Washington's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 25
Washington 24


Projected Total Points: 49
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Michigan24Washington7Michigan -4.5Michigan50.5Under
202410/05Washington27Michigan17Washington -1.5Washington39.5Over
202301/08Michigan34Washington13Michigan -5.5Michigan55.5Under
202109/11Michigan31Washington10Michigan -6.5Michigan47.5Under
200208/31Michigan31Washington29
200109/08Washington23Michigan18
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan431 Overs
Washington213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 04 - 04 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 60 - 40 - 00 - 4

(#35) WASH at (#21) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWASHMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #35 #21
SP+SP+ #13 #25
Perf GradeGrade #15 #32
OffenseOff #19 #47
DefenseDef #31 #31
Spec TeamsST #68 #3
TalentTal #23 #8
Blue ChipsBC% #27 #16
Washington Notes
(11/27) Buried UCLA, 1st road game Wash has played well
(11/27) 2-7 in B1G road games under Fisch. Some bad L's
(11/21) Fr RB Jordan Washington is electric. Watch in '26
(10/24) OL injuries are hurting, Mills & Willis right now
(10/18) Not ready to compete on lines vs Mich, awful perf
(9/30) Red zone Def is last in the P4 thru week 5
(9/27) Top CB Tacario Davis doubtful for Ohio St
(9/24) Undefeated at home since Nov, 2021 into OSU
(9/23) RB Jonah Coleman criminally underrated, great
(9/23) DT Anterio Thompson injured, ? for Ohio St
(9/23) Top LB Jacob Manu inj '24, has not played
(9/22) Red zone scoring 16 trips, 15 touchdowns so far
Washington Injury Report
Michigan Notes
(12/10) Sherrone Moore fired for cause. Messy situation
(11/18) RB Justice Haynes out regular season (foot inj)
(11/16) Keep eking by B1G bottom feeders. Overrated
(10/18) Dominated UW up front both sides, Def was great
(10/12) Off is terrible, will not score vs Def w/ a pulse
(9/21) Skill positions on outside both Off & Def are bad
(9/20) Huge win at Neb, Run Off great, Run Def better
(9/14) Underwood unleashed, Run Off awful so far
(9/8) Biff Poggi will be acting HC vs CMU/Neb
(9/8) HC Moore a minus for lack of aggressiveness
(9/7) OL is not as good as thought. WR are awful
(8/24) QB1 Fr. Bryce Underwood is starting QB
Michigan Injury Report
Washington on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #19 #31
SuccessSuc #21 #28
ExplosiveExp #119 #73
PPAPPA #32 #40
PowerPwr #35 #13
SP+SP+ #20 #15
Pts POPPO #102 #36
HavocHav #74 #23
Washington Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #13 #19
Run SuccessRSuc #36 #18
Run ExplRExp #123 #11
PPAExp #78 #24
Run BlockR Blk #28 -
OL YdsOLY #28 #24
Stuff RateStuff #17 #61
TackleTak -  #32
Washington Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #41 #66
Pass SuccessPSuc #13 #42
Pass ExplPExl #117 #71
PPAExp #22 #56
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #62 #30
F7 HavocF7 #101 #50
DB HavocDB #35 #10
Michigan on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMICH OffWASH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #47 #31
SuccessSuc #102 #83
ExplosiveExp #133 #17
PPAPPA #113 #54
PowerPwr #52 #30
SP+SP+ #48 #9
Pts POPPO #45 #95
HavocHav #58 #107
Michigan Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MICH OffWASH Def
Run GameRun #16 #50
Run SuccessRSuc #101 #116
Run ExplRExp #91 #31
PPAExp #86 #106
Run BlockR Blk #29 -
OL YdsOLY #80 #114
Stuff RateStuff #27 #123
TackleTak -  #14
Michigan Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMICH OffWASH Def
Pass GamePass #92 #37
Pass SuccessPSuc #92 #31
Pass ExplPExl #131 #40
PPAExp #119 #13
Pass Block/RushP Blk #74 #36
F7 HavocF7 #73 #131
DB HavocDB #51 #32
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Michigan -4.5 (50.5)
Michigan won vs Washington this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Washington last year (24-7)
Washington beat Michigan in 2024 (27-17)
Michigan beat Washington in 2023 (34-13)

  
WASH's OC Jimmie Dougherty (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Demond Williams Jr.24635470%30652588.7
Kai Horton (Tr)71354%98007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman156758154.938
Demond Williams Jr.14361264.342
Adam Mohammed10652354.925
Jordan Washington2723318.668
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Denzel Boston628811114.278
Dezmen Roebuck42560713.359
Decker DeGraaf32360211.330
Jonah Coleman31354211.445

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)943006
Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr)706123
Deven Bryant622012
Makell Esteen512101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Lane408412
Zach Durfee375451
Bryce Butler204330
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei (Tr)194221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ephesians Prysock481007
DeShawn Lynch194117
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)943006

MICH's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Underwood20233560%24281197.2
Jadyn Davis020%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Marshall150932106.265
Justice Haynes (Tr)121857107.175
Bryce Underwood8839264.537
Bryson Kuzdzal7632644.322
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Marsh45651414.569
Donaven McCulley (Tr)39588315.144
Marlin Klein24248110.327
Semaj Morgan20223111.232

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Don Martindale (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Rolder737221
Ernest Hausmann686141
TJ Metcalf (Tr)583004
Brandyn Hillman493003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derrick Moore29101033
Jaishawn Barham3210454
Jimmy Rolder737221
Cole Sullivan445201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeke Berry3300010
Jyaire Hill363105
TJ Metcalf (Tr)583004