Washington at Maryland - 2025 Matchup Preview
Washington logo Washington Huskies at Maryland TerrapinsMaryland logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Washington -5.5 (52.5) (-225)  Open: -7.5
Washington 24 - Maryland: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Huskies (6 - 2) (4 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 21 (30 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
MD coming off BYE
Our Line: Washington -9.5  (SP+ WASH -10)

Projected Score: WASH: 32 - MD: 22 (54)
WASH Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
WASH Travel: 2322 miles, 3 hrs behind
Terrapins (4 - 5) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (33 - 41)
Avg Score : 25 - 23 (27 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Washington's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington vs Colorado State-20.552.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 Washington vs UC Davis-28.054.0W 70 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Washington at Washington State-21.051.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 9/27 Washington vs Ohio State+9.552.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Washington at Maryland-5.552.5W 24 - 20UN
Fri 10/10 Washington vs Rutgers-9.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 10/18 Washington at Michigan+4.550.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Washington vs Illinois-3.554.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Washington at Wisconsin-10.544.5
Sat 11/15 Washington vs Purdue-25
Sat 11/22 Washington at UCLA-15.5
Sat 11/29 Washington vs Oregon+6

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Maryland's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Maryland vs Florida Atlantic-16.557.5W 39 - 7UY
Fri 9/5 Maryland vs Northern Illinois-17.044.5W 20 - 9UN
Sat 9/13 Maryland vs Towson-28.553.5W 44 - 17ON
Sat 9/20 Maryland at Wisconsin+10.544.5W 27 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Maryland vs Washington+5.552.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/11 Maryland vs Nebraska+7.047.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 10/18 Maryland at UCLA+3.552.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Maryland vs Indiana+21.050.5L 10 - 55ON
Sat 11/8 Maryland at Rutgers+1.556.5L 20 - 35UN
Sat 11/15 Maryland at Illinois+8.5
Sat 11/22 Maryland vs Michigan+8.5
Sat 11/29 Maryland vs Michigan State-1

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#13 (.32)51% (6)35.549% (18)3.06 (39)16855% (4)2724.74 (13)#65 (.14)43% (95)20.942% (64)45% (112)3.9 (89)57.10.81.3
MD#89 (.13)40% (104)25.338% (114)2.71 (84)8441% (83)2223.34 (108)#16 (.03)39% (29)23.439% (38)38% (36)3.1 (21)52.11.11.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)46% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)48% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Offense835.53051.4%4.740.8244411682724.852%48%49%55%12%.32
MD Defense923.424.338.5%3.11.9 - - - - - 50%49%39%38%15%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Defense820.922.743.5%3.91.3 - - - - - 41%58%42%45%13%.14
MD Offense925.327.339.8%3.341.116306842223.538%62%38%41%14%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington829:3824.155%58%6.357.10.81.33.81.6228.9
Maryland924:4015.636%43%5.452.11.11.952.6431.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Offense852% (55)49% (18)34.9168.34.821 (11).25 (15)3.06 (39)80% (14)9% (50)1.03 (41)
MD Defense950% (74)39% (38) - - - - .04 (39)2.05 (9)79% (115)9% (102)0.98 (75)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Defense841% (1)42% (64) - - - - .04 (42)2.57 (49)70% (57)7% (131)0.8 (9)
MD Offense938% (134)38% (114)2484.43.57 (107)-.04 (131)2.71 (84)73% (65)7% (12)0.91 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Offense848% (81)55% (4)20.928.8272.49.513.115 (75)4 (34).4 (26)1.3 (125)26% (12)39% (12).52 (14)3% (9)2.2 (16)
MD Defense949% (69)38% (36) - - - - - - 15 (1).04 (9)1.6 (84)32% (60)26% (31).19 (30)6% (68)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Defense858% (136)45% (112) - - - - - - 8 (38).24 (77)1.4 (32)31% (77)32% (103).31 (84)7% (45)2 (60)
MD Offense962% (4)41% (83)20.434.8221.96.410.912 (61)5 (20).27 (67)1.6 (55)33% (107)37% (19).48 (22)7% (106)2 (62)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 21.89  #16
Washington's Offense Rating: 25.82  #11
Washington's Defense Rating: 3.93  #46
2025 Talent Rating: 904.00  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 19%  #27
Washington's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Washington's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0  #19
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #16
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9  #27

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 21.89   Maryland: 9.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 16.0   Maryland: 6.0




Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 9.43  #52
Maryland's Offense Rating: 7.33  #80
Maryland's Defense Rating: -0.53  #29
2025 Talent Rating: 806.00  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17  #29
Maryland's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Maryland's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0  #51
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0  #73
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #29

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Washington Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 20.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Washington's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 32
Maryland 22


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington 31
Maryland 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Washington 29
Maryland 24

Total Points: 53
Maryland Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Maryland's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Maryland20Washington24Washington -5.5Maryland52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Maryland010 Overs
Washington101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#16) WASH at (#52) MD
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWASHMD
Power RatePwr #16 #52
SP+SP+ #19 #51
Perf GradeGrade #33 #69
OffenseOff #11 #113
DefenseDef #108 #25
Spec TeamsST #44 #80
TalentTal #23 #51
Blue ChipsBC% #27 #29
Washington Notes
(10/24) OL injuries are hurting, Mills & Willis right now
(10/18) Not ready to compete on lines vs Mich, awful perf
(9/30) Red zone Def is last in the P4 thru week 5
(9/27) Top CB Tacario Davis doubtful for Ohio St
(9/24) Undefeated at home since Nov, 2021 into OSU
(9/23) RB Jonah Coleman criminally underrated, great
(9/23) DT Anterio Thompson injured, ? for Ohio St
(9/23) Top LB Jacob Manu inj '24, has not played
(9/22) Red zone scoring 16 trips, 15 touchdowns so far
(8/31) 500+ yds, Def good #'s but close w/ CSU?
(5/6) WR Boston back, big reliable weapon, underrated
(5/2) Watch So CB Clark, big spring game. Playmaker
Washington Injury Report
Maryland Notes
(11/5) 1-11 run after wk 4 past 2 years, last 3/4 by 1 score
(11/2) Locksley now 17-45 in B1G games, 20-0 OOC
(10/12) Blew Neb game. Is it same ole MD time now it's Oct?
(10/6) Locksley is now 0-10 following a bye week
(9/24) Fr DEs Stewart & Mathis have been huge finds
(9/20) Huge W at Wisc, Fr QB Washington the real deal
(9/5) Run game awful. QB Wash & WR entire Off
(8/30) QB Wash. great start, run game awful, Def OK
(8/21) Fr QB Washington may be real deal, big add
(7/30) Lost 9 starters to portal, 5 to NFL draft.
(5/11) OL is bottom 20 in exp & no exp from portal
(4/8) Fr QB Washington doing media, unusual for MD
Maryland Injury Report
Washington on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
WASH OffMD Def
Perf GradePerf #11 #25
SuccessSuc #6 #29
ExplosiveExp #101 #80
PPAPPA #13 #16
PowerPwr #11 #29
SP+SP+ #16 #29
Pts POPPO #13 #21
HavocHav #21 #91
Washington Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
WASH OffMD Def
Run GameRun #15 #25
Run SuccessRSuc #18 #38
Run ExplRExp #41 #75
PPAExp #15 #39
Run BlockR Blk #21 -
OL YdsOLY #39 #9
Stuff RateStuff #49 #110
TackleTak -  #80
Washington Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
WASH OffMD Def
Pass GamePass #42 #35
Pass SuccessPSuc #4 #36
Pass ExplPExl #125 #84
PPAExp #26 #9
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #52 #47
F7 HavocF7 #50 #102
DB HavocDB #9 #68
Maryland on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatMD OffWASH Def
Perf GradePerf #113 #108
SuccessSuc #104 #95
ExplosiveExp #29 #37
PPAPPA #89 #65
PowerPwr #80 #46
SP+SP+ #73 #27
Pts POPPO #108 #89
HavocHav #50 #115
Maryland Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
MD OffWASH Def
Run GameRun #98 #104
Run SuccessRSuc #114 #64
Run ExplRExp #94 #9
PPAExp #131 #42
Run BlockR Blk #136 -
OL YdsOLY #84 #49
Stuff RateStuff #95 #130
TackleTak -  #35
Maryland Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatMD OffWASH Def
Pass GamePass #47 #102
Pass SuccessPSuc #83 #112
Pass ExplPExl #55 #32
PPAExp #67 #77
Pass Block/RushP Blk #7 #57
F7 HavocF7 #12 #131
DB HavocDB #106 #45
Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 79°
Rematch from Week 6
Washington 5.5 (52.5)
Washington won at Maryland this year (24-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WASH's OC Jimmie Dougherty (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Demond Williams Jr.16322373%21171449.5
Kai Horton (Tr)3560%500010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman126643135.138
Demond Williams Jr.8942944.842
Adam Mohammed4019124.825
Jordan Washington146704.815
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Denzel Boston44668715.248
Dezmen Roebuck24394416.459
Jonah Coleman27316211.745
Raiden Vines-Bright18209011.645

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)622003
Deven Bryant461011
Makell Esteen431100
Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr)362021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Lane286302
Bryce Butler113210
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei (Tr)114200
Isaiah Ward133231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ephesians Prysock300005
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)622003
Tacario Davis (Tr)141003

MD's OC Pep Hamilton (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malik Washington19132758%20561366.3
Khristian Martin81457%39002.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeJuan Williams10236623.623
Nolan Ray5927824.753
Malik Washington3427748.173
Iverson Howard3511003.110
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shaleak Knotts28434515.562
Octavian Smith Jr.31401012.953
Jalil Farooq (Tr)3832918.724
Dorian Fleming (Tr)3329128.848

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Ted Monachino (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Wingate836221
Jalen Huskey481002
Carlton Smith462120
Trey Reddick465201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sidney Stewart239660
Zahir Mathis286521
Trey Reddick465201
Nahsir Taylor112220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Joyner (Tr)281006
Jamare Glasker (Tr)265004
Messiah Delhomme350003