Washington at Maryland - 2025 Matchup Preview
Washington logo Washington Huskies at Maryland TerrapinsMaryland logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Washington -5.5 (52.5) (-225)  Open: -7.5
Washington 24 - Maryland: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Huskies (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (30 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
MD coming off BYE
Our Line: Washington -15  (SP+ WASH -17)

Projected Score: WASH: 34 - MD: 19 (53)
WASH Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
WASH Travel: 2322 miles, 3 hrs behind
Terrapins (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (33 - 41)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (26 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Washington's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington vs Colorado State-20.552.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 Washington vs UC Davis-28.054.0W 70 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Washington at Washington State-21.051.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 9/27 Washington vs Ohio State+9.552.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Washington at Maryland-5.552.5W 24 - 20UN
Fri 10/10 Washington vs Rutgers-9.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 10/18 Washington at Michigan+4.550.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Washington vs Illinois-3.554.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Washington at Wisconsin-10.544.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/15 Washington vs Purdue-14.551.5W 49 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Washington at UCLA-10.551.5W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/29 Washington vs Oregon+6.551.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 12/13 Washington vs Boise State-9.555.5W 38 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Maryland's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Maryland vs Florida Atlantic-16.557.5W 39 - 7UY
Fri 9/5 Maryland vs Northern Illinois-17.044.5W 20 - 9UN
Sat 9/13 Maryland vs Towson-28.553.5W 44 - 17ON
Sat 9/20 Maryland at Wisconsin+10.544.5W 27 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Maryland vs Washington+5.552.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/11 Maryland vs Nebraska+7.047.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 10/18 Maryland at UCLA+3.552.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Maryland vs Indiana+21.050.5L 10 - 55ON
Sat 11/8 Maryland at Rutgers+1.556.5L 20 - 35UN
Sat 11/15 Maryland at Illinois+15.551.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Maryland vs Michigan+14.046.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 11/29 Maryland vs Michigan State+4.049.5L 28 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#19 (.28)49% (9)34.149% (14)3.16 (30)16751% (7)2444.58 (17)#22 (.07)39% (34)18.738% (21)40% (57)2.99 (18)55.31.11.5
MD#84 (.15)40% (99)23.539% (105)2.83 (89)10641% (80)2563.39 (99)#58 (.13)44% (102)26.546% (105)43% (82)3.6 (63)55.81.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)46% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)48% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Offense1334.129.649.2%4.581.1224111672444.751%48%49%51%14%.28
MD Defense1226.527.344.2%3.61.8 - - - - - 53%45%46%43%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Defense1318.71938.9%2.991.5 - - - - - 45%54%38%40%14%.07
MD Offense1223.526.340.1%3.391.2183611062564.235%64%39%41%14%.15

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington1329:2822.551%55%6.255.31.11.54.21.8228.9
Maryland1226:5818.337%36%655.81.21.85.42.3429.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Offense1351% (58)49% (14)35.4166.54.730 (11).25 (13)3.16 (30)77% (34)10% (82)1.04 (42)
MD Defense1253% (108)46% (105) - - - - .13 (89)3.06 (102)77% (106)8% (117)0.9 (39)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Defense1345% (13)38% (21) - - - - -.03 (8)2.87 (66)67% (33)8% (123)0.77 (3)
MD Offense1235% (136)39% (105)25.3105.54.29 (107).04 (109)2.83 (89)73% (63)6% (6)1.02 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Offense1348% (77)51% (7)19.628.5244.48.612.526 (75)8 (34).37 (31)1.4 (114)28% (18)36% (18).44 (22)4% (10)2.1 (38)
MD Defense1245% (32)43% (82) - - - - - - 19 (1).16 (34)1.6 (75)29% (108)32% (103).32 (85)6% (64)1.9 (38)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Defense1354% (124)40% (57) - - - - - - 14 (38).19 (43)1.5 (50)34% (30)30% (77).28 (66)7% (31)2 (78)
MD Offense1264% (1)41% (80)23.740.9255.76.310.818 (61)9 (20).23 (77)1.5 (99)34% (118)37% (14).46 (18)8% (125)2 (80)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 20.15  #16
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.50  #20
Washington's Defense Rating: -0.65  #28
2025 Talent Rating: 904.00  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 19%  #27
Washington's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Washington's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.3  #18
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #28
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 20.15   Maryland: 3.34

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 16.3   Maryland: -0.5




Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 3.34  #62
Maryland's Offense Rating: 9.01  #67
Maryland's Defense Rating: 6.83  #58
2025 Talent Rating: 806.00  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17  #29
Maryland's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.5  #75
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #89
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #60

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Washington's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 34
Maryland 19


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington 31
Maryland 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Washington 29
Maryland 22

Total Points: 51
Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Maryland's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Maryland20Washington24Washington -5.5Maryland52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Maryland010 Overs
Washington101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#16) WASH at (#62) MD
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWASHMD
Power RatePwr #16 #62
SP+SP+ #18 #75
Perf GradeGrade #23 #106
OffenseOff #23 #110
DefenseDef #40 #88
Spec TeamsST #49 #96
TalentTal #23 #51
Blue ChipsBC% #27 #29
Washington Notes
(11/27) Buried UCLA, 1st road game Wash has played well
(11/27) 2-7 in B1G road games under Fisch. Some bad L's
(11/21) Fr RB Jordan Washington is electric. Watch in '26
(10/24) OL injuries are hurting, Mills & Willis right now
(10/18) Not ready to compete on lines vs Mich, awful perf
(9/30) Red zone Def is last in the P4 thru week 5
(9/27) Top CB Tacario Davis doubtful for Ohio St
(9/24) Undefeated at home since Nov, 2021 into OSU
(9/23) RB Jonah Coleman criminally underrated, great
(9/23) DT Anterio Thompson injured, ? for Ohio St
(9/23) Top LB Jacob Manu inj '24, has not played
(9/22) Red zone scoring 16 trips, 15 touchdowns so far
Washington Injury Report
Maryland Notes
(11/29) 8 straight L's to finish, but Locksley is back next year?
(11/22) 7 straight L's, 4th straight no show. Team quit
(11/9) Only 3 2H points in bad L to Rutgers. Bowl doubts
(11/5) 1-11 run after wk 4 past 2 years, last 3/4 by 1 score
(11/2) Locksley now 17-45 in B1G games, 20-0 OOC
(10/12) Blew Neb game. Is it same ole MD time now it's Oct?
(10/6) Locksley is now 0-10 following a bye week
(9/24) Fr DEs Stewart & Mathis have been huge finds
(9/20) Huge W at Wisc, Fr QB Washington the real deal
(9/5) Run game awful. QB Wash & WR entire Off
(8/30) QB Wash. great start, run game awful, Def OK
(8/21) Fr QB Washington may be real deal, big add
Maryland Injury Report
Washington on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffMD Def
Perf GradePerf #23 #88
SuccessSuc #9 #102
ExplosiveExp #79 #31
PPAPPA #19 #58
PowerPwr #20 #58
SP+SP+ #28 #60
Pts POPPO #17 #63
HavocHav #41 #104
Washington Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffMD Def
Run GameRun #14 #89
Run SuccessRSuc #14 #105
Run ExplRExp #42 #39
PPAExp #13 #89
Run BlockR Blk #26 -
OL YdsOLY #30 #102
Stuff RateStuff #50 #99
TackleTak -  #74
Washington Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffMD Def
Pass GamePass #71 #67
Pass SuccessPSuc #7 #82
Pass ExplPExl #114 #75
PPAExp #31 #34
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #65 #58
F7 HavocF7 #82 #117
DB HavocDB #10 #64
Maryland on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCatMD OffWASH Def
Perf GradePerf #110 #40
SuccessSuc #99 #34
ExplosiveExp #33 #33
PPAPPA #84 #22
PowerPwr #67 #28
SP+SP+ #89 #14
Pts POPPO #99 #18
HavocHav #52 #100
Maryland Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCat
MD OffWASH Def
Run GameRun #84 #57
Run SuccessRSuc #105 #21
Run ExplRExp #49 #3
PPAExp #109 #8
Run BlockR Blk #136 -
OL YdsOLY #89 #66
Stuff RateStuff #73 #114
TackleTak -  #17
Maryland Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCatMD OffWASH Def
Pass GamePass #72 #57
Pass SuccessPSuc #80 #57
Pass ExplPExl #99 #50
PPAExp #77 #43
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10 #51
F7 HavocF7 #6 #123
DB HavocDB #125 #31
Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 79°
Rematch from Week 6
Washington 5.5 (52.5)
Washington won at Maryland this year (24-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WASH's OC Jimmie Dougherty (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Demond Williams Jr.24635470%30642588.7
Kai Horton (Tr)71354%98007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman156759154.938
Demond Williams Jr.14361264.342
Adam Mohammed10652354.925
Jordan Washington2723318.668
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Denzel Boston628801114.278
Dezmen Roebuck42560713.359
Decker DeGraaf32360211.330
Jonah Coleman31354211.445

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)933006
Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr)706122
Deven Bryant622012
Makell Esteen522101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Lane408412
Zach Durfee375451
Bryce Butler204330
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei (Tr)194211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ephesians Prysock491007
DeShawn Lynch194117
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)933006

MD's OC Pep Hamilton (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malik Washington27347358%29631796.3
Khristian Martin111765%105106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeJuan Williams12850133.940
Malik Washington5531745.873
Nolan Ray6728924.353
Iverson Howard3912503.210
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shaleak Knotts44717616.362
Jalil Farooq (Tr)5854549.429
Octavian Smith Jr.43529012.353
DeJuan Williams4542619.555

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Ted Monachino (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Wingate1027221
Jalen Huskey722002
Lavain Scruggs641013
Carlton Smith642140
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sidney Stewart3211772
Zahir Mathis359631
Nahsir Taylor193220
Trey Reddick536202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Joyner (Tr)401008
Jamare Glasker (Tr)326006
Messiah Delhomme391003