UC Davis at Washington - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (11:00 PM EDT)
Washington -28.0 (54.0) (0) Open: -28.5 | 53.5
Washington 70 - UC Davis: 10

Aggies (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 70 (10 - 70 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WASH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Washington -20.5 (SP+ WASH -16)
WASH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%

Huskies (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
UCD Players
WASH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UC Davis's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6	UC Davis at Washington	+28.0	54.0	L 10 - 70	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UC Davis's Schedule

Washington's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Washington vs Colorado State	-20.5	52.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/6	Washington vs UC Davis	-28.0	54.0	W 70 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Washington at Washington State	-21.0	51.5	W 59 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Washington vs Ohio State	+9.5	52.5	L 6 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/4	Washington at Maryland	-5.5	52.5	W 24 - 20	U	N
Fri 10/10	Washington vs Rutgers	-9.5	62.5	W 38 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Washington at Michigan	+4.5	50.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/25	Washington vs Illinois	-3.5	54.5	W 42 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Washington at Wisconsin	-10.5	44.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/15	Washington vs Purdue	-14.5	51.5	W 49 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Washington at UCLA	-10.5	51.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Washington vs Oregon	+6.5	51.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Sat 12/13	Washington vs Boise State	-9.5	55.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCD		0%	10	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	70	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WASH	#19 (.28)	49% (9)	34.1	49% (14)	3.16 (30)	167	51% (7)	244	4.58 (17)	#22 (.07)	39% (34)	18.7	38% (21)	40% (57)	2.99 (18)	55.3	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WASH	#32 (.25)	47% (21)		46% (36)	3.29 (28)	122	48% (13)	233	3.52 (102)	#54 (.14)	43% (83)		48% (116)	38% (31)	4.04 (95)	48.7	0.8	1.2

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCD Offense	1	10	10	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
WASH Defense	13	18.7	19.7	38.9%	2.99	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	38%	40%	14%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCD Defense	1	70	70	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
WASH Offense	13	34.1	36.7	49.2%	4.58	1.1	22	411	167	244	4.7	51%	48%	49%	51%	14%	.28

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UC Davis	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Washington	13	29:28	22.5	51%	55%	6.2	55.3	1.1	1.5	4.2	1.8	2	28.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCD Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
WASH Defense	13	45% (13)	38% (21)	-	-	-	-	-.03 (8)	2.87 (66)	67% (33)	8% (123)	0.77 (3)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCD Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
WASH Offense	13	51% (58)	49% (14)	35.4	166.5	4.7	30 (11)	.25 (13)	3.16 (30)	77% (34)	10% (82)	1.04 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCD Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
WASH Defense	13	54% (124)	40% (57)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (38)	.19 (43)	1.5 (50)	34% (30)	30% (77)	.28 (66)	7% (31)	2 (78)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCD Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
WASH Offense	13	48% (77)	51% (7)	19.6	28.5	244.4	8.6	12.5	26 (75)	8 (34)	.37 (31)	1.4 (114)	28% (18)	36% (18)	.44 (22)	4% (10)	2.1 (38)

UC Davis's Power Ratings
UC Davis's Power Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UC Davis's 2025 Expected Record: -
UC Davis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UC Davis: Washington: 20.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UC Davis: Washington: 16.3

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 20.725 #16
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.50 #20
Washington's Defense Rating: -0.65 #28
2025 Talent Rating: 904.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #27
Washington's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Washington's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.3 #18
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #28
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UC Davis Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 70 PPG
Defense on Road: 70

UC Davis's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 39
UC Davis 18

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington 34
UC Davis 18

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Washington 53
UC Davis 14

Total Points: 67

Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Washington's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Washington	70	UC Davis	10	Washington -28.0	Washington	54.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington	1	1	1 Overs
UC Davis	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) UCD at (#16) WASH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UCD	WASH
Power RatePwr	NR	#16
SP+SP+	NR	#18
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#23
OffenseOff	NR	#23
DefenseDef	NR	#40
Spec TeamsST	NR	#49
TalentTal	NR	#23
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#27

UC Davis Injury Report

Washington Notes(11/27) Buried UCLA, 1st road game Wash has played well
(11/27) 2-7 in B1G road games under Fisch. Some bad L's
(11/21) Fr RB Jordan Washington is electric. Watch in '26
(10/24) OL injuries are hurting, Mills & Willis right now
(10/18) Not ready to compete on lines vs Mich, awful perf
(9/30) Red zone Def is last in the P4 thru week 5
(9/27) Top CB Tacario Davis doubtful for Ohio St
(9/24) Undefeated at home since Nov, 2021 into OSU
(9/23) RB Jonah Coleman criminally underrated, great
(9/23) DT Anterio Thompson injured, ? for Ohio St
(9/23) Top LB Jacob Manu inj '24, has not played
(9/22) Red zone scoring 16 trips, 15 touchdowns so far
Washington Injury Report

UC Davis on Offense


CategoryCat	UCD Off	WASH Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#40
SuccessSuc	NR	#34
ExplosiveExp	NR	#33
PPAPPA	NR	#22
PowerPwr	NR	#28
SP+SP+	NR	#14
Pts POPPO	NR	#18
HavocHav	NR	#100

UC Davis Run Game


CategoryCat	UCD Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	NR	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#21
Run ExplRExp	NR	#3
PPAExp	NR	#8
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#66
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#114
TackleTak	-	#17

UC Davis Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCD Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#57
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#50
PPAExp	NR	#43
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#51
F7 HavocF7	NR	#123
DB HavocDB	NR	#31

Washington on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	UCD Def
Perf GradePerf	#23	NR
SuccessSuc	#9	NR
ExplosiveExp	#79	NR
PPAPPA	#19	NR
PowerPwr	#20	NR
SP+SP+	#28	NR
Pts POPPO	#17	NR
HavocHav	#41	NR

Washington Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	UCD Def
Run GameRun	#14	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#14	NR
Run ExplRExp	#42	NR
PPAExp	#13	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	#30	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#50	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Washington Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	UCD Def
Pass GamePass	#71	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#7	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#114	NR
PPAExp	#31	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#65	NR
F7 HavocF7	#82	NR
DB HavocDB	#10	NR

Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

UCD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 66°

Rematch from Week 2
Washington -28.0 (54.0)
Washington won vs UC Davis this year (70-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UCD's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Caden Pinnick	240	345	70%	3206	32	10	9.3
Grant Harper	19	41	46%	261	3	2	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Fisher	185	1121	8	6.1	75
Carter Vargas	67	445	5	6.6	50
Caden Pinnick	125	437	3	3.5	27
Kai Acia	35	189	0	5.4	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Samuel Gbatu Jr.	70	1169	11	16.7	85
Stacy Dobbins	58	701	4	12.1	45
Ian Simpson	31	425	3	13.7	34
Jordan Fisher	26	287	3	11.0	32

View UC Davis's Full Roster

UCD's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Cole Batson (Tr)	15	0	1	0
Khalani Riddick	12	0	0	2
Nate Rutchena (Tr)	11	1	0	0
Macray Madruga	9	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Trent Carrade	4	2	1	0
Cole Batson (Tr)	15	0	0	1
Julius Ray	3	0	0	0
Jake Williams	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PRESS	PD
Khalani Riddick	12	0	2
Ty Richardson	8	0	1
Cole Batson (Tr)	15	1	0

WASH's OC Jimmie Dougherty (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Demond Williams Jr.	246	354	70%	3064	25	8	8.7
Kai Horton (Tr)	7	13	54%	98	0	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman	156	759	15	4.9	38
Demond Williams Jr.	143	612	6	4.3	42
Adam Mohammed	106	523	5	4.9	25
Jordan Washington	27	233	1	8.6	68

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Denzel Boston	62	880	11	14.2	78
Dezmen Roebuck	42	560	7	13.3	59
Decker DeGraaf	32	360	2	11.3	30
Jonah Coleman	31	354	2	11.4	45

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)	93	3	0	0	6
Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr)	70	6	1	2	2
Deven Bryant	62	2	0	1	2
Makell Esteen	52	2	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Lane	40	8	4	1	2
Zach Durfee	37	5	4	5	1
Bryce Butler	20	4	3	3	0
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei (Tr)	19	4	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ephesians Prysock	49	1	0	0	7
DeShawn Lynch	19	4	1	1	7
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)	93	3	0	0	6