UC Davis at Washington - 2025 Matchup Preview
UC Davis logo   UC Davis Aggies at Washington Huskies  Washington logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (11:00 PM EDT)
Washington -28.0 (54.0) (0)  Open: -28.5 | 53.5
Washington 70 - UC Davis: 10

 
Aggies (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 70 (10 - 70 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WASH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Washington -17.5  (SP+ WASH -18)
WASH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
Huskies (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
UC Davis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 UC Davis at Washington+28.054.0L 10 - 70ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UC Davis's Schedule
Washington's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington vs Colorado State-20.552.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 Washington vs UC Davis-28.054.0W 70 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Washington at Washington State-21.051.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 9/27 Washington vs Ohio State+9.552.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Washington at Maryland-5.552.5W 24 - 20UN
Fri 10/10 Washington vs Rutgers-9.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 10/18 Washington at Michigan+4.550.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Washington vs Illinois-3.554.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Washington at Wisconsin-10.544.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/15 Washington vs Purdue-14.551.5W 49 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Washington at UCLA-10.551.5W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/29 Washington vs Oregon+6.551.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 12/13 Washington vs Boise State-9.555.5W 38 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCD0%100%000%000%700%0%0000
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)34.146% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)18.748% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WASH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCD Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
WASH Defense1318.719.743.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 52%48%48%38%14%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCD Defense170700%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
WASH Offense1334.136.747%3.520.8193551222334.146%54%46%48%16%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UC Davis10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Washington1327:5019.136%46%5.548.70.81.23.31.5027.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCD Offense10%0%000000%0%0
WASH Defense1352% (79)48% (116) - - - - .19 (106)3.3 (114)68% (36)7% (131)0.89 (31)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCD Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
WASH Offense1346% (100)46% (36)29.5121.64.113 (105).12 (78)3.29 (28)77% (43)11% (101)0.83 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCD Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
WASH Defense1348% (58)38% (31) - - - - - - 8 (93).09 (13)1.5 (40)30% (95)33% (98).35 (90)7% (32)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCD Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
WASH Offense1354% (38)48% (13)21.229.6232.97.91118 (68)7 (26).37 (22)1.5 (117)27% (6)34% (44).35 (62)5% (35)1.8 (121)

UC Davis's Power Ratings
UC Davis's Power Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UC Davis's 2025 Expected Record: -
UC Davis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UC Davis:    Washington: 17.59

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UC Davis:    Washington: 18.4




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 17.59  #35
Washington's Offense Rating: 18.70  #35
Washington's Defense Rating: 6.92  #30
2025 Talent Rating: 904.00  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 19  #27
Washington's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Washington's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4  #13
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #20
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UC Davis Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 70 PPG
Defense on Road: 70

UC Davis's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 39
UC Davis 22

Projected Total Points: 61
Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Washington's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Washington70UC Davis10Washington -28.0Washington54.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington111 Overs
UC Davis000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) UCD at (#35) WASH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCDWASH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #35
SP+SP+NR #13
Perf GradeGradeNR #15
OffenseOffNR #19
DefenseDefNR #31
Spec TeamsSTNR #68
TalentTalNR #23
Blue ChipsBC%NR #27
Washington Notes
(11/27) Buried UCLA, 1st road game Wash has played well
(11/27) 2-7 in B1G road games under Fisch. Some bad L's
(11/21) Fr RB Jordan Washington is electric. Watch in '26
(10/24) OL injuries are hurting, Mills & Willis right now
(10/18) Not ready to compete on lines vs Mich, awful perf
(9/30) Red zone Def is last in the P4 thru week 5
(9/27) Top CB Tacario Davis doubtful for Ohio St
(9/24) Undefeated at home since Nov, 2021 into OSU
(9/23) RB Jonah Coleman criminally underrated, great
(9/23) DT Anterio Thompson injured, ? for Ohio St
(9/23) Top LB Jacob Manu inj '24, has not played
(9/22) Red zone scoring 16 trips, 15 touchdowns so far
Washington Injury Report
UC Davis on Offense
CategoryCat
UCD OffWASH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #31
SuccessSucNR #83
ExplosiveExpNR #17
PPAPPANR #54
PowerPwrNR #30
SP+SP+NR #9
Pts POPPONR #95
HavocHavNR #107
UC Davis Run Game
CategoryCat
UCD OffWASH Def
Run GameRunNR #50
Run SuccessRSucNR #116
Run ExplRExpNR #31
PPAExpNR #106
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #114
Stuff RateStuffNR #123
TackleTak -  #14
UC Davis Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCD OffWASH Def
Pass GamePassNR #37
Pass SuccessPSucNR #31
Pass ExplPExlNR #40
PPAExpNR #13
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #36
F7 HavocF7NR #131
DB HavocDBNR #32
Washington on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatWASH OffUCD Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #19NR
SuccessSuc #21NR
ExplosiveExp #119NR
PPAPPA #32NR
PowerPwr #35NR
SP+SP+ #20NR
Pts POPPO #102NR
HavocHav #74NR
Washington Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
WASH OffUCD Def
Run GameRun #13NR
Run SuccessRSuc #36NR
Run ExplRExp #123NR
PPAExp #78NR
Run BlockR Blk #28 -
OL YdsOLY #28NR
Stuff RateStuff #17NR
TackleTak - NR
Washington Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatWASH OffUCD Def
Pass GamePass #41NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #13NR
Pass ExplPExl #117NR
PPAExp #22NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #62NR
F7 HavocF7 #101NR
DB HavocDB #35NR
Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

UCD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Washington -28.0 (54.0)
Washington won vs UC Davis this year (70-10)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat UC Davis last year (70-10)

  
UCD's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Pinnick24034570%320632109.3
Grant Harper194146%261326.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Fisher185112186.175
Carter Vargas6744556.650
Caden Pinnick12543733.527
Kai Acia3518905.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Samuel Gbatu Jr.7011691116.785
Stacy Dobbins58701412.145
Ian Simpson31425313.734
Jordan Fisher26287311.032

View UC Davis's Full Roster

UCD's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cole Batson (Tr)150010
Khalani Riddick120002
Nate Rutchena (Tr)111000
Macray Madruga90000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trent Carrade42100
Cole Batson (Tr)150010
Marquis Bell (Tr)30000
Mitchell Dixon10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalani Riddick120002
Ty Richardson80001
Cole Batson (Tr)150010

WASH's OC Jimmie Dougherty (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Demond Williams Jr.24635470%30652588.7
Kai Horton (Tr)71354%98007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman156758154.938
Demond Williams Jr.14361264.342
Adam Mohammed10652354.925
Jordan Washington2723318.668
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Denzel Boston628811114.278
Dezmen Roebuck42560713.359
Decker DeGraaf32360211.330
Jonah Coleman31354211.445

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)943006
Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr)706123
Deven Bryant622012
Makell Esteen512101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Lane408412
Zach Durfee375451
Bryce Butler204330
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei (Tr)194221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ephesians Prysock481007
DeShawn Lynch194117
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)943006