UC Davis at Washington - 2025 Matchup Preview
UC Davis logo UC Davis Aggies at Washington HuskiesWashington logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (11:00 PM EDT)
Washington -28.0 (54.0) (0)  Open: -28.5 | 53.5
Washington 70 - UC Davis: 10

 
Aggies (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 70 (10 - 70 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WASH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Washington -21.5  (SP+ WASH -16)
WASH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
Huskies (6 - 2) (4 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 21 (39 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
UC Davis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 UC Davis at Washington+28.054.0L 10 - 70ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UC Davis's Schedule
Washington's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington vs Colorado State-20.552.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 Washington vs UC Davis-28.054.0W 70 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Washington at Washington State-21.051.5W 59 - 24OY
Sat 9/27 Washington vs Ohio State+9.552.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 10/4 Washington at Maryland-5.552.5W 24 - 20UN
Fri 10/10 Washington vs Rutgers-9.562.5W 38 - 19UY
Sat 10/18 Washington at Michigan+4.550.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Washington vs Illinois-3.554.5W 42 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Washington at Wisconsin-10.544.5
Sat 11/15 Washington vs Purdue-25
Sat 11/22 Washington at UCLA-15.5
Sat 11/29 Washington vs Oregon+6

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCD0%100%000%000%700%0%0000
WASH#13 (.32)51% (6)35.549% (18)3.06 (39)16855% (4)2724.74 (13)#65 (.14)43% (95)20.942% (64)45% (112)3.9 (89)57.10.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)46% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)48% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCD Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
WASH Defense820.919.843.5%3.91.3 - - - - - 41%58%42%45%13%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCD Defense170700%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
WASH Offense835.538.851.4%4.740.8244411682724.852%48%49%55%12%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UC Davis10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Washington829:3824.155%58%6.357.10.81.33.81.6228.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCD Offense10%0%000000%0%0
WASH Defense841% (1)42% (64) - - - - .04 (42)2.57 (49)70% (57)7% (131)0.8 (9)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCD Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
WASH Offense852% (55)49% (18)34.9168.34.821 (11).25 (15)3.06 (39)80% (14)9% (50)1.03 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCD Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
WASH Defense858% (136)45% (112) - - - - - - 8 (38).24 (77)1.4 (32)31% (77)32% (103).31 (84)7% (45)2 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCD Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
WASH Offense848% (81)55% (4)20.928.8272.49.513.115 (75)4 (34).4 (26)1.3 (125)26% (12)39% (12).52 (14)3% (9)2.2 (16)

UC Davis's Power Ratings
UC Davis's Power Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UC Davis's 2025 Expected Record: -
UC Davis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UC Davis:    Washington: 21.445

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UC Davis:    Washington: 16.0




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 21.445  #16
Washington's Offense Rating: 25.82  #11
Washington's Defense Rating: 3.93  #46
2025 Talent Rating: 904.00  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 19  #27
Washington's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Washington's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0  #19
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #16
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9  #27

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UC Davis Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 70 PPG
Defense on Road: 70

UC Davis's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 39
UC Davis 18

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington 32
UC Davis 19

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Washington 54
UC Davis 15

Total Points: 69
Washington Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Washington's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Washington70UC Davis10Washington -28.0Washington54.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington111 Overs
UC Davis000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) UCD at (#16) WASH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCDWASH
Power RatePwrNR #16
SP+SP+NR #19
Perf GradeGradeNR #33
OffenseOffNR #11
DefenseDefNR #108
Spec TeamsSTNR #44
TalentTalNR #23
Blue ChipsBC%NR #27
Washington Notes
(10/24) OL injuries are hurting, Mills & Willis right now
(10/18) Not ready to compete on lines vs Mich, awful perf
(9/30) Red zone Def is last in the P4 thru week 5
(9/27) Top CB Tacario Davis doubtful for Ohio St
(9/24) Undefeated at home since Nov, 2021 into OSU
(9/23) RB Jonah Coleman criminally underrated, great
(9/23) DT Anterio Thompson injured, ? for Ohio St
(9/23) Top LB Jacob Manu inj '24, has not played
(9/22) Red zone scoring 16 trips, 15 touchdowns so far
(8/31) 500+ yds, Def good #'s but close w/ CSU?
(5/6) WR Boston back, big reliable weapon, underrated
(5/2) Watch So CB Clark, big spring game. Playmaker
Washington Injury Report
UC Davis on Offense
CategoryCat
UCD OffWASH Def
Perf GradePerfNR #108
SuccessSucNR #95
ExplosiveExpNR #37
PPAPPANR #65
PowerPwrNR #46
SP+SP+NR #27
Pts POPPONR #89
HavocHavNR #115
UC Davis Run Game
CategoryCat
UCD OffWASH Def
Run GameRunNR #104
Run SuccessRSucNR #64
Run ExplRExpNR #9
PPAExpNR #42
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #49
Stuff RateStuffNR #130
TackleTak -  #35
UC Davis Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCD OffWASH Def
Pass GamePassNR #102
Pass SuccessPSucNR #112
Pass ExplPExlNR #32
PPAExpNR #77
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #57
F7 HavocF7NR #131
DB HavocDBNR #45
Washington on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatWASH OffUCD Def
Perf GradePerf #11NR
SuccessSuc #6NR
ExplosiveExp #101NR
PPAPPA #13NR
PowerPwr #11NR
SP+SP+ #16NR
Pts POPPO #13NR
HavocHav #21NR
Washington Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
WASH OffUCD Def
Run GameRun #15NR
Run SuccessRSuc #18NR
Run ExplRExp #41NR
PPAExp #15NR
Run BlockR Blk #21 -
OL YdsOLY #39NR
Stuff RateStuff #49NR
TackleTak - NR
Washington Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatWASH OffUCD Def
Pass GamePass #42NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #4NR
Pass ExplPExl #125NR
PPAExp #26NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #52NR
F7 HavocF7 #50NR
DB HavocDB #9NR
Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

UCD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 66°
Rematch from Week 2
Washington -28.0 (54.0)
Washington won vs UC Davis this year (70-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCD's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Pinnick12718270%17391749.6
Grant Harper194146%261326.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Fisher10268446.775
Carter Vargas6744556.650
Caden Pinnick7019722.823
Matteo Perez117306.615
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Samuel Gbatu Jr.36632717.685
Stacy Dobbins31400112.945
Ian Simpson15232015.534
Jordan Fisher17197111.630

View UC Davis's Full Roster

UCD's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cole Batson (Tr)110010
Khalani Riddick80001
Rex Connors80000
Drew Cofield40000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cole Batson (Tr)110010
Derrell Smith-Porter20000
Julius Ray10000
Jaden Few10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalani Riddick80001
Cole Batson (Tr)110010
Rayne Mayo Jr.20000

WASH's OC Jimmie Dougherty (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Demond Williams Jr.16322373%21171449.5
Kai Horton (Tr)3560%500010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman126643135.138
Demond Williams Jr.8942944.842
Adam Mohammed4019124.825
Jordan Washington146704.815
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Denzel Boston44668715.248
Dezmen Roebuck24394416.459
Jonah Coleman27316211.745
Raiden Vines-Bright18209011.645

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ryan Walters (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)622003
Deven Bryant461011
Makell Esteen431100
Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr)362021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Lane286302
Bryce Butler113210
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei (Tr)114200
Isaiah Ward133231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ephesians Prysock300005
Alex McLaughlin (Tr)622003
Tacario Davis (Tr)141003