Ball State at Toledo Game Matchup
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Glass Bowl - Toledo, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (23 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.1 - 8.9 (#131)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Toledo -23.5   (SP+ TOL -20)
Projected Score: BALL: 18 - TOL: 41 (58)
TOL Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
BALL Travel: 137 miles
Rockets (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 2.4 (#12)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
 
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Ball State at Purdue+16.50.0
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+42
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-1
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+16
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+7.5
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+0.5
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+14.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-6
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+5.5
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+23.5
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+13.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Toledo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Toledo at Kentucky+11.50.0
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Western Kentucky-13
Sat 9/13 Toledo vs Morgan State-22
Sat 9/20 Toledo at Western Michigan-13.5
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Akron-20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.5
Sat 10/18 Toledo vs Kent State-27.5
Sat 10/25 Toledo at Washington State-6
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-12
Wed 11/12 Toledo at Miami (OH)-7.5
Sat 11/22 Toledo vs Ball State-23.5
Sat 11/29 Toledo at Central Michigan-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)25.344% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)40.146% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)28.338% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)23.242% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1225.32342.1%3.941.2203481032453.442%58%44%41%19%.14
TOL Defense1323.221.339.8%3.871.3 - - - - - 52%48%42%38%19%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1240.144.946.5%4.811.3 - - - - - 47%52%46%47%13%.32
TOL Offense1328.331.240.8%3.551.3183391112273.546%53%38%44%16%.11

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1230:5820.342%46%4.945.31.21.34.61.7230.3
Toledo1325:0618.436%50%5.446.71.31.36.22.1231.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1242% (120)44% (70)30.8103.43.410 (122).1 (91)3.06 (61)80% (23)11% (99)0.87 (117)
TOL Defense1352% (83)42% (60) - - - - .11 (66)3.01 (69)77% (89)12% (31)0.95 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1247% (34)46% (103) - - - - .22 (116)3.17 (90)74% (72)9% (103)1.08 (110)
TOL Offense1346% (96)38% (120)31.5111.33.512 (114)-.04 (127)2.66 (121)57% (130)10% (74)0.83 (125)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1258% (16)41% (72)23.336.6244.76.710.526 (26)11 (72).19 (98)1.6 (73)33% (93)28% (101).29 (88)8% (123)2.2 (15)
TOL Defense1348% (51)38% (35) - - - - - - 10 (66).08 (11)1.5 (29)34% (38)29% (39).22 (34)7% (35)2 (43)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1252% (100)47% (121) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (128)1.8 (119)33% (55)40% (133).57 (131)5% (115)2.2 (115)
TOL Offense1353% (41)44% (46)19.231227.27.311.826 (26)7 (26).26 (67)1.6 (61)31% (65)27% (108).18 (115)6% (76)2 (68)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -23.84 #133
Ball State's Offense Rating: 2.51 #128
Ball State's Defense Rating: 26.35 #126
2025 Talent Rating: 486.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #134
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -23.84   Toledo: 1.095

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -21.2   Toledo: -1.4




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 1.095 #68
Toledo's Offense Rating: 13.54 #72
Toledo's Defense Rating: 14.95 #68
2025 Talent Rating: 678.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #77
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #63

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.9

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 41
Ball State 18

Projected Total Points: 58
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Ball State6Toledo13ToledoToledo -17.5Ball State48.5Under
202211/08Toledo28Ball State21ToledoToledo -11Ball State50.0Under
202109/25Ball State12Toledo22ToledoToledo -4.5Toledo56.5Under
202011/28Toledo24Ball State27Ball StateToledo -9.5Ball State67.0Under
201910/19Ball State52Toledo14Ball StateBall State -3.5Ball State58.5Over
201810/31Toledo45Ball State13ToledoToledo -19.5Toledo64.0Under
201710/26Ball State17Toledo58ToledoToledo -26.5Toledo55.5Over
201611/16Toledo37Ball State19ToledoToledo -19Ball State68.5Under
201510/03Ball State10Toledo24ToledoToledo -9.5Toledo54.5Under
201409/20Toledo34Ball State23ToledoToledo -9Toledo0
201309/28Ball State31Toledo24Ball StateBall State -1Ball State0
201211/06Toledo27Ball State34Ball State
201111/25Ball State28Toledo45Toledo
201010/23Toledo31Ball State24Toledo
200910/03Ball State30Toledo37Toledo
200810/04Toledo0Ball State31Ball State
200711/13Ball State41Toledo20Ball State
200611/14Toledo17Ball State20Ball State
200510/15Ball State14Toledo34Toledo
200410/02Toledo52Ball State14Toledo
200310/25Ball State38Toledo14Ball State
200210/12Toledo37Ball State17Toledo
200110/20Ball State24Toledo20Ball State
200011/10Toledo31Ball State3Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1552 Overs
Ball State967 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 115 - 64 - 31 - 3
Road Teams11 - 136 - 53 - 13 - 4

(#133) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -23.84 #133
Offense Rating: 2.51 #128
Defense Rating: 26.35 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #134
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131
Talent Rating: 486.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Ball State Notes
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
(3/26) New HC Uremovich 23-11 @ Butler
(3/26) OC Harmon a HS coach recently, history w/ HC
Ball State     Ratings Matchup     Toledo
Power #133
#68
Off #128
#72
Def #126
#68
Talent #109
#76
SP+ #134
#71
SP+ Off #123
#77
SP+ Def #131
#63

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Ball State in 2023 (13-6)
Toledo beat Ball State in 2022 (28-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BALL | TOL
Depth Chart: BALL | TOL
Rosters: BALL | TOL
(#68) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.095 #68
Offense Rating: 13.54 #72
Defense Rating: 14.95 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #63
Talent Rating: 678.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Toledo Notes
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(5/2) WR Vandeross a weapon, have decent depth
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) OL 5/5 back. Poss best G5 line, best MAC
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.


  
Ball State's OC Craig Harmon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Leffler2633%6001.0
Kiael Kelly2450%8002.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)12240913.460
TJ Horton2310704.717
Elijah Jackson (Tr)697116.269
Kiael Kelly359112.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)2825519.151
Qian Magwood2320749.045
Dahya Patel7120117.133
Ty Robinson569113.821

View Ball State's Full Roster
Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joey Stemler566260
Jordan Coleman422002
Ashton Whitner (Tr)261011
Eric McClain240000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Feeney73300
Darin Conley163220
Joey Stemler566260
Caden Johnson221100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scott Hudson31102
Jackson Wiegold242002
Jordan Coleman422002

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason20733562%24572277.3
John Alan Richter436764%497407.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Connor Walendzak12245713.732
Tucker Gleason8833063.835
Willie Shaw III4619034.113
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)14179212.860
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Vandeross73763410.573
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)37403110.948
Thomas Zsiros12148112.325
Eric Holley1412609.040

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braden Awls673107
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren612104
Avery Smith5010013
Louce Julien (Tr)437411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Dunn257420
Louce Julien (Tr)437411
Malachi Davis194210
Esean Carter162100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Smith5010013
Braden Awls673107
Nasir Bowers352004