Toledo at Central Michigan Game Matchup
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Central Michigan ChippewasCentral Michigan logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Kelly/Shorts Stadium - Mount Pleasant, MI  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 2.4 (#12)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
TOL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Toledo -9.5   (SP+ TOL -13.5)
Projected Score: TOL: 29 - CMU: 20 (52)
TOL Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TOL Travel: 145 miles
Chippewas (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (30 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Toledo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Toledo at Kentucky+11.50.0
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Western Kentucky-13
Sat 9/13 Toledo vs Morgan State-22
Sat 9/20 Toledo at Western Michigan-13.5
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Akron-20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.5
Sat 10/18 Toledo vs Kent State-27.5
Sat 10/25 Toledo at Washington State-6
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-12
Wed 11/12 Toledo at Miami (OH)-7.5
Sat 11/22 Toledo vs Ball State-23.5
Sat 11/29 Toledo at Central Michigan-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Central Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Central Michigan at San José State+10.50.0
Sat 9/6 Central Michigan at Pittsburgh+21
Sat 9/13 Central Michigan at Michigan+37.5
Sat 9/20 Central Michigan vs Wagner-10
Sat 9/27 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-3.5
Sat 10/4 Central Michigan at Akron-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Central Michigan at Bowling Green+2.5
Sat 10/25 Central Michigan vs Massachusetts-11
Sat 11/1 Central Michigan at Western Michigan-1.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Central Michigan vs Buffalo+3.5
Wed 11/19 Central Michigan at Kent State-10
Sat 11/29 Central Michigan vs Toledo+9.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)28.338% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)23.242% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)22.642% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)29.741% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1328.322.240.8%3.551.3183391112273.546%53%38%44%16%.11
CMU Defense1229.721.539.9%3.60.4 - - - - - 52%48%41%39%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1323.221.339.8%3.871.3 - - - - - 52%48%42%38%19%.09
CMU Offense1222.629.838.7%3.822183321691634.557%43%42%34%20%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1325:0618.436%50%5.446.71.31.36.22.1231.4
Central Michigan1229:2617.935%58%6.860.920.47.72.6327.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1346% (96)38% (120)31.5111.33.512 (114)-.04 (127)2.66 (121)57% (130)10% (74)0.83 (125)
CMU Defense1252% (80)41% (48) - - - - .15 (82)3 (66)82% (117)13% (14)1.18 (127)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1352% (83)42% (60) - - - - .11 (66)3.01 (69)77% (89)12% (31)0.95 (48)
CMU Offense1257% (24)42% (88)37.3168.94.517 (84).22 (24)3.2 (41)80% (23)12% (108)1.09 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1353% (41)44% (46)19.231227.27.311.826 (26)7 (26).26 (67)1.6 (61)31% (65)27% (108).18 (115)6% (76)2 (68)
CMU Defense1248% (54)39% (50) - - - - - - 2 (134).28 (93)1.7 (102)36% (18)30% (60).37 (95)5% (117)2.2 (103)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1348% (51)38% (35) - - - - - - 10 (66).08 (11)1.5 (29)34% (38)29% (39).22 (34)7% (35)2 (43)
CMU Offense1243% (110)34% (124)13.925.2163.46.511.711 (122)12 (85).04 (129)1.5 (85)34% (112)22% (132).18 (116)8% (119)2 (86)

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -1.41 #68
Toledo's Offense Rating: 13.54 #72
Toledo's Defense Rating: 14.95 #68
2025 Talent Rating: 678.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #77
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #63

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -1.41   Central Michigan: -11.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -1.4   Central Michigan: -14.8




Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -11.125 #100
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 6.12 #117
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 18.57 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 482.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Central Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Central Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #102

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 29
Central Michigan 20

Projected Total Points: 52
Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.8
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.5

Central Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/12Toledo37Central Michigan10ToledoToledo -15Toledo52.5Under
202311/24Central Michigan17Toledo32ToledoToledo -12.5Toledo54.5Under
202210/01Toledo38Central Michigan17ToledoToledo -6.5Toledo56.0Under
202110/16Central Michigan26Toledo23Central MichiganToledo -5Central Michigan53.0Under
202012/12Toledo24Central Michigan23ToledoToledo -10Central Michigan54.5Under
201911/29Central Michigan49Toledo7Central MichiganCentral Michigan -14.5Central Michigan64.0Under
201811/23Toledo51Central Michigan13ToledoToledo -19Toledo58.0Over
201710/14Central Michigan10Toledo30ToledoToledo -9.5Toledo55.0Under
201610/22Toledo31Central Michigan17ToledoToledo -10Toledo61.5Under
201511/10Central Michigan23Toledo28ToledoToledo -6Central Michigan54.5Under
201409/27Toledo42Central Michigan28ToledoToledo -15Central Michigan0
201309/21Central Michigan17Toledo38ToledoToledo -14Toledo0
201210/06Toledo50Central Michigan35Toledo
201111/18Central Michigan17Toledo44Toledo
201011/26Toledo42Central Michigan31Toledo
200911/11Central Michigan56Toledo28Central Michigan
200810/25Toledo23Central Michigan24Central Michigan
200709/08Central Michigan52Toledo31Central Michigan
200610/07Toledo20Central Michigan42Central Michigan
200510/29Central Michigan21Toledo17Central Michigan
200410/23Toledo27Central Michigan22Toledo
200310/18Central Michigan13Toledo31Toledo
200211/09Toledo44Central Michigan17Toledo
200109/22Central Michigan28Toledo52Toledo
200009/29Toledo41Central Michigan0Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Central Michigan751 Overs
Toledo1879 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 97 - 55 - 22 - 3
Road Teams9 - 165 - 73 - 22 - 5

(#68) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.41 #68
Offense Rating: 13.54 #72
Defense Rating: 14.95 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #63
Talent Rating: 678.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Toledo Notes
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(5/2) WR Vandeross a weapon, have decent depth
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) OL 5/5 back. Poss best G5 line, best MAC
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.
Toledo     Ratings Matchup     Central Michigan
Power #68
#100
Off #72
#117
Def #68
#93
Talent #76
#110
SP+ #71
#117
SP+ Off #77
#126
SP+ Def #63
#102

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Central Michigan last year (37-10)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2023 (32-17)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2022 (38-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TOL | CMU
Depth Chart: TOL | CMU
Rosters: TOL | CMU
(#100) Central Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.125 #100
Offense Rating: 6.12 #117
Defense Rating: 18.57 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #102
Talent Rating: 482.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Central Michigan Notes
(3/26) QB Labas PT starter LY, Glasser has exp
(3/26) RB rebuild, Cornist (Tul) added, some depth
(3/26) WR complete rebuild, 13 rec back. No portals
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, meh LY. 4 portals, 3 via Valpo
(3/26) Def bad LY, return some. 3 portals
(3/26) New HC Drinkall was Army OL coach.
(3/26) New OC Chapin had success at E Wash


  
Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason20733562%24572277.3
John Alan Richter436764%497407.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Connor Walendzak12245713.732
Tucker Gleason8833063.835
Willie Shaw III4619034.113
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)14179212.860
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Vandeross73763410.573
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)37403110.948
Thomas Zsiros12148112.325
Eric Holley1412609.040

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braden Awls673107
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren612104
Avery Smith5010013
Louce Julien (Tr)437411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Dunn257420
Louce Julien (Tr)437411
Malachi Davis194210
Esean Carter162100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Smith5010013
Braden Awls673107
Nasir Bowers352004

Central Michigan's OC Jim Chapin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Labas9416059%1114777.0
Jadyn Glasser417654%439245.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trey Cornist (Tr)2214916.823
Nahree Biggins1913607.276
Joey Labas211900.913
Brock Townsend51402.87
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Stephan Bracey575015.033
D.C. Temple566013.228
Jordyn Williams665010.824
Nathan Vantimmeren42406.09

View Central Michigan's Full Roster
Central Michigan's DC Sean Cronin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Spann614205
Elijah Rikard563100
Dakota Cochran5411410
Jaion Jackson393003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Heldman296480
Dakota Cochran5411410
Caleb Spann614205
Fernando Sanchez III276200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Spann614205
Jaion Jackson393003
Lawai'a Brown383001