Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Toledo Rockets
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -8.5 (57.5) (-220) Open: -5.5 | 59.5
Toledo 45 - Western Kentucky: 21
Hilltoppers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 39 - 25 (21 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 39 - 25 (21 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: Toledo -14.5 (SP+ TOL -7)
Projected Score: WKU: 23 - TOL: 37 (60)
TOL Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
WKU Travel: 357 miles, 1 hrs behind
Projected Score: WKU: 23 - TOL: 37 (60)
TOL Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
WKU Travel: 357 miles, 1 hrs behind
Rockets (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 40 - 15 (53 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 40 - 15 (53 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
| Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston | -9.5 | 60.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 8/30 | Western Kentucky vs North Alabama | -27.5 | 60.5 | W 55 - 6 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Western Kentucky at Toledo | +8.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Western Kentucky vs Nevada | -10.5 | 54.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Western Kentucky at Missouri State | -12 | |||||
| Fri 10/3 | Western Kentucky at Delaware | -2 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Western Kentucky vs Florida International | -6.5 | |||||
| Tue 10/21 | Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State | -13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee | -20.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Western Kentucky at LSU | +29.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State | -7 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Toledo's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Toledo at Kentucky | +10.0 | 48.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Toledo vs Western Kentucky | -8.5 | 57.5 | W 45 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Toledo vs Morgan State | -33.5 | 54.5 | W 60 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Toledo at Western Michigan | -14.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Toledo vs Akron | -30 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Toledo at Bowling Green | -17 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Toledo vs Kent State | -30 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Toledo at Washington State | -13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/5 | Toledo vs Northern Illinois | -17 | |||||
| Wed 11/12 | Toledo at Miami (OH) | -18 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Toledo vs Ball State | -32.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Toledo at Central Michigan | -27 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | #80 (.16) | 42% (83) | 39 | 37% (112) | 2.71 (96) | 110 | 45% (59) | 358 | 5 (32) | #91 (.18) | 35% (37) | 25 | 39% (67) | 32% (30) | 3.08 (53) | 64 | 1.3 | 1 |
| TOL | #42 (.3) | 43% (71) | 40.3 | 45% (63) | 2.74 (91) | 209 | 43% (71) | 256 | 5.11 (28) | #12 (-.08) | 38% (59) | 15 | 50% (118) | 25% (7) | 3.17 (57) | 78.7 | 1 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | #66 (.19) | 42% (83) | 38% (117) | 2.78 (108) | 110 | 45% (33) | 265 | 3.83 (78) | #95 (.21) | 45% (102) | 48% (113) | 40% (60) | 3.66 (54) | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | ||
| TOL | #111 (.11) | 41% (95) | 38% (120) | 2.66 (121) | 111 | 44% (46) | 227 | 3.55 (99) | #20 (.09) | 40% (43) | 42% (60) | 38% (35) | 3.87 (79) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 3 | 39 | 21 | 42.1% | 5 | 1.3 | 23 | 468 | 110 | 358 | 3.5 | 34% | 66% | 37% | 45% | 12% | .16 |
| TOL Defense | 3 | 15 | 10.5 | 37.8% | 3.17 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 46% | 50% | 25% | 19% | -.08 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 3 | 25 | 45 | 35.2% | 3.08 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 39% | 32% | 17% | .18 |
| TOL Offense | 3 | 40.3 | 52.5 | 43.3% | 5.11 | 1 | 23 | 465 | 209 | 256 | 5.3 | 49% | 50% | 45% | 43% | 10% | .3 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | 3 | 29:54 | 23.3 | 49% | 20% | 6 | 64 | 1.3 | 1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 29.5 |
| Toledo | 3 | 31:54 | 23 | 44% | 17% | 9 | 78.7 | 1 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 29.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 3 | 34% (136) | 37% (112) | 31.7 | 109.7 | 3.5 | 4 (79) | -.16 (131) | 2.71 (96) | 60% (103) | 7% (44) | 0.8 (107) |
| TOL Defense | 3 | 52% (91) | 50% (118) | - | - | - | - | .1 (87) | 2.79 (71) | 63% (43) | 13% (29) | 0.74 (23) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 3 | 51% (77) | 39% (67) | - | - | - | - | .19 (108) | 3.03 (94) | 71% (72) | 10% (76) | 1.27 (121) |
| TOL Offense | 3 | 49% (79) | 45% (63) | 39.3 | 208.7 | 5.3 | 8 (26) | .15 (63) | 2.74 (91) | 78% (41) | 8% (47) | 0.96 (68) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 3 | 66% (1) | 45% (59) | 29 | 43 | 358 | 8.3 | 12.3 | 11 (5) | 1 (23) | .32 (63) | 1.7 (28) | 34% (105) | 37% (35) | .1 (117) | 5% (63) | 1.7 (108) |
| TOL Defense | 3 | 46% (39) | 25% (7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | -.21 (5) | 1.7 (99) | 30% (100) | 16% (14) | -.19 (5) | 6% (73) | 2.1 (89) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 3 | 49% (58) | 32% (30) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .19 (61) | 1.6 (77) | 37% (28) | 15% (12) | -.01 (20) | 7% (44) | 1.8 (51) |
| TOL Offense | 3 | 50% (65) | 43% (71) | 20.7 | 32.7 | 256 | 7.8 | 12.4 | 7 (23) | 2 (60) | .47 (31) | 1.8 (20) | 33% (99) | 28% (96) | .26 (85) | 2% (12) | 1.8 (94) |
Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -5.06 #91
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -5.06 #91
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -5.06 Toledo: 10.475
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -2.5 Toledo: 4.3
Western Kentucky: -5.06 Toledo: 10.475
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -2.5 Toledo: 4.3
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 10.475 #48
Toledo's Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Toledo's Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Toledo's Power Rating: 10.475 #48
Toledo's Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Toledo's Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 39 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 45
Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 39 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 45
Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 37
Western Kentucky 23
Total Points: 60
Toledo 37
Western Kentucky 23
Total Points: 60
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 52.5
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.5
Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 52.5
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.5
Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | Toledo | 45 | Western Kentucky | 21 | Toledo | Toledo -8.5 | Toledo | 57.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 09/21 | Western Kentucky | 26 | Toledo | 21 | Western Kentucky | Toledo -2 | Western Kentucky | 60.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 1 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Western Kentucky | 1 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
(#91) Western Kentucky Info
Power Rating: -5.06 #91
Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 66%, Run: 34%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Western Kentucky has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Western Kentucky Notes
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
(7/11) Portal hits big, 2 starters back. 46 portals signed
(7/11) QB McIvor (3k yds/30 TD) combo w/ OC McIvor
(5/2) WR Henry (FCS W Ill) 1,179 yds, 6 TD LY
(3/22) Def avg CUSA, but must rebuild most
(3/22) Almost 60% new roster, new OC/DC.
(3/22) New OC Bowie (Alb. Chr.) brought QB McIvor
Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky offense is explosive (#19)
Western Kentucky offense is good on 3rd downs
Western Kentucky has a good pass defense (#30)
Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#105)
Power Rating: -5.06 #91
Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 66%, Run: 34%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Western Kentucky has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Western Kentucky Notes
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
(7/11) Portal hits big, 2 starters back. 46 portals signed
(7/11) QB McIvor (3k yds/30 TD) combo w/ OC McIvor
(5/2) WR Henry (FCS W Ill) 1,179 yds, 6 TD LY
(3/22) Def avg CUSA, but must rebuild most
(3/22) Almost 60% new roster, new OC/DC.
(3/22) New OC Bowie (Alb. Chr.) brought QB McIvor
Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky offense is explosive (#19)
Western Kentucky offense is good on 3rd downs
Western Kentucky has a good pass defense (#30)
Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#105)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | TOL | WKU |
| OverallOver | #32 | #47 |
| OffenseOff | #42 | #60 |
| DefenseDef | #25 | #67 |
| Special TeamsST | #82 | #4 |
| PassingPass | #12 | #44 |
| RushingRush | #38 | #64 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #53 | #109 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #78 | #73 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #56 | #23 |
| TacklingTkl | #43 | #94 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #22 | #91 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #54 | #22 |
| Coverage DefCov | #38 | #57 |
(#48) Toledo Info
Power Rating: 10.475 #48
Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Toledo Notes
(8/20) CB A. Smith a true shutdown & NFL prospect
(7/28) OL 5/5 back. Best in MAC, top 3 in the G5
(7/28) Def added 9 portals, some key pieces at DE/LB
(7/28) Secondary should be really good, great CBs
(7/27) WR Vandeross a weapon, Rudolph (NIU) big add
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.
Toledo Highlights
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread
Toledo is Undefeated at Home
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#28)
Toledo offense is good in red zone (#28)
Toledo defense does not give up big plays (#16)
Toledo has a good pass defense (#7)
Toledo Front 7 is disruptive (#29)
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Power Rating: 10.475 #48
Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Toledo Notes
(8/20) CB A. Smith a true shutdown & NFL prospect
(7/28) OL 5/5 back. Best in MAC, top 3 in the G5
(7/28) Def added 9 portals, some key pieces at DE/LB
(7/28) Secondary should be really good, great CBs
(7/27) WR Vandeross a weapon, Rudolph (NIU) big add
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.
Toledo Highlights
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread
Toledo is Undefeated at Home
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#28)
Toledo offense is good in red zone (#28)
Toledo defense does not give up big plays (#16)
Toledo has a good pass defense (#7)
Toledo Front 7 is disruptive (#29)
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maverick McIvor (Tr) | 80 | 120 | 67% | 941 | 10 | 1 | 7.8 |
| Rodney Tisdale Jr. | 6 | 8 | 75% | 94 | 1 | 0 | 11.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvis Parrish | 23 | 93 | 0 | 4.0 | 22 |
| Jaden McGill (Tr) | 16 | 63 | 1 | 3.9 | 15 |
| George Hart III | 17 | 59 | 1 | 3.5 | 12 |
| La'Vell Wright (Tr) | 11 | 39 | 1 | 3.5 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moussa Barry | 11 | 210 | 0 | 19.1 | 48 |
| Matthew Henry (Tr) | 11 | 198 | 3 | 18.0 | 55 |
| K.D. Hutchinson | 12 | 184 | 3 | 15.3 | 78 |
| Marvis Parrish | 14 | 100 | 1 | 7.1 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Herard | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen Lewis (Tr) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaylen Wester (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dylan Flowers | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Holloman | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Dominic Oliver (Tr) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Gray (Tr) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jaden Hardy (Tr) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Holloman | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Al-Ma'Hi Ali (Tr) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Lataj Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gleason | 43 | 69 | 62% | 599 | 4 | 1 | 8.7 |
| John Alan Richter | 15 | 23 | 65% | 139 | 3 | 1 | 6.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeaMonte Trayanum | 39 | 248 | 4 | 6.4 | 75 |
| Kenji Christian (Tr) | 23 | 139 | 2 | 6.0 | 33 |
| Willie Shaw III | 8 | 49 | 0 | 6.1 | 20 |
| Kalieb Osborne | 7 | 49 | 1 | 7.0 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Vandeross | 18 | 255 | 4 | 14.2 | 71 |
| Javon Brown | 6 | 133 | 0 | 22.2 | 46 |
| Jacob Petersen (Tr) | 5 | 82 | 0 | 16.4 | 26 |
| Trayvon Rudolph (Tr) | 7 | 77 | 0 | 11.0 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K'Von Sherman | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Braden Awls | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Dunn | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doran Ray | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| K'Von Sherman | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Louce Julien (Tr) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Peters | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Fuller | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Braden Awls | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Dunn | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |