Morgan State at Toledo - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -33.5 (54.5) (0) Open: -34.5
Toledo 60 - Morgan State: 0

Bears (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 49 (11 - 49 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TOL 2nd straight Home Game
MORG coming off BYE
Our Line: Toledo -10.5 (SP+ TOL -4)
TOL Win prob: 100% | Cover: 46%

Rockets (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 40 - 15 (53 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
MORG Players
TOL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Morgan State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Morgan State at South Alabama	+28.5	51.5	L 21 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13	Morgan State at Toledo	+33.5	54.5	L 0 - 60	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Morgan State's Schedule

Toledo's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Toledo at Kentucky	+10.0	48.5	L 16 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Toledo vs Western Kentucky	-8.5	57.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Toledo vs Morgan State	-33.5	54.5	W 60 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Toledo at Western Michigan	-14.0	51.5
Sat 9/27	Toledo vs Akron	-30
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Toledo at Bowling Green	-17
Sat 10/18	Toledo vs Kent State	-30
Sat 10/25	Toledo at Washington State	-13
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5	Toledo vs Northern Illinois	-17
Wed 11/12	Toledo at Miami (OH)	-18
Sat 11/22	Toledo vs Ball State	-32.5
Sat 11/29	Toledo at Central Michigan	-27

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MORG		0%	10.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	49	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TOL	#42 (.3)	43% (71)	40.3	45% (63)	2.74 (91)	209	43% (71)	256	5.11 (28)	#12 (-.08)	38% (59)	15	50% (118)	25% (7)	3.17 (57)	78.7	1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MORG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TOL	#111 (.11)	41% (95)		38% (120)	2.66 (121)	111	44% (46)	227	3.55 (99)	#20 (.09)	40% (43)		42% (60)	38% (35)	3.87 (79)	46.7	1.3	1.3

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MORG Offense	2	10.5	10.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
TOL Defense	3	15	10.5	37.8%	3.17	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	50%	25%	19%	-.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MORG Defense	2	49	49	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
TOL Offense	3	40.3	52.5	43.3%	5.11	1	23	465	209	256	5.3	49%	50%	45%	43%	10%	.3

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Morgan State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Toledo	3	31:54	23	44%	17%	9	78.7	1	1.7	6.3	1.7	1	29.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MORG Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
TOL Defense	3	52% (91)	50% (118)	-	-	-	-	.1 (87)	2.79 (71)	63% (43)	13% (29)	0.74 (23)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MORG Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
TOL Offense	3	49% (79)	45% (63)	39.3	208.7	5.3	8 (26)	.15 (63)	2.74 (91)	78% (41)	8% (47)	0.96 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MORG Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
TOL Defense	3	46% (39)	25% (7)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (56)	-.21 (5)	1.7 (99)	30% (100)	16% (14)	-.19 (5)	6% (73)	2.1 (89)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MORG Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
TOL Offense	3	50% (65)	43% (71)	20.7	32.7	256	7.8	12.4	7 (23)	2 (60)	.47 (31)	1.8 (20)	33% (99)	28% (96)	.26 (85)	2% (12)	1.8 (94)

Morgan State's Power Ratings
Morgan State's Power Rating: #NR
Morgan State's Offense Rating: #NR
Morgan State's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Morgan State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Morgan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Morgan State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Morgan State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average MEAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Morgan State: Toledo: 10.475

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Morgan State: Toledo: 4.3

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 10.475 #48
Toledo's Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Toledo's Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Morgan State Scoring
Offense: 10.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.5
Defense: 49 PPG
Defense on Road: 49

Morgan State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 34
Morgan State 23

Total Points: 57

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 52.5
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.5

Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Toledo	60	Morgan State	0	Toledo	Toledo -33.5	Toledo	54.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Toledo	1	1	1 Overs
Morgan State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) Morgan State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Morgan State has lost 1 straight
Morgan State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Morgan State Highlights

Morgan State Deficiencies
Morgan State has a really bad Offense
Morgan State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	TOL	MORG
OverallOver	#32	—
OffenseOff	#42	—
DefenseDef	#25	—
Special TeamsST	#82	—
PassingPass	#12	—
RushingRush	#38	—
Run BlockRBLK	#53	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#78	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#56	—
TacklingTkl	#43	—
Run DefenseR Def	#22	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#54	—
Coverage DefCov	#38	—

Rematch from Week 3
Toledo -33.5 (54.5)
Toledo won vs Morgan State this year (60-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MORG | TOL
Depth Chart: MORG | TOL
Rosters: MORG | TOL

(#48) Toledo Info
Power Rating: 10.475 #48
Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Toledo has won 1 straight
Toledo has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Toledo Notes
(8/20) CB A. Smith a true shutdown & NFL prospect
(7/28) OL 5/5 back. Best in MAC, top 3 in the G5
(7/28) Def added 9 portals, some key pieces at DE/LB
(7/28) Secondary should be really good, great CBs
(7/27) WR Vandeross a weapon, Rudolph (NIU) big add
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.

Toledo Highlights
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread
Toledo is Undefeated at Home
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#28)
Toledo offense is good in red zone (#28)
Toledo defense does not give up big plays (#16)
Toledo has a good pass defense (#7)
Toledo Front 7 is disruptive (#29)

Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)

Morgan State's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kobe Muasau	37	58	64%	388	1	2	6.7
John Griffith	4	11	36%	5	0	0	0.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jason Collins Jr.	61	234	4	3.8	23
Randall Nauden	17	94	1	5.5	56
Kobe Muasau	19	68	0	3.6	30
Dae'Jeaun Dennis	4	18	0	4.5	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	YPC	LONG
Malique Leatherbury	9	75	8.3	31
Joseph Kennerly	5	67	13.4	17
Justin Perry	3	48	16.0	25
Ferdinand Nyivih	2	37	18.5	24

View Morgan State's Full Roster

Morgan State's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eric Hunter	17	1	1	0	1
Josiah Blake	12	1	0	0	0
Hiroshi Carr	12	1	0	0	0
Blanche Gold	11	2	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Lance Byndon	4	1	1	0
Eric Hunter	17	1	1	1
Kimani Stafford II	1	1	1	0
Shawn Phillips	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Eric Hunter	17	1	1	1
Julian Noel	3	0	0	1
Donta Jenkins Jr.	1	0	0	0

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tucker Gleason	43	69	62%	599	4	1	8.7
John Alan Richter	15	23	65%	139	3	1	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DeaMonte Trayanum	39	248	4	6.4	75
Kenji Christian (Tr)	23	139	2	6.0	33
Willie Shaw III	8	49	0	6.1	20
Kalieb Osborne	7	49	1	7.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Junior Vandeross	18	255	4	14.2	71
Javon Brown	6	133	0	22.2	46
Jacob Petersen (Tr)	5	82	0	16.4	26
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)	7	77	0	11.0	20

View Toledo's Full Roster

Toledo's DC Vince Kehres

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K'Von Sherman	23	4	1	0	0
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren	14	1	0	0	1
Braden Awls	13	1	0	0	1
Anthony Dunn	10	0	0	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Doran Ray	9	1	1	0
K'Von Sherman	23	4	1	0
Louce Julien (Tr)	9	2	1	1
Jeremiah Peters	9	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Andre Fuller	7	0	0	2
Braden Awls	13	1	0	1
Anthony Dunn	10	0	2	1