Morgan State at Toledo - 2025 Matchup Preview
Morgan State logo   Morgan State Bears at Toledo Rockets  Toledo logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -33.5 (54.5) (0)  Open: -34.5
Toledo 60 - Morgan State: 0

 
Bears (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 49 (11 - 49 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 2nd straight Home Game
MORG coming off BYE
Our Line: Toledo -9.5  (SP+ TOL -6)
TOL Win prob: 100% | Cover: 46%
Rockets (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
Morgan State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Morgan State at South Alabama+28.551.5L 21 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Morgan State at Toledo+33.554.5L 0 - 60ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Morgan State's Schedule
Toledo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Toledo at Kentucky+10.048.5L 16 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Western Kentucky-8.557.5W 45 - 21OY
Sat 9/13 Toledo vs Morgan State-33.554.5W 60 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Toledo at Western Michigan-13.548.5L 13 - 14UN
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Akron-21.550.5W 45 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Bowling Green-10.545.5L 23 - 28ON
Sat 10/18 Toledo vs Kent State-25.548.5W 45 - 10OY
Sat 10/25 Toledo at Washington State-1.544.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-14.542.5W 42 - 3OY
Wed 11/12 Toledo at Miami (OH)-6.544.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/22 Toledo vs Ball State-29.545.5W 38 - 9ON
Sat 11/29 Toledo at Central Michigan-11.546.5W 21 - 3UY
Tue 12/23 Toledo vs Louisville+12.544.5L 22 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MORG0%10.50%000%000%490%0%0000
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)30.838% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)13.342% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MORG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MORG Offense110.510.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TOL Defense1313.37.739.8%3.871.3 - - - - - 52%48%42%38%19%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MORG Defense149490%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TOL Offense1330.845.840.8%3.551.3183391112273.546%53%38%44%16%.11

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Morgan State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Toledo1325:0618.436%50%5.446.71.31.36.22.1231.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MORG Offense10%0%000000%0%0
TOL Defense1352% (83)42% (60) - - - - .11 (66)3.01 (69)77% (89)12% (31)0.95 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MORG Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TOL Offense1346% (96)38% (120)31.5111.33.512 (114)-.04 (127)2.66 (121)57% (130)10% (74)0.83 (125)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MORG Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
TOL Defense1348% (51)38% (35) - - - - - - 10 (66).08 (11)1.5 (29)34% (38)29% (39).22 (34)7% (35)2 (43)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MORG Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TOL Offense1353% (41)44% (46)19.231227.27.311.826 (26)7 (26).26 (67)1.6 (61)31% (65)27% (108).18 (115)6% (76)2 (68)

Morgan State's Power Ratings
Morgan State's Power Rating: NR
Morgan State's Offense Rating: NR
Morgan State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Morgan State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Morgan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Morgan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Morgan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MEAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Morgan State:    Toledo: 9.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Morgan State:    Toledo: 6.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 9.5  #46
Toledo's Offense Rating: 15.43  #55
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.43  #32
2025 Talent Rating: 718.00  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0  #48
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #75
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5  #21

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Morgan State Scoring
Offense: 10.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.5
Defense: 49 PPG
Defense on Road: 49

Morgan State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 32
Morgan State 23

Projected Total Points: 55
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Toledo60Morgan State0Toledo -33.5Toledo54.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo111 Overs
Morgan State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) MORG at (#46) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMORGTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #46
SP+SP+NR #48
Perf GradeGradeNR #11
OffenseOffNR #41
DefenseDefNR #6
Spec TeamsSTNR #14
TalentTalNR #71
Blue ChipsBC%NR #56
Toledo Notes
(12/11) HC Candle left for UConn? Very odd move
(12/11) Hired HC Mike Jacobs (Mercer). Pot. big upgrade
(11/13) Beat M-OH w/ QB2, not impressive. 3 TOs, 313 yds
(10/31) Killed by Wazzu in bad spot, Run Off awful 61 yds
(10/31) 8-4 best possible finish & must win @ Mia OH
(10/12) Blew another vs BG, OG'd BG by 200 yds & still lost
(10/12) Penalties, turnovers & awful coaching killing Toledo
(9/24) Gleason/Off disappointing. Penalty issues hurting
(9/20) Yearly awful L vs 0-3 WMU, Gleason 89 yds, 2 INT
(8/30) Run Off terrible, Run Def bad in L to UK
(8/20) CB A. Smith a true shutdown & NFL prospect
(7/28) OL 5/5 back. Best in MAC, top 3 in the G5
Toledo Injury Report
Morgan State on Offense
CategoryCat
MORG OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #6
SuccessSucNR #43
ExplosiveExpNR #33
PPAPPANR #20
PowerPwrNR #32
SP+SP+NR #21
Pts POPPONR #79
HavocHavNR #28
Morgan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MORG OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNR #16
Run SuccessRSucNR #60
Run ExplRExpNR #48
PPAExpNR #66
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #69
Stuff RateStuffNR #81
TackleTak -  #41
Morgan State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MORG OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNR #13
Pass SuccessPSucNR #35
Pass ExplPExlNR #29
PPAExpNR #11
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #4
F7 HavocF7NR #31
DB HavocDBNR #35
Toledo on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTOL OffMORG Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #41NR
SuccessSuc #95NR
ExplosiveExp #83NR
PPAPPA #111NR
PowerPwr #55NR
SP+SP+ #75NR
Pts POPPO #99NR
HavocHav #72NR
Toledo Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TOL OffMORG Def
Run GameRun #62NR
Run SuccessRSuc #120NR
Run ExplRExp #125NR
PPAExp #127NR
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLY #121NR
Stuff RateStuff #120NR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTOL OffMORG Def
Pass GamePass #6NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #46NR
Pass ExplPExl #61NR
PPAExp #67NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #97NR
F7 HavocF7 #74NR
DB HavocDB #76NR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

MORG 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Toledo -33.5 (54.5)
Toledo won vs Morgan State this year (60-0)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Morgan State last year (60-0)

  
MORG's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Raymond Moore III7714155%878876.2
Kobe Muasau7611765%824437.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Randall Nauden11955854.767
Jason Collins Jr.9436353.923
Raymond Moore III7631554.123
Dorian Harris5323304.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Perry22405518.443
Malique Leatherbury31310210.064
Joseph Kennerly24241110.025
Rahmise Jones6120020.044

View Morgan State's Full Roster

MORG's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Hunter171101
Hiroshi Carr121000
Josiah Blake121000
Blanche Gold112010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lance Byndon41100
Eric Hunter171101
Kimani Stafford II11100
Kristopher Boyd10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Hunter171101
Julian Noel30001
Matthew McDonald10000

TOL's OC Mike Hallett (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason20732065%25152197.9
Kalieb Osborne325262%427308.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeaMonte Trayanum1821015125.675
Kenji Christian (Tr)10552845.037
Kalieb Osborne5128225.533
Tucker Gleason4614443.135
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Vandeross8210081112.371
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)39435211.258
Jacob Petersen (Tr)25335313.428
DeaMonte Trayanum21212210.157

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC Vince Kehres (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K'Von Sherman9315561
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren776136
Chris D'Appolonia594124
Andre Fuller4930010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Martez Poynter4310790
Malachi Davis3510681
K'Von Sherman9315561
Jeremiah Peters246432
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Smith4250010
Andre Fuller4930010
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren776136