Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green Falcons
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Doyt Perry Stadium - Bowling Green, OH (Mid-American)
Rockets (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 40 - 15 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 40 - 15 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
TOL coming off BYE
BGSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Toledo -17 (SP+ TOL -14)
Projected Score: TOL: 30 - BGSU: 13 (43)
TOL Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
TOL Travel: 19 miles
BGSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Toledo -17 (SP+ TOL -14)
Projected Score: TOL: 30 - BGSU: 13 (43)
TOL Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
TOL Travel: 19 miles
Falcons (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 18 (25 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 18 (25 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
| Toledo's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Toledo at Kentucky | +10.0 | 48.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Toledo vs Western Kentucky | -8.5 | 57.5 | W 45 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Toledo vs Morgan State | -33.5 | 54.5 | W 60 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Toledo at Western Michigan | -14.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Toledo vs Akron | -30 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Toledo at Bowling Green | -17 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Toledo vs Kent State | -30 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Toledo at Washington State | -13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/5 | Toledo vs Northern Illinois | -17 | |||||
| Wed 11/12 | Toledo at Miami (OH) | -18 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Toledo vs Ball State | -32.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Toledo at Central Michigan | -27 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Bowling Green vs Lafayette | -21.0 | 53.0 | W 26 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Bowling Green at Cincinnati | +21.5 | 46.5 | L 20 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Bowling Green vs Liberty | +6.0 | 51.5 | W 23 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Bowling Green at Louisville | +26.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Bowling Green at Ohio | +8 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Bowling Green vs Toledo | +17 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Bowling Green vs Central Michigan | -13 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Bowling Green at Kent State | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Bowling Green vs Buffalo | +4 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan | -4.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/18 | Bowling Green vs Akron | -10.5 | |||||
| Tue 11/25 | Bowling Green at Massachusetts | -10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | #42 (.3) | 43% (71) | 40.3 | 45% (63) | 2.74 (91) | 209 | 43% (71) | 256 | 5.11 (28) | #12 (-.08) | 38% (59) | 15 | 50% (118) | 25% (7) | 3.17 (57) | 78.7 | 1 | 1.7 |
| BGSU | #121 (.06) | 41% (89) | 23 | 37% (110) | 2.91 (77) | 138 | 46% (53) | 176 | 3.27 (105) | #81 (.16) | 34% (29) | 18 | 29% (11) | 38% (58) | 3.78 (77) | 56.7 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | #111 (.11) | 41% (95) | 38% (120) | 2.66 (121) | 111 | 44% (46) | 227 | 3.55 (99) | #20 (.09) | 40% (43) | 42% (60) | 38% (35) | 3.87 (79) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | ||
| BGSU | #53 (.21) | 43% (68) | 41% (99) | 3.01 (74) | 134 | 44% (38) | 207 | 3.84 (77) | #43 (.13) | 38% (15) | 39% (29) | 37% (20) | 3.47 (32) | 41.1 | 0.8 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 3 | 40.3 | 16 | 43.3% | 5.11 | 1 | 23 | 465 | 209 | 256 | 5.3 | 49% | 50% | 45% | 43% | 10% | .3 |
| BGSU Defense | 3 | 18 | 10 | 33.6% | 3.78 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 29% | 38% | 16% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 3 | 15 | 24 | 37.8% | 3.17 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 46% | 50% | 25% | 19% | -.08 |
| BGSU Offense | 3 | 23 | 24.5 | 41.2% | 3.27 | 0 | 18 | 314 | 138 | 176 | 3.7 | 53% | 47% | 37% | 46% | 13% | .06 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 3 | 31:54 | 23 | 44% | 17% | 9 | 78.7 | 1 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 29.3 |
| Bowling Green | 3 | 33:29 | 18.3 | 37% | 50% | 7 | 56.7 | 0 | 1.7 | 7 | 2.3 | 1 | 33.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 3 | 49% (79) | 45% (63) | 39.3 | 208.7 | 5.3 | 8 (26) | .15 (63) | 2.74 (91) | 78% (41) | 8% (47) | 0.96 (68) |
| BGSU Defense | 3 | 50% (67) | 29% (11) | - | - | - | - | -.13 (15) | 2.35 (31) | 80% (107) | 14% (26) | 0.69 (12) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 3 | 52% (91) | 50% (118) | - | - | - | - | .1 (87) | 2.79 (71) | 63% (43) | 13% (29) | 0.74 (23) |
| BGSU Offense | 3 | 53% (51) | 37% (110) | 37.7 | 137.7 | 3.7 | 3 (95) | -.08 (125) | 2.91 (77) | 58% (109) | 11% (100) | 0.83 (101) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 3 | 50% (65) | 43% (71) | 20.7 | 32.7 | 256 | 7.8 | 12.4 | 7 (23) | 2 (60) | .47 (31) | 1.8 (20) | 33% (99) | 28% (96) | .26 (85) | 2% (12) | 1.8 (94) |
| BGSU Defense | 3 | 50% (71) | 38% (58) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .45 (116) | 2 (126) | 32% (83) | 34% (105) | .65 (127) | 3% (125) | 2.4 (122) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 3 | 46% (39) | 25% (7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | -.21 (5) | 1.7 (99) | 30% (100) | 16% (14) | -.19 (5) | 6% (73) | 2.1 (89) |
| BGSU Offense | 3 | 47% (82) | 46% (53) | 19 | 29 | 176.3 | 6.1 | 9.3 | 2 (102) | 0 (1) | .22 (85) | 1.2 (129) | 31% (68) | 30% (81) | .17 (105) | 2% (12) | 1.4 (128) |
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 11.65 #48
Toledo's Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Toledo's Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Toledo's Power Rating: 11.65 #48
Toledo's Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Toledo's Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 11.65 Bowling Green: -8.83
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.3 Bowling Green: -9.6
Toledo: 11.65 Bowling Green: -8.83
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.3 Bowling Green: -9.6
Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -8.83 #112
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -8.83 #112
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 30
Bowling Green 13
Total Points: 43
Toledo 30
Bowling Green 13
Total Points: 43
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense at Home: 10
Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense at Home: 10
Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Toledo | 26 | Bowling Green | 41 | Bowling Green | Toledo -1.5 | Bowling Green | 47.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/14 | Bowling Green | 31 | Toledo | 32 | Toledo | Toledo -9.5 | Bowling Green | 48.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/15 | Toledo | 35 | Bowling Green | 42 | Bowling Green | Toledo -14.5 | Bowling Green | 47.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/10 | Bowling Green | 17 | Toledo | 49 | Toledo | Toledo -10.5 | Toledo | 50.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/04 | Toledo | 38 | Bowling Green | 3 | Toledo | Toledo -24 | Toledo | 63.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/12 | Bowling Green | 20 | Toledo | 7 | Bowling Green | Toledo -26.5 | Bowling Green | 65.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/06 | Toledo | 52 | Bowling Green | 36 | Toledo | Toledo -23 | Bowling Green | 71.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/15 | Bowling Green | 37 | Toledo | 66 | Toledo | Toledo -17.5 | Toledo | 66.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/15 | Toledo | 42 | Bowling Green | 35 | Toledo | Toledo -24 | Bowling Green | 71.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/17 | Bowling Green | 28 | Toledo | 44 | Toledo | Bowling Green -9 | Toledo | 72.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/19 | Toledo | 27 | Bowling Green | 20 | Toledo | Toledo -6.5 | Toledo | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/26 | Bowling Green | 25 | Toledo | 28 | Toledo | Bowling Green -3 | Toledo | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/15 | Toledo | 27 | Bowling Green | 15 | Toledo | ||||
| 2011 | 10/15 | Bowling Green | 21 | Toledo | 28 | Toledo | ||||
| 2010 | 11/17 | Toledo | 33 | Bowling Green | 14 | Toledo | ||||
| 2009 | 11/27 | Bowling Green | 38 | Toledo | 24 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2008 | 11/28 | Toledo | 10 | Bowling Green | 38 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2007 | 11/23 | Bowling Green | 37 | Toledo | 10 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2006 | 11/21 | Toledo | 31 | Bowling Green | 21 | Toledo | ||||
| 2005 | 11/22 | Bowling Green | 41 | Toledo | 44 | Toledo | ||||
| 2004 | 11/23 | Toledo | 49 | Bowling Green | 41 | Toledo | ||||
| 2003 | 11/29 | Bowling Green | 31 | Toledo | 23 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2001 | 11/23 | Bowling Green | 56 | Toledo | 21 | Bowling Green | ||||
| 2000 | 11/21 | Toledo | 51 | Bowling Green | 17 | Toledo |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green | 8 | 6 | 7 Overs |
| Toledo | 16 | 6 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 14 - 10 | 4 - 8 | 2 - 6 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 10 - 14 | 8 - 4 | 2 - 2 | 6 - 2 |
(#48) Toledo Info
Power Rating: 11.65 #48
Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo has lost 2 straight
Toledo has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Toledo Notes
(8/20) CB A. Smith a true shutdown & NFL prospect
(7/28) OL 5/5 back. Best in MAC, top 3 in the G5
(7/28) Def added 9 portals, some key pieces at DE/LB
(7/28) Secondary should be really good, great CBs
(7/27) WR Vandeross a weapon, Rudolph (NIU) big add
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.
Toledo Highlights
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread
Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#28)
Toledo offense is good in red zone (#28)
Toledo defense does not give up big plays (#16)
Toledo has a good pass defense (#7)
Toledo Front 7 is disruptive (#29)
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Power Rating: 11.65 #48
Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Toledo has lost 2 straight
Toledo has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Toledo Notes
(8/20) CB A. Smith a true shutdown & NFL prospect
(7/28) OL 5/5 back. Best in MAC, top 3 in the G5
(7/28) Def added 9 portals, some key pieces at DE/LB
(7/28) Secondary should be really good, great CBs
(7/27) WR Vandeross a weapon, Rudolph (NIU) big add
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.
Toledo Highlights
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread
Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#28)
Toledo offense is good in red zone (#28)
Toledo defense does not give up big plays (#16)
Toledo has a good pass defense (#7)
Toledo Front 7 is disruptive (#29)
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BGSU | TOL |
| OverallOver | #75 | #32 |
| OffenseOff | #86 | #42 |
| DefenseDef | #70 | #25 |
| Special TeamsST | #27 | #82 |
| PassingPass | #76 | #12 |
| RushingRush | #80 | #38 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #77 | #53 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #51 | #78 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #87 | #56 |
| TacklingTkl | #15 | #43 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #54 | #22 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #47 | #54 |
| Coverage DefCov | #85 | #38 |
(#112) Bowling Green Info
Power Rating: -8.83 #112
Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Bowling Green has lost 2 straight
Bowling Green has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Bowling Green Notes
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
(7/17) OL bad LY, 3/5 back. Interior OK, OT? 1 portal
(4/7) QB Lamson (Stan) left when Loeffler (Eagles)
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. Not many options
(3/26) WR rebuild, TE Fannin out. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, replace most. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New HC George 24-22 @ E Tenn St
(3/26) Expect very active portal after spring ball
Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green is Undefeated at Home
Bowling Green is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Bowling Green has a really good defense (#29)
Bowling Green has a good run defense (#11)
Bowling Green Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#30)
Bowling Green Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Bowling Green has a great TO Margin (#1)
Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green offense is not Explosive (#128)
Bowling Green offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#105)
Bowling Green run game is really bad (#110)
Bowling Green gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#108)
Power Rating: -8.83 #112
Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Bowling Green has lost 2 straight
Bowling Green has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Bowling Green Notes
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
(7/17) OL bad LY, 3/5 back. Interior OK, OT? 1 portal
(4/7) QB Lamson (Stan) left when Loeffler (Eagles)
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. Not many options
(3/26) WR rebuild, TE Fannin out. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, replace most. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New HC George 24-22 @ E Tenn St
(3/26) Expect very active portal after spring ball
Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green is Undefeated at Home
Bowling Green is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Bowling Green has a really good defense (#29)
Bowling Green has a good run defense (#11)
Bowling Green Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#30)
Bowling Green Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Bowling Green has a great TO Margin (#1)
Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green offense is not Explosive (#128)
Bowling Green offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#105)
Bowling Green run game is really bad (#110)
Bowling Green gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#108)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gleason | 43 | 69 | 62% | 599 | 4 | 1 | 8.7 |
| John Alan Richter | 15 | 23 | 65% | 139 | 3 | 1 | 6.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeaMonte Trayanum | 39 | 248 | 4 | 6.4 | 75 |
| Kenji Christian (Tr) | 23 | 139 | 2 | 6.0 | 33 |
| Willie Shaw III | 8 | 49 | 0 | 6.1 | 20 |
| Kalieb Osborne | 7 | 49 | 1 | 7.0 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Vandeross | 18 | 255 | 4 | 14.2 | 71 |
| Javon Brown | 6 | 133 | 0 | 22.2 | 46 |
| Jacob Petersen (Tr) | 5 | 82 | 0 | 16.4 | 26 |
| Trayvon Rudolph (Tr) | 7 | 77 | 0 | 11.0 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K'Von Sherman | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Braden Awls | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Dunn | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doran Ray | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| K'Von Sherman | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Louce Julien (Tr) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Peters | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Fuller | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Braden Awls | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Dunn | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Pyne (Tr) | 57 | 85 | 67% | 529 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaderris Roberts | 27 | 152 | 0 | 5.6 | 14 |
| Cameron Pettaway | 26 | 124 | 0 | 4.8 | 30 |
| Chris McMillian | 26 | 102 | 1 | 3.9 | 14 |
| Mar'Kel Porter | 8 | 19 | 2 | 2.4 | 6 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jyrin Johnson (Tr) | 10 | 138 | 1 | 13.8 | 31 |
| Finn Hogan | 8 | 114 | 0 | 14.3 | 24 |
| RJ Garcia II | 10 | 105 | 0 | 10.5 | 25 |
| Kaderris Roberts | 10 | 55 | 0 | 5.5 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Pringle | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kal-El Pascal | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gideon Lampron (Tr) | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr) | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eriq George (Tr) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| David Afogho | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr) | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Bradley | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key'on Washington (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Collins Acheampong (Tr) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Gideon Lampron (Tr) | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |