Akron at Toledo - 2025 Matchup Preview
Akron logo Akron Zips at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Glass Bowl - Toledo, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Zips (0 - 3) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (8 - 28)
Avg Score : 9 - 36 (14 - 50 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#121)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
TOL is playing their 5th straight game
AKR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Toledo -30   (SP+ TOL -28)

Projected Score: AKR: 14 - TOL: 44 (57)
TOL Win prob: 99% | Cover: 54%
AKR Travel: 116 miles
Rockets (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 40 - 15 (53 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
Akron's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Akron vs Wyoming+8.549.5L 0 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Akron at Nebraska+34.047.5L 0 - 68ON
Sat 9/13 Akron at UAB+12.558.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Akron vs Duquesne-4
Sat 9/27 Akron at Toledo+30
Sat 10/4 Akron vs Central Michigan-5
Sat 10/11 Akron vs Miami (OH)+4.5
Sat 10/18 Akron at Ball State-0.5
Sat 10/25 Akron at Buffalo+17
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Akron vs Massachusetts-7
Tue 11/11 Akron vs Kent State-3
Tue 11/18 Akron at Bowling Green+10.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Toledo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Toledo at Kentucky+10.048.5L 16 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Western Kentucky-8.557.5W 45 - 21OY
Sat 9/13 Toledo vs Morgan State-33.554.5W 60 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Toledo at Western Michigan-14.051.5
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Akron-30
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Bowling Green-17
Sat 10/18 Toledo vs Kent State-30
Sat 10/25 Toledo at Washington State-13
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-17
Wed 11/12 Toledo at Miami (OH)-18
Sat 11/22 Toledo vs Ball State-32.5
Sat 11/29 Toledo at Central Michigan-27

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#136 (-.24)27% (135)9.341% (88)2.39 (117)12019% (136)161-0.25 (136)#64 (.12)43% (88)36.343% (89)42% (87)2.56 (37)27.70.31
TOL#42 (.3)43% (71)40.345% (63)2.74 (91)20943% (71)2565.11 (28)#12 (-.08)38% (59)1550% (118)25% (7)3.17 (57)78.711.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)44% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)41% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense39.31427%-0.250.3162811201613.438%61%41%19%12%-.24
TOL Defense31510.537.8%3.171.7 - - - - - 52%46%50%25%19%-.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense336.349.542.6%2.561 - - - - - 52%48%43%42%17%.12
TOL Offense340.352.543.3%5.111234652092565.349%50%45%43%10%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron328:5015.722%50%3.727.70.314.30.7026.4
Toledo331:542344%17%978.711.76.31.7129.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense338% (127)41% (88)35.7120.33.41 (127)-.06 (123)2.39 (117)50% (124)4% (6)0.77 (119)
TOL Defense352% (91)50% (118) - - - - .1 (87)2.79 (71)63% (43)13% (29)0.74 (23)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense352% (90)43% (89) - - - - -.04 (37)3.22 (112)42% (9)8% (99)0.89 (57)
TOL Offense349% (79)45% (63)39.3208.75.38 (26).15 (63)2.74 (91)78% (41)8% (47)0.96 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense361% (10)19% (136)14.7321615112 (102)1 (23)-.28 (136)1.5 (84)39% (127)11% (135)-.18 (135)7% (117)1.3 (130)
TOL Defense346% (39)25% (7) - - - - - - 2 (56)-.21 (5)1.7 (99)30% (100)16% (14)-.19 (5)6% (73)2.1 (89)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense348% (52)42% (87) - - - - - - 2 (56).29 (96)1.5 (55)25% (128)26% (45).3 (77)9% (14)1.8 (44)
TOL Offense350% (65)43% (71)20.732.72567.812.47 (23)2 (60).47 (31)1.8 (20)33% (99)28% (96).26 (85)2% (12)1.8 (94)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -14.56 #115
Akron's Offense Rating: 0.02 #131
Akron's Defense Rating: 14.58 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Akron's 2025 Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3
Akron's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.1 #135
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.7 #134
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #126

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -14.56   Toledo: 10.475

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -24.1   Toledo: 4.3




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 10.475 #48
Toledo's Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Toledo's Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Akron Scoring
Offense: 9.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 49.5

Akron's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 44
Akron 14


Total Points: 57

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 52.5
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.5

Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/26Akron21Toledo14AkronToledo -9.5Akron50.5Under
202111/27Toledo49Akron14ToledoToledo -28.5Toledo57.5Over
201712/02Toledo45Akron28ToledoToledo -20.5Akron61.5Over
201710/21Toledo48Akron21ToledoToledo -15.5Toledo58.5Over
201611/02Akron17Toledo48ToledoToledo -8Toledo72.0Under
201311/29Akron31Toledo29AkronToledo -8.5Akron0
201211/20Toledo35Akron23Toledo
200811/05Akron47Toledo30Akron
200610/28Toledo35Akron20Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo633 Overs
Akron332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 14 - 22 - 12 - 1
Road Teams1 - 82 - 41 - 21 - 2

(#115) Akron Info
Power Rating: -14.56 #115
Offense Rating: 0.02 #131
Defense Rating: 14.58 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.1 #135
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.7 #134
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #126
Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 38%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 27%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position -0.25 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 19%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 2.56 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Akron has lost 4 straight
Akron has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Akron Notes
(8/21) This is not an FBS roster. Bad team
(8/21) No bowl, no real bye, end on Nov 18th
(7/27) WR A Adams was leader WR in '23, injury probs
(5/29) QB Finley & WRs + DBs are only real assets
(5/29) RB awful LY. Limited options, 1 FCS portal add?
(5/29) WR complete rebuild, 4 portals. TE Newell good
(5/29) OL poor LY, 2/5 back. 4 meh portals (2 FCS).
(5/29) Def improved LY but lost most. Only 6 portals?
(5/6) Ineligible for bowl due to APR below 914
(3/26) QB Finley back, JAG. Depth looks v light

Akron Highlights
Akron Secondary is very good (#14)
Akron has a great TO Margin (#11)
Akron commits very few Penalties (#16)

Akron Deficiencies
Akron has a really bad Offense
Akron Can Not Run the Ball (#105)
Akron offense is really bad (#135)
Akron offense is not Explosive (#119)
Akron Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#111)
Akron offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#136)
Akron pass game is really bad (#136)
Akron offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Akron Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Akron does not Sack the QB (#122)
Akron has a bad defensive line (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTOLAKR
OverallOver#32#96
OffenseOff#42#95
DefenseDef#25#84
Special TeamsST#82#112
PassingPass#12#50
RushingRush#38#91
Run BlockRBLK#53#69
Pass BlockPBLK#78#59
Route RunningWR Rt#56#106
TacklingTkl#43#81
Run DefenseR Def#22#78
Pass Rush DefPRush#54#104
Coverage DefCov#38#82

Previous Matchups
Akron beat Toledo last year (21-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AKR | TOL
Depth Chart: AKR | TOL
Rosters: AKR | TOL
(#48) Toledo Info
Power Rating: 10.475 #48
Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Toledo has lost 1 straight
Toledo has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Toledo Notes
(8/20) CB A. Smith a true shutdown & NFL prospect
(7/28) OL 5/5 back. Best in MAC, top 3 in the G5
(7/28) Def added 9 portals, some key pieces at DE/LB
(7/28) Secondary should be really good, great CBs
(7/27) WR Vandeross a weapon, Rudolph (NIU) big add
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.

Toledo Highlights
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread
Toledo is Undefeated at Home
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#28)
Toledo offense is good in red zone (#28)
Toledo defense does not give up big plays (#16)
Toledo has a good pass defense (#7)
Toledo Front 7 is disruptive (#29)

Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)


  
Akron's OC Taylor Housewright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley429445%475215.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)22100%8004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Patrick3617114.825
Jordan Gant (Tr)2511704.716
Marquese Williams125404.514
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)131501.217
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Israel Polk6112218.775
Myles Walker689014.824
Kyan Mason562012.432
Sean Patrick555011.018

View Akron's Full Roster
Akron's DC Tim Tibesar
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shammond Cooper161000
DiMarco Johnson150001
Alex Branch142021
Malcom DeWalt IV122003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bruno Dall63212
Cyrus Durham (Tr)62110
Shammond Cooper161000
Jon'Trell Mixon41000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcom DeWalt IV122003
Bruno Dall63212
Alex Branch142021

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason436962%599418.7
John Alan Richter152365%139316.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeaMonte Trayanum3924846.475
Kenji Christian (Tr)2313926.033
Willie Shaw III84906.120
Kalieb Osborne74917.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Vandeross18255414.271
Javon Brown6133022.246
Jacob Petersen (Tr)582016.426
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)777011.020

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K'Von Sherman234100
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren141001
Braden Awls131001
Anthony Dunn100021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Doran Ray91100
K'Von Sherman234100
Louce Julien (Tr)92110
Jeremiah Peters92100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andre Fuller70002
Braden Awls131001
Anthony Dunn100021