Akron at Toledo Game Matchup
Akron logo Akron Zips at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Glass Bowl - Toledo, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Zips (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (8 - 28)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (17 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#105)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
TOL is playing their 5th straight game
AKR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Toledo -20.5   (SP+ TOL -18)
Projected Score: AKR: 16 - TOL: 37 (52)
TOL Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
AKR Travel: 116 miles
Rockets (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 2.4 (#12)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
 
Akron's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Akron vs Wyoming+9.50.0
Sat 9/6 Akron at Nebraska+33.5
Sat 9/13 Akron at UAB+7.5
Sat 9/20 Akron vs Duquesne-4
Sat 9/27 Akron at Toledo+20.5
Sat 10/4 Akron vs Central Michigan+3
Sat 10/11 Akron vs Miami (OH)+5.5
Sat 10/18 Akron at Ball State-0.5
Sat 10/25 Akron at Buffalo+14.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Akron vs Massachusetts-5.5
Tue 11/11 Akron vs Kent State-9.5
Tue 11/18 Akron at Bowling Green+8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Toledo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Toledo at Kentucky+11.50.0
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Western Kentucky-13
Sat 9/13 Toledo vs Morgan State-22
Sat 9/20 Toledo at Western Michigan-13.5
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Akron-20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.5
Sat 10/18 Toledo vs Kent State-27.5
Sat 10/25 Toledo at Washington State-6
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-12
Wed 11/12 Toledo at Miami (OH)-7.5
Sat 11/22 Toledo vs Ball State-23.5
Sat 11/29 Toledo at Central Michigan-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)20.444% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)3241% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)28.338% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)23.242% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense1220.416.938.8%3.261.7183331012333.540%59%44%36%17%.07
TOL Defense1323.221.339.8%3.871.3 - - - - - 52%48%42%38%19%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense123237.344.6%4.190.8 - - - - - 54%45%41%49%14%.21
TOL Offense1328.331.240.8%3.551.3183391112273.546%53%38%44%16%.11

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron1228:3317.936%31%6.348.71.70.851.5226.4
Toledo1325:0618.436%50%5.446.71.31.36.22.1231.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense1240% (124)44% (64)28.5100.53.511 (116).03 (114)2.82 (103)78% (34)10% (77)0.91 (93)
TOL Defense1352% (83)42% (60) - - - - .11 (66)3.01 (69)77% (89)12% (31)0.95 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense1254% (111)41% (55) - - - - .1 (57)2.95 (58)65% (24)9% (95)0.98 (66)
TOL Offense1346% (96)38% (120)31.5111.33.512 (114)-.04 (127)2.66 (121)57% (130)10% (74)0.83 (125)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense1259% (13)36% (118)19.535232.56.611.916 (87)10 (63).12 (118)1.6 (54)35% (121)25% (120).07 (133)7% (91)2.1 (36)
TOL Defense1348% (51)38% (35) - - - - - - 10 (66).08 (11)1.5 (29)34% (38)29% (39).22 (34)7% (35)2 (43)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense1245% (23)49% (126) - - - - - - 3 (132).37 (122)1.5 (45)28% (120)36% (121).45 (114)5% (90)2.1 (71)
TOL Offense1353% (41)44% (46)19.231227.27.311.826 (26)7 (26).26 (67)1.6 (61)31% (65)27% (108).18 (115)6% (76)2 (68)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -19.44 #121
Akron's Offense Rating: 5.11 #122
Akron's Defense Rating: 24.55 #117
2025 Talent Rating: 432.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Akron's 2025 Expected Record: 4.7 - 7.3
Akron's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.3 #132
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #131
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #119

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -19.44   Toledo: 1.095

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -19.3   Toledo: -1.4




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 1.095 #68
Toledo's Offense Rating: 13.54 #72
Toledo's Defense Rating: 14.95 #68
2025 Talent Rating: 678.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #77
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #63

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.9
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Akron's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 37
Akron 16

Projected Total Points: 52
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/26Akron21Toledo14AkronToledo -9.5Akron50.5Under
202111/27Toledo49Akron14ToledoToledo -28.5Toledo57.5Over
201712/02Toledo45Akron28ToledoToledo -20.5Akron61.5Over
201710/21Toledo48Akron21ToledoToledo -15.5Toledo58.5Over
201611/02Akron17Toledo48ToledoToledo -8Toledo72.0Under
201311/29Akron31Toledo29AkronToledo -8.5Akron0
201211/20Toledo35Akron23Toledo
200811/05Akron47Toledo30Akron
200610/28Toledo35Akron20Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo633 Overs
Akron332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 14 - 22 - 12 - 1
Road Teams1 - 82 - 41 - 21 - 2

(#121) Akron Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.44 #121
Offense Rating: 5.11 #122
Defense Rating: 24.55 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.3 #132
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #119
Talent Rating: 432.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Expected Record: 4.7 - 7.3

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Akron Notes
(5/29) Roster is rough, W's will be bottom feeders
(5/29) QB Finley & WRs + DBs are only real assets
(5/29) RB awful LY. Limited options, 1 FCS portal add?
(5/29) WR complete rebuild, 4 portals. TE Newell good
(5/29) OL poor LY, 2/5 back. 4 meh portals (2 FCS).
(5/29) Def improved LY but lost most. Only 6 portals?
(5/6) Ineligible for bowl due to APR below 914
(3/26) QB Finley back, JAG. Depth looks v light
(3/26) HC Moorhead tough job, jumped to 4 W's LY
Akron     Ratings Matchup     Toledo
Power #121
#68
Off #122
#72
Def #117
#68
Talent #121
#76
SP+ #132
#71
SP+ Off #131
#77
SP+ Def #119
#63

Previous Matchups
Akron beat Toledo last year (21-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AKR | TOL
Depth Chart: AKR | TOL
Rosters: AKR | TOL
(#68) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.095 #68
Offense Rating: 13.54 #72
Defense Rating: 14.95 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #63
Talent Rating: 678.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Toledo Notes
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(5/2) WR Vandeross a weapon, have decent depth
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) OL 5/5 back. Poss best G5 line, best MAC
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.


  
Akron's OC Taylor Housewright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley21138755%25811696.7
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)2367%310010.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ben Finley805100.633
Marquese Williams61302.27
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)4-80-2.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Newell3525427.329
Israel Polk2420108.419
Connor Cravaack13147011.330
Tim Grear Jr. (Tr)446011.518

View Akron's Full Roster
Akron's DC Tim Tibesar
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Anderson423100
Gage Summers350000
Elijah Reed322014
Aman Greenwood201113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Anderson423100
Bruno Dall92121
Dimitri Madden42100
Aman Greenwood201113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Reed322014
Aman Greenwood201113
Malcom DeWalt IV70003

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason20733562%24572277.3
John Alan Richter436764%497407.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Connor Walendzak12245713.732
Tucker Gleason8833063.835
Willie Shaw III4619034.113
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)14179212.860
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Vandeross73763410.573
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)37403110.948
Thomas Zsiros12148112.325
Eric Holley1412609.040

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braden Awls673107
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren612104
Avery Smith5010013
Louce Julien (Tr)437411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Dunn257420
Louce Julien (Tr)437411
Malachi Davis194210
Esean Carter162100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Smith5010013
Braden Awls673107
Nasir Bowers352004