Kent State at Toledo - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kent State logo Kent State Golden Flashes at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Glass Bowl - Toledo, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Golden Flashes (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Mark Carney (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 37 (14 - 62 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Our Line: Toledo -30   (SP+ TOL -26)
Projected Score: KENT: 17 - TOL: 47 (63)
TOL Win prob: 99% | Cover: 54%
KENT Travel: 124 miles
Rockets (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 40 - 15 (53 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
Kent State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Kent State vs Merrimack-5.550.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Kent State at Texas Tech+48.560.0L 14 - 62OY
Sat 9/13 Kent State vs Buffalo+23.548.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Kent State at Florida State+45.555.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Kent State at Oklahoma+49
Sat 10/11 Kent State vs Massachusetts-6.5
Sat 10/18 Kent State at Toledo+30
Sat 10/25 Kent State vs Bowling Green+6
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Kent State at Ball State+0
Tue 11/11 Kent State at Akron+3
Wed 11/19 Kent State vs Central Michigan-4.5
Fri 11/28 Kent State at Northern Illinois+15.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Toledo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Toledo at Kentucky+10.048.5L 16 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Western Kentucky-8.557.5W 45 - 21OY
Sat 9/13 Toledo vs Morgan State-33.554.5W 60 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Toledo at Western Michigan-14.051.5
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Akron-30
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Bowling Green-17
Sat 10/18 Toledo vs Kent State-30
Sat 10/25 Toledo at Washington State-13
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-17
Wed 11/12 Toledo at Miami (OH)-18
Sat 11/22 Toledo vs Ball State-32.5
Sat 11/29 Toledo at Central Michigan-27

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#135 (-.08)29% (134)2126% (135)1.91 (133)10233% (116)2152.33 (126)#92 (.18)39% (66)36.740% (76)38% (58)4 (89)47.711
TOL#42 (.3)43% (71)40.345% (63)2.74 (91)20943% (71)2565.11 (28)#12 (-.08)38% (59)1550% (118)25% (7)3.17 (57)78.711.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)33% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)50% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Offense3211429.3%2.331153171022152.756%44%26%33%18%-.08
TOL Defense31510.537.8%3.171.7 - - - - - 52%46%50%25%19%-.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Defense336.76239%41 - - - - - 48%52%40%38%10%.18
TOL Offense340.352.543.3%5.111234652092565.349%50%45%43%10%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kent State331:541532%44%6.347.71141127
Toledo331:542344%17%978.711.76.31.7129.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Offense356% (38)26% (135)38102.32.73 (95)-.19 (135)1.91 (133)57% (114)12% (116)0.66 (129)
TOL Defense352% (91)50% (118) - - - - .1 (87)2.79 (71)63% (43)13% (29)0.74 (23)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Defense348% (54)40% (76) - - - - .14 (99)2.65 (53)44% (15)7% (115)1.09 (96)
TOL Offense349% (79)45% (63)39.3208.75.38 (26).15 (63)2.74 (91)78% (41)8% (47)0.96 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Offense344% (95)33% (116)1525.72158.414.35 (54)1 (23).06 (123)2 (6)39% (126)16% (131)-.09 (134)6% (92)2.6 (8)
TOL Defense346% (39)25% (7) - - - - - - 2 (56)-.21 (5)1.7 (99)30% (100)16% (14)-.19 (5)6% (73)2.1 (89)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Defense352% (84)38% (58) - - - - - - 1 (87).22 (70)1.5 (68)33% (62)40% (124).44 (105)3% (125)1.6 (33)
TOL Offense350% (65)43% (71)20.732.72567.812.47 (23)2 (60).47 (31)1.8 (20)33% (99)28% (96).26 (85)2% (12)1.8 (94)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -17.82 #124
Kent State's Offense Rating: -0.51 #135
Kent State's Defense Rating: 17.31 #107
2025 Talent Rating: 516.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.7 #130
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #122
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #130

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -17.82   Toledo: 10.475

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -21.7   Toledo: 4.3




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 10.475 #48
Toledo's Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Toledo's Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Kent State Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 36.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 62

Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 47
Kent State 17


Total Points: 63

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 52.5
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.5

Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/15Toledo52Kent State31ToledoToledo -7Toledo62.5Over
201911/05Toledo35Kent State33ToledoToledo -5.5Kent State62.5Over
201811/15Kent State34Toledo56ToledoToledo -11.5Toledo57.5Over
201510/10Toledo38Kent State7ToledoToledo -15.5Toledo47.0Under
201411/04Kent State20Toledo30ToledoToledo -13Kent State0
201010/16Toledo34Kent State21Toledo
200610/14Kent State40Toledo14Kent State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo633 Overs
Kent State121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 23 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams2 - 52 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#124) Kent State Info
Power Rating: -17.82 #124
Offense Rating: -0.51 #135
Defense Rating: 17.31 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.7 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #130
Talent Rating: 516.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 29%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 26%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kent State has lost 5 straight
Kent State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Kent State Notes
(9/10) Two QB system w/ Deshields and Montes. Meh
(9/6) Physically does not look like FBS level ball
(8/30) QB DeShields/Montes meh, Run Off awful
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
(3/26) QB Kargman some exp, glorious hair
(3/26) RB rebuild, awful LY, Nubin (Minn) added.
(3/26) WR rebuild, surprisingly decent depth/options
(3/26) OL worst in CFB, 3/5 back, only 2 portals?
(3/26) Def near worst, 6 portals, 4 DBs
(3/26) Worst CFB team of last 4 years LY

Kent State Highlights

Kent State Deficiencies
Kent State Can Not Run the Ball (#122)
Kent State offense is really bad (#134)
Kent State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#126)
Kent State run game is really bad (#135)
Kent State pass game is really bad (#116)
Kent State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kent State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kent State does not Sack the QB (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTOLKENT
OverallOver#32#99
OffenseOff#42#111
DefenseDef#25#65
Special TeamsST#82#107
PassingPass#12#55
RushingRush#38#107
Run BlockRBLK#53#116
Pass BlockPBLK#78#119
Route RunningWR Rt#56#76
TacklingTkl#43#44
Run DefenseR Def#22#38
Pass Rush DefPRush#54#84
Coverage DefCov#38#79

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Kent State in 2022 (52-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KENT | TOL
Depth Chart: KENT | TOL
Rosters: KENT | TOL
(#48) Toledo Info
Power Rating: 10.475 #48
Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Toledo has lost 3 straight
Toledo has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Toledo Notes
(8/20) CB A. Smith a true shutdown & NFL prospect
(7/28) OL 5/5 back. Best in MAC, top 3 in the G5
(7/28) Def added 9 portals, some key pieces at DE/LB
(7/28) Secondary should be really good, great CBs
(7/27) WR Vandeross a weapon, Rudolph (NIU) big add
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.

Toledo Highlights
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread
Toledo is Undefeated at Home
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#28)
Toledo offense is good in red zone (#28)
Toledo defense does not give up big plays (#16)
Toledo has a good pass defense (#7)
Toledo Front 7 is disruptive (#29)

Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)


  
Kent State's OC Mark Carney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dru Deshields355761%513409.0
CJ Montes (Tr)101953%140117.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Garcia4513503.011
Dru Deshields246122.510
Jahzae Kimbrough164502.812
Maurice Stephens131131.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Wolford7223431.979
Terik Mulder (Tr)789112.750
Wayne Harris775010.727
Ardell Banks475018.838

View Kent State's Full Roster
Kent State's DC Kody Morgan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Young210020
Mason Woods202010
Jaire Rawlison192002
Joel Cordoba160010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Campbell62100
Jamond Mathis (Tr)61150
Jelani Davis (Tr)62110
Thomas Aden (Tr)61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaire Rawlison192002
Terrell Miller30002
Darian Blachewicz31001

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason436962%599418.7
John Alan Richter152365%139316.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeaMonte Trayanum3924846.475
Kenji Christian (Tr)2313926.033
Willie Shaw III84906.120
Kalieb Osborne74917.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Vandeross18255414.271
Javon Brown6133022.246
Jacob Petersen (Tr)582016.426
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)777011.020

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K'Von Sherman234100
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren141001
Braden Awls131001
Anthony Dunn100021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Doran Ray91100
K'Von Sherman234100
Louce Julien (Tr)92110
Jeremiah Peters92100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andre Fuller70002
Braden Awls131001
Anthony Dunn100021