Toledo at Washington State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Toledo Rockets at Washington State Cougars

Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Martin Stadium - Pullman, WA

Rockets (3 - 3) (4 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 34 - 15 (17 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 3.2 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)

Our Line: Toledo -13.5 (SP+ TOL -9.5)
Projected Score: TOL: 33 - WSU: 19 (52)
TOL Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
TOL Travel: 1685 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Cougars (3 - 3) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
TOL Players
WSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Toledo's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Toledo at Kentucky	+10.0	48.5	L 16 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Toledo vs Western Kentucky	-8.5	57.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Toledo vs Morgan State	-33.5	54.5	W 60 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Toledo at Western Michigan	-13.5	48.5	L 13 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/27	Toledo vs Akron	-21.5	50.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Toledo at Bowling Green	-10.5	45.5	L 23 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/18	Toledo vs Kent State	-26.5	52.5
Sat 10/25	Toledo at Washington State	-13.5
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5	Toledo vs Northern Illinois	-21.5
Wed 11/12	Toledo at Miami (OH)	-15
Sat 11/22	Toledo vs Ball State	-34
Sat 11/29	Toledo at Central Michigan	-23

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule

Washington State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Washington State vs Idaho	-16.5	50.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/6	Washington State vs San Diego State	-2.0	46.5	W 36 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Washington State at North Texas	+6.5	57.5	L 10 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/20	Washington State vs Washington	+21.0	51.5	L 24 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/27	Washington State at Colorado State	+4.5	48.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Washington State at Ole Miss	+33.5	58.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Washington State at Virginia	+17.5	56.5
Sat 10/25	Washington State vs Toledo	+13.5
Sat 11/1	Washington State at Oregon State	-1.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Washington State vs Louisiana Tech	-1
Sat 11/22	Washington State at James Madison	+14.5
Sat 11/29	Washington State vs Oregon State	-6.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL	#66 (.2)	44% (61)	33.7	43% (78)	2.85 (82)	206	45% (49)	236	4.33 (48)	#2 (-.08)	35% (13)	15	40% (47)	29% (4)	3.29 (32)	79.2	1.2	1.7
WSU	#105 (.12)	42% (82)	20.7	39% (107)	2.33 (130)	88	44% (58)	227	4.11 (63)	#94 (.21)	47% (121)	28	50% (127)	44% (94)	4.31 (106)	46.2	1.5	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TOL	#111 (.11)	41% (95)		38% (120)	2.66 (121)	111	44% (46)	227	3.55 (99)	#20 (.09)	40% (43)		42% (60)	38% (35)	3.87 (79)	46.7	1.3	1.3
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)		47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)		51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Offense	6	33.7	17.3	43.8%	4.33	1.2	23	441	206	236	5.2	52%	47%	43%	45%	13%	.2
WSU Defense	6	28	27.3	46.8%	4.31	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	50%	44%	14%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TOL Defense	6	15	22	34.6%	3.29	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	40%	29%	20%	-.08
WSU Offense	6	20.7	24.3	42.2%	4.11	1.5	18	314	88	227	3.1	43%	57%	39%	44%	17%	.12

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Toledo	6	31:46	22.7	37%	20%	8.7	79.2	1.2	1.7	6.8	1.8	1	30.3
Washington State	6	31:52	18.3	37%	80%	5.8	46.2	1.5	0.7	6	2.3	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Offense	6	52% (59)	43% (78)	39.8	205.7	5.2	14 (28)	.12 (78)	2.85 (82)	76% (47)	9% (65)	0.88 (106)
WSU Defense	6	55% (113)	50% (127)	-	-	-	-	.18 (112)	3.18 (120)	71% (73)	11% (41)	0.93 (59)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TOL Defense	6	55% (114)	40% (47)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (11)	2.23 (7)	67% (43)	14% (12)	0.75 (6)
WSU Offense	6	43% (117)	39% (107)	28.5	87.5	3.1	4 (125)	-.04 (129)	2.33 (130)	58% (124)	11% (102)	0.71 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Offense	6	47% (84)	45% (49)	19.3	30.3	235.7	7.8	12.2	11 (49)	5 (77)	.3 (63)	1.6 (61)	33% (100)	26% (103)	.05 (132)	4% (28)	1.6 (133)
WSU Defense	6	45% (25)	44% (94)	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.26 (78)	1.5 (53)	29% (108)	34% (114)	.29 (74)	3% (135)	1.9 (37)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TOL Defense	6	44% (22)	29% (4)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (62)	-.06 (4)	1.7 (122)	36% (19)	17% (1)	-.06 (1)	6% (75)	2.5 (134)
WSU Offense	6	57% (20)	44% (58)	23.2	33.8	226.7	6.7	9.8	10 (60)	5 (77)	.25 (80)	1.3 (126)	30% (54)	25% (116)	.03 (133)	6% (70)	1.6 (131)

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 15.91 #40
Toledo's Offense Rating: 12.00 #63
Toledo's Defense Rating: -3.91 #19
2025 Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #55
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #36

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 15.91 Washington State: -2.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 5.1 Washington State: -4.4

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -2.945 #99
Washington State's Offense Rating: 5.47 #103
Washington State's Defense Rating: 11.96 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 724.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Washington State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Washington State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #82
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #74
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #94

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 33
Washington State 19

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 37
Washington State 19

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 27
Washington State 21

Total Points: 48

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 20.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.3
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Washington State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington State	0	0	0 Overs
Toledo	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#40) TOL at (#99) WSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TOL	WSU
Power RatePwr	#40	#99
SP+SP+	#55	#82
Perf GradeGrade	#15	#102
OffenseOff	#42	#94
DefenseDef	#11	#109
Spec TeamsST	#68	#93
TalentTal	#71	#70
Blue ChipsBC%	#56	#101

Toledo Notes
(10/12) Blew another vs BG, OG'd BG by 200 yds & still lost
(10/12) Penalties, turnovers & awful coaching killing Toledo
(9/24) Gleason/Off disappointing. Penalty issues hurting
(9/20) Yearly awful L vs 0-3 WMU, Gleason 89 yds, 2 INT
(8/30) Run Off terrible, Run Def bad in L to UK
(8/20) CB A. Smith a true shutdown & NFL prospect
(7/28) OL 5/5 back. Best in MAC, top 3 in the G5
(7/28) Def added 9 portals, some key pieces at DE/LB
(7/28) Secondary should be really good, great CBs
(7/27) WR Vandeross a weapon, Rudolph (NIU) big add
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning

Washington State Notes
(10/7) Sched has been sneaky brutal and gets worse in Oct
(9/3) QB1 Potter, but Ekhaus didn't play as #2?
(8/5) QB Dugger (Pitt) very mobile, played bowl vs Tol
(7/31) 18 (of 36) portals from S Dakota w/ staff
(7/31) QB ?, Ekhaus is mobile vs So. Potter
(7/31) RB rebuild, Pulalasi has exp, 3 SDSt portals
(7/31) Moving to a ground & pound offense w/ Rogers
(7/31) 70+ new players, 27 FCS, 1/2 starters via SDSt
(3/22) HC Rogers was 27-3 @ S Dakota
(3/22) WR rebuild, #'s look rough, very young
(3/22) OL returns 3/5, OK LY. Only 1 portal add.

Toledo on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	TOL Off	WSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#42	#109
SuccessSuc	#61	#121
ExplosiveExp	#80	#30
PPAPPA	#66	#94
PowerPwr	#63	#87
SP+SP+	#72	#94
Pts POPPO	#48	#106
HavocHav	#36	#115

Toledo Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	TOL Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#58	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	#78	#127
Run ExplRExp	#106	#59
PPAExp	#78	#112
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	#82	#120
Stuff RateStuff	#67	#89
TackleTak	-	#135

Toledo Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	TOL Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#124
Pass SuccessPSuc	#49	#94
Pass ExplPExl	#61	#53
PPAExp	#63	#78
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#119	#45
F7 HavocF7	#65	#41
DB HavocDB	#28	#135

Washington State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	TOL Def
Perf GradePerf	#94	#11
SuccessSuc	#82	#13
ExplosiveExp	#131	#15
PPAPPA	#105	#2
PowerPwr	#103	#19
SP+SP+	#74	#36
Pts POPPO	#63	#32
HavocHav	#90	#19

Washington State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	TOL Def
Run GameRun	#131	#14
Run SuccessRSuc	#107	#47
Run ExplRExp	#134	#6
PPAExp	#129	#11
Run BlockR Blk	#101	-
OL YdsOLY	#130	#7
Stuff RateStuff	#123	#14
TackleTak	-	#26

Washington State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	TOL Def
Pass GamePass	#64	#16
Pass SuccessPSuc	#58	#4
Pass ExplPExl	#126	#122
PPAExp	#80	#4
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#102	#57
F7 HavocF7	#102	#12
DB HavocDB	#70	#75

Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TOL's OC Mike Hallett (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tucker Gleason	93	148	63%	1189	8	4	8.0
John Alan Richter	17	25	68%	153	3	1	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DeaMonte Trayanum	103	601	7	5.8	75
Kenji Christian (Tr)	46	233	2	5.1	33
Kalieb Osborne	11	91	2	8.3	21
Willie Shaw III	13	77	0	5.9	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Junior Vandeross	37	480	6	13.0	71
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)	17	169	0	9.9	20
Jacob Petersen (Tr)	10	163	1	16.3	28
Eric Holley	11	140	1	12.7	26

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC Vince Kehres (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K'Von Sherman	46	7	1	1	0
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren	32	3	1	0	1
Chris D'Appolonia	27	3	0	1	1
Andre Fuller	25	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malachi Davis	19	6	3	2	0
Jeremiah Peters	13	3	2	1	1
Martez Poynter	18	3	2	2	0
Doran Ray	13	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Avery Smith	13	2	0	0	6
Andre Fuller	25	1	0	0	4
Jeremiah Peters	13	3	2	1	1

WSU's OC Danny Freund (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zevi Eckhaus	72	105	69%	756	6	2	7.2
Jaxon Potter	67	95	71%	604	4	3	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kirby Vorhees (Tr)	48	244	1	5.1	46
Leo Pulalasi	15	97	0	6.5	45
Angel Johnson (Tr)	47	96	0	2.0	12
Zevi Eckhaus	32	61	2	1.9	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tony Freeman	30	302	1	10.1	23
Josh Meredith	24	285	1	11.9	48
Jeremiah Noga (Tr)	12	141	1	11.8	35
Carter Pabst	5	108	0	21.6	43

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Parker McKenna	45	3	1	0	0
Anthony Palano (Tr)	37	1	1	0	1
Caleb Francl (Tr)	33	3	1	1	0
Tucker Large (Tr)	31	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Terrell	17	10	5	3	1
Soni Finau (Tr)	6	2	2	0	0
Buddha Peleti (Tr)	8	2	2	2	0
Parker McKenna	45	3	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamorri Colson	12	0	0	0	2
Tucker Large (Tr)	31	1	0	0	2
Isaac Terrell	17	10	5	3	1