Toledo at Washington State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Washington State CougarsWashington State logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -1.5 (44.5) (-125)  Open: -1.5
Washington State 28 - Toledo: 7

 
Rockets (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Rain Predicted
Wind: 18.6 MPH
Our Line: Toledo -6.5  (SP+ TOL -2)

Projected Score: TOL: 25 - WSU: 18 (43)
TOL Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
TOL Travel: 1685 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Cougars (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Toledo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Toledo at Kentucky+10.048.5L 16 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Western Kentucky-8.557.5W 45 - 21OY
Sat 9/13 Toledo vs Morgan State-33.554.5W 60 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Toledo at Western Michigan-13.548.5L 13 - 14UN
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Akron-21.550.5W 45 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Bowling Green-10.545.5L 23 - 28ON
Sat 10/18 Toledo vs Kent State-25.548.5W 45 - 10OY
Sat 10/25 Toledo at Washington State-1.544.5L 7 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-14.542.5W 42 - 3OY
Wed 11/12 Toledo at Miami (OH)-6.544.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/22 Toledo vs Ball State-29.545.5W 38 - 9ON
Sat 11/29 Toledo at Central Michigan-11.546.5W 21 - 3UY
Tue 12/23 Toledo vs Louisville+12.544.5L 22 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Washington State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington State vs Idaho-16.550.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Washington State vs San Diego State-2.046.5W 36 - 13OY
Sat 9/13 Washington State at North Texas+6.557.5L 10 - 59ON
Sat 9/20 Washington State vs Washington+21.051.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 9/27 Washington State at Colorado State+4.548.5W 20 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Washington State at Ole Miss+33.558.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Washington State at Virginia+16.556.5L 20 - 22UY
Sat 10/25 Washington State vs Toledo+1.544.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/1 Washington State at Oregon State-3.547.5L 7 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Washington State vs Louisiana Tech-10.043.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/22 Washington State at James Madison+15.044.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/29 Washington State vs Oregon State-14.042.5W 32 - 8UY
Mon 12/22 Washington State vs Utah State+1.050.0W 34 - 21OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)30.838% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)13.342% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)22.547% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)20.251% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1330.817.340.8%3.551.3183391112273.546%53%38%44%16%.11
WSU Defense1320.216.746%4.181.7 - - - - - 44%55%51%43%15%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1313.316.739.8%3.871.3 - - - - - 52%48%42%38%19%.09
WSU Offense1322.526.848.1%4.430.8214071592484.751%49%47%49%14%.29

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1325:0618.436%50%5.446.71.31.36.22.1231.4
Washington State1326:1921.141%54%5.954.80.81.74.61.5330.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1346% (96)38% (120)31.5111.33.512 (114)-.04 (127)2.66 (121)57% (130)10% (74)0.83 (125)
WSU Defense1344% (7)51% (129) - - - - .25 (123)3.28 (110)69% (45)9% (102)1.03 (89)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1352% (83)42% (60) - - - - .11 (66)3.01 (69)77% (89)12% (31)0.95 (48)
WSU Offense1351% (66)47% (27)33.6158.84.727 (30).23 (22)3.1 (54)67% (108)10% (72)1.12 (14)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1353% (41)44% (46)19.231227.27.311.826 (26)7 (26).26 (67)1.6 (61)31% (65)27% (108).18 (115)6% (76)2 (68)
WSU Defense1355% (126)43% (91) - - - - - - 14 (23).24 (74)1.5 (54)30% (98)32% (93).35 (87)6% (64)2.2 (114)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1348% (51)38% (35) - - - - - - 10 (66).08 (11)1.5 (29)34% (38)29% (39).22 (34)7% (35)2 (43)
WSU Offense1349% (69)49% (8)17.827.4248.29.113.930 (9)7 (26).37 (20)1.6 (68)27% (13)37% (14).43 (27)4% (19)2.1 (44)

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 8.00  #46
Toledo's Offense Rating: 15.43  #55
Toledo's Defense Rating: 7.43  #32
2025 Talent Rating: 718.00  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0  #48
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #75
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5  #21

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 8.00   Washington State: 0.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 6.0   Washington State: 3.8




Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 0.57  #91
Washington State's Offense Rating: 6.10  #113
Washington State's Defense Rating: 13.76  #68
2025 Talent Rating: 724.00  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Washington State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
Washington State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8  #61
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #86
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 25
Washington State 18


Projected Total Points: 43
Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.7

Washington State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Washington State28Toledo7Toledo -1.5Washington State44.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington State110 Overs
Toledo001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#46) TOL at (#91) WSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLWSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #46 #91
SP+SP+ #48 #61
Perf GradeGrade #11 #88
OffenseOff #41 #101
DefenseDef #6 #40
Spec TeamsST #14 #97
TalentTal #71 #70
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #101
Toledo Notes
(12/11) HC Candle left for UConn? Very odd move
(12/11) Hired HC Mike Jacobs (Mercer). Pot. big upgrade
(11/13) Beat M-OH w/ QB2, not impressive. 3 TOs, 313 yds
(10/31) Killed by Wazzu in bad spot, Run Off awful 61 yds
(10/31) 8-4 best possible finish & must win @ Mia OH
(10/12) Blew another vs BG, OG'd BG by 200 yds & still lost
(10/12) Penalties, turnovers & awful coaching killing Toledo
(9/24) Gleason/Off disappointing. Penalty issues hurting
(9/20) Yearly awful L vs 0-3 WMU, Gleason 89 yds, 2 INT
(8/30) Run Off terrible, Run Def bad in L to UK
(8/20) CB A. Smith a true shutdown & NFL prospect
(7/28) OL 5/5 back. Best in MAC, top 3 in the G5
Toledo Injury Report
Washington State Notes
(12/13) Hired Kirby Moore (Mizzu OC) as HC ijn '26
(12/6) HC Rogers leaving for Iowa St. Another 1 yr HC
(10/19) 2 straight close L's @ Ole Miss & UVA. Improving
(10/7) Sched has been sneaky brutal and gets worse in Oct
(9/3) QB1 Potter, but Ekhaus didn't play as #2?
(8/5) QB Dugger (Pitt) very mobile, played bowl vs Tol
(7/31) 18 (of 36) portals from S Dakota w/ staff
(7/31) QB ?, Ekhaus is mobile vs So. Potter
(7/31) RB rebuild, Pulalasi has exp, 3 SDSt portals
(7/31) Moving to a ground & pound offense w/ Rogers
(7/31) 70+ new players, 27 FCS, 1/2 starters via SDSt
(3/22) HC Rogers was 27-3 @ S Dakota
Washington State Injury Report
Toledo on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TOL OffWSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #41 #40
SuccessSuc #95 #112
ExplosiveExp #83 #82
PPAPPA #111 #99
PowerPwr #55 #68
SP+SP+ #75 #32
Pts POPPO #99 #107
HavocHav #72 #88
Toledo Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TOL OffWSU Def
Run GameRun #62 #84
Run SuccessRSuc #120 #129
Run ExplRExp #125 #89
PPAExp #127 #123
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLY #121 #110
Stuff RateStuff #120 #82
TackleTak -  #136
Toledo Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TOL OffWSU Def
Pass GamePass #6 #40
Pass SuccessPSuc #46 #91
Pass ExplPExl #61 #54
PPAExp #67 #74
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #97 #36
F7 HavocF7 #74 #102
DB HavocDB #76 #64
Washington State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatWSU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #101 #6
SuccessSuc #15 #43
ExplosiveExp #24 #33
PPAPPA #19 #20
PowerPwr #113 #32
SP+SP+ #86 #21
Pts POPPO #23 #79
HavocHav #43 #28
Washington State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffTOL Def
Run GameRun #81 #16
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #60
Run ExplRExp #14 #48
PPAExp #22 #66
Run BlockR Blk #133 -
OL YdsOLY #54 #69
Stuff RateStuff #99 #81
TackleTak -  #41
Washington State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatWSU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePass #79 #13
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #35
Pass ExplPExl #68 #29
PPAExp #20 #11
Pass Block/RushP Blk #131 #4
F7 HavocF7 #72 #31
DB HavocDB #19 #35
Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 50° - Wind: 19 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Toledo 1.5 (44.5)
Washington State won vs Toledo this year (28-7)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Toledo last year (28-7)

  
TOL's OC Mike Hallett (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason20732065%25152197.9
Kalieb Osborne325262%427308.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeaMonte Trayanum1821015125.675
Kenji Christian (Tr)10552845.037
Kalieb Osborne5128225.533
Tucker Gleason4614443.135
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Vandeross8210081112.371
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)39435211.258
Jacob Petersen (Tr)25335313.428
DeaMonte Trayanum21212210.157

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC Vince Kehres (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K'Von Sherman9315561
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren776136
Chris D'Appolonia594124
Andre Fuller4930010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Martez Poynter4310790
Malachi Davis3510681
K'Von Sherman9315561
Jeremiah Peters246432
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Smith4250010
Andre Fuller4930010
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren776136

WSU's OC Danny Freund (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zevi Eckhaus19230663%209215126.8
Jaxon Potter679571%604436.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kirby Vorhees (Tr)13857654.246
Zevi Eckhaus11437183.322
Angel Johnson (Tr)7525213.450
Maxwell Woods (Tr)3622506.348
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Meredith57725312.748
Tony Freeman54588310.948
Jeremiah Noga (Tr)20221111.135
Trey Leckner2317437.632

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker McKenna835211
Caleb Francl (Tr)826253
Tucker Large (Tr)713006
Anthony Palano (Tr)651142
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Terrell2812761
Buddha Peleti (Tr)227450
Soni Finau (Tr)124430
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)174332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tucker Large (Tr)713006
Jamorri Colson221003
Caleb Francl (Tr)826253